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Event Predictions

UFC on Fox 20 - Holm vs. Shevchenko

Chicago, Illinois
2016-07-23 20:30:00

Favourite wins: 6
Underdog wins: 5
$10 on all favourites nets: $-24.20
$10 on all underdogs nets: $18.50

Unit Betting
Units Bet: . Profit: 0.00
Total Unit Profit:

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $29.70 (6 right, 1 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $5.20 (7 right, 4 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $14.04 (7 right, 4 wrong)
Value betting profit: $34.50 (6 right, 5 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate
Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Holly Holm vs Valentina Shevchenko Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
31%
27 (90)%
 
3 (10)%
93%
 
7%
59%
 
41%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #6 Moderate Anti-Pick
WON
@1.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.25
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $-6.67 #9 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $29.99

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Edson Barboza vs Gilbert Melendez Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
36%
11 (52)%
 
10 (48)%
52%
 
48%
56%
 
45%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #3 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.53 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.80
$10 Bet Profit: $5.3 #3 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $0.89 #3 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $-6.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Francis Ngannou vs Bojan Mihajlovic Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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85%
   
17%
7 (88)%
 
1 (13)%
86%
 
14%
76%
 
24%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #9 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.17 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @6.00
$10 Bet Profit: $1.7 #9 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $1.42 #4 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $-16.67

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Felice Herrig vs Kailin Curran Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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50%
   
51%
11 (79)%
 
3 (21)%
79%
 
21%
64%
 
36%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #5
LOST
@2.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.95
$10 Bet Profit: $10 #5 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $15 #7 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $8.33

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Eddie Wineland vs Frankie Saenz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
60%
8 (73)%
 
3 (27)%
69%
 
31%
53%
 
47%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #10
LOST
@2.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.68
$10 Bet Profit: $14 #10 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $23.34 #8 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $16.34

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Darren Elkins vs Godofredo Pepey Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
32%
3 (60)%
 
2 (40)%
58%
 
42%
59%
 
41%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.48 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.10
$10 Bet Profit: $4.8 #11 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $1.6 #6 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $-10

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alexander Yakovlev vs Kamaru Usman Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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30%
   
69%
0 (0)%
 
6 (100)%
0%
 
100%
33%
 
67%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Low #7 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.30 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.44
$10 Bet Profit: $4.4 #7 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $5.13 #11 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $-3.33

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Michel Prazeres vs J.C. Cottrell Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
33%
3 (60)%
 
2 (40)%
58%
 
42%
49%
 
51%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#2 Good+ Pick Rating
LOST
@1.46 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.00
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $-18.33 #2 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $-18.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alex Oliveira vs James Moontasri Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
35%
11 (69)%
 
5 (31)%
78%
 
22%
66%
 
34%
WON
Pick Rating Poor #8
LOST
@1.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.88
$10 Bet Profit: $5 #8 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $6.66 #10 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $0.83

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jim Alers vs Jason Knight Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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58%
   
36%
3 (60)%
 
2 (40)%
54%
 
46%
51%
 
49%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #1 Good Anti-Pick
WON
@1.71 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.80
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $-5 #1 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $27

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Luis Henrique vs Dmitry Smoliakov Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
59%
2 (40)%
 
3 (60)%
40%
 
60%
47%
 
53%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Fair #4 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@2.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.69
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $7


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet 		Potential
Win 		Units
Profit 		Cash
Bet 		Cash
Profit 		ROI
Average Odds: @nan   0 0.00 0.00   $0.00 $0.00 nan%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator
Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)		 Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 J.C. Cottrell Michel Prazeres $18.33 $36.66
 
-$18.33
#2 Eddie Wineland Frankie Saenz $16.67 $23.34
 
$23.34
#3 Felice Herrig Kailin Curran $15.00 $15.00
 
$15.00
#4 Alex Oliveira James Moontasri $13.33 $6.66
 
$6.66
#5 Kamaru Usman Alexander Yakovlev $11.67 $5.13
 
$5.13
#6 Dmitry Smoliakov Luis Henrique $10.00 $6.90
 
-$10.00
#7 Francis Ngannou Bojan Mihajlovic $8.33 $1.42
 
$1.42
#8 Holly Holm Valentina Shevchenko $6.67 $3.33
 
-$6.67
#9 Jim Alers Jason Knight $5.00 $3.55
 
-$5.00
#10 Darren Elkins Godofredo Pepey $3.33 $1.60
 
$1.60
#11 Edson Barboza Gilbert Melendez $1.67 $0.89
 
$0.89
      $110.00 $104.48 (95%)   $14.04 (13%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)		 Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 J.C. Cottrell Michel Prazeres $18.33 $36.66
 
-$18.33
#2 Bojan Mihajlovic Francis Ngannou $16.67 $83.35
 
-$16.67
#3 Jason Knight Jim Alers $15.00 $27.00
 
$27.00
#4 Valentina Shevchenko Holly Holm $13.33 $29.99
 
$29.99
#5 Eddie Wineland Frankie Saenz $11.67 $16.34
 
$16.34
#6 Godofredo Pepey Darren Elkins $10.00 $21.00
 
-$10.00
#7 Felice Herrig Kailin Curran $8.33 $8.33
 
$8.33
#8 Gilbert Melendez Edson Barboza $6.67 $12.01
 
-$6.67
#9 Luis Henrique Dmitry Smoliakov $5.00 $7.00
 
$7.00
#10 Alexander Yakovlev Kamaru Usman $3.33 $7.66
 
-$3.33
#11 Alex Oliveira James Moontasri $1.67 $0.83
 
$0.83
      $110.00 $250.17 (227%)   $34.50 (31%)
 
 
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