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Total MMA Handicappers: 1995
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Event Predictions

UFC 196 - McGregor vs. Diaz

Las Vegas
2016-03-05 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 5
Underdog wins: 7
$10 on all favourites nets: $-41.90
$10 on all underdogs nets: $109.10

Unit Betting
Units Bet: . Profit: 0.00
Total Unit Profit:

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-17.40 (6 right, 6 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-41.90 (5 right, 7 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-39.94 (5 right, 7 wrong)
Value betting profit: $7.14 (5 right, 7 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Fair

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nate Diaz vs Conor McGregor Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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20%
   
80%
10 (13)%
 
67 (87)%
11%
 
89%
19%
 
81%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#6 Low Pick Rating
LOST
@5.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.25
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $-13.85 #6 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $-1.54

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Holly Holm vs Miesha Tate Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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72%
   
29%
69 (83)%
 
14 (17)%
87%
 
13%
71%
 
29%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #4 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.38 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.50
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $-10.77 #4 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $11.55

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ilir Latifi vs Gian Villante Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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62%
   
36%
28 (80)%
 
7 (20)%
78%
 
22%
62%
 
38%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.61 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.75
$10 Bet Profit: $6.1 #11 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $7.51 #11 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $-7.69

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Corey Anderson vs Tom Lawlor Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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72%
   
28%
31 (82)%
 
7 (18)%
78%
 
22%
69%
 
31%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.38 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.60
$10 Bet Profit: $3.8 #10 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $2.34 #10 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Amanda Nunes vs Valentina Shevchenko Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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51%
   
50%
19 (68)%
 
9 (32)%
71%
 
29%
66%
 
34%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #1
LOST
@1.95 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.00
$10 Bet Profit: $9.5 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $17.54 #1 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $16.07

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Brandon Thatch vs Siyar Bahadurzada Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
26%
41 (89)%
 
5 (11)%
88%
 
12%
83%
 
17%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #5
WON
@1.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.80
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $-15.38 #5 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $-10.77

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Erick Silva vs Nordine Taleb Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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69%
   
33%
40 (91)%
 
4 (9)%
89%
 
11%
78%
 
22%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #3
WON
@1.45 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.06
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $-16.92 #3 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Vitor Miranda vs Marcelo Guimaraes Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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73%
   
27%
20 (83)%
 
4 (17)%
80%
 
20%
64%
 
36%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #7 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.37 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.65
$10 Bet Profit: $3.7 #7 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $1.14 #7 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Darren Elkins vs Chas Skelly Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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41%
   
61%
15 (56)%
 
12 (44)%
63%
 
37%
44%
 
56%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Low #12 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@2.45 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.65
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #12 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $-4.62 #12 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $13.38

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jim Miller vs Diego Sanchez Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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60%
   
40%
30 (73)%
 
11 (27)%
74%
 
26%
58%
 
42%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #2 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.67 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.50
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $-9.23 #2 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $9.23

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Justin Salas vs Jason Saggo Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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35%
   
67%
6 (35)%
 
11 (65)%
38%
 
62%
36%
 
64%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Low #9 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@2.85 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.50
$10 Bet Profit: $5 #9 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $3.84 #9 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $-3.08

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Julian Erosa vs Teruto Ishihara Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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62%
   
38%
10 (63)%
 
6 (38)%
60%
 
40%
51%
 
49%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Very Poor #8 Moderate Anti-Pick
WON
@1.61 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.60
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $-1.54 #8 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $24.61


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Average Odds: @0.00   0 0.00 0.00   $0.00 $0.00 0.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Amanda Nunes Valentina Shevchenko $18.46 $17.54
 
$17.54
#2 Erick Silva Nordine Taleb $16.92 $7.61
 
-$16.92
#3 Brandon Thatch Siyar Bahadurzada $15.38 $5.08
 
-$15.38
#4 Conor McGregor Nate Diaz $13.85 $3.46
 
-$13.85
#5 Ilir Latifi Gian Villante $12.31 $7.51
 
$7.51
#6 Holly Holm Miesha Tate $10.77 $4.09
 
-$10.77
#7 Jim Miller Diego Sanchez $9.23 $6.18
 
-$9.23
#8 Jason Saggo Justin Salas $7.69 $3.84
 
$3.84
#9 Corey Anderson Tom Lawlor $6.15 $2.34
 
$2.34
#10 Chas Skelly Darren Elkins $4.62 $3.00
 
-$4.62
#11 Vitor Miranda Marcelo Guimaraes $3.08 $1.14
 
$1.14
#12 Julian Erosa Teruto Ishihara $1.54 $0.94
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $62.74 (52%)   $-39.94 (-33%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Marcelo Guimaraes Vitor Miranda $18.46 $48.92
 
-$18.46
#2 Amanda Nunes Valentina Shevchenko $16.92 $16.07
 
$16.07
#3 Teruto Ishihara Julian Erosa $15.38 $24.61
 
$24.61
#4 Erick Silva Nordine Taleb $13.85 $6.23
 
-$13.85
#5 Tom Lawlor Corey Anderson $12.31 $32.01
 
-$12.31
#6 Brandon Thatch Siyar Bahadurzada $10.77 $3.55
 
-$10.77
#7 Darren Elkins Chas Skelly $9.23 $13.38
 
$13.38
#8 Gian Villante Ilir Latifi $7.69 $13.46
 
-$7.69
#9 Diego Sanchez Jim Miller $6.15 $9.23
 
$9.23
#10 Miesha Tate Holly Holm $4.62 $11.55
 
$11.55
#11 Justin Salas Jason Saggo $3.08 $5.70
 
-$3.08
#12 Conor McGregor Nate Diaz $1.54 $0.39
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $185.09 (154%)   $7.14 (6%)
 
 
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