|
|
|
Straight Pick Stats
|
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
67 (31%) |
46 |
69 % |
268.97 |
-16.92 |
-0.25 |
-6% |
Slight Favorites |
84 (39%) |
48 |
57 % |
218.57 |
-1.66 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
Slight Underdogs |
52 (24%) |
20 |
38 % |
64.50 |
-9.28 |
-0.18 |
-14% |
Big Underdogs |
12 (6%) |
5 |
42 % |
11.50 |
4.85 |
0.40 |
42% |
|
Progress Chart
|
Click here to view breakdown of straight picks |
Rear Naked Loke 's MMA Handicapper Bio
|
Handicapper from the Chicago suburbs. I’ve been casually watching the UFC since 2004 and have been deep into it the last few years. I started placing wagers when electronic gambling was legalized in Illinois so I’m new to this hobby. I started independently tracking my bets 5/8/2021 for UFC Vegas 26 Rodriguez vs Waterson. As of 7/29/22 (day I started this account) I am up 90.07 units and up 111.36 units in the last 12 months. In 2022 I’m up 75.48 units.
I mostly bet the UFC but will bet DWCS, Bellator, and PFL for fighters I’m familiar with. For now this is a hobby as I develop my methods and find what works best for me. Hopefully someday this can become a profitable side hustle (outside of just the units I’m winning).
There are no locks in MMA. So when I refer to a confident pick I call it a “loke” and that’s where the very catchy name comes from.
I currently use DraftKings, FanDuel, Bet Rivers, and Points Bet. Bet Rivers and Points Bet are not available so other books will be used in their place with a note. |
Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Rear Naked Loke |
This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights. |
Rear Naked Loke 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
|
Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
Bellator 301, Chicago, Illinois,
17th Nov '23 |
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Ramazan Kuramagomedov vs Randall Wallace |
Kuramagomedov to win |
W |
1.17 |
Pi |
Patricky Freire vs Alexander Shabliy |
Shabliy to win |
W |
1.20 |
Pi |
Yaroslav Amosov vs Jason Jackson |
Amosov to win |
L |
1.23 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.73 |
|
|
2.76 |
-2.76 |
$-27.60 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
A.J. McKee vs Sidney Outlaw |
McKee to win |
W |
1.34 |
Pi |
Sergio Pettis vs Patrick Mix |
Mix to win |
W |
1.46 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.96 |
|
|
2.08 |
2.00 |
$20.00 |
96% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.84 |
-0.76 |
$-7.60 |
-16% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.84 |
-0.76 |
$-7.60 |
-16% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Tom Aspinall vs Sergey Pavlovich |
Aspinall Over 0.5 rounds |
L |
2.02 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Alessandro Costa vs Steve Erceg |
Erceg wins in round 2 |
L |
9.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Alessandro Costa vs Steve Erceg |
Erceg wins in round 3 |
L |
12.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Tom Aspinall vs Sergey Pavlovich |
Aspinall wins by sub round 2 |
L |
19.00 |
|
|
0.2 |
-0.20 |
$-2.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Tom Aspinall vs Sergey Pavlovich |
Aspinall wins by sub round 3 |
L |
41.00 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Viacheslav Borshchev vs Nazim Sadykhov |
Borshchev (scorecards = no action) |
NA |
2.20 |
|
|
2 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Jessica Andrade vs Mackenzie Dern |
Dern wins inside distance |
L |
2.02 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.30 |
-3.30 |
$-33.00 |
-62% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
17.56 |
-2.18 |
$-21.80 |
-12% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Marc Diakiese |
Kaue Fernandes |
W |
1.70 |
4.29 |
3.00 |
$30.00 |
70% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.70 |
4.29 |
3.00 |
$30.00 |
70% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Derrick Lewis vs Jailton Junior |
Junior to win |
W |
1.20 |
Pi |
Gabriel Bonfim vs Nicolas Dalby |
Bonfim to win |
L |
1.17 |
Pi |
Caio Borralho vs Abusupiyan Magomedov |
Borralho to win |
W |
1.36 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.92 |
|
|
3.27 |
-3.27 |
$-32.70 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Eduarda Moura vs Montserrat Ruiz |
Moura wins by KO/TKO or Sub |
W |
1.67 |
|
|
1.5 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
67% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.77 |
-2.27 |
$-22.70 |
-48% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.06 |
0.73 |
$7.30 |
8% |
|
UFC 294, Abu Dhabi,
21st Oct '23 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Trevor Peek |
Mohammad Yahya |
W |
1.89 |
2.24 |
2.00 |
$20.00 |
89% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.89 |
2.24 |
2.00 |
$20.00 |
89% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Kamaru Usman vs Khamzat Chimaev |
Chimaev wins inside distance |
L |
1.91 |
|
|
3.3 |
-3.30 |
$-33.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Bruno Silva vs Sharabutdin Magomedov |
Magomedov to win |
W |
1.28 |
Pi |
Nathaniel Wood vs Muhammadjon Naimov |
Wood to win |
L |
1.31 |
Pi |
Magomed Ankalaev vs Johnny Walker |
Ankalaev to win |
NA |
1.28 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.14 |
|
|
4 |
-4.00 |
$-40.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Said Nurmagomedov vs Muin Gafurov |
Nurmagomedov to win |
W |
1.43 |
Pi |
Kamaru Usman vs Khamzat Chimaev |
Chimaev to win |
W |
1.30 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.86 |
|
|
4.64 |
4.00 |
$40.05 |
86% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
11.94 |
-3.30 |
$-32.95 |
-28% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
14.18 |
-1.30 |
$-12.95 |
-9% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Michel Pereira vs Andre Petroski |
Fight ends in R2 |
L |
4.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Michel Pereira vs Andre Petroski |
Fight ends in R3 |
L |
7.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.21 |
-4.35 |
$-43.50 |
-47% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Davi Costa |
Lucas Rocha |
L |
2.00 |
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.00 |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Rickson Thai Zenidim vs Andre Lima |
Lima wins by TKO/KO |
L |
2.10 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Ramon Taveras vs Cortavious Romious |
Romious to win |
L |
1.47 |
Pi |
Torrez Finney vs Yuri Panferov |
Finney to win |
W |
1.50 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.20 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Rickson Thai Zenidim vs Andre Lima |
Lima to win |
W |
1.38 |
Pi |
Torrez Finney vs Yuri Panferov |
Finney to win |
W |
1.52 |
Pi |
Ramon Taveras vs Cortavious Romious |
Romious to win |
L |
1.41 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.95 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Connor Matthews vs Jair Farias |
Farias wins by TKO/KO |
L |
2.40 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.50 |
-3.50 |
$-35.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.50 |
-4.50 |
$-45.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Mukhamed Berkhamov vs Herman Terrado |
Berkhamov to win |
W |
1.24 |
Pi |
Maciej Rozanski vs Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov |
Yagshimuradov to win |
W |
1.44 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.80 |
|
|
2.54 |
2.02 |
$20.24 |
80% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Henry Corrales vs Kai Kamaka |
Kamaka to win |
W |
1.52 |
Pi |
Liz Carmouche vs Ilima-Lei Macfarlane |
Carmouche to win |
W |
1.38 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.09 |
|
|
2 |
2.19 |
$21.89 |
109% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.54 |
4.21 |
$42.13 |
93% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.04 |
5.21 |
$52.13 |
74% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Drew Dober vs Rick Glenn |
Dober to win |
W |
1.21 |
Pi |
Abdul Razak Alhassan vs Joe Pyfer |
Pyfer to win |
W |
1.21 |
Pi |
Grant Dawson vs Bobby Green |
Dawson to win |
L |
1.25 |
Pi |
Cristiane Justino vs Cat Zingano |
Justino to win |
W |
1.17 |
Pi |
Usman Nurmagomedov vs Brent Primus |
Nurmagomedov to win |
W |
1.06 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.26 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
12.54 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-24% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Amanda Nunes vs Irene Aldana |
Nunes to win |
W |
1.31 |
Pi |
Kyle Nelson vs Blake Bilder |
Bilder to win |
L |
1.44 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.89 |
|
|
2.26 |
-2.26 |
$-22.60 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Amanda Nunes vs Irene Aldana |
Nunes to win |
W |
1.31 |
Pi |
Miranda Maverick vs Jasmine Jasudavicius |
Maverick to win |
L |
1.33 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.74 |
|
|
2.68 |
-2.68 |
$-26.80 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Amanda Nunes vs Irene Aldana |
Nunes to win |
W |
1.31 |
Pi |
Mike Malott vs Adam Fugitt |
Malott to win |
W |
1.48 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.93 |
|
|
2.14 |
1.99 |
$19.91 |
93% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Dan Ige vs Nate Landwehr |
Ige wins by TKO/KO |
L |
2.80 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
8.08 |
-3.95 |
$-39.49 |
-49% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
14.13 |
-2.12 |
$-21.19 |
-15% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Angela Hill vs Mackenzie Dern |
Dern wins by submission |
L |
2.80 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Orion Cosce vs Gilbert Urbina |
Urbina wins inside distance |
W |
3.00 |
|
|
1 |
2.00 |
$20.00 |
200% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.00 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
50% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.90 |
6.66 |
$66.60 |
67% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Stephanie Egger vs Irina Alekseeva |
Egger wins inside distance |
L |
2.50 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Caio Borralho vs Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Borralho to win |
W |
1.27 |
Pi |
Rodolfo Vieira vs Cody Brundage |
Vieira to win |
W |
1.42 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.79 |
|
|
2.52 |
2.00 |
$20.02 |
79% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Caio Borralho vs Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Borralho to win |
W |
1.27 |
Pi |
Rodolfo Vieira vs Cody Brundage |
Vieira to win |
W |
1.42 |
Pi |
Stephanie Egger vs Irina Alekseeva |
Egger to win |
L |
1.33 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.40 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.52 |
0.00 |
$0.02 |
0% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.27 |
-5.75 |
$-57.48 |
-56% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Curtis Blaydes vs Sergey Pavlovich |
Blaydes wins by TKO/KO |
L |
1.87 |
|
|
1.15 |
-1.15 |
$-11.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jeremiah Wells vs Matt Semelsberger |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.68 |
|
|
1.48 |
-1.48 |
$-14.80 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Danaa Batgerel vs Brady Hiestand |
Batgerel wins by TKO/KO |
L |
2.50 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Montel Jackson vs Rani Yahya |
Jackson to win |
W |
1.18 |
Pi |
Bobby Green vs Jared Gordon |
Green to win |
NA |
1.36 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.60 |
|
|
5.07 |
0.91 |
$9.05 |
18% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Bobby Green vs Jared Gordon |
Green (scorecards = no action) |
NA |
1.40 |
|
|
3 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Bobby Green vs Jared Gordon |
Green (scorecards = no action) |
NA |
1.40 |
|
|
2 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
13.70 |
-2.72 |
$-27.25 |
-20% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
27.35 |
-8.77 |
$-87.75 |
-32% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Billy Quarantillo vs Edson Barboza |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.77 |
|
|
2.6 |
2.00 |
$20.00 |
77% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Billy Quarantillo vs Edson Barboza |
Quarantillo wins in round 2 |
L |
8.00 |
|
|
0.2 |
-0.20 |
$-2.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Billy Quarantillo vs Edson Barboza |
Quarantillo wins in round 3 |
L |
12.00 |
|
|
0.2 |
-0.20 |
$-2.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Matheus Nicolau vs Brandon Royval |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.67 |
|
|
1.5 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
67% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.50 |
2.60 |
$26.00 |
58% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
21.50 |
7.50 |
$75.00 |
35% |
|
UFC 287, Miami,
8th Apr '23 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Chris Curtis |
Kelvin Gastelum |
L |
2.16 |
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.16 |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Sam Hughes vs Jaqueline Amorim |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.95 |
|
|
2.1 |
-2.10 |
$-21.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Kelvin Gastelum vs Chris Curtis |
Curtis (scorecards = no action) |
NA |
1.80 |
|
|
2.5 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Sam Hughes vs Jaqueline Amorim |
Hughes wins in round 2 |
L |
25.00 |
|
|
0.2 |
-0.20 |
$-2.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Sam Hughes vs Jaqueline Amorim |
Hughes wins in round 3 |
L |
34.00 |
|
|
0.2 |
-0.20 |
$-2.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Sam Hughes vs Jaqueline Amorim |
Hughes wins inside distance |
L |
9.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Ignacio Bahamondes vs Trey Ogden |
Fight starts round 2 |
W |
1.29 |
Pr |
Cynthia Calvillo vs Lupita Godinez |
Fight starts round 2 |
W |
1.09 |
Pr |
Michelle Waterson vs Luana Pinheiro |
Fight starts round 2 |
W |
1.07 |
Pr |
Kelvin Gastelum vs Chris Curtis |
Fight starts round 2 |
W |
1.14 |
Pr |
Rob Font vs Adrian Yanez |
Fight starts round 2 |
L |
1.28 |
Pr |
Alex Pereira vs Israel Adesanya |
Fight starts round 2 |
W |
1.15 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.53 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Alex Pereira vs Israel Adesanya |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.82 |
|
|
1.22 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
82% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Ignacio Bahamondes vs Trey Ogden |
Bahamondes wins inside distance |
L |
2.20 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Ignacio Bahamondes vs Trey Ogden |
Bahamondes to win |
W |
1.26 |
Pi |
Kevin Holland vs Santiago Ponzinibbio |
Holland to win |
W |
1.41 |
Pi |
Gilbert Burns vs Jorge Masvidal |
Burns to win |
W |
1.24 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.19 |
|
|
3 |
3.57 |
$35.71 |
119% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
12.72 |
-1.43 |
$-14.29 |
-11% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.72 |
-4.43 |
$-44.29 |
-28% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Martina Jindrova vs Amber Leibrock |
Jindrova to win |
L |
1.41 |
Pi |
Renan Ferreira vs Rizvan Kuniev |
Kuniev to win |
W |
1.41 |
Pi |
Aspen Ladd vs Helena Kolesnyk |
Ladd to win |
L |
1.21 |
Pi |
Larissa Pacheco vs Julia Budd |
Pacheco to win |
W |
1.11 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.66 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |