|
|
|
Straight Pick Stats
|
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
79 (13%) |
55 |
70 % |
265.30 |
8.84 |
0.11 |
3% |
Slight Favorites |
213 (34%) |
117 |
55 % |
523.22 |
-10.99 |
-0.05 |
-2% |
Slight Underdogs |
243 (39%) |
114 |
47 % |
423.37 |
19.71 |
0.08 |
5% |
Big Underdogs |
91 (15%) |
20 |
22 % |
102.67 |
-35.67 |
-0.39 |
-35% |
|
Progress Chart
|
Click here to view breakdown of straight picks |
TheMMA Casual's MMA Handicapper Bio
|
2021 was my first full year taping, betting and tracking every UFC event, I am still adjusting and tweaking a few things with my betting style, but I believe I have an eye for the tape and I'm looking to match or beat my 2021 results (150 units profit) I 2022.
I will stick mostly to the UFC as I feel there is less variance, and it allows me to spend more time on each fight.
I look at it as there being, give or take, 12 fights a week, and roughly 40 events a year, this isn't like football or tennis where there are games to bet all day everyday. It's a limited opportunity, so make the most of every event and hopefully find a bet on most fights. |
Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by TheMMA Casual |
This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights. |
TheMMA Casual's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
|
Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Ivan Erslan |
Ion Cutelaba |
L |
2.05 |
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Da Woon Jung |
Oumar Sy |
L |
5.25 |
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.95 |
3.50 |
-3.50 |
$-35.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Matt Frevola vs Fares Ziam |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.83 |
|
|
1.2 |
1.00 |
$9.96 |
83% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Oumar Sy vs Da Woon Jung |
Jung wins by decision |
L |
9.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Morgan Charriere vs Gabriel Miranda |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
2.40 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.70 |
$7.00 |
140% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Morgan Charriere vs Gabriel Miranda |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.50 |
|
|
1 |
0.50 |
$5.00 |
50% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.95 |
1.95 |
$19.46 |
66% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.45 |
-1.55 |
$-15.54 |
-24% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Sean O'Malley vs Merab Dvalishvili |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
L |
1.87 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Raul Rosas Jr vs Qileng Aori |
Under 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.83 |
|
|
1.5 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.50 |
-2.50 |
$-25.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.50 |
1.80 |
$18.00 |
24% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.50 |
-0.28 |
$-2.80 |
-8% |
|
UFC 305, Perth,
17th Aug '24 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Dricus Du Plessis |
Israel Adesanya |
W |
2.10 |
1.5 |
1.65 |
$16.50 |
110% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.10 |
1.50 |
1.65 |
$16.50 |
110% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
1.50 |
1.65 |
$16.50 |
110% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Don'tale Mayes vs Shamil Gaziev |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.30 |
|
|
1 |
1.30 |
$13.00 |
130% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Alonzo Menifield vs Azamat Murzakanov |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.75 |
|
|
1.5 |
1.12 |
$11.25 |
75% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Elves Brenner vs Joel Alvarez |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.48 |
|
|
3 |
1.44 |
$14.40 |
48% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Tony Ferguson vs Michael Chiesa |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.75 |
|
|
1.2 |
0.90 |
$9.00 |
75% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Tony Ferguson vs Michael Chiesa |
Chiesa wins by TKO/KO |
L |
16.00 |
|
|
0.2 |
-0.20 |
$-2.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.90 |
4.56 |
$45.65 |
66% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
11.90 |
-0.44 |
$-4.35 |
-4% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Oban Elliott vs Preston Parsons |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.77 |
|
|
1.5 |
1.16 |
$11.55 |
77% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Tom Aspinall vs Curtis Blaydes |
Fight ends by (T)KO |
W |
1.50 |
|
|
2 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
50% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Gregory Rodrigues vs Christian Duncan |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.63 |
|
|
1 |
0.63 |
$6.30 |
63% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Gregory Rodrigues vs Christian Duncan |
Rodrigues wins in round 3/Dec |
W |
4.20 |
|
|
0.25 |
0.80 |
$8.00 |
320% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Kiefer Crosbie vs Sam Patterson |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.58 |
|
|
2 |
1.16 |
$11.60 |
58% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Paddy Pimblett vs Bobby Green |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
2.10 |
|
|
1 |
1.10 |
$11.00 |
110% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Caolan Loughran vs Jake Hadley |
Loughran wins by (T)KO round 2 |
L |
17.00 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Caolan Loughran vs Jake Hadley |
Loughran wins by (T)KO round 3 |
L |
23.00 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Arnold Allen vs Giga Chikadze |
Allen wins by (T)KO round 1 |
L |
17.00 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Nathaniel Wood vs Daniel Pineda |
Under 1.5 rounds |
L |
2.60 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Marcin Prachnio vs Modestas Bukauskas |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.64 |
|
|
1.5 |
0.96 |
$9.60 |
64% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Molly McCann vs Bruna Brasil |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
2.10 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
12.05 |
4.00 |
$40.05 |
33% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
13.55 |
2.50 |
$25.05 |
18% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
12.00 |
-6.75 |
$-67.50 |
-56% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Eduarda Moura vs Denise Gomes |
Moura wins inside distance |
L |
2.60 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Charlie Radtke vs Carlos Prates |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
2.15 |
|
|
1 |
1.15 |
$11.50 |
115% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Charlie Radtke vs Carlos Prates |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.57 |
|
|
3 |
1.71 |
$17.10 |
57% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Jared Cannonier vs Nassourdine Imavov |
Imavov wins by submission |
L |
10.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.25 |
1.61 |
$16.10 |
31% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.00 |
0.51 |
$5.10 |
5% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Kevin Holland vs Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
W |
1.36 |
PrPi |
Jailton Junior vs Alexander Romanov |
Junior wins inside distance |
W |
1.62 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.20 |
|
|
2 |
2.41 |
$24.06 |
120% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Grant Dawson vs Joe Solecki |
Dawson wins by (T)KO round 3 |
L |
23.00 |
|
|
0.2 |
-0.20 |
$-2.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Sean Strickland vs Paulo Costa |
Over 3.5 rounds |
W |
1.83 |
|
|
3 |
2.49 |
$24.90 |
83% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Mitch Raposo vs Andre Lima |
Lima wins by submission |
L |
9.00 |
|
|
0.6 |
-0.60 |
$-6.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Mitch Raposo vs Andre Lima |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
1.90 |
|
|
1.5 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
7.30 |
2.60 |
$25.96 |
36% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
14.30 |
5.60 |
$55.96 |
39% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
UFC 301, Rio de Janeiro,
4th May '24 |
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Alexandre Pantoja vs Steve Erceg |
Under 3.5 rounds |
L |
2.15 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Dione Barbosa vs Ernesta Kareckaite |
Fight ends by (T)KO |
L |
7.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Dione Barbosa vs Ernesta Kareckaite |
Barbosa wins by TKO/KO |
L |
20.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.75 |
-5.75 |
$-57.50 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.75 |
-5.75 |
$-57.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Gabriel Benitez vs Hayisaer Maheshate |
Maheshate wins by (T)KO round 1 |
L |
3.30 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
0.50 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.00 |
-7.00 |
$-70.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Deiveson Figueiredo vs Cody Garbrandt |
Figueiredo wins by Sub or Decision |
W |
2.10 |
|
|
1 |
1.10 |
$11.00 |
110% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Sodiq Yusuff vs Diego Lopes |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
2.15 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.57 |
$5.75 |
115% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Sodiq Yusuff vs Diego Lopes |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.50 |
|
|
1 |
0.50 |
$5.00 |
50% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Charles Oliveira vs Arman Tsarukyan |
NOT Fight starts round 3 |
L |
1.57 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.50 |
-0.83 |
$-8.25 |
-15% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.50 |
-4.83 |
$-48.25 |
-51% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Dylan Budka vs César Almeida |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
2.00 |
|
|
2 |
2.00 |
$20.00 |
100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Ignacio Bahamondes vs Christos Giagos |
Giagos wins by (T)KO round 1 |
L |
20.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Melissa Dixon vs Nora Cornolle |
Dixon wins by submission |
L |
7.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.75 |
1.25 |
$12.50 |
45% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.75 |
0.45 |
$4.50 |
8% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Chris Weidman vs Bruno Silva |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.50 |
|
|
2 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
50% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Erin Blanchfield vs Manon Fiorot |
Over 3.5 rounds |
W |
1.65 |
|
|
1 |
0.65 |
$6.50 |
65% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
1.65 |
$16.50 |
55% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.00 |
1.35 |
$13.50 |
15% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Igor da Silva vs Andre Lima |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.50 |
|
|
2 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
50% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Miles Johns vs Cody Gibson |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
L |
2.10 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Kurt Holobaugh vs Trey Ogden |
Ogden wins in round 3/Dec |
W |
2.20 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.60 |
$6.00 |
120% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Luis Pajuelo vs Fernando Padilla |
Fight goes the distance |
L |
1.57 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Amanda Ribas vs Rose Namajunas |
Ribas wins in round 4,5 or by Dec |
L |
4.20 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Amanda Ribas vs Rose Namajunas |
Namajunas wins by (T)KO round 1 |
L |
7.00 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.10 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-20% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.60 |
-1.63 |
$-16.30 |
-19% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Joshua Culibao |
Danny Silva |
L |
1.50 |
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.50 |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Thiago Moises vs Mitch Ramirez |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.80 |
|
|
2 |
1.60 |
$16.00 |
80% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Bryan Battle vs Ange Loosa |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
NA |
2.15 |
|
|
1 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Charalampos Grigoriou vs Chad Anheliger |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.50 |
|
|
2 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
50% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Joshua Culibao vs Danny Silva |
Culibao wins by submission |
L |
8.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Bryan Barberena vs Gerald Meerschaert |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.57 |
|
|
1 |
0.57 |
$5.70 |
57% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Bryan Battle vs Ange Loosa |
Battle wins by submission |
NA |
5.20 |
|
|
0.25 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.50 |
2.92 |
$29.20 |
45% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.50 |
1.92 |
$19.20 |
26% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Joanne Wood vs Maryna Moroz |
Moroz wins by TKO/KO |
L |
15.00 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Carlos Vergara vs Assu Almabaev |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.49 |
|
|
1 |
0.49 |
$4.90 |
49% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Michel Pereira vs Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
2.45 |
|
|
1 |
1.45 |
$14.50 |
145% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Michael Page vs Kevin Holland |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
2.20 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Dustin Poirier vs Benoit Saint-Denis |
Saint-Denis wins in round 1/2 |
L |
6.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.60 |
0.34 |
$3.40 |
9% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.10 |
0.36 |
$3.60 |
4% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |