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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night 82 - Hendricks vs. Thompson

Las Vegas
2016-02-06 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 6
Underdog wins: 6
$10 on all favourites nets: $-37.30
$10 on all underdogs nets: $50.80

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 7.25. Profit: 16.97
Total Unit Profit: 16.97

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-6.80 (7 right, 4 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $18.60 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $54.34 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Value betting profit: $52.31 (6 right, 6 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Johny Hendricks vs Stephen Thompson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
30%
60 (79)%
 
16 (21)%
82%
 
18%
48%
 
52%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#9 Very Good Pick Rating
WON
@1.42 Suggested Bet: 7.25 units on Stephen Thompson: Returned 16.97 Units   @3.34
$10 Bet Profit: $23.4 #9 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $43.2 #12 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $35.99

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Roy Nelson vs Jared Rosholt Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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60%
   
41%
48 (68)%
 
23 (32)%
69%
 
31%
73%
 
27%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #5
LOST
@1.67 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.45
$10 Bet Profit: $6.7 #5 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $11.34 #7 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $7.22

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ovince St Preux vs Rafael Cavalcante Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
25%
43 (81)%
 
10 (19)%
84%
 
16%
62%
 
38%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #10 Good+ Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.05
$10 Bet Profit: $3.3 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $1.52 #11 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joseph Benavidez vs Zach Makovsky Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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81%
   
21%
41 (93)%
 
3 (7)%
94%
 
6%
75%
 
25%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #8 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.24 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.69
$10 Bet Profit: $2.4 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $1.85 #10 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $-7.69

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Misha Cirkunov vs Alex Nicholson Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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88%
   
12%
14 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
71%
 
29%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #7 Fantastic Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.14 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @8.26
$10 Bet Profit: $1.4 #7 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $0.43 #9 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mike Pyle vs Sean Spencer Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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44%
   
56%
14 (52)%
 
13 (48)%
52%
 
48%
53%
 
47%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #2
LOST
@2.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.77
$10 Bet Profit: $12.5 #2 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $19.23 #2 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $11.54

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Josh Burkman vs K.J. Noons Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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60%
   
41%
22 (59)%
 
15 (41)%
60%
 
40%
63%
 
37%
WON
Pick Rating Low #4
LOST
@1.67 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.45
$10 Bet Profit: $6.7 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $9.28 #5 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $4.12

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Derrick Lewis vs Damian Grabowski Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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49%
   
52%
7 (64)%
 
4 (36)%
68%
 
32%
46%
 
54%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#3 Low Pick Rating
LOST
@2.05 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.91
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $-10.77 #3 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $-3.08

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ray Borg vs Justin Scoggins Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
31%
11 (58)%
 
8 (42)%
57%
 
43%
71%
 
29%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #1
WON
@1.47 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.19
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $-12.31 #1 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $-4.62

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Noad Lahat vs Diego Rivas Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
25%
13 (57)%
 
10 (43)%
60%
 
40%
50%
 
50%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Very Poor #11 Fantastic Anti-Pick
WON
@1.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.05
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #11 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $-1.54 #6 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $51.61

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mickey Gall vs Mike Jackson Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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82%
   
19%
7 (64)%
 
4 (36)%
76%
 
24%
74%
 
26%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #12 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.22 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @5.35
$10 Bet Profit: $2.2 #12 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $1.35 #4 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alex White vs Artem Lobov Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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45%
   
56%
8 (33)%
 
16 (67)%
33%
 
67%
46%
 
54%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Low #6 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@2.20 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.80
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $-9.23 #8 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $1.85


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Stephen Thompson vs Johny Hendricks (@3.34) 52%   7.25   16.97   16.97   $0.00   $0.00 234%
Average Odds: @3.34   7.25 16.97 16.97   $0.00 $0.00 234.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Stephen Thompson Johny Hendricks $18.46 $43.20
 
$43.20
#2 Roy Nelson Jared Rosholt $16.92 $11.34
 
$11.34
#3 Mike Pyle Sean Spencer $15.38 $19.23
 
$19.23
#4 Josh Burkman K.J. Noons $13.85 $9.28
 
$9.28
#5 Ray Borg Justin Scoggins $12.31 $5.79
 
-$12.31
#6 Damian Grabowski Derrick Lewis $10.77 $9.80
 
-$10.77
#7 Artem Lobov Alex White $9.23 $7.38
 
-$9.23
#8 Joseph Benavidez Zach Makovsky $7.69 $1.85
 
$1.85
#9 Mickey Gall Mike Jackson $6.15 $1.35
 
$1.35
#10 Ovince St Preux Rafael Cavalcante $4.62 $1.52
 
$1.52
#11 Misha Cirkunov Alex Nicholson $3.08 $0.43
 
$0.43
#12 Noad Lahat Diego Rivas $1.54 $0.51
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $111.67 (93%)   $54.34 (45%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Alex Nicholson Misha Cirkunov $18.46 $134.02
 
-$18.46
#2 Diego Rivas Noad Lahat $16.92 $51.61
 
$51.61
#3 Stephen Thompson Johny Hendricks $15.38 $35.99
 
$35.99
#4 Rafael Cavalcante Ovince St Preux $13.85 $42.24
 
-$13.85
#5 Mike Jackson Mickey Gall $12.31 $53.55
 
-$12.31
#6 Roy Nelson Jared Rosholt $10.77 $7.22
 
$7.22
#7 Mike Pyle Sean Spencer $9.23 $11.54
 
$11.54
#8 Zach Makovsky Joseph Benavidez $7.69 $28.38
 
-$7.69
#9 Josh Burkman K.J. Noons $6.15 $4.12
 
$4.12
#10 Ray Borg Justin Scoggins $4.62 $2.17
 
-$4.62
#11 Damian Grabowski Derrick Lewis $3.08 $2.80
 
-$3.08
#12 Alex White Artem Lobov $1.54 $1.85
 
$1.85
      $120.00 $375.48 (313%)   $52.31 (44%)
 
 
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