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Straight Pick Stats
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|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
83 (12%) |
59 |
71 % |
285.30 |
17.97 |
0.22 |
6% |
Slight Favorites |
231 (34%) |
126 |
55 % |
549.52 |
-11.03 |
-0.05 |
-2% |
Slight Underdogs |
263 (39%) |
128 |
49 % |
444.37 |
31.48 |
0.12 |
7% |
Big Underdogs |
100 (15%) |
22 |
22 % |
109.42 |
-37.77 |
-0.38 |
-35% |
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Progress Chart
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Click here to view breakdown of straight picks |
TheMMA Casual's MMA Handicapper Bio
|
2021 was my first full year taping, betting and tracking every UFC event, I am still adjusting and tweaking a few things with my betting style, but I believe I have an eye for the tape and I'm looking to match or beat my 2021 results (150 units profit) I 2022.
I will stick mostly to the UFC as I feel there is less variance, and it allows me to spend more time on each fight.
I look at it as there being, give or take, 12 fights a week, and roughly 40 events a year, this isn't like football or tennis where there are games to bet all day everyday. It's a limited opportunity, so make the most of every event and hopefully find a bet on most fights. |
Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by TheMMA Casual |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Unit Bet |
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1. Paid Pick (made 13 May 07:55 AM GMT) | Hidden | Hidden | Hidden |
2. Paid Pick (made 10 May 12:21 PM GMT) | Hidden | Hidden | Hidden |
3. Paid Pick (made 10 May 03:31 PM GMT) | Hidden | Hidden | Hidden |
Props and Parlays |
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Unit
Bet |
|
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Paid Pick: Hidden Prop Bet (General Prop Bet).
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Buy TheMMA Casual's MMA Picks! |
Click below to purchase this handicapper's paid picks for $5.00
You will be able to view any more paid picks they make between now and the next event for no extra charge. The next event is
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Morales (17 May, 2025, 11:00 PM GMT)
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TheMMA Casual's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
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Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Mike Malott vs Charlie Radtke |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
W |
1.48 |
|
|
1 |
0.48 |
$4.80 |
48% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Daniel Santos vs Jung Young Lee |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.87 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Bruno Silva vs Marc-Andre Barriault |
Barriault wins by submission |
L |
12.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Valentina Shevchenko vs Manon Fiorot |
Fiorot wins by submission |
L |
20.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Navajo Stirling vs Ivan Erslan |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.71 |
|
|
1.2 |
-1.20 |
$-12.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Bruno Silva vs Marc-Andre Barriault |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.57 |
|
|
1.6 |
0.91 |
$9.12 |
57% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Ion Cutelaba vs Modestas Bukauskas |
Fight ends by sub |
L |
7.00 |
|
|
0.2 |
-0.20 |
$-2.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.50 |
-1.51 |
$-15.08 |
-27% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
12.80 |
3.20 |
$32.02 |
25% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
1.80 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Cory Sandhagen vs Deiveson Figueiredo |
Sandhagen to win |
W |
1.22 |
Pi |
Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones |
Jones to win |
W |
1.16 |
Pi |
Azamat Bekoev vs Ryan Loder |
Bekoev to win |
W |
1.33 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.88 |
|
|
3 |
2.65 |
$26.47 |
88% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.00 |
0.65 |
$6.47 |
13% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
11.50 |
1.85 |
$18.47 |
16% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.00 |
7.15 |
$71.50 |
102% |
|
UFC 314, Miami, Florida,
12th Apr '25 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Diego Lopes |
Alex Volkanovski |
L |
2.20 |
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.20 |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
0.50 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Luis Rodriguez |
Kevin Borjas |
L |
1.70 |
1.5 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.70 |
1.50 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
David Martinez vs Saimon Oliveira |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.05 |
|
|
2 |
2.10 |
$21.00 |
105% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
David Martinez vs Saimon Oliveira |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
W |
1.95 |
|
|
1 |
0.95 |
$9.50 |
95% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jamall Emmers vs Gabriel Miranda |
NOT Fight starts round 3 |
W |
1.74 |
|
|
1 |
0.74 |
$7.40 |
74% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.00 |
3.79 |
$37.90 |
95% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.50 |
2.29 |
$22.90 |
42% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.50 |
-5.23 |
$-52.25 |
-80% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
3.00 |
$30.00 |
60% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Danny Silva |
Lucas Almeida |
W |
1.44 |
10 |
4.40 |
$44.00 |
44% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.44 |
10.00 |
4.40 |
$44.00 |
44% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.00 |
4.40 |
$44.00 |
44% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.50 |
-1.10 |
$-11.00 |
-24% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Gabriel Bonfim vs Kalinn Williams |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.65 |
|
|
1 |
0.65 |
$6.50 |
65% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Rafael Estevam vs Jesus Santos Aguilar |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
1.70 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Edmen Shahbazyan vs Dylan Budka |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.50 |
|
|
1 |
0.50 |
$5.00 |
50% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
0.15 |
$1.50 |
5% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.75 |
-0.05 |
$-0.50 |
-1% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jake Matthews vs Francisco Prado |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.40 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Jake Matthews vs Francisco Prado |
Prado wins by (T)KO round 1 |
L |
9.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jake Matthews vs Francisco Prado |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.45 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jim Crute vs Rodolfo Bellato |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.75 |
|
|
1 |
0.75 |
$7.50 |
75% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Quillan Salkilld vs Anshul Jubli |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.70 |
|
|
1 |
0.70 |
$7.00 |
70% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Kevin Jousset vs Jonathan Micallef |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
L |
2.00 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Dricus Du Plessis vs Sean Strickland |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
2.30 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Weili Zhang vs Tatiana Suarez |
Under 4.5 rounds |
L |
1.75 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
7.75 |
-4.30 |
$-43.00 |
-55% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.25 |
-2.60 |
$-26.00 |
-28% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.00 |
1.32 |
$13.25 |
13% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Zachary Reese vs Azamat Bekoev |
Fight ends by sub |
L |
3.75 |
|
|
0.2 |
-0.20 |
$-2.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Bogdan Guskov vs Billy Elekana |
Under 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.75 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Payton Talbott vs Raoni Barcelos |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.57 |
|
|
1 |
0.57 |
$5.70 |
57% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jiri Prochazka vs Jamahal Hill |
Under 1.5 rounds |
L |
2.15 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jiri Prochazka vs Jamahal Hill |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.49 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Grant Dawson vs Carlos Diego Ferreira |
Fight goes to decision |
W |
1.87 |
|
|
1 |
0.87 |
$8.70 |
87% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Ricky Turcios vs Bernardo Sopai |
Someone wins by split / majority decision |
L |
5.50 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Rinya Nakamura vs Muin Gafurov |
Nakamura wins by submission |
L |
6.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Merab Dvalishvili vs Umar Nurmagomedov |
Nurmagomedov wins by submission |
L |
6.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Kevin Holland vs Reinier de Ridder |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
2.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.75 |
$7.50 |
150% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.95 |
-1.26 |
$-12.60 |
-21% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.45 |
0.80 |
$7.95 |
8% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Thiago Moises vs Trey Ogden |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
L |
2.70 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jacobe Smith vs Preston Parsons |
Over 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.95 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.50 |
0.80 |
$8.00 |
18% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Sean Woodson |
Fernando Padilla |
W |
1.65 |
3 |
1.95 |
$19.50 |
65% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.65 |
3.00 |
1.95 |
$19.50 |
65% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Manel Kape vs Bruno Silva |
Kape wins by TKO/KO |
W |
3.50 |
|
|
2 |
5.00 |
$50.00 |
250% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Navajo Stirling vs George Tokkos |
Under 1.5 rounds |
L |
2.00 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Drakkar Klose vs Joel Alvarez |
NOT Fight starts round 3 |
W |
1.85 |
|
|
2 |
1.70 |
$17.00 |
85% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
7.00 |
3.70 |
$37.00 |
53% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.00 |
5.65 |
$56.50 |
57% |
|
UFC 310, Las Vegas, Nevada,
7th Dec '24 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Kai Asakura |
Alexandre Pantoja |
L |
3.00 |
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
UFC 309, New York City, New York,
16th Nov '24 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Damon Jackson |
Jim Miller |
L |
1.75 |
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.75 |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jon Jones vs Stipe Miocic |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.57 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Mauricio Ruffy vs James Llontop |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.60 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
8.00 |
-8.00 |
$-80.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.00 |
-10.00 |
$-100.00 |
-100% |
|
|
|
|