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Event Predictions

UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic

Curitiba, Brazil
2016-05-14 22:30:00

Favourite wins: 6
Underdog wins: 5
$10 on all favourites nets: $-27.30
$10 on all underdogs nets: $53.50

Unit Betting
Units Bet: . Profit: 0.00
Total Unit Profit:

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-2.80 (7 right, 4 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $21.20 (8 right, 3 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $50.53 (8 right, 3 wrong)
Value betting profit: $95.63 (6 right, 5 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Very Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Fabricio Werdum vs Stipe Miocic Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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60%
   
40%
28 (61)%
 
18 (39)%
62%
 
38%
58%
 
42%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #4 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.67 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.50
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $-13.85 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $4.62

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ronaldo Souza vs Vitor Belfort Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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73%
   
26%
37 (74)%
 
13 (26)%
77%
 
23%
57%
 
43%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #11 Good+ Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.37 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.85
$10 Bet Profit: $3.7 #11 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $1.71 #5 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cristiane Justino vs Leslie Smith Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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91%
   
7%
45 (96)%
 
2 (4)%
97%
 
3%
80%
 
20%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #8 Fantastic Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.10 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @14.05
$10 Bet Profit: $1 #8 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $1.08 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mauricio Rua vs Corey Anderson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
59%
9 (30)%
 
21 (70)%
34%
 
66%
70%
 
30%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Very Good #3
LOST
@2.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.69
$10 Bet Profit: $14 #3 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $23.69 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $15.08

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Warlley Alves vs Bryan Barberena Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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83%
   
17%
25 (96)%
 
1 (4)%
96%
 
4%
67%
 
33%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Very Poor #5 Extremely Good Anti-Pick
WON
@1.21 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @5.80
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $-7.69 #12 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $81.22

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Demian Maia vs Matt Brown Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
25%
37 (76)%
 
12 (24)%
74%
 
26%
64%
 
36%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #7 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.34 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.95
$10 Bet Profit: $3.4 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $3.14 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $-6.15

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nate Marquardt vs Thiago Santos Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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25%
   
76%
7 (23)%
 
24 (77)%
26%
 
74%
42%
 
58%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Very Good #12 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@4.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.31
$10 Bet Profit: $3.1 #12 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $0.95 #3 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Yancy Medeiros vs Francisco Trinaldo Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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33%
   
68%
3 (21)%
 
11 (79)%
21%
 
79%
34%
 
66%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Low #10 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.05 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.46
$10 Bet Profit: $4.6 #10 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $5.66 #7 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $-1.54

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile John Lineker vs Rob Font Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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59%
   
42%
16 (89)%
 
2 (11)%
93%
 
7%
79%
 
21%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #2
LOST
@1.69 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.40
$10 Bet Profit: $6.9 #2 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $10.61 #4 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $3.19

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Patrick Cummins vs Rogerio Nogueira Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
31%
14 (70)%
 
6 (30)%
67%
 
33%
50%
 
50%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Very Poor #9 Good+ Anti-Pick
WON
@1.43 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.20
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $-1.54 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $16.92

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Luan Chagas vs Sergio Moraes Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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20%
   
80%
2 (20)%
 
8 (80)%
25%
 
75%
36%
 
64%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
DRAW
Anti-Pick Very Good #6 Very Poor Pick Rating
DRAW
@5.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.25
$10 Bet Profit: $0 #6 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $0 #10 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $0

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Renato Moicano vs Zubaira Tukhugov Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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41%
   
61%
4 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
75%
 
25%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Extremely Good #1
LOST
@2.45 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.65
$10 Bet Profit: $14.5 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $26.77 #2 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $22.3


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Average Odds: @0.00   0 0.00 0.00   $0.00 $0.00 0.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Renato Moicano Zubaira Tukhugov $18.46 $26.77
 
$26.77
#2 Mauricio Rua Corey Anderson $16.92 $23.69
 
$23.69
#3 John Lineker Rob Font $15.38 $10.61
 
$10.61
#4 Fabricio Werdum Stipe Miocic $13.85 $9.28
 
-$13.85
#5 Francisco Trinaldo Yancy Medeiros $12.31 $5.66
 
$5.66
#6 Cristiane Justino Leslie Smith $10.77 $1.08
 
$1.08
#7 Demian Maia Matt Brown $9.23 $3.14
 
$3.14
#8 Warlley Alves Bryan Barberena $7.69 $1.61
 
-$7.69
#9 Sergio Moraes Luan Chagas $6.15 $1.54
 
NA
#10 Ronaldo Souza Vitor Belfort $4.62 $1.71
 
$1.71
#11 Thiago Santos Nate Marquardt $3.08 $0.95
 
$0.95
#12 Patrick Cummins Rogerio Nogueira $1.54 $0.66
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $86.70 (72%)   $50.53 (42%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Leslie Smith Cristiane Justino $18.46 $240.90
 
-$18.46
#2 Bryan Barberena Warlley Alves $16.92 $81.22
 
$81.22
#3 Renato Moicano Zubaira Tukhugov $15.38 $22.30
 
$22.30
#4 Luan Chagas Sergio Moraes $13.85 $55.40
 
NA
#5 Nate Marquardt Thiago Santos $12.31 $36.93
 
-$12.31
#6 Mauricio Rua Corey Anderson $10.77 $15.08
 
$15.08
#7 Vitor Belfort Ronaldo Souza $9.23 $26.31
 
-$9.23
#8 Rogerio Nogueira Patrick Cummins $7.69 $16.92
 
$16.92
#9 Matt Brown Demian Maia $6.15 $18.14
 
-$6.15
#10 John Lineker Rob Font $4.62 $3.19
 
$3.19
#11 Stipe Miocic Fabricio Werdum $3.08 $4.62
 
$4.62
#12 Yancy Medeiros Francisco Trinaldo $1.54 $3.16
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $524.16 (437%)   $95.63 (80%)
 
 
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