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MMA Handicapper Profile: TrobsFightPicks

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TrobsFightPicks (TrobsFightPicks)


MMA MHandicapper - TrobsFightPicks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 68 (38%) Right 51 (43%) Right 14 (25%) Right 3 (75%)
Wrong 109 (62%) Wrong 67 (57%) Wrong 41 (75%) Wrong 1 (25%)
Avg Odds 2.65 Avg Odds 2.33 Avg Odds 3.80 Avg Odds 2.22
Units Bet 464.7 Units Bet 369.8 Units Bet 82.9 Units Bet 12.0
Avg Bet 2.63 Avg Bet 3.13 Avg Bet 1.51 Avg Bet 3.00
Units Profit 17.61 Units Profit 10.64 Units Profit -0.80 Units Profit 7.77
ROI % 4% ROI % 3% ROI % -1% ROI % 65%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 2 (2%) 0 % 12.00 -12.00 -6.00 -100%
Slight Favorites 29 (25%) 18 62 % 112.31 12.97 0.45 12%
Slight Underdogs 58 (49%) 28 48 % 173.00 33.07 0.57 19%
Big Underdogs 29 (25%) 5 17 % 72.50 -23.40 -0.81 -32%
 

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TrobsFightPicks 's MMA Handicapper Bio

Twitter - @Trobsfightpicks

I've been an MMA fan for nearly 15 years (UFC 106 was my first PPV I watched when I was 9 years old) and training and competing in BJJ and Kickboxing in 2014. I started playing DFS and sports betting as soon as I turned 18, on pretty much every sport other than MMA (NBA, MLB, NFL, etc.). Not because I didn’t think I would be good at betting on MMA, just because I was such a huge fan, I didn’t want to take anything away from just relaxing and watching the fights. A few years later after some trial and error with other sports and becoming a consistently profitable… Covid happened and once UFC came back, I locked in my first MMA DFS lineups, bet on my first fight and have never looked back. I do attribute a lot of my success to my years of betting on other sports as it really helped me understand the importance of research, bankroll management and just having a solid foundation/process that you trust. After a profitable three years (one third-party tracked) I still am improving and looking forward to making you and I some more money!

What is my betting strategy?
I am a value bettor. What that means is I am always searching for odds that are better than what they should be. I don’t just break a fight down, get a strong lean for Fighter A and then go bet his moneyline.. I predict the range of outcomes (whether we realize it or not, every fight has a range of outcomes). So for example… If I predict Fighter A has a 67% chance to win against Fighter B (33% chance) and I check the moneyline to see Fighter A. is a massive -400 favorite (80% implied probability) and Fighter B. is a +310 underdog (24.4% implied probability), then using my predictions, the only value lies on Fighter B. because I think he has a higher chance of winning than what his odds do. This can be scary because at the end of the day you may put money on guys that you, well, think are going to lose but if the value is right and you stick to your strategy, it will be profitable in the long term and that’s what betting is all about.

 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by TrobsFightPicks

This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights.

TrobsFightPicks 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC 302, Newark, New Jersey, 1st Jun '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Paulo Costa Sean Strickland L 3.05 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Michal Oleksiejczuk Kevin Holland L 3.35 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Randy Brown Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos W 1.56 5 2.78 $27.78 56% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Joe Solecki Grant Dawson L 5.10 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Phil Rowe Jake Matthews L 2.36 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.65 17.50 -9.72 $-97.22 -56%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Mitch Raposo vs Andre Lima Lima to win W 1.43
Pi Mickey Gall vs Bassil Hafez Hafez to win W 1.25
    Parlay Odds:   1.78
  4 3.13 $31.28 78% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Randy Brown vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Brown wins inside distance L 3.15
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Kevin Holland vs Michal Oleksiejczuk Oleksiejczuk wins by decision L 9.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Grant Dawson vs Joe Solecki Solecki wins by submission L 13.00
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   6.50 0.63 $6.28 10%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   24.00 -9.09 $-90.95 -38%  

UFC 301, Rio de Janeiro, 4th May '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jamie Mullarkey Mauricio Ruffy L 2.88 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.88 3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez, Las Vegas, Nevada, 27th Apr '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Ariane Lipski Karine Silva L 2.36 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Jonathan Pearce David Onama L 1.70 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Don'tale Mayes Caio Machado (2) W 1.98 3 2.94 $29.41 98% Bet Info
Na Liang Ivana Petrovic L 4.80 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.32 10.00 -4.06 $-40.59 -41%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Ivana Petrovic vs Na Liang Liang wins by Sub or Decision L 6.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Karine Silva vs Ariane Lipski Lipski wins in round 3/Dec L 3.75
  1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.50 -2.50 $-25.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   12.50 -6.56 $-65.59 -52%  

UFC 300, Las Vegas, Nevada, 13th Apr '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jamahal Hill Alex Pereira L 2.06 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Justin Gaethje Max Holloway L 1.68 4.5 -4.50 $-45.00 -100% Bet Info
Calvin Kattar Aljamain Sterling L 2.45 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Jessica Andrade Marina Alcalde Rodriguez W 1.74 4 2.96 $29.63 74% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.94 14.50 -7.54 $-75.37 -52%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Bo Nickal vs Cody Brundage Fight starts round 2 W 2.80
  3 5.40 $54.00 180% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 5.40 $54.00 180%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   17.50 -2.14 $-21.37 -12%  

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II, Las Vegas, Nevada, 6th Apr '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Norma Dumont Germaine de Randamie W 1.80 3.75 3.00 $30.00 80% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
César Almeida Dylan Budka W 2.24 3 3.72 $37.20 124% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Nora Cornolle Melissa Dixon W 3.70 3 8.10 $81.00 270% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.36 9.75 14.82 $148.20 152%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Melissa Dixon vs Nora Cornolle Cornolle wins by TKO/KO W 12.00
  0.5 5.50 $55.00 1,100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   0.50 5.50 $55.00 1,100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.25 20.32 $203.20 198%  

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot, Atlantic City, New Jersey, 30th Mar '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Dennis Buzukja Connor Matthews W 1.87 3 2.61 $26.09 87% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.87 3.00 2.61 $26.09 87%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Chidi Njokuani vs Rhys McKee Over 1.5 rounds W 2.10
  3 3.30 $33.00 110% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Chidi Njokuani vs Rhys McKee Fight goes the distance W 4.70
  1 3.70 $37.00 370% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Sedriques Dumas vs Nursulton Ruziboev Over 1.5 rounds L 2.14
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Sedriques Dumas vs Nursulton Ruziboev Fight goes the distance L 4.60
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Andre Petroski vs Jacob Malkoun Petroski (scorecards = no action) L 2.20
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   11.00 -0.00 $-0.00 -0%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   14.00 2.61 $26.09 19%  

UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas, Las Vegas, 23rd Mar '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Billy Quarantillo Youssef Zalal L 1.95 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Montserrat Rendon Dariya Zheleznyakova L 2.80 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Igor da Silva Andre Lima L 2.46 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.35 7.50 -7.50 $-75.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Edmen Shahbazyan vs AJ Dobson Fight goes to decision L 2.38
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Edmen Shahbazyan vs AJ Dobson Shahbazyan wins by decision L 4.10
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Montserrat Rendon vs Dariya Zheleznyakova Rendon wins inside distance L 13.00
  1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   4.50 -4.50 $-45.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   12.00 -12.00 $-120.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura, Las Vegas, 16th Mar '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Christian Rodriguez Isaac Dulgarian W 2.14 3 3.42 $34.20 114% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.14 3.00 3.42 $34.20 114%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Christian Rodriguez vs Isaac Dulgarian Rodriguez wins by Sub or Decision W 3.25
  1 2.25 $22.50 225% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Cory McKenna vs Jaqueline Amorim Amorim wins by decision L 6.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 1.25 $12.50 63%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 4.67 $46.70 93%  

UFC 299, Miami, Florida, 9th Mar '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Dustin Poirier Benoit Saint-Denis W 2.20 4 4.80 $48.00 120% Bet Info
Gilbert Burns Jack Della Maddalena L 2.40 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Rafael dos Anjos Mateusz Gamrot L 4.50 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Philipe Lins Ion Cutelaba W 2.10 3 3.30 $33.00 110% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.55 12.00 3.10 $31.00 26%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Mateusz Gamrot vs Rafael dos Anjos dos Anjos wins by decision L 6.50
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Ion Cutelaba vs Philipe Lins Lins wins by submission L 6.50
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Sean O'Malley vs Marlon Vera Vera wins by decision L 7.50
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Michael Page vs Kevin Holland Fight goes to decision W 1.69
Pr Sean O'Malley vs Marlon Vera Over 4.5 rounds W 1.66
    Parlay Odds:   2.81
  2 3.62 $36.19 181% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 0.62 $6.19 12%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   17.00 3.72 $37.18 22%  

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval, Mexico City, 24th Feb '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Sam Hughes Yazmin Jauregui L 5.60 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Daniel Lacerda Edgar Chairez L 4.60 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Erik Silva Muhammadjon Naimov L 5.10 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   5.07 6.00 -6.00 $-60.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 -6.00 $-60.00 -100%  

UFC 298, Anaheim, 17th Feb '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Josh Quinlan Danny Barlow L 2.60 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.60 3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Rinya Nakamura vs Carlos Vera Nakamura wins by submission L 3.80
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Oban Elliott vs Valentine Woodburn Woodburn wins by TKO/KO L 5.20
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer, Las Vegas, Nevada, 10th Feb '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Dan Ige Andre Fili W 1.57 5 2.86 $28.57 57% Bet Info
Devin Clark Marcin Prachnio L 1.51 6 -6.00 $-60.00 -100% Bet Info
Hyder Amil Fernando Garcia W 1.54 5.5 2.97 $29.73 54% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.54 16.50 -0.17 $-1.70 -1%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Darrius Flowers vs Michael Johnson Over 1.5 rounds W 1.83
  3 2.50 $25.00 83% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Jack Hermansson vs Joe Pyfer Over 2.5 rounds W 2.24
  3 3.72 $37.20 124% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   6.00 6.22 $62.20 104%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   22.50 6.05 $60.50 27%  

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov, Las Vegas, Nevada, 3rd Feb '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Viviane Araujo Natalia Cristina da Silva L 3.80 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Julija Stoliarenko Luana Carolina L 1.75 3.3 -3.30 $-33.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.39 5.30 -5.30 $-53.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Viviane Araujo vs Natalia Cristina da Silva Araujo wins by submission L 19.00
  0.75 -0.75 $-7.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Roman Dolidze vs Nassourdine Imavov Over 2.5 rounds W 1.60
  2 1.20 $12.05 60% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Roman Dolidze vs Nassourdine Imavov Fight goes to decision W 2.72
  2 3.44 $34.40 172% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   4.75 3.89 $38.95 82%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.05 -1.41 $-14.05 -14%  

UFC 297, Toronto, Ontario, 20th Jan '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Dricus Du Plessis Sean Strickland W 2.14 4 4.56 $45.60 114% Bet Info
Jimmy Flick Malcolm Gordon W 2.72 3 5.16 $51.60 172% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.40 7.00 9.72 $97.20 139%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Neil Magny vs Mike Malott Magny wins by decision L 6.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   8.00 8.72 $87.20 109%  

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker, Las Vegas, Nevada, 13th Jan '24

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Ricky Simon Mario Bautista L 1.56 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Phil Hawes Brunno Ferreira L 2.20 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Preston Parsons Matt Semelsberger W 2.14 3 3.42 $34.20 114% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.92 10.00 -3.58 $-35.80 -36%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Marcus McGhee vs Gaston Bolanos Fight goes the distance L 3.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Jean Silva vs Westin Wilson Silva wins by submission L 5.20
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   12.00 -5.58 $-55.80 -47%  

UFC 296, Las Vegas, Nevada, 16th Dec '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Casey O'Neill Ariane Lipski L 1.52 6 -6.00 $-60.00 -100% Bet Info
Lucas Almeida Andre Fili L 2.48 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Shamil Gaziev Martin Buday W 2.36 3 4.08 $40.80 136% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.02 12.00 -4.92 $-49.20 -41%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Alonzo Menifield vs Dustin Jacoby Menifield wins by TKO/KO L 6.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   13.00 -5.92 $-59.20 -46%  

UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan, Austin, Texas, 2nd Dec '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Rob Font Deiveson Figueiredo L 1.77 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.77 4.00 -4.00 $-40.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Sean Brady vs Kelvin Gastelum Fight goes to decision L 2.00
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Ihor Potieria vs Rodolfo Bellato Fight starts round 2 W 1.94
  3 2.83 $28.30 94% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Zachary Reese vs Cody Brundage Brundage wins by decision L 9.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   6.00 -0.17 $-1.70 -3%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 -4.17 $-41.70 -42%  

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig, Las Vegas, 18th Nov '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Joanderson Brito Jonathan Pearce W 2.10 3 3.30 $33.00 110% Bet Info
Lucie Pudilova Ailin Perez L 2.45 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.26 6.00 0.30 $3.00 5%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Brendan Allen vs Paul Craig Over 1.5 rounds W 1.87
  3.45 3.00 $30.00 87% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.45 3.00 $30.00 87%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   9.45 3.30 $33.00 35%  

UFC 295, New York, 11th Nov '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jiri Prochazka Alex Pereira L 2.00 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Dennis Buzukja Jamall Emmers L 3.15 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.45 6.00 -6.00 $-60.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 -6.00 $-60.00 -100%  

UFC 294, Abu Dhabi, 21st Oct '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Trevor Peek Mohammad Yahya W 1.89 4 3.57 $35.71 89% Bet Info
Sedriques Dumas Abu Azaitar W 1.56 5.4 3.00 $30.00 56% Bet Info
Jinh Yu Frey Viktoriya Dudakova L 4.60 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.16 11.40 4.57 $45.71 40%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   11.40 4.57 $45.71 40%  



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