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MMA Handicapper Profile: Dumbo with a SYSTEM

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Dumbo with a SYSTEM (dumbo-system)


MMA MHandicapper - Dumbo with a SYSTEM

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 466 (63%) Right 466 (63%) Right 0 (nan%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 275 (37%) Wrong 275 (37%) Wrong 0 (nan%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 1.67 Avg Odds 1.67 Avg Odds nan Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 8,066.0 Units Bet 8,066.0 Units Bet 0.0 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 10.89 Warning - Reckless Betting! Avg Bet 10.89 Warning - Reckless Betting! Avg Bet nan Avg Bet nan
Units Profit 369.59 Units Profit 369.59 Units Profit 0.00 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 5% ROI % 5% ROI % nan% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 338 (46%) 272 80 % 3,694.00 149.44 0.44 4%
Slight Favorites 179 (24%) 105 59 % 1,928.01 0.73 0.00 0%
Slight Underdogs 129 (17%) 60 47 % 1,409.00 121.59 0.94 9%
Big Underdogs 95 (13%) 29 31 % 1,035.00 97.83 1.03 9%
 

Progress Chart

Chart

 

Click here to view breakdown of straight picks

Dumbo with a SYSTEM's MMA Handicapper Bio

I'm a professional statistician, and also a BJJ/TaeKwonDo black belt and amateur MMA coach on the side.

Fighting in general has been a lifelong passion of mine, so I created a system and decided to use my professional talent stack and see if I could predict the result of MMA fights based on publicly available information you can get from the internet. The result is the DUMBOSYSTEM. I'll post here the predictions it generates before any MMA event.

The DUMBOSYSTEM has won 77% of the time over the last 3 years, betting on both favorites and underdogs. It has maintained a consistent 20+ % ROI over time.

Every bet must be placed using the same dollar amount.

Cheers guys.

----------------------

IMPORTANT: The system was tested extensively and is consistently profitable, but

I CAN ONLY EXPECT PROFITS IN THE LONG TERM and ALL BETS MUST BE PLACED USING THE SAME DOLLAR AMOUNT.

If those 2 rules are not followed, I can't tell what results to expect. It's possible to have an event were the final result is not profitable, but the more bets are placed the more probable it is that the DUMBOSYSTEM will return to it's mean expected result, i.e. PROFIT.

The basic idea is: when the strategy loses, it loses small amounts of money. But when it wins, it generally wins BIG.

--------------------------
edit 2022-10-20: I had to make some adjustments to the system, and now we're back to business. 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Dumbo with a SYSTEM

This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights.

Dumbo with a SYSTEM's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi, Las Vegas, Nevada, 3rd Jun '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Amir Albazi Kai Kara-France W 1.95 11 10.45 $104.50 95% Bet Info
Alex Caceres Daniel Pineda W 1.65 11 7.15 $71.50 65% Bet Info
Karine Silva Ketlen Souza W 1.54 11 5.94 $59.40 54% Bet Info
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Abubakar Nurmagomedov W 1.95 11 10.45 $104.50 95% Bet Info
Andrei Arlovski Don'tale Mayes L 2.10 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
John Castaneda Muin Gafurov W 1.65 11 7.15 $71.50 65% Bet Info
Elise Reed Jinh Yu Frey W 1.84 11 9.24 $92.40 84% Bet Info
Philipe Lins Maxim Grishin W 2.32 11 14.52 $145.20 132% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.84 88.00 53.90 $539.00 61%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   88.00 53.90 $539.00 61%  

KSW 83, Warsaw, 3rd Jun '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Scott Askham Mamed Khalidov L 2.36 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Mariusz Pudzianowski Artur Szpilka L 1.44 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Pawel Pawlak Tomasz Romanowski W 2.20 11 13.20 $132.00 120% Bet Info
Michal Materla Radoslaw Paczuski W 3.09 11 22.99 $229.91 209% Bet Info
Roman Szymanski Valeriu Mircea L 1.46 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Adam Soldaev Daniel Rutkowski L 2.45 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.01 66.00 -7.81 $-78.10 -12%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   66.00 -7.81 $-78.10 -12%  

Cage Warriors 155, San Diego, 2nd Jun '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Kyle Driscoll James Lynch W 1.38 11 4.18 $41.80 38% Bet Info
Elijah Harris Chris Lewis L 1.85 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Damon Wilson John deJesus L 2.50 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Connor Wilson David Lòpez L 1.80 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Jovidon Khojaev Sunni Imhotep L 2.20 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Frans Lincol Sormin James Settle L 1.61 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Roberto Hernandez Moses Diaz W 1.69 11 7.59 $75.90 69% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.80 77.00 -43.23 $-432.30 -56%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   77.00 -43.23 $-432.30 -56%  

ACA 158, Saint Petersburg, 2nd Jun '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Oleg Olenichev Mikhail Mokhnatkin L 1.85 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Ivan Bogdanov Cleber Sousa W 1.39 11 4.29 $42.90 39% Bet Info
Aren Akopyan Ryskulbek Ibraimov W 1.39 11 4.29 $42.90 39% Bet Info
Murad Kalamov Charles Henrique W 3.10 11 23.10 $231.00 210% Bet Info
Kairat Nurbay uulu Mansur Khatuev L 3.18 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Artem Semyonov Zukhriddin Gafurov W 1.14 11 1.57 $15.71 14% Bet Info
Oyatullo Muminov Andrey Kalechits W 1.35 11 3.85 $38.50 35% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.65 77.00 15.10 $151.02 20%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   77.00 15.10 $151.02 20%  

Road to UFC: Shanghai Episode 3 & 4, Shanghai, 28th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Shin Haraguchi Windri Patilima W 1.23 11 2.53 $25.30 23% Bet Info
Sim Kai Xiong Peter Danesoe L 1.30 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Zhu Rong Sung Chan Hong W 1.19 11 2.09 $20.90 19% Bet Info
Shuya Kamikubo Baergeng Jieleyisi W 1.30 11 3.30 $33.00 30% Bet Info
Kazuma Maruyama Sang Uk Kim L 3.10 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Shohei Nose Long Xiao L 1.75 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Chris Hofmann Sang Hoon Yoo L 1.75 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.50 77.00 -36.08 $-360.80 -47%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   77.00 -36.08 $-360.80 -47%  

LFA 159, São Paulo, 27th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Rodolfo Bellato Acacio dos Santos W 1.52 11 5.72 $57.20 52% Bet Info
Junior Luiz Anderson Ferreira L 2.31 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info Bet Info
Lucas Rocha Matheus da Silva W 1.83 11 9.17 $91.67 83% Bet Info Bet Info
Vinicius Pires Kaua Fernandes W 3.36 11 25.96 $259.60 236% Bet Info Bet Info
Geraldo Neto Argemiro Delmandes W 1.32 11 3.49 $34.92 32% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.86 55.00 33.34 $333.39 61%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   55.00 33.34 $333.39 61%  

Road to UFC: Shanghai Episode 1 & 2, Shanghai, 27th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Kaiwen Li Kai Lu W 1.53 11 5.83 $58.30 53% Bet Info
Seung Guk Choi Sumit Kumar W 1.26 11 2.86 $28.60 26% Bet Info
Kouya Kanda Yibugele W 1.52 11 5.72 $57.20 52% Bet Info
Billy Pasulatan Jiniushiyue L 2.47 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Han Seul Kim Taiyilake Nueraji L 2.10 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Keisuke Sasu Sang Won Kim L 1.38 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Jung Hyun Lee Mark Climaco L 3.50 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Zha Yi Wuziazibieke Jiahefu W 1.16 11 1.76 $17.60 16% Bet Info
Rei Tsuruya Ronal Siahaan W 1.10 11 1.10 $11.00 10% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.56 99.00 -26.73 $-267.30 -27%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   99.00 -26.73 $-267.30 -27%  

UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern, Las Vegas, Nevada, 20th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Edmen Shahbazyan Anthony Hernandez L 3.40 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Michael Johnson Carlos Diego Ferreira L 2.39 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Chase Hooper Nick Fiore W 2.42 11 15.62 $156.20 142% Bet Info Bet Info
Natalia Cristina da Silva Victoria Leonardo W 1.16 11 1.76 $17.60 16% Bet Info
Takashi Sato Themba Gorimbo L 1.95 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.00 55.00 -15.62 $-156.20 -28%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   55.00 -15.62 $-156.20 -28%  

Oktagon 43, Prague, 20th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Karlos Vemola Patrik Kincl L 1.95 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Louis Glismann Melvin van Suijdam W 1.20 11 2.20 $22.00 20% Bet Info
Mateusz Legierski Matej Kuznik W 1.31 11 3.41 $34.10 31% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.42 33.00 -5.39 $-53.90 -16%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   33.00 -5.39 $-53.90 -16%  

Fame MMA 18, Lodz, 20th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Amadeusz Roslik Kacper Blonski W 1.47 11 5.17 $51.70 47% Bet Info
Maksymilian Wiewiorka Arkadiusz Tancula W 1.02 11 0.22 $2.23 2% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.20 22.00 5.39 $53.93 25%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   22.00 5.39 $53.93 25%  

UAE Warriors 42, Abu Dhabi, 20th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Amir Fazli Juscelino Ferreira W 1.70 11 7.70 $77.00 70% Bet Info
Renan Oliveira Amru Magomedov L 3.85 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info Bet Info
Alex da Silva Ali Mashrapov W 1.23 11 2.53 $25.30 23% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.81 33.00 -0.77 $-7.70 -2%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   33.00 -0.77 $-7.70 -2%  

LFA 158, Arizona, 20th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
An Ho Edwin De Los Santos W 1.26 11 2.86 $28.60 26% Bet Info
Braden Pagaoa Humberto Duarte W 1.27 11 2.97 $29.70 27% Bet Info Bet Info
Austin Wourms Cedric Katambwa NC 4.09 11 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Ivan Tena Riley Wiseman W 1.18 11 1.98 $19.80 18% Bet Info
Eric McConico Kevem Felipe W 1.95 11 10.45 $104.50 95% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.57 55.00 18.26 $182.60 33%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   55.00 18.26 $182.60 33%  

ACA 157, Kazan, Tatarstan, 19th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Shamil Abdulaev Artem Frolov W 1.62 11 6.82 $68.20 62% Bet Info
Evgeny Erokhin Artur Astakhov W 1.75 11 8.25 $82.50 75% Bet Info
Denis Smoldarev Matunga Djikasa W 1.30 11 3.30 $33.00 30% Bet Info
Sergey Kalinin Vladislav Yankovskiy W 2.59 11 17.49 $174.90 159% Bet Info
Sergey Yakovlev Otabek Toxirov L 1.74 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Renat Ondar Rodrigo Praia W 1.47 11 5.17 $51.70 47% Bet Info
Umidjon Musaev Tamerlan Kumaev L 4.65 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.84 77.00 19.03 $190.30 25%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   77.00 19.03 $190.30 25%  

UAE Warriors 41, Abu Dhabi, 19th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Ahmed Sami Mohamad Osseili W 1.73 11 8.03 $80.30 73% Bet Info
Jalal Al Daaja Mahmoud Mando W 1.19 11 2.09 $20.90 19% Bet Info
Omar Khaled Ilias Bulaid L 6.65 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.91 33.00 -0.88 $-8.80 -3%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   33.00 -0.88 $-8.80 -3%  

KSW 82, Warsaw, 13th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Sebastian Przybysz Filip Macek W 1.33 11 3.63 $36.30 33% Bet Info
Bogdan Gnidko Rafal Kijanczuk W 1.47 11 5.12 $51.16 47% Bet Info
Raul Tutarauli Donovan Desmae W 1.53 11 5.83 $58.30 53% Bet Info
Aleksandra Toncheva Anita Bekus L 1.70 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Wilson Varela Gracjan Szadzinski W 2.60 11 17.60 $176.00 160% Bet Info
Wiktor Zalewski Robert Maciejowski W 2.35 11 14.85 $148.50 135% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.72 66.00 36.03 $360.26 55%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   66.00 36.03 $360.26 55%  

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida, Charlotte, North Carolina, 13th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Anthony Smith Johnny Walker L 2.15 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info Bet Info
Ian Garry Daniel Rodriguez W 1.42 11 4.62 $46.20 42% Bet Info
Matt Brown Court McGee W 2.95 11 21.45 $214.50 195% Bet Info
Cody Stamann Douglas Silva de Andrade L 1.70 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Jessica-Rose Clark Tainara Lisboa L 1.95 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.92 55.00 -6.93 $-69.30 -13%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   55.00 -6.93 $-69.30 -13%  

CES 73, Beverly, Massachusetts, 12th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
William Knight Domingos Barros L 1.47 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Travis Demko Shawn Johnson L 1.31 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.39 22.00 -22.00 $-220.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   22.00 -22.00 $-220.00 -100%  

Bellator 296, Paris, 12th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Gegard Mousasi Fabian Edwards L 1.42 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Mansour Barnaoui Brent Primus L 1.33 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Thibault Gouti Kane Mousah W 1.59 11 6.49 $64.90 59% Bet Info
Denise Kielholtz Paula Cristina W 1.39 11 4.29 $42.90 39% Bet Info
Oliver Enkamp Luca Poclit L 1.65 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Saul Rogers Davy Gallon NC 1.52 11 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Chris Gonzalez Tim Wilde L 1.42 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Asael Adjoudj Georges Sasu W 1.27 11 2.97 $29.70 27% Bet Info
Romain Debienne Bourama Camara W 3.15 11 23.65 $236.50 215% Bet Info
Jose Augusto Simon Biyong W 2.37 11 15.07 $150.70 137% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.59 110.00 8.47 $84.70 8%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   110.00 8.47 $84.70 8%  

Ares FC 15, Paris, 11th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Mehdi Saadi Demarte Pena L 2.70 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Amin Ayoub Alaa Mansour W 1.16 11 1.76 $17.60 16% Bet Info
Ibrahim Mane Juan Manuel Suarez W 1.19 11 2.09 $20.90 19% Bet Info
Felix Klinkhammer Christopher Jacquelin W 1.15 11 1.65 $16.50 15% Bet Info
Jordan Zebo Mickael Marie Sardi W 1.45 11 4.95 $49.50 45% Bet Info
Nikola Joksovic Vincent del Guerra W 1.38 11 4.18 $41.80 38% Bet Info
Moustapha Aida Abdelmoumen Mssaate W 1.40 11 4.40 $44.00 40% Bet Info
Asilder Badouiev David Tonatiuh Crol L 1.45 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.39 88.00 -2.97 $-29.70 -3%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   88.00 -2.97 $-29.70 -3%  

Fury FC 79, Tulsa, Oklahoma, 7th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Abdul Kamara Aric Mercado W 1.18 11 1.98 $19.80 18% Bet Info
Luis Gurule Carlos Lozoya W 1.70 11 7.70 $77.00 70% Bet Info
Myron Dennis Ryan Parker L 1.59 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
A.J. Cunningham Jason Mullen W 1.25 11 2.75 $27.50 25% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.40 44.00 1.43 $14.30 3%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   44.00 1.43 $14.30 3%  



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