|
|
|
Straight Pick Stats
|
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
74 (14%) |
53 |
72 % |
258.30 |
12.84 |
0.17 |
5% |
Slight Favorites |
193 (36%) |
107 |
55 % |
492.22 |
-8.80 |
-0.05 |
-2% |
Slight Underdogs |
202 (37%) |
96 |
48 % |
377.37 |
33.91 |
0.17 |
9% |
Big Underdogs |
74 (14%) |
17 |
23 % |
89.67 |
-28.80 |
-0.39 |
-32% |
|
Progress Chart
|
Click here to view breakdown of straight picks |
TheMMA Casual's MMA Handicapper Bio
|
2021 was my first full year taping, betting and tracking every UFC event, I am still adjusting and tweaking a few things with my betting style, but I believe I have an eye for the tape and I'm looking to match or beat my 2021 results (150 units profit) I 2022.
I will stick mostly to the UFC as I feel there is less variance, and it allows me to spend more time on each fight.
I look at it as there being, give or take, 12 fights a week, and roughly 40 events a year, this isn't like football or tennis where there are games to bet all day everyday. It's a limited opportunity, so make the most of every event and hopefully find a bet on most fights. |
Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by TheMMA Casual |
This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights. |
TheMMA Casual's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
|
Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
12.00 |
-3.24 |
$-32.40 |
-27% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Ilia Topuria vs Josh Emmett |
Fight ends by (T)KO |
L |
1.91 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
12.00 |
-12.00 |
$-120.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Tereza Bleda vs Gabriella Fernandes |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
L |
2.00 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Nikolas Motta vs Manuel Torres |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
W |
1.30 |
|
|
6 |
1.80 |
$18.00 |
30% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Pat Sabatini vs Lucas Almeida |
Over 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.57 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Carlos Hernandez vs Denys Bondar |
Fight ends by sub |
L |
3.15 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
13.00 |
-5.20 |
$-52.00 |
-40% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
29.50 |
-14.20 |
$-142.00 |
-48% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.00 |
-5.25 |
$-52.50 |
-35% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Cody Stamann |
Douglas Silva de Andrade |
L |
1.63 |
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.63 |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Jailton Junior |
Fight ends by (T)KO |
L |
2.15 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Karl Williams vs Chase Sherman |
Fight ends by (T)KO |
L |
1.75 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Aljamain Sterling vs Henry Cejudo |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
2.08 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.00 |
-3.32 |
$-33.20 |
-41% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.00 |
-5.82 |
$-58.20 |
-73% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.00 |
8.89 |
$88.90 |
127% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Ion Cutelaba vs Tanner Boser |
Over 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.71 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.00 |
-4.26 |
$-42.55 |
-53% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Kevin Holland vs Santiago Ponzinibbio |
Holland to win |
W |
1.42 |
Pi |
Ignacio Bahamondes vs Trey Ogden |
Bahamondes to win |
W |
1.29 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.83 |
|
|
1 |
0.83 |
$8.32 |
83% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Kevin Holland vs Santiago Ponzinibbio |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.72 |
|
|
1 |
0.72 |
$7.20 |
72% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Raul Rosas Jr vs Christian Rodriguez |
Rosas Jr wins in round 3/Dec |
L |
2.63 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Raul Rosas Jr vs Christian Rodriguez |
Rodriguez wins by submission |
L |
12.00 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Kelvin Gastelum vs Chris Curtis |
Curtis wins by decision |
L |
3.50 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Steve Garcia vs Yilan Sha |
Garcia wins by (T)KO round 1 |
L |
11.00 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.95 |
0.60 |
$6.02 |
20% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.45 |
2.50 |
$25.02 |
56% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Daniel Pineda vs Tucker Lutz |
Lutz to win |
L |
1.30 |
Pi |
Carlos Vergara vs Daniel Lacerda |
Vergara to win |
W |
1.40 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.82 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Trevin Giles vs Preston Parsons |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.74 |
|
|
1 |
0.74 |
$7.40 |
74% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Steven Peterson vs Lucas Alexander |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
1.82 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Austin Lingo vs Nate Landwehr |
Landwehr wins by Sub or Decision |
W |
2.70 |
|
|
1 |
1.70 |
$17.00 |
170% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Daniel Pineda vs Tucker Lutz |
Lutz wins in round 3/Dec |
L |
2.80 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Daniel Pineda vs Tucker Lutz |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.83 |
|
|
1 |
0.83 |
$8.30 |
83% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.50 |
0.77 |
$7.70 |
14% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.00 |
0.95 |
$9.50 |
14% |
|
UFC 286, London,
18th Mar '23 |
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Veronica Macedo vs Juliana Miller |
Miller wins in round 2 |
L |
6.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Veronica Macedo vs Juliana Miller |
Miller wins in round 3 |
L |
8.50 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Veronica Macedo vs Juliana Miller |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
L |
1.72 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Kamaru Usman vs Leon Edwards |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
2.35 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Dusko Todorovic vs Christian Duncan |
Duncan wins in round 2/3 |
L |
4.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Lerone Murphy vs Gabriel Santos |
Santos wins by sub round 1 |
L |
16.00 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Lerone Murphy vs Gabriel Santos |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
L |
2.00 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.60 |
-3.60 |
$-36.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.60 |
-3.60 |
$-36.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Lukasz Brzeski vs Karl Williams |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
1.50 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.00 |
-2.58 |
$-25.75 |
-64% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Marc-Andre Barriault vs Julian Marquez |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.58 |
|
|
1 |
0.58 |
$5.80 |
58% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Cody Garbrandt vs Trevin Jones |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.82 |
|
|
1 |
0.82 |
$8.20 |
82% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Ian Garry vs Kenan Song |
Garry wins in round 1/2 |
L |
1.75 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jon Jones vs Ciryl Gane |
wins in round 4,5 or by Dec |
L |
1.50 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Geoff Neal vs Shavkat Rakhmonov |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.67 |
|
|
1 |
0.67 |
$6.70 |
67% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Mana Martinez vs Cameron Saaiman |
Saaiman wins in round 3/Dec |
W |
2.35 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.68 |
$6.75 |
135% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Loik Radzhabov vs Esteban Ribovics |
Ribovics wins by Sub or Decision |
L |
6.50 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Farid Basharat vs DaMon Blackshear |
Basharat wins in round 3 |
L |
13.00 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Farid Basharat vs DaMon Blackshear |
Blackshear wins by submission |
L |
12.50 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Ian Garry vs Kenan Song |
Song wins by (T)KO round 1 |
L |
31.00 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.05 |
0.20 |
$1.95 |
3% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.05 |
3.93 |
$39.25 |
43% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.00 |
1.58 |
$15.75 |
53% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Jim Miller vs Alexander Hernandez |
Hernandez wins in round 1/2 |
L |
2.40 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Themba Gorimbo vs A.J. Fletcher |
Fletcher wins by submission |
W |
4.40 |
|
|
0.25 |
0.85 |
$8.50 |
340% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.25 |
-0.15 |
$-1.50 |
-12% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.75 |
-0.51 |
$-5.10 |
-11% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jim Crute vs Alonzo Menifield |
Under 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.77 |
|
|
1.3 |
-1.30 |
$-13.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Yair Rodriguez vs Josh Emmett |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
W |
2.18 |
|
|
1 |
1.18 |
$11.80 |
118% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Kleydson Rodrigues vs Shannon Ross |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
W |
1.73 |
|
|
1 |
0.73 |
$7.30 |
73% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Don Shainis vs Jack Jenkins |
Jenkins wins by TKO/KO |
L |
2.80 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Modestas Bukauskas vs Tyson Pedro |
Pedro wins by decision |
L |
4.70 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Elves Brenner vs Zubaira Tukhugov |
Tukhugov wins in round 1 |
L |
4.33 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Jamie Mullarkey vs Francisco Prado |
Mullarkey wins inside distance |
L |
2.00 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Joshua Culibao vs Melsik Bagdasaryan |
Fight goes to decision |
L |
1.73 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.30 |
-2.39 |
$-23.90 |
-38% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.30 |
-4.39 |
$-43.90 |
-47% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Glover Teixeira vs Jamahal Hill |
Under 3.5 rounds |
L |
1.30 |
Pr |
Ismael Bonfim vs Terrance McKinney |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.30 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.69 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Paul Craig vs Johnny Walker |
Fight ends by (T)KO |
W |
1.67 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.34 |
$3.35 |
67% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.50 |
-0.66 |
$-6.65 |
-44% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.00 |
-2.11 |
$-21.15 |
-53% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |