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Straight Pick Stats
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| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
45 (14%) |
31 |
69 % |
192.80 |
11.13 |
0.25 |
6% |
| Slight Favorites |
161 (50%) |
101 |
63 % |
376.72 |
45.65 |
0.28 |
12% |
| Slight Underdogs |
101 (32%) |
45 |
45 % |
271.22 |
24.50 |
0.24 |
9% |
| Big Underdogs |
13 (4%) |
3 |
23 % |
17.00 |
-12.45 |
-0.96 |
-73% |
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Progress Chart
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Click here to view breakdown of straight picks |
Donny 's MMA Handicapper Bio
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I have been studying MMA for a longtime now and have helped friends and myself make good money betting MMA so decided to start tracking with the best MMA betting tracking site out there.
Instead of paying for my picks,you can join my Patreon by downloading the Patreon app or going to Patreon.com/MMABettingAdviceFromDonny and check out our community. Literally can pay anything you want including 1 dollar a month. Most pay between 5-10 a month but really whatever you want and I appreciate the support.
Also many of these numbers are incorrect like losing 6 units on Onama. That is not correct. I got Onama at a crazy number of -190 bc I knew the line would get crazy and it did and I bet Landwehr at +270 in order to profit either way. But the site didn't let me put it in and I have tickets to prove it. Also several live bets weren't able to be entered as well the Mason Jones fight, where it says I lost 10 units on him. I don't bet 10 units on any 1 play. That was supposed to be a 1 unit hedge the other way bc I was trying to hedge out of a parlay that had Mason Jones as final leg and was a mistake. So couple errors which are my fault and I have to be more careful entering things in but my Patreon tells the true story and all the history is there as well as I have the tickets if anyone needs. Thanks.
I forgot to track bets for UFC Paris bc of the early start time. My Patreon members know and all the results for every card are there but won +4.2 units for UFC Paris.
Lost.5 unit on Perez, lost 1.3 units on Jourdain, lost .3 unit on Jourdain round 3, to go down -2.1 units. Won +2.3 units on over 2.5 Whittaker parlayed w Magomedov. Won 1 unit Gane ITD. Won 1 unit Haqparast. Won 1 unit Whittaker by Dec. Won 1 over 1.5 in the Buckley fight for +4.2 units for UFC Paris. Have tickets for verification and also my unit count on here doesn't account for live bets which obviously can't post once the card starts.
Added bets for UFC 279 that couldn't get in before card started. Adding these before results.
Aldana to win 1 unit
D Rod to win 1 unit
D Rod/Leech over 2.5 rds to win 2 units
Chimaev by submission to win 2 units.
Lost .5 unit on Almeida by KO/TKO. Had to take a shot at the number but pretty clear he could have won however he wanted but he wanted that submission.
Started down 3 units for UFC 279. Coming back after the results and it was a good comeback. Winning 6 units back and ending up +2.5 units for UFC 279
I need to do better at making sure all of my bets are in on here but its tough esp when you add a bet when the event starts or a live bet. But my patreons can confirm it, I have tickets to prove anything if needed and my patreon literally has everything shown for all my patreons to see.
Forgot to track my bets for Contender Series Week 9.
Lost -.6 unit on Echeverria
Won 1 unit on Lane -135
Won 1 unit on Rojas Jr -140
Won 1 unit Lane FDGTD parlayed w Ferreriea FDGTD
Won 1 unit Ferreriea parlayed w Nurullo Aliev
Finished Contender Series Week 9 +3.4 units
UFC Vegas(Dern vs Yan) forgot to add Ronson-Silva FDGTD to win 1 unit
Forgot to track ACA 146 but 1 unit underdog bet on Osimkhon Rakhmonov was cancelled and won + 2 units on Albert Tumenov easily getting it done.
For some reason for Fighting Alliance Championship wasn't able to find it on here or maaybe didn't get it in, in time but profited 2 units
1 unit on Scroggin/Dakota Bush
1 unit Olajiga over Diggs
For the last card at the top, which all of my Patreons had access to the bet and that's what's important to me, I only track for myself. All my Patreons know exactly where we stand but we had Josiah Harrell as well for CFFC 113 and I saw no option on the drop down to add him on here.
Edit: and Harrell gets it done for + 1 unit so go 2-1 for about +1 unit for CFFC 113
LFA 144 didn't get in, in time but won 1 unit on the over 2.5 in the Natividad vs Galvan fight.
And lastly at LFA 144 had Valente to win 1 unit so end LFA 144 +2 units. My Patreons can vouch for this and have the tickets if need be. I need to do a better job of tracking my bets.
Lost -.8 unit on a fight I thought Stasiak won at KSW to end the day +1.2 units
It is correctly tracked that I lost on UFC 280 bc of O'Malley getting the robbery win but it's not -2.77. It's -1.77 bc I did have a bet to win 1 unit on Islam/Charles over 1.5 rds
I wasn't able to bet the other side or hedge out on here in time but I got Dustin Jacoby at good odds but cashed out when I heard Dustin Jacobys interview almost dismissing Rountree & it's just impossible to know which Rountree you will get. So no matter how that goes, I cashed out the bet so win or lose shouldn't be counted
Edit: So UFC Vegas Kattar vs Allen was a little over 2 units of profit bc eventhough Jacoby was robbed, I cashed out day before the fight
Edit: Though it says it, I didn't get Magny at +100. I bet Rodriguez at +100 and cashed out the play so the reason there is a bet on Rodriguez and Magny was bc I was able to cash out at for no loss and the only way to cancel that bet on here is to bet both sides at the exact price to basically cancel the play out.
Hedged off Marina Rodriguez which I have the ticket and can prove it. The parlay was supposed to be Bautista-Maverick and that's what my Patreons got and Rodriguez was a straight bet at -190 and we hedged off.
For my own info, the correct results for UFC Vegas
Hedged out of DRod
Hedged out of Marina Rodriguez
Lost -.7 unit on Pascual
Won 1 unit on Minner/Nuerdanbekov FDGTD
Won 2 units on Bautista/Maverick to finish +2.3 units
UFC 281. I caught Izzy at -170 and since the night has gone so well, we hedged off Izzy since Pereira's odds have improved. So made guaranteed small profit on the Izzy fight. So no matter how it goes, I didn't lose 3 units on Izzy or I didn't win almost 1.5 units on Izzy either. Was just a small hedge but unfortunately can't edit once the card starts.
Forgot to track my other 2 PFL plays that my Patreons got which was Rob Wilkinson by KO to win 1.5 units and Kayla Harrison fight to start round 3 to win 1 unit. Ended the PFL night up 1 unit.
Couldn't find how to edit before the event so the reason there's a bet for both sides of the Billy Q-Hernandez fight is bc I have cashed out my bet on Billy Q
Bellator 282, cashed out of the Magomedov-Mix fight and instead of 5 units, bet to win 2 units on parlay. I may stop trying to track bets on here bc all of my Patreons know what our plays are and so often I either forget to properly put in plays or we hedge out of plays, or add plays sometimes during the card or live bets and it's just not completely accurate as it should be. I need to do better at tracking or just not do it all, bc what's most important is that my patreons all know the plays and which ones we hedge off or reduce exposure or increase. So yeah just need to do better at tracking or don't do it.
UFC 282. No matter what happens in the main event, my patreon and I hedged out of the main event since we did well all night and beat the closing line in the Ankalaev fight. So it was a small profit either way but not +1 unit if you Ankalaev wins
Last UFC event of the year, there's a bet on both sides of the Rinat Fakhretdinov/Bryan Battle fight bc it was a arbitrage situation to profit either way on whoever won the fight.
Once again forgot to track like an idiot but had 2 plays for the Bellator vs Rizin card to win 1 unit on Juan Archuleta and to win 1 unit on AJ McKee to finish + 2 units on the night.
LFA 151 was + 2 units, not even. I accidentally put my bet in wrong and I was on Bilharinho not Machado. Must have accidentally made the wrong selection not paying attention. All of my patreons would know that we were on Bilharinho and I have bet slips to back it up.
The bet both ways on the Isaev-Mowry fight is just bc I cashed my bet out so I was just trying to void the bet on here and that's the only way I know how since I did cashout and it shouldn't count for or against my tracking record
Bellator 290 was definitely a terrible card for me but I'm not sure why the Berkhamov fight got submitted duplicate times. It was supposed to be just 1 bet. Not sure what happened there so it should be -2.1 units only 1 time.
Also for the UFC card, I can a parlay w Lee/Nakamura to win 1 unit that I forgot to put in. Also won .5 unit on Tybura landing more significant strikes and .5 unit on Doo Ho Choi over 37.5 significant strikes. So finished the UFC card with 2 more units then able to track.
Forgot to track but I do have 1 bet on Ares 12 with Felipe Colares. Will come back later to add result once the fight happens this afternoon. Also had a bet on Pena who fights in the main event but hedged out.
And unfortunately it was a bad hedge out bc Pena dominated in the main event of a crazy good fight in Ares 12. Maybe the best fight they have put on. + 1 unit on Felipe Colares.
One Championship on Prime 7. I got in early on Danny Kingad where I thought the odds were disrespectful. But I'm a puss who likes guaranteed money and when the odds completely flipped and Fan Duel had Suputra at +135, I took the guaranteed money route and bet that way as well.
I forgot to add but I had a stupid Lottery parlay in Bellator 291 on Mokhonoana, Novenyi, Moore, Khasan M, and Clarke, to win 3 units. (Have the ticket if anyone needs to see it. I track all this for myself)
Jon Jones was my biggest bet ever but it was strictly bc he was the underdog and I thought the line would flip. I'm going to arbitrage for guaranteed profit on Gane at +160. So that's why there are bets both sides obv. I never would have bet 20 percent of my bankroll on Jon Jones or any fighter for that matter. I just made a calculated risk that the odds on Jones would go up and I could bet both sides for guaranteed profit. Had I been wrong then I still would have hedged for a slight loss rather then risk 20 percent of my bankroll on any 1 fight. My bets are normally 1-3 units, 5 the most. The only time I go above that is when I think there's a chance that I can profit betting both sides. Arbitrage betting is real and you guys can make serious money doing it. Check out OddsJam
Bellator 292: I put in Moldavsky as the parlay w Barzola by accident. My Patreons know and would know that I went Josh Hill w Barzola.Their odds were like identical for me and just made a mistake putting it in. Rushed trying to get it in on here but the important thing is my Patreons got the correct bet. Have to do better tracking.
Also have a PFL Challenger Series Parlay to win 1 unit on Taylor Johnson with Impa.
UFC 286, my bets on both sides of the Lerone Murphy fight was just an arbitrage play that I have. I thought the line would come down quite a bit and luckily it did.
For UFC San Antonio, once again I was able to get ahead of two really big line moves and that's why bets are made on both sides as arbitrage situations. Unfortunately sometimes I get it wrong where I think lines will go but these were 2 I was sure I'd be able to make profits as I felt both opening lines were way off and luckily they worked out for hopefully barring a draw, turn into some decent profit.
Also cashed 1 unit on Altamirano live bet over Salvidor. |
Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Donny |
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This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights. |
Donny 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
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Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Steven Peterson vs Lucas Alexander |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.74 |
|
|
1.35 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
74% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pi |
Carlos Vergara vs Daniel Lacerda |
Vergara to win |
W |
1.40 |
| Pi |
Daniel Pineda vs Tucker Lutz |
Lutz to win |
L |
1.44 |
| |
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.02 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.35 |
-0.00 |
$-0.00 |
-0% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
126.21 |
29.89 |
$298.89 |
24% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pi |
Jake Hadley vs Malcolm Gordon |
Hadley to win |
W |
1.32 |
| Pi |
Bryan Barberena vs Gunnar Nelson |
Nelson to win |
W |
1.28 |
| |
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.70 |
|
|
1.5 |
1.05 |
$10.49 |
70% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.50 |
1.05 |
$10.49 |
70% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
33.60 |
5.95 |
$59.52 |
18% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pi |
Mario Bautista vs Guido Cannetti |
Bautista to win |
W |
1.17 |
|
|
2 |
0.33 |
$3.33 |
17% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Mario Bautista vs Guido Cannetti |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.67 |
|
|
1.5 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
67% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.50 |
1.33 |
$13.33 |
38% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.70 |
-2.17 |
$-21.67 |
-22% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pi |
Valentin Moldavsky vs Linton Vassell |
Moldavsky to win |
L |
1.40 |
| Pi |
Enrique Barzola vs Erik Perez |
Barzola to win |
W |
1.38 |
| |
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.94 |
|
|
2.2 |
-2.20 |
$-22.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.20 |
-2.20 |
$-22.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.70 |
-0.17 |
$-1.66 |
-4% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pi |
Bo Nickal vs Jamie Pickett |
Nickal to win |
W |
1.07 |
| Pi |
Valentina Shevchenko vs Alexa Grasso |
Shevchenko to win |
L |
1.18 |
| Pi |
Geoff Neal vs Shavkat Rakhmonov |
Rakhmonov to win |
W |
1.22 |
| |
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.55 |
|
|
3.9 |
-3.90 |
$-39.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.90 |
-3.90 |
$-39.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
40.98 |
1.72 |
$17.20 |
4% |
|
|
| Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
| Nurullo Aliev |
Rafael Alves |
W |
1.67 |
3 |
2.00 |
$20.00 |
67% |
|
| Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.67 |
3.00 |
2.00 |
$20.00 |
67% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pi |
Brian Moore vs Luca Iovine |
Moore to win |
W |
1.30 |
|
|
1.5 |
0.45 |
$4.48 |
30% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Mike Malott vs Yohan Lainesse |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.65 |
|
|
1.55 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
65% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.05 |
1.45 |
$14.48 |
47% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.05 |
3.45 |
$34.48 |
57% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.40 |
4.00 |
$40.00 |
63% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.20 |
2.05 |
$20.50 |
20% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pi |
Jordan Wright vs Zac Pauga |
Pauga to win |
W |
1.40 |
| Pi |
Juancamilo Ronderos vs Clayton Carpenter |
Carpenter to win |
W |
1.36 |
| |
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.91 |
|
|
1.1 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
91% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.10 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
91% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.90 |
-1.80 |
$-18.00 |
-46% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pi |
Islam Makhachev vs Alex Volkanovski |
Makhachev to win |
W |
1.29 |
| Pi |
Jack Della Maddalena vs Randy Brown |
Della Maddalena to win |
W |
1.33 |
| Pi |
Loma Lookboonmee vs Elise Reed |
Lookboonmee to win |
W |
1.36 |
| |
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.34 |
|
|
2 |
2.68 |
$26.75 |
134% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Jamie Mullarkey vs Francisco Prado |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
1.63 |
|
|
3.2 |
-3.20 |
$-32.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.20 |
-0.52 |
$-5.25 |
-10% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.20 |
1.99 |
$19.87 |
24% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Tatsuro Taira vs Jesus Santos Aguilar |
Taira wins inside distance |
W |
1.71 |
|
|
1.4 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
71% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Yusaku Kinoshita vs Adam Fugitt |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.71 |
|
|
1.4 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
71% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.80 |
2.00 |
$20.00 |
71% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.80 |
5.83 |
$58.30 |
59% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pi |
Akhmed Magomedov vs Henry Corrales |
Magomedov to win |
L |
1.25 |
| Pi |
Neiman Gracie vs Dante Schiro |
Gracie to win |
W |
1.32 |
| |
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.65 |
|
|
3.2 |
-3.20 |
$-32.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pi |
Toshiomi Kazama vs Rinya Nakamura |
Nakamura to win |
W |
1.29 |
| Pi |
Akhmed Magomedov vs Henry Corrales |
Magomedov to win |
L |
1.25 |
| Pi |
Yusaku Kinoshita vs Adam Fugitt |
Kinoshita to win |
L |
1.29 |
| |
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.07 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.20 |
-5.20 |
$-52.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
11.90 |
-9.40 |
$-94.00 |
-79% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
2.20 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-5% |
|
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