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Event Predictions

UFC on Fox 14 - Gustafsson vs. Johnson

Stockholm, Sweden
2015-01-24 15:00:00

Favourite wins: 5
Underdog wins: 7
$10 on all favourites nets: $-49.60
$10 on all underdogs nets: $90.10

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 10.25. Profit: 27.68
Total Unit Profit: 27.68

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-46.30 (5 right, 7 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $38.10 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $87.52 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Value betting profit: $98.19 (8 right, 4 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alexander Gustafsson vs Anthony Johnson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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74%
   
27%
91 (73)%
 
34 (27)%
74%
 
26%
45%
 
55%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#10 Fantastic Pick Rating
WON
@1.35 Suggested Bet: 10.25 units on Anthony Johnson: Returned 27.68 Units   @3.70
$10 Bet Profit: $27 #10 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $49.84 #6 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $49.84

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gegard Mousasi vs Dan Henderson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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83%
   
18%
87 (71)%
 
36 (29)%
72%
 
28%
74%
 
26%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #12 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.20 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.56
$10 Bet Profit: $2 #12 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $0.62 #2 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $-10.77

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Phil Davis vs Ryan Bader Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
33%
89 (78)%
 
25 (22)%
81%
 
19%
63%
 
37%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #7 Fair Anti-Pick
WON
@1.49 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.03
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $-6.15 #11 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $12.48

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Akira Corassani vs Sam Sicilia Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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53%
   
48%
38 (50)%
 
38 (50)%
50%
 
50%
57%
 
43%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #4
WON
@1.89 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.08
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $-10.77 #9 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $-4.62

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nico Musoke vs Albert Tumenov Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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43%
   
57%
38 (52)%
 
35 (48)%
49%
 
51%
30%
 
70%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#1 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@2.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.75
$10 Bet Profit: $7.5 #1 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $9.23 #5 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $5.77

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Kenny Robertson vs Sultan Aliev Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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38%
   
62%
20 (31)%
 
44 (69)%
29%
 
71%
59%
 
41%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good+ #6
LOST
@2.63 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.61
$10 Bet Profit: $16.3 #6 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $25.07 #12 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $22.58

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Makwan Amirkhani vs Andy Ogle Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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41%
   
59%
32 (48)%
 
34 (52)%
49%
 
51%
78%
 
22%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Extremely Good #3
LOST
@2.44 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.69
$10 Bet Profit: $14.4 #3 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $24.36 #8 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $24.36

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nikita Krylov vs Stanislav Nedkov Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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55%
   
47%
38 (57)%
 
29 (43)%
58%
 
42%
83%
 
17%
WON
Pick Rating Good+ #2
LOST
@1.82 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.13
$10 Bet Profit: $8.2 #2 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $11.36 #7 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $10.09

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Anthony Christodoulou vs Mairbek Taisumov Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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12%
   
89%
7 (23)%
 
23 (77)%
21%
 
79%
23%
 
77%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Extremely Good #11 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@8.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.12
$10 Bet Profit: $1.2 #11 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.18 #1 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mirsad Bektic vs Paul Redmond Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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87%
   
15%
28 (88)%
 
4 (13)%
91%
 
9%
78%
 
22%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #8 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.15 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @6.67
$10 Bet Profit: $1.5 #8 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $0.69 #3 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Konstantin Erokhin vs Viktor Pesta Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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79%
   
23%
53 (85)%
 
9 (15)%
86%
 
14%
76%
 
24%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #9 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.27 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.35
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $-7.69 #4 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $10.32

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Chris Beal vs Neil Seery Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
36%
53 (80)%
 
13 (20)%
80%
 
20%
63%
 
37%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #5 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.54 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.78
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $-9.23 #10 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $2.74


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Anthony Johnson vs Alexander Gustafsson (@3.70) 55%   10.25   27.68   27.68   $0.00   $0.00 270%
Average Odds: @3.70   10.25 27.68 27.68   $0.00 $0.00 270.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Anthony Johnson Alexander Gustafsson $18.46 $49.84
 
$49.84
#2 Makwan Amirkhani Andy Ogle $16.92 $24.36
 
$24.36
#3 Kenny Robertson Sultan Aliev $15.38 $25.07
 
$25.07
#4 Nikita Krylov Stanislav Nedkov $13.85 $11.36
 
$11.36
#5 Albert Tumenov Nico Musoke $12.31 $9.23
 
$9.23
#6 Akira Corassani Sam Sicilia $10.77 $9.59
 
-$10.77
#7 Chris Beal Neil Seery $9.23 $4.98
 
-$9.23
#8 Konstantin Erokhin Viktor Pesta $7.69 $2.08
 
-$7.69
#9 Phil Davis Ryan Bader $6.15 $3.01
 
-$6.15
#10 Mirsad Bektic Paul Redmond $4.62 $0.69
 
$0.69
#11 Gegard Mousasi Dan Henderson $3.08 $0.62
 
$0.62
#12 Mairbek Taisumov Anthony Christodoulou $1.54 $0.18
 
$0.18
      $120.00 $141.02 (118%)   $87.52 (73%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Anthony Johnson Alexander Gustafsson $18.46 $49.84
 
$49.84
#2 Makwan Amirkhani Andy Ogle $16.92 $24.36
 
$24.36
#3 Anthony Christodoulou Mairbek Taisumov $15.38 $112.74
 
-$15.38
#4 Kenny Robertson Sultan Aliev $13.85 $22.58
 
$22.58
#5 Nikita Krylov Stanislav Nedkov $12.31 $10.09
 
$10.09
#6 Dan Henderson Gegard Mousasi $10.77 $49.11
 
-$10.77
#7 Paul Redmond Mirsad Bektic $9.23 $52.33
 
-$9.23
#8 Albert Tumenov Nico Musoke $7.69 $5.77
 
$5.77
#9 Ryan Bader Phil Davis $6.15 $12.48
 
$12.48
#10 Akira Corassani Sam Sicilia $4.62 $4.11
 
-$4.62
#11 Viktor Pesta Konstantin Erokhin $3.08 $10.32
 
$10.32
#12 Neil Seery Chris Beal $1.54 $2.74
 
$2.74
      $120.00 $356.48 (297%)   $98.19 (82%)
 
 
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