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MMA Handicapper Profile: Brian III

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Mixed Martial Arts Management - Brian III

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 114 (48%) Right 45 (45%) Right 32 (41%) Right 37 (60%)
Wrong 126 (53%) Wrong 54 (55%) Wrong 47 (59%) Wrong 25 (40%)
Avg Odds 2.30 Avg Odds 1.96 Avg Odds 3.11 Avg Odds 2.18
Units Bet 311.4 Units Bet 171.5 Units Bet 61.9 Units Bet 78.0
Avg Bet 1.30 Avg Bet 1.73 Avg Bet 0.78 Avg Bet 1.26
Units Profit 9.95 Units Profit -23.15 Units Profit 12.67 Units Profit 20.43
ROI % 3% ROI % -13% ROI % 20% ROI % 26%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 19 (17%) 13 68 % 62.05 -4.88 -0.26 -8%
Slight Favorites 41 (37%) 20 49 % 64.75 -9.24 -0.23 -14%
Slight Underdogs 37 (34%) 16 43 % 35.99 -6.43 -0.17 -18%
Big Underdogs 13 (12%) 3 23 % 8.70 -2.60 -0.20 -30%
 

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Brian III 's MMA Handicapper Bio

Every week, I handicap UFC events using tape study. I am not a pro, my any means, just do this for my own enjoyment.

I post writeups for each card on the Friday before each event, with the occasional Bellator quick thoughts with the goal of getting my thoughts onto paper to further help me with my process, feel free to read if you'd like.

My thoughts for the past event will remain there until the following Friday, I do not share them anywhere else but in the bio section. 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Brian III

UFC 270, Anaheim, 22nd Jan '22 View this capper's previous bets on/against fighters on this card

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Ciryl Gane Francis Ngannou 2.02 1 MMA Bookmaker
Jack Della Maddalena Pete Rodriguez 1.29 2.33 View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker


Props and Parlays     Unit Bet    
  Fight Pick Odds
Pr Tony Gravely vs Saimon Oliveira Under 2.5 rounds 2.15
  0.5




Brian III 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 15th Jan '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Joanderson Brito Bill Algeo L 1.77 1.15 -1.15 $-11.50 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.77 1.15 -1.15 $-11.50 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Brandon Royval vs Rogerio Bontorin Royval wins in round 3 L 11.00
  0.1 -0.10 $-1.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Brandon Royval vs Rogerio Bontorin Royval wins inside distance L 2.10
  0.1 -0.10 $-1.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Court McGee vs Ramiz Brahimaj McGee wins by decision W 2.70
  0.25 0.43 $4.25 170% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   0.45 0.23 $2.25 50%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.60 -0.92 $-9.25 -58%  

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 18th Dec '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Derrick Lewis Chris Daukaus W 2.22 1 1.22 $12.20 122% Bet Info
Derrick Lewis Chris Daukaus W 2.30 0.25 0.33 $3.25 130% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.26 1.25 1.55 $15.45 124%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Carlos Diego Ferreira vs Mateusz Gamrot Gamrot to win W 1.56
Pi Gerald Meerschaert vs Dustin Stoltzfus Meerschaert to win W 1.43
    Parlay Odds:   2.22
  0.5 0.61 $6.09 122% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Gerald Meerschaert vs Dustin Stoltzfus Meerschaert to win W 1.42
Pi Carlos Diego Ferreira vs Mateusz Gamrot Gamrot to win W 1.53
    Parlay Odds:   2.16
  0.125 0.15 $1.45 116% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   0.63 0.75 $7.54 121%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.88 2.30 $22.99 123%  

UFC 269, Las Vegas, 11th Dec '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Priscila Cachoeira Gillian Robertson L 4.10 0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   4.10 0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Sean O'Malley vs Raulian Paiva Paiva wins by TKO/KO L 13.00
  0.1 -0.10 $-1.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Tai Tuivasa vs Augusto Sakai NOT Fight starts round 3 W 1.78
  1 0.78 $7.81 78% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Josh Emmett vs Dan Ige Emmett to win W 1.61
Pi Amanda Nunes vs Julianna Pena Nunes to win L 1.10
    Parlay Odds:   1.77
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Amanda Nunes vs Julianna Pena Nunes to win L 1.11
Pi Geoff Neal vs Santiago Ponzinibbio Ponzinibbio to win L 1.81
    Parlay Odds:   2.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Ryan Hall vs Darrick Minner Hall wins by sub round 3 L 12.00
  0.05 -0.05 $-0.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Priscila Cachoeira vs Gillian Robertson Cachoeira wins by TKO/KO L 9.00
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.40 -1.62 $-16.19 -48%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.65 -1.87 $-18.69 -51%  

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 4th Dec '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Alonzo Menifield William Knight L 1.70 1.43 -1.43 $-14.30 -100% Bet Info
Louis Smolka Vincent Morales L 1.69 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.69 3.43 -3.43 $-34.30 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Clay Guida vs Leonardo Santos Santos to win L 1.53
Pi Alex Morono vs Mickey Gall Morono to win W 1.45
    Parlay Odds:   2.22
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Clay Guida vs Leonardo Santos Santos wins by submission L 7.00
  0.22 -0.22 $-2.20 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Louis Smolka vs Vincent Morales Smolka wins inside distance L 3.15
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Manel Kape vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov Zhumagulov wins (Decision Only) NA 2.80
  0.5 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.22 -1.72 $-17.20 -77%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.65 -5.15 $-51.50 -91%  

Bellator 272, Uncasville, 3rd Dec '21

  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Sergio Pettis vs Kyoji Horiguchi Fight doesn't go to decision W 2.50
  0.5 0.75 $7.50 150% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   0.50 0.75 $7.50 150%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   0.50 0.75 $7.50 150%  

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 20th Nov '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Michael Chiesa Sean Brady L 2.40 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.40 0.50 -0.50 $-5.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Miesha Tate vs Ketlen Vieira Tate wins in round 3 L 27.00
  0.05 -0.05 $-0.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Miesha Tate vs Ketlen Vieira Tate wins in round 4 L 33.00
  0.2 -0.20 $-2.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Miesha Tate vs Ketlen Vieira Tate wins in round 5 L 37.00
  0.2 -0.20 $-2.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Rani Yahya vs Kyung Ho Kang Kang wins by (T)KO round 3 L 29.00
  0.2 -0.20 $-2.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Michael Chiesa vs Sean Brady Chiesa wins by decision L 4.40
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.15 -1.15 $-11.50 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.65 -1.65 $-16.50 -100%  

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 13th Nov '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Ben Rothwell Marcos Rogerio de Lima L 1.67 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Da Un Jung Kennedy Nzechukwu W 1.87 0.5 0.43 $4.35 87% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.76 1.50 -0.57 $-5.65 -38%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Aaron Pico vs Justin Gonzales Pico to win W 1.29
Pi Max Holloway vs Yair Rodriguez Holloway to win W 1.14
Pr Da Un Jung vs Kennedy Nzechukwu Over 1.5 rounds L 1.36
    Parlay Odds:   2.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.50 -1.57 $-15.65 -63%  

UFC 268, New York, 6th Nov '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Weili Zhang Rose Namajunas L 2.00 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Frankie Edgar Marlon Vera L 2.30 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Justin Gaethje Michael Chandler W 1.50 1.5 0.75 $7.50 50% Bet Info
Nassourdine Imavov Edmen Shahbazyan W 1.87 0.5 0.43 $4.35 87% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.87 4.00 -0.82 $-8.15 -20%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Patrick Mix vs James Gallagher Mix to win W 1.28
Pi Jordan Williams vs Ian Garry Garry to win W 1.29
    Parlay Odds:   1.64
  2 1.29 $12.86 64% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Justin Gaethje vs Michael Chandler Gaethje wins by TKO/KO L 2.00
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Frankie Edgar vs Marlon Vera Edgar wins (Decision Only) NA 2.10
  0.25 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Frankie Edgar vs Marlon Vera wins by decision L 3.60
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Edmen Shahbazyan vs Nassourdine Imavov Imavov wins in round 3 L 14.00
  0.1 -0.10 $-1.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Jordan Williams vs Ian Garry Garry wins by decision L 5.10
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Ode Osbourne vs Carlos Vergara Osbourne wins by TKO/KO L 4.80
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.85 -0.31 $-3.14 -8%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   7.85 -1.13 $-11.30 -14%  

Bellator 270, Dublin, 5th Nov '21

  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Daniel Weichel vs Pedro Carvalho Weichel to win L 1.44
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   0.50 -0.50 $-5.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   0.50 -0.50 $-5.00 -100%  

UFC 267, Abu Dhabi, 30th Oct '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Cory Sandhagen Petr Yan L 3.10 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Magomed Ankalaev Volkan Oezdemir W 1.36 1 0.36 $3.57 36% Bet Info
Ricardo Ramos Zubaira Tukhugov L 2.42 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.04 3.00 -1.64 $-16.43 -55%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Magomed Ankalaev vs Volkan Oezdemir Ankalaev wins by submission L 27.00
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Li Jingliang vs Khamzat Chimaev Chimaev wins inside distance W 1.59
  1 0.59 $5.88 59% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Roman Kopylov vs Albert Duraev Duraev to win W 1.32
Pi Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Benoit Saint-Denis Zaleski dos Santos to win W 1.44
    Parlay Odds:   1.90
  1 0.90 $9.03 90% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Islam Makhachev vs Daniel Hooker Makhachev wins in round 3/Dec L 1.67
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Hu Yaozong vs Andre Petroski Yaozong wins in round 3 L 23.00
  0.1 -0.10 $-1.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.35 0.14 $1.41 4%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.35 -1.50 $-15.02 -24%  

PFL 2021 #10: Championships, Florida, 27th Oct '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Magomed Magomedkerimov Ray Cooper III L 1.51 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Abigail Montes Claressa Shields W 3.60 0.25 0.65 $6.50 260% Bet Info
Chris Wade Movlid Khaybulaev L 2.80 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.31 3.25 -2.35 $-23.50 -72%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.25 -2.35 $-23.50 -72%  

DWCS 2021: Week 9, Las Vegas, 26th Oct '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Long Xiao Christian Quiñonez L 5.50 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   5.50 0.50 -0.50 $-5.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   0.50 -0.50 $-5.00 -100%  

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 23rd Oct '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Rick Glenn Grant Dawson D 4.50 0.65 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Ike Villanueva Nick Negumereanu L 2.94 0.4 -0.40 $-4.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.56 1.05 -0.40 $-4.00 -38%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.05 -0.40 $-4.00 -38%  

Bellator 268, Phoenix, 16th Oct '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Benson Henderson Brent Primus L 1.86 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.86 1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Vadim Nemkov vs Julius Anglickas Nemkov wins inside distance W 1.74
  0.5 0.37 $3.70 74% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   0.50 0.37 $3.70 74%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.50 -0.63 $-6.30 -42%  

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 16th Oct '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Bruno Silva (2) Andrew Sanchez W 1.70 1 0.70 $7.04 70% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.70 1.00 0.70 $7.04 70%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Jim Miller vs Erick Gonzalez Miller wins in round 1 L 6.50
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Jim Miller vs Erick Gonzalez Under 2.5 rounds W 2.15
  0.5 0.57 $5.75 115% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 0.07 $0.75 7%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 0.78 $7.79 39%  

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 9th Oct '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Mackenzie Dern W 2.30 1 1.30 $13.00 130% Bet Info
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Mackenzie Dern W 2.55 0.25 0.39 $3.87 155% Bet Info
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Mackenzie Dern W 2.55 0.75 1.16 $11.62 155% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.46 2.00 2.85 $28.50 142%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Gaetano Pirrello Silva de Andrade to win W 1.42
Pi Randy Brown vs Jared Gooden Brown to win W 1.42
    Parlay Odds:   2.01
  1 1.01 $10.07 101% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 1.01 $10.07 101%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 3.86 $38.57 129%  

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 2nd Oct '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Devonte Smith Jamie Mullarkey L 1.67 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Stephanie Egger Shanna Young W 1.87 0.5 0.43 $4.35 87% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.76 2.00 -1.07 $-10.65 -53%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Shanna Young vs Stephanie Egger Egger wins inside distance W 4.50
  0.5 1.75 $17.50 350% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Kevin Holland vs Kyle Daukaus Over 2.5 rounds NA 1.65
  0.5 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 1.75 $17.50 175%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 0.68 $6.85 23%  

UFC 266, Las Vegas, 25th Sep '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Daniel Hooker Nasrat Haqparast W 1.56 4 2.22 $22.22 56% Bet Info
Jalin Turner Uros Medic W 2.05 0.5 0.53 $5.25 105% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.77 4.50 2.75 $27.47 61%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Uros Medic vs Jalin Turner Fight ends in round 1/2 W 2.00
  1 1.00 $10.00 100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Uros Medic vs Jalin Turner Fight ends in round 1/2 W 2.00
  1 1.00 $10.00 100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Alex Volkanovski vs Brian Ortega Volkanovski to win W 1.59
Pi Matt Semelsberger vs Martin Sano Semelsberger to win W 1.19
    Parlay Odds:   1.89
  1.12 1.00 $9.98 89% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Alex Volkanovski vs Brian Ortega Volkanovski wins in round 4,5 or by Dec W 2.00
  1 1.00 $10.00 100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Uros Medic vs Jalin Turner Turner wins by submission W 10.00
  0.5 4.50 $45.00 900% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   4.62 8.50 $84.98 184%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   9.12 11.24 $112.45 123%  

Bellator 266: Davis vs. Romero, San Jose, California, 18th Sep '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Georgi Karakhanyan Saul Rogers L 2.00 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Alex Polizzi Grant Neal W 2.70 0.5 0.85 $8.50 170% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.30 1.00 0.35 $3.50 35%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Jesse Delgado vs Joshua Dillon Delgado to win W 1.25
Pi Mark Lemminger vs Neiman Gracie Gracie to win W 1.33
    Parlay Odds:   1.67
  1 0.67 $6.67 67% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 0.67 $6.67 67%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 1.02 $10.17 51%  

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 18th Sep '21

  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Montel Jackson vs J.P. Buys Jackson to win W 1.20
Pi Arman Tsarukyan vs Christos Giagos Tsarukyan to win W 1.15
    Parlay Odds:   1.38
  5 1.90 $18.96 38% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Erin Blanchfield vs Sarah Alpar Blanchfield wins by submission L 6.00
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.25 1.65 $16.46 31%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.25 1.65 $16.46 31%  



>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history

 
 
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