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MMA Handicapper Profile: TheCasual Expert

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TheCasual Expert (TheCasualExpert)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - TheCasual Expert

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 12 (14%) Right 2 (13%) Right 7 (16%) Right 3 (13%)
Wrong 73 (86%) Wrong 14 (88%) Wrong 38 (84%) Wrong 21 (88%)
Avg Odds 3.26 Avg Odds 2.13 Avg Odds 3.56 Avg Odds 4.04
Units Bet 56.0 Units Bet 14.3 Units Bet 22.7 Units Bet 19.1
Avg Bet 0.66 Avg Bet 0.89 Avg Bet 0.50 Avg Bet 0.79
Units Profit -27.37 Units Profit -11.53 Units Profit -3.20 Units Profit -12.64
ROI % -49% ROI % -81% ROI % -14% ROI % -66%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (6%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Slight Favorites 8 (50%) 2 25 % 7.75 -5.03 -0.63 -65%
Slight Underdogs 4 (25%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -1.00 -100%
Big Underdogs 3 (19%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -0.50 -100%
 

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Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by TheCasual Expert

This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights.

TheCasual Expert's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


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UFC 288, Newark, New Jersey, 6th May '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Henry Cejudo Aljamain Sterling L 1.90 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Gilbert Burns Belal Muhammad L 1.74 0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
Braxton Smith Parker Porter L 2.45 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.99 4.25 -4.25 $-42.50 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Joseph Holmes vs Claudio Ribeiro Ribeiro wins by (T)KO round 2 W 5.40
  0.25 1.10 $11.00 440% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Joseph Holmes vs Claudio Ribeiro Ribeiro wins by (T)KO round 1 L 2.55
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Parker Porter vs Braxton Smith Smith wins in round 2/3 L 3.30
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Parker Porter vs Braxton Smith Smith wins in round 1/2 L 3.30
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Parker Porter vs Braxton Smith Porter wins in round 2/3 L 4.50
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Devin Clark Nzechukwu wins by TKO/KO L 2.50
PrPi Drew Dober vs Matt Frevola Dober wins by TKO/KO L 1.95
    Parlay Odds:   4.88
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Jessica Andrade vs Yan Xiaonan Andrade wins by KO/TKO or Sub L 2.65
PrPi Gilbert Burns vs Belal Muhammad Burns wins by TKO/KO L 5.00
    Parlay Odds:   13.25
  0.75 -0.75 $-7.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Joseph Holmes vs Claudio Ribeiro Ribeiro to win W 1.53
Pi Parker Porter vs Braxton Smith Smith to win L 2.45
Pi Marina Alcalde Rodriguez vs Virna Jandiroba Jandiroba to win W 2.20
Pi Gilbert Burns vs Belal Muhammad Burns to win L 1.78
Pi Aljamain Sterling vs Henry Cejudo Cejudo to win L 1.87
    Parlay Odds:   41.17
  0.3 -0.30 $-3.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Gilbert Burns vs Belal Muhammad Burns to win L 1.78
Pi Aljamain Sterling vs Henry Cejudo Cejudo to win L 1.97
    Parlay Odds:   3.51
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Aljamain Sterling vs Henry Cejudo NOT Cejudo Fight starts round 5 L 8.25
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Aljamain Sterling vs Henry Cejudo Cejudo wins by TKO/KO L 5.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Movsar Evloev vs Diego Lopes Lopes wins by decision L 23.00
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Gilbert Burns vs Belal Muhammad Burns to win L 1.75
Pi Aljamain Sterling vs Henry Cejudo Cejudo to win L 1.82
    Parlay Odds:   3.18
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Aljamain Sterling vs Henry Cejudo Cejudo wins by KO/TKO or Sub L 3.90
PrPi Gilbert Burns vs Belal Muhammad Burns wins by KO/TKO or Sub L 2.90
PrPi Jessica Andrade vs Yan Xiaonan Andrade wins by KO/TKO or Sub L 2.65
    Parlay Odds:   29.97
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Kalinn Williams vs Rolando Bedoya Williams wins by TKO/KO L 1.85
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   7.80 -6.45 $-64.50 -83%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   12.05 -10.70 $-107.00 -89%  

Bellator 295, Honolulu, Hawaii, 22nd Apr '23

  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Yancy Medeiros vs Charlie Leary Medeiros to win W 1.20
Pi Kai Kamaka vs Adli Edwards Kamaka to win W 1.36
Pi Aaron Pico vs James Gonzalez Pico to win W 1.10
Pi Raufeon Stots vs Patrick Mix Stots to win L 1.75
    Parlay Odds:   3.14
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Aaron Pico vs James Gonzalez Pico wins by TKO/KO L 2.20
PrPi Raufeon Stots vs Patrick Mix Stots wins by decision L 3.25
    Parlay Odds:   7.15
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Aaron Pico vs James Gonzalez Pico wins by TKO/KO L 2.20
  1.1 -1.10 $-11.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Raufeon Stots vs Patrick Mix Stots wins by decision L 3.25
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.10 -3.10 $-31.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.10 -3.10 $-31.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes, Las Vegas, Nevada, 22nd Apr '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Junior Tafa Mohammed Usman L 1.87 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.87 1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Danaa Batgerel vs Brady Hiestand Batgerel to win L 1.68
Pi Karol Rosa vs Norma Dumont Dumont to win W 1.87
    Parlay Odds:   3.14
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Danaa Batgerel vs Brady Hiestand Batgerel wins by TKO/KO L 2.40
  0.75 -0.75 $-7.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Brad Tavares vs Bruno Silva Tavares wins by decision L 2.85
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Danaa Batgerel vs Brady Hiestand Fight doesn't go the distance W 1.40
Pr Francis Marshall vs William Gomis Fight starts round 2 W 1.28
Pi Mohammed Usman vs Junior Tafa Tafa to win L 1.82
Pi Karol Rosa vs Norma Dumont Dumont to win W 1.87
Pr Jeremiah Wells vs Matt Semelsberger Fight doesn't go the distance L 1.48
Pr Curtis Blaydes vs Sergey Pavlovich Under 3.5 rounds W 1.17
PrPi Iasmin Lucindo vs Brogan Walker Lucindo Fight starts round 2 W 1.49
Pr Montel Jackson vs Rani Yahya Fight doesn't go the distance W 1.36
    Parlay Odds:   21.40
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Francis Marshall vs William Gomis Marshall Fight starts round 2 W 1.91
  0.5 0.46 $4.55 91% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Jeremiah Wells vs Matt Semelsberger Semelsberger wins in round 2/3 L 6.50
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Bobby Green vs Jared Gordon Green to win NA 1.35
Pr Brad Tavares vs Bruno Silva Fight starts round 2 L 1.38
Pr Curtis Blaydes vs Sergey Pavlovich NOT Fight starts round 5 W 1.11
    Parlay Odds:   2.07
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Danaa Batgerel vs Brady Hiestand Batgerel wins in round 1/2 L 2.65
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.50 -4.55 $-45.45 -83%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.50 -5.55 $-55.45 -85%  

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen, Kansas City, 15th Apr '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Arnold Allen Max Holloway L 2.53 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Billy Quarantillo Edson Barboza L 1.52 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Ion Cutelaba Tanner Boser W 1.75 1 0.75 $7.50 75% Bet Info
Piera Rodriguez Gillian Robertson L 1.90 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Lando Vannata Daniel Zellhuber L 2.07 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.90 4.50 -2.75 $-27.50 -61%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Billy Quarantillo vs Edson Barboza Quarantillo to win L 1.68
Pi Pedro Munhoz vs Chris Gutierrez Gutierrez to win L 1.48
    Parlay Odds:   2.49
  1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Clay Guida vs Rafa Garcia Garcia to win W 1.45
Pi Bill Algeo vs T.J. Brown Algeo to win W 1.58
Pi Ed Herman vs Zak Cummings Cummings to win W 1.38
    Parlay Odds:   3.16
  1 2.16 $21.62 216% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Pedro Munhoz vs Chris Gutierrez Gutierrez wins by TKO/KO L 4.80
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Pedro Munhoz vs Chris Gutierrez Gutierrez wins in round 2/3 L 8.50
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Dustin Jacoby vs Azamat Murzakanov Jacoby wins by TKO/KO L 3.40
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Pedro Munhoz vs Chris Gutierrez Gutierrez to win L 1.47
Pi Dustin Jacoby vs Azamat Murzakanov Jacoby to win L 1.63
    Parlay Odds:   2.40
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Matheus Nicolau vs Brandon Royval Under 2.5 rounds W 1.72
  1.5 1.08 $10.80 72% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Billy Quarantillo vs Edson Barboza Quarantillo wins in round 2 L 6.00
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Billy Quarantillo vs Edson Barboza Quarantillo wins in round 3 L 9.50
  0.3 -0.30 $-3.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Clay Guida vs Rafa Garcia Garcia wins by KO/TKO or Sub L 3.25
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Dustin Jacoby vs Azamat Murzakanov Fight ends by (T)KO L 2.02
Pr Gillian Robertson vs Piera Rodriguez Over 2.5 rounds L 1.77
Pr Bill Algeo vs T.J. Brown Fight starts round 2 W 1.18
    Parlay Odds:   4.22
  0.55 -0.55 $-5.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Pedro Munhoz vs Chris Gutierrez Gutierrez wins in round 3/Dec L 2.02
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Pedro Munhoz vs Chris Gutierrez Gutierrez wins by (T)KO round 3 L 16.00
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Ion Cutelaba vs Tanner Boser Cutelaba Fight starts round 2 L 2.94
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Max Holloway vs Arnold Allen Fight starts round 2 W 1.17
Pr Joselyne Edwards vs Lucie Pudilova Fight starts round 3 W 1.25
Pr Gillian Robertson vs Piera Rodriguez Fight starts round 2 W 1.33
Pr Lando Vannata vs Daniel Zellhuber Fight starts round 2 W 1.20
    Parlay Odds:   2.33
  1 1.33 $13.34 133% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Gaston Bolanos vs Aaron Phillips Phillips wins by KO/TKO or Sub L 3.75
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Joselyne Edwards vs Lucie Pudilova Pudilova wins by decision L 2.25
Pi Bruna Brasil vs Denise Gomes Brasil to win L 1.62
Pi Lando Vannata vs Daniel Zellhuber Vannata to win L 2.10
Pr Matheus Nicolau vs Brandon Royval Fight doesn't go the distance W 1.67
PrPi Bill Algeo vs T.J. Brown Algeo Fight starts round 2 W 1.77
Pi Clay Guida vs Rafa Garcia Garcia to win W 1.35
Pi Pedro Munhoz vs Chris Gutierrez Gutierrez to win L 1.46
Pi Dustin Jacoby vs Azamat Murzakanov Jacoby to win L 1.60
PrPi Billy Quarantillo vs Edson Barboza Quarantillo Fight doesn't go the distance W 2.40
    Parlay Odds:   171.25
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   11.60 -3.52 $-35.24 -30%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   16.10 -6.27 $-62.74 -39%  

PFL 3: 2023, Las Vegas, Nevada, 14th Apr '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Raush Manfio Alex Martinez W 1.95 0.5 0.48 $4.75 95% Bet Info
Stevie Ray Natan Schulte L 4.00 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Shane Burgos Olivier Aubin-Mercier L 1.87 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.31 2.00 -1.02 $-10.25 -51%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Sadibou Sy vs Jarrah Al-Silawi Sy to win W 1.45
Pi Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Shane Burgos Burgos to win L 1.87
    Parlay Odds:   2.71
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Magomed Umalatov vs Dilano Taylor Umalatov to win W 1.30
Pi Clay Collard vs Yamato Nishikawa Collard to win W 1.40
    Parlay Odds:   1.82
  0.5 0.41 $4.10 82% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.50 -0.59 $-5.90 -39%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.50 -1.62 $-16.15 -46%  

UFC 287, Miami, 8th Apr '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jorge Masvidal Gilbert Burns L 4.50 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Chris Curtis Kelvin Gastelum L 2.10 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Trey Ogden Ignacio Bahamondes L 5.00 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info Bet Info
Yilan Sha Steve Garcia L 1.55 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.59 2.50 -2.50 $-25.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Alex Pereira vs Israel Adesanya Under 4.5 rounds W 2.75
  0.5 0.87 $8.75 175% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Gilbert Burns vs Jorge Masvidal Masvidal wins by TKO/KO L 8.00
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Gilbert Burns vs Jorge Masvidal Masvidal wins by decision L 11.00
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Ignacio Bahamondes vs Trey Ogden Bahamondes to win W 1.38
Pi Joe Pyfer vs Gerald Meerschaert Pyfer to win W 1.53
Pi Kelvin Gastelum vs Chris Curtis Curtis to win L 1.87
Pi Raul Rosas Jr vs Christian Rodriguez Rosas Jr to win L 1.40
Pi Rob Font vs Adrian Yanez Yanez to win L 1.55
Pi Billy Quarantillo vs Edson Barboza Quarantillo to win L 1.60
Pi Pedro Munhoz vs Chris Gutierrez Gutierrez to win L 1.45
    Parlay Odds:   19.88
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Ignacio Bahamondes vs Trey Ogden Bahamondes to win W 1.38
Pi Steve Garcia vs Yilan Sha Sha to win L 1.42
Pi Cynthia Calvillo vs Lupita Godinez Godinez to win W 1.30
Pi Joe Pyfer vs Gerald Meerschaert Pyfer to win W 1.53
    Parlay Odds:   3.90
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Ignacio Bahamondes vs Trey Ogden Bahamondes to win W 1.38
Pi Cynthia Calvillo vs Lupita Godinez Godinez to win W 1.30
Pi Kelvin Gastelum vs Chris Curtis Curtis to win L 1.87
Pi Raul Rosas Jr vs Christian Rodriguez Rosas Jr to win L 1.42
Pi Kevin Holland vs Santiago Ponzinibbio Holland to win W 1.32
Pi Rob Font vs Adrian Yanez Yanez to win L 1.55
Pi Alex Pereira vs Israel Adesanya Adesanya to win W 1.62
    Parlay Odds:   15.79
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Joe Pyfer vs Gerald Meerschaert Meerschaert wins by TKO/KO L 13.00
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Joe Pyfer vs Gerald Meerschaert Meerschaert wins by submission L 3.75
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Sam Hughes vs Jaqueline Amorim Amorim to win L 1.38
Pi Michelle Waterson vs Luana Pinheiro Pinheiro to win W 1.58
Pr Raul Rosas Jr vs Christian Rodriguez Fight starts round 3 W 1.75
    Parlay Odds:   3.82
  0.95 -0.95 $-9.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Rob Font vs Adrian Yanez Yanez wins by TKO/KO L 2.65
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Cynthia Calvillo vs Lupita Godinez Fight doesn't go the distance L 3.35
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Michelle Waterson vs Luana Pinheiro NOT wins by decision W 50.99
  0.2 10.00 $99.99 4,999% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Alex Pereira vs Israel Adesanya Fight doesn't go the distance W 1.75
  1 0.75 $7.50 75% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Ignacio Bahamondes vs Trey Ogden Bahamondes to win W 1.25
Pi Sam Hughes vs Jaqueline Amorim Amorim to win L 1.33
Pr Alex Pereira vs Israel Adesanya Fight doesn't go the distance W 1.75
    Parlay Odds:   2.91
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Sam Hughes vs Jaqueline Amorim Fight doesn't go the distance L 1.73
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Sam Hughes vs Jaqueline Amorim Amorim wins by submission L 2.25
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Ignacio Bahamondes vs Trey Ogden Bahamondes wins in round 2/3 L 4.25
  0.4 -0.40 $-4.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Sam Hughes vs Jaqueline Amorim Hughes wins by TKO/KO L 13.00
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Ignacio Bahamondes vs Trey Ogden Bahamondes wins in round 3 L 9.00
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Steve Garcia vs Yilan Sha Sha wins by submission L 11.00
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Steve Garcia vs Yilan Sha Sha Fight starts round 2 W 2.49
  0.5 0.74 $7.45 149% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Ignacio Bahamondes vs Trey Ogden Bahamondes wins by KO/TKO or Sub L 1.87
  0.4 -0.40 $-4.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Ignacio Bahamondes vs Trey Ogden Bahamondes wins by submission L 7.00
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   12.20 2.37 $23.69 19%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   14.70 -0.13 $-1.31 -1%  



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