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MMA Handicapper Profile: Dumbo with a SYSTEM

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Dumbo with a SYSTEM (dumbo-system)


MMA MHandicapper - Dumbo with a SYSTEM

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 830 (62%) Right 830 (62%) Right 0 (nan%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 511 (38%) Wrong 511 (38%) Wrong 0 (nan%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 1.67 Avg Odds 1.67 Avg Odds nan Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 6,686.0 Units Bet 6,686.0 Units Bet 0.0 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 4.99 Avg Bet 4.99 Avg Bet nan Avg Bet nan
Units Profit 147.80 Units Profit 147.80 Units Profit 0.00 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 2% ROI % 2% ROI % nan% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 612 (46%) 492 80 % 3,066.00 118.13 0.19 4%
Slight Favorites 311 (23%) 184 59 % 1,538.01 7.87 0.03 1%
Slight Underdogs 246 (18%) 105 43 % 1,226.00 1.19 0.00 0%
Big Underdogs 172 (13%) 49 28 % 856.00 20.61 0.12 2%
 

Progress Chart

Chart

 

Click here to view breakdown of straight picks

Dumbo with a SYSTEM's MMA Handicapper Bio

I'm a professional statistician, and also a BJJ/TaeKwonDo black belt and amateur MMA coach on the side.

Fighting in general has been a lifelong passion of mine, so I created a system and decided to use my professional talent stack and see if I could predict the result of MMA fights based on publicly available information you can get from the internet. The result is the DUMBOSYSTEM. I'll post here the predictions it generates before any MMA event.

The DUMBOSYSTEM has won 77% of the time over the last 3 years, betting on both favorites and underdogs. It has maintained a consistent 20+ % ROI over time.

Every bet must be placed using the same dollar amount.

Cheers guys.

----------------------

IMPORTANT: The system was tested extensively and is consistently profitable, but

I CAN ONLY EXPECT PROFITS IN THE LONG TERM and ALL BETS MUST BE PLACED USING THE SAME DOLLAR AMOUNT.

If those 2 rules are not followed, I can't tell what results to expect. It's possible to have an event were the final result is not profitable, but the more bets are placed the more probable it is that the DUMBOSYSTEM will return to it's mean expected result, i.e. PROFIT.

The basic idea is: when the strategy loses, it loses small amounts of money. But when it wins, it generally wins BIG.

--------------------------
edit 2022-10-20: I had to make some adjustments to the system, and now we're back to business. 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Dumbo with a SYSTEM

This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights.

Dumbo with a SYSTEM's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida, Sao Paulo, 4th Nov '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jailton Junior Derrick Lewis W 1.21 5 1.03 $10.31 21% Bet Info
Gabriel Bonfim Nicolas Dalby L 1.17 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Caio Borralho Abusupiyan Magomedov W 1.35 5 1.75 $17.54 35% Bet Info
Elves Brenner Kaynan Kruschewsky W 1.68 5 3.38 $33.78 68% Bet Info Bet Info
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Rinat Fakhretdinov D 3.85 5 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Vitor Petrino Modestas Bukauskas W 1.45 5 2.27 $22.73 45% Bet Info
Denise Gomes Angela Hill L 1.77 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Eduarda Moura Montserrat Ruiz W 1.18 5 0.91 $9.09 18% Bet Info
Kaue Fernandes Marc Diakiese L 2.61 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.56 45.00 -5.65 $-56.54 -13%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   45.00 -5.65 $-56.54 -13%  

Oktagon 48, Manchester, 4th Nov '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Aaron Aby Elias Garcia L 1.72 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Scott Askham Marc Doussis W 1.50 5 2.50 $25.00 50% Bet Info
Ion Sordu Alex Lohore W 1.72 5 3.62 $36.23 72% Bet Info
Shoaib Yousaf Konmon Deh W 1.29 5 1.43 $14.29 29% Bet Info
Zdenek Polivka Lee Chadwick W 2.55 5 7.75 $77.50 155% Bet Info Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.67 25.00 10.30 $103.02 41%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   25.00 10.30 $103.02 41%  

One Fight Night 16, Bangkok, 3rd Nov '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Halil Amir Ahmed Mujtaba W 1.12 5 0.59 $5.88 12% Bet Info
Bo Meng Ayaka Miura L 1.36 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Jeremy Miado Lito Adiwang L 1.69 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.35 15.00 -9.41 $-94.12 -63%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 -9.41 $-94.12 -63%  

LFA 171, São Paulo, 3rd Nov '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Eduardo Neves Hugo Cunha L 2.20 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info Bet Info
Marcio Barbosa Gian Sarturi W 1.20 5 1.00 $10.00 20% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.55 10.00 -4.00 $-40.00 -40%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 -4.00 $-40.00 -40%  

ACA 165, St. Petersburg, 3rd Nov '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Mehdi Dakaev Herdeson Batista L 1.30 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Yusuf Raisov Alexander Matmuratov W 1.39 5 1.96 $19.61 39% Bet Info
Denis Smoldarev Tony Johnson L 2.40 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Lincoln Puig Andrey Koshkin L 6.50 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Ivan Bogdanov Stanislav Vlasenko L 2.55 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Chersi Dudaev Elias Silverio W 1.20 5 1.00 $10.00 20% Bet Info
Evgeny Erokhin Gadzhimurad Antigulov W 1.74 5 3.70 $37.04 74% Bet Info
Yusup Umarov Ali Mashrapov W 1.25 5 1.23 $12.35 25% Bet Info
Renat Ondar Bakhytbek Duyshobay Uulu W 1.20 5 0.99 $9.90 20% Bet Info
Vladimir Vasilyev Cleber Sousa W 1.17 5 0.83 $8.33 17% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.57 50.00 -10.28 $-102.78 -21%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   50.00 -10.28 $-102.78 -21%  

Cage Warriors 162, Rome, 28th Oct '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Dumitru Girlean Simone Patrizi W 1.56 5 2.78 $27.78 56% Bet Info
Alberth Dias Simone D'Anna L 1.45 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Tanio Pagliariccio Sam Creasey L 3.20 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.82 15.00 -7.22 $-72.22 -48%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 -7.22 $-72.22 -48%  

LFA 170, Vail, Colorado, 28th Oct '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Myktybek Orolbai Hayward Charles W 1.08 5 0.38 $3.85 8% Bet Info
Caio Machado Ilyor Bakhtiyar Uulu W 2.70 5 8.50 $85.00 170% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.54 10.00 8.88 $88.85 89%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 8.88 $88.85 89%  

Invicta FC 54, Boston, Massachusetts, 27th Oct '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Karolina Wojcik Danni McCormack L 2.40 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Dee Begley Kristina Williams L 2.40 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.40 10.00 -10.00 $-100.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 -10.00 $-100.00 -100%  

Fury Challenger Series 8, Houston, Texas, 22nd Oct '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
John Yannis Eduardo Alvarado Osuna W 1.57 5 2.86 $28.57 57% Bet Info
Shane Torres Carlos Jimenez W 1.31 5 1.54 $15.38 31% Bet Info
Gerardo Graniel Luis Gurule L 3.50 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.78 15.00 -0.60 $-6.04 -4%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 -0.60 $-6.04 -4%  

UFC 294, Abu Dhabi, 21st Oct '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Alex Volkanovski Islam Makhachev L 3.20 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Khamzat Chimaev Kamaru Usman W 1.33 5 1.67 $16.67 33% Bet Info
Magomed Ankalaev Johnny Walker NC 1.30 5 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Ikram Aliskerov Warlley Alves W 1.17 5 0.87 $8.70 17% Bet Info
Muin Gafurov Said Nurmagomedov L 3.07 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Muhammad Mokaev Tim Elliott W 1.25 5 1.27 $12.66 25% Bet Info
Mohammad Yahya Trevor Peek L 2.50 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Javid Basharat Victor Henry NC 1.19 5 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Sedriques Dumas Abu Azaitar W 1.42 5 2.08 $20.83 42% Bet Info
Anshul Jubli Mike Breeden L 1.38 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Nathaniel Wood Muhammadjon Naimov L 1.33 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Viktoriya Dudakova Jinh Yu Frey W 1.20 5 1.00 $10.00 20% Bet Info
Sharabutdin Magomedov Bruno Silva W 1.36 5 1.79 $17.86 36% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.48 65.00 -16.33 $-163.29 -25%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   65.00 -16.33 $-163.29 -25%  

Octagon 51, Almaty, 21st Oct '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Erasyl Shukataev Varsham Gevorgyan W 1.33 5 1.67 $16.67 33% Bet Info
Shokhasan Mirzamatov Neilson Gomes W 1.25 5 1.25 $12.50 25% Bet Info
Kerim Daudov Rafael Celestino W 1.20 5 1.00 $10.00 20% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.26 15.00 3.92 $39.17 26%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 3.92 $39.17 26%  

BFL 78, Vancouver, British Columbia, 19th Oct '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Dario Sinagoga Ashton Charlton W 2.95 5 9.75 $97.50 195% Bet Info
Ali Wasuk Josh Kwiatkowski W 1.37 5 1.84 $18.38 37% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.87 10.00 11.59 $115.88 116%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 11.59 $115.88 116%  

UAE Warriors 45, Abu Dhabi, 17th Oct '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Genil Francisco Rany Saadeh L 3.10 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Renat Khavalov Hikaru Yoshino W 1.12 5 0.59 $5.88 12% Bet Info
Razhabali Shaydullaev Magomed Al-Abdullah W 1.50 5 2.50 $25.00 50% Bet Info
Adis Taalaybek uulu Khabib Nabiev L 6.00 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.95 20.00 -6.91 $-69.12 -35%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   20.00 -6.91 $-69.12 -35%  

UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza, Las Vegas, Nevada, 14th Oct '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Edson Barboza Sodiq Yusuff W 2.55 5 7.75 $77.50 155% Bet Info Bet Info
Jennifer Maia Viviane Araujo L 1.69 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Michel Pereira Andre Petroski W 1.53 5 2.63 $26.32 53% Bet Info
Christian Rodriguez Cameron Saaiman W 1.74 5 3.70 $37.04 74% Bet Info Bet Info
T.J. Brown Darren Elkins L 1.56 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Ravena Oliveira Tainara Lisboa L 3.85 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Terrance McKinney Brendon Marotte W 1.22 5 1.11 $11.11 22% Bet Info
Chris Gutierrez Heili Alateng W 1.38 5 1.90 $19.01 38% Bet Info
Emily Ducote Ashley Yoder W 1.27 5 1.33 $13.33 27% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.65 45.00 3.43 $34.31 8%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   45.00 3.43 $34.31 8%  

Cage Warriors 161, Dublin, 14th Oct '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Paul Hughes Jan Quaeyhaegens W 1.22 5 1.11 $11.11 22% Bet Info
Mason Jones Yann Liasse W 1.20 5 1.00 $10.00 20% Bet Info
Ryan Shelley Jordy Bakkes L 1.58 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
James Sheehan Olli Santalahti W 1.36 5 1.82 $18.18 36% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.33 20.00 -1.07 $-10.71 -5%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   20.00 -1.07 $-10.71 -5%  

KSW 87, Třinec, 14th Oct '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Darko Stosic Michal Martinek W 1.41 5 2.04 $20.41 41% Bet Info
Leo Brichta Roman Szymanski W 2.07 5 5.35 $53.50 107% Bet Info
Oleksii Polischuck Filip Macek W 1.70 5 3.50 $35.00 70% Bet Info
Ivan Erslan Rafal Haratyk L 1.57 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.65 20.00 5.89 $58.91 29%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   20.00 5.89 $58.91 29%  

CFFC 126, Tampa, Florida, 13th Oct '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Cedric Gunnison Julio Cesar Chaves W 1.30 5 1.50 $15.02 30% Bet Info
Jesus Hernandez Brandon Lopez L 3.50 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.90 10.00 -3.50 $-34.98 -35%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 -3.50 $-34.98 -35%  

Contender Series 2023: Week 10, Las Vegas, Nevada, 10th Oct '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Ramon Taveras Cortavious Romious W 3.00 5 10.00 $100.00 200% Bet Info
Jair Farias Connor Matthews L 1.59 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Yuri Panferov Torrez Finney L 2.85 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Issa Isakov Marquel Mederos L 1.63 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Lucas Rocha Davi Costa W 2.15 5 5.75 $57.50 115% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.09 25.00 0.75 $7.50 3%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   25.00 0.75 $7.50 3%  

Bellator 300, San Diego, California, 7th Oct '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Usman Nurmagomedov Brent Primus W 1.08 5 0.38 $3.85 8% Bet Info
Cristiane Justino Cat Zingano W 1.18 5 0.91 $9.09 18% Bet Info
Ilima-Lei Macfarlane Liz Carmouche L 3.35 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Leah McCourt Sara McMann W 2.50 5 7.50 $75.00 150% Bet Info
Kai Kamaka Henry Corrales W 1.60 5 3.00 $30.00 60% Bet Info
Maciej Rozanski Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov L 3.15 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Grant Neal Romero Cotton W 1.55 5 2.75 $27.50 55% Bet Info
Mukhamed Berkhamov Herman Terrado W 1.25 5 1.25 $12.50 25% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.65 40.00 5.79 $57.94 14%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   40.00 5.79 $57.94 14%  

UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green, Las Vegas, Nevada, 7th Oct '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Grant Dawson Bobby Green L 1.25 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Joe Pyfer Abdul Razak Alhassan W 1.29 5 1.47 $14.71 29% Bet Info
Drew Dober Rick Glenn W 1.26 5 1.28 $12.82 26% Bet Info
Diana Belbita Karolina Kowalkiewicz L 2.35 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Kanako Murata Vanessa Demopoulos L 1.33 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Montana De La Rosa J.J. Aldrich L 1.71 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.45 30.00 -17.25 $-172.47 -57%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   30.00 -17.25 $-172.47 -57%  



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