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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Mir vs. Bigfoot

Porto Alegre, Brazil
2015-02-22 16:00:00

Favourite wins: 1
Underdog wins: 10
$10 on all favourites nets: $-95.50
$10 on all underdogs nets: $293.00

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 8.75. Profit: 21.44
Total Unit Profit: 21.44

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-85.50 (1 right, 9 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-61.00 (2 right, 9 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-22.59 (2 right, 9 wrong)
Value betting profit: $244.31 (7 right, 4 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Frank Mir vs Antonio Silva Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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29%
   
69%
29 (31)%
 
65 (69)%
28%
 
72%
55%
 
45%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Extremely Good #8
LOST
@3.45 Suggested Bet: 8.75 units on Frank Mir: Returned 21.44 Units   @1.45
$10 Bet Profit: $24.5 #8 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $44.91 #9 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $36.75

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Edson Barboza vs Michael Johnson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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63%
   
38%
55 (66)%
 
28 (34)%
71%
 
29%
64%
 
36%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #5
WON
@1.59 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.63
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $-1.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cezar Ferreira vs Sam Alvey Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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76%
   
24%
37 (66)%
 
19 (34)%
70%
 
30%
50%
 
50%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Very Poor #3 Fantastic Anti-Pick
WON
@1.32 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.17
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $-1.67 #3 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $58.11

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Rustam Khabilov vs Adriano Martins Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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83%
   
18%
65 (92)%
 
6 (8)%
93%
 
7%
81%
 
19%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #10 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.20 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @5.56
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $-8.33 #11 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $15.18

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Yuri Alcantara vs Frankie Saenz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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88%
   
13%
50 (83)%
 
10 (17)%
84%
 
16%
83%
 
17%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #11 Moderate Anti-Pick
WON
@1.14 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @7.69
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #11 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $-6.67 #6 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $66.9

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Sean Strickland Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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35%
   
65%
16 (37)%
 
27 (63)%
37%
 
63%
28%
 
72%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#2 Fair Pick Rating
LOST
@2.86 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.54
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $-13.33 #2 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $-6.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jessica Andrade vs Marion Reneau Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
30%
46 (78)%
 
13 (22)%
76%
 
24%
58%
 
42%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Very Poor #7 Good Anti-Pick
WON
@1.41 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.33
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $-5 #8 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $27.19

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Matt Dwyer vs William Macario Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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23%
   
79%
15 (29)%
 
36 (71)%
30%
 
70%
47%
 
53%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Fantastic #1 Very Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@4.35 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.27
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $-3.33 #1 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $55.84

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mike de la Torre vs Tiago Trator Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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33%
   
68%
6 (15)%
 
35 (85)%
16%
 
84%
22%
 
78%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#6 Fair Pick Rating
LOST
@3.03 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.47
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $-15 #7 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $-8.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cody Gibson vs Douglas Silva de Andrade Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
31%
22 (51)%
 
21 (49)%
50%
 
50%
73%
 
27%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #9
WON
@1.43 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.23
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $-11.67 #10 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $-5

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ivan Jorge vs Josh Shockley Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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69%
   
32%
35 (88)%
 
5 (13)%
89%
 
11%
97%
 
3%
WON
Pick Rating Good #4
LOST
@1.45 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.13
$10 Bet Profit: $4.5 #4 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $7.5 #4 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $6


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Frank Mir vs Antonio Silva (@3.45) 55%   8.75   21.44   21.44   $0.00   $0.00 245%
Average Odds: @3.45   8.75 21.44 21.44   $0.00 $0.00 245.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Frank Mir Antonio Silva $18.33 $44.91
 
$44.91
#2 Ivan Jorge Josh Shockley $16.67 $7.50
 
$7.50
#3 Tiago Trator Mike de la Torre $15.00 $7.05
 
-$15.00
#4 Sean Strickland Santiago Ponzinibbio $13.33 $7.20
 
-$13.33
#5 Cody Gibson Douglas Silva de Andrade $11.67 $5.02
 
-$11.67
#6 Edson Barboza Michael Johnson $10.00 $5.90
 
-$10.00
#7 Rustam Khabilov Adriano Martins $8.33 $1.67
 
-$8.33
#8 Yuri Alcantara Frankie Saenz $6.67 $0.93
 
-$6.67
#9 Jessica Andrade Marion Reneau $5.00 $2.05
 
-$5.00
#10 William Macario Matt Dwyer $3.33 $0.90
 
-$3.33
#11 Cezar Ferreira Sam Alvey $1.67 $0.53
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $83.66 (76%)   $-22.59 (-21%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Sam Alvey Cezar Ferreira $18.33 $58.11
 
$58.11
#2 Matt Dwyer William Macario $16.67 $55.84
 
$55.84
#3 Frank Mir Antonio Silva $15.00 $36.75
 
$36.75
#4 Ivan Jorge Josh Shockley $13.33 $6.00
 
$6.00
#5 Marion Reneau Jessica Andrade $11.67 $27.19
 
$27.19
#6 Frankie Saenz Yuri Alcantara $10.00 $66.90
 
$66.90
#7 Tiago Trator Mike de la Torre $8.33 $3.92
 
-$8.33
#8 Sean Strickland Santiago Ponzinibbio $6.67 $3.60
 
-$6.67
#9 Cody Gibson Douglas Silva de Andrade $5.00 $2.15
 
-$5.00
#10 Adriano Martins Rustam Khabilov $3.33 $15.18
 
$15.18
#11 Edson Barboza Michael Johnson $1.67 $0.99
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $276.63 (251%)   $244.31 (222%)
 
 
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