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Event Predictions

UFC 182 - Jones vs. Cormier

Las Vegas, Nevada
2015-01-03 20:00:00

Favourite wins: 7
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $-11.80
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-4.40

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 0.5. Profit: 0.29
Total Unit Profit: 0.29

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $15.20 (8 right, 3 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $0.50 (7 right, 4 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $13.22 (7 right, 4 wrong)
Value betting profit: $1.44 (6 right, 5 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Fair
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jon Jones vs Daniel Cormier Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
40%
67 (64)%
 
38 (36)%
64%
 
36%
63%
 
37%
WON
Pick Rating Low #4
LOST
@1.64 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Jon Jones: Returned 0.16 Units   @2.50
$10 Bet Profit: $6.4 #4 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $6.4 #7 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $2.13

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Donald Cerrone vs Myles Jury Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
37%
83 (86)%
 
13 (14)%
89%
 
11%
68%
 
32%
WON
Pick Rating Low #9
LOST
@1.54 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Donald Cerrone: Returned 0.14 Units   @2.70
$10 Bet Profit: $5.4 #9 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $7.2 #9 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $3.6

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nate Marquardt vs Brad Tavares Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
45%
58 (67)%
 
28 (33)%
71%
 
29%
54%
 
46%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #3 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.79 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @2.22
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $-8.33 #6 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $2.04

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Kyoji Horiguchi vs Louis Gaudinot Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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86%
   
15%
47 (69)%
 
21 (31)%
67%
 
33%
82%
 
18%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.16 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @6.67
$10 Bet Profit: $1.6 #11 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $1.07 #2 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $-8.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Hector Lombard vs Josh Burkman Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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87%
   
14%
86 (91)%
 
9 (9)%
93%
 
7%
75%
 
25%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #6 Very Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.15 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @7.14
$10 Bet Profit: $1.5 #6 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $0.5 #10 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $-16.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Danny Castillo vs Paul Felder Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
34%
30 (81)%
 
7 (19)%
81%
 
19%
57%
 
43%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Very Poor #10 Moderate Anti-Pick
WON
@1.47 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.94
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $-1.67 #5 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $22.64

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Marcus Brimage vs Cody Garbrandt Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
37%
41 (69)%
 
18 (31)%
74%
 
26%
79%
 
21%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #5
WON
@1.56 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.70
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $-15 #8 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $-10

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Shawn Jordan vs Jared Cannonier Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
33%
45 (73)%
 
17 (27)%
73%
 
27%
50%
 
50%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#7 Good+ Pick Rating
LOST
@1.47 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.03
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $-16.67 #11 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $-15

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Evan Dunham vs Rodrigo Damm Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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82%
   
18%
48 (76)%
 
15 (24)%
79%
 
21%
76%
 
24%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #8 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.22 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @5.56
$10 Bet Profit: $2.2 #8 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $1.1 #4 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $-13.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Omari Akhmedov vs Mats Nilsson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
40%
33 (66)%
 
17 (34)%
65%
 
35%
63%
 
37%
WON
Pick Rating Low #2
LOST
@1.64 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.50
$10 Bet Profit: $6.4 #2 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $7.47 #3 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $3.2

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alexis Dufresne vs Marion Reneau Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
37%
11 (42)%
 
15 (58)%
45%
 
55%
24%
 
76%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#1 Fantastic Pick Rating
WON
@1.56 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.70
$10 Bet Profit: $17 #1 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $31.16 #1 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $31.16


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Jon Jones vs Daniel Cormier (@1.64) 63%   0.25   0.16   0.16   $0.00   $0.00 64%
Bet on Donald Cerrone vs Myles Jury (@1.54) 68%   0.25   0.13   0.14   $0.00   $0.00 54%
Average Odds: @1.59   0.5 0.29 0.30   $0.00 $0.00 59.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Marion Reneau Alexis Dufresne $18.33 $31.16
 
$31.16
#2 Jared Cannonier Shawn Jordan $16.67 $33.84
 
-$16.67
#3 Marcus Brimage Cody Garbrandt $15.00 $8.40
 
-$15.00
#4 Donald Cerrone Myles Jury $13.33 $7.20
 
$7.20
#5 Omari Akhmedov Mats Nilsson $11.67 $7.47
 
$7.47
#6 Jon Jones Daniel Cormier $10.00 $6.40
 
$6.40
#7 Nate Marquardt Brad Tavares $8.33 $6.58
 
-$8.33
#8 Kyoji Horiguchi Louis Gaudinot $6.67 $1.07
 
$1.07
#9 Evan Dunham Rodrigo Damm $5.00 $1.10
 
$1.10
#10 Hector Lombard Josh Burkman $3.33 $0.50
 
$0.50
#11 Danny Castillo Paul Felder $1.67 $0.78
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $104.50 (95%)   $13.22 (12%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Marion Reneau Alexis Dufresne $18.33 $31.16
 
$31.16
#2 Josh Burkman Hector Lombard $16.67 $102.35
 
-$16.67
#3 Jared Cannonier Shawn Jordan $15.00 $30.45
 
-$15.00
#4 Rodrigo Damm Evan Dunham $13.33 $60.78
 
-$13.33
#5 Paul Felder Danny Castillo $11.67 $22.64
 
$22.64
#6 Marcus Brimage Cody Garbrandt $10.00 $5.60
 
-$10.00
#7 Louis Gaudinot Kyoji Horiguchi $8.33 $47.23
 
-$8.33
#8 Donald Cerrone Myles Jury $6.67 $3.60
 
$3.60
#9 Omari Akhmedov Mats Nilsson $5.00 $3.20
 
$3.20
#10 Jon Jones Daniel Cormier $3.33 $2.13
 
$2.13
#11 Brad Tavares Nate Marquardt $1.67 $2.04
 
$2.04
      $110.00 $311.19 (283%)   $1.44 (1%)
 
 
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