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MMA Handicapper Profile: John Stargaryen

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John Stargaryen (GuyFawkes MMA) VIP Supporter


MMA MHandicapper - John Stargaryen

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 450 (44%) Right 360 (45%) Right 71 (40%) Right 19 (42%)
Wrong 573 (56%) Wrong 441 (55%) Wrong 106 (60%) Wrong 26 (58%)
Avg Odds 2.29 Avg Odds 2.21 Avg Odds 2.68 Avg Odds 2.49
Units Bet 1,797.1 Units Bet 1,478.5 Units Bet 221.5 Units Bet 97.1
Avg Bet 1.76 Avg Bet 1.85 Avg Bet 1.25 Avg Bet 2.16
Units Profit 25.60 Units Profit 8.18 Units Profit 23.81 Units Profit -6.38
ROI % 1% ROI % 1% ROI % 11% ROI % -7%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 54 (6%) 37 69 % 148.35 -13.95 -0.26 -9%
Slight Favorites 253 (30%) 138 55 % 555.71 8.77 0.03 2%
Slight Underdogs 341 (40%) 148 43 % 524.94 20.94 0.06 4%
Big Underdogs 206 (24%) 55 27 % 249.53 -7.59 -0.04 -3%
 

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John Stargaryen's MMA Handicapper Bio

MMA connoisseur, observer and bettor. Co-host of The Club and Sub podcast. Occasionally I win money.  

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by John Stargaryen

Bellator 290, Inglewood, California, 4th Feb '23 View this capper's previous bets on/against fighters on this card

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Ryan Bader Fedor Emelianenko 1.42 2.4 MMA Bookmaker
Steve Mowry Ali Isaev 2.30 1 MMA Bookmaker
Darrion Caldwell Nikita Mikhailov 2.40 1 MMA Bookmaker
Yusuf Karakaya Ethan Hughes 2.60 2 MMA Bookmaker Bet Info



UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak, Las Vegas, 4th Feb '23 View this capper's previous bets on/against fighters on this card

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Blagoy Ivanov Marcin Tybura 2.65 2 MMA Bookmaker
Doo Ho Choi Kyle Nelson 1.55 1.83 MMA Bookmaker
Yusaku Kinoshita Adam Fugitt 1.47 3 MMA Bookmaker
Zha Yi Jung Young Lee 3.11 1 View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
Toshiomi Kazama Rinya Nakamura 4.50 0.5 MMA Bookmaker


Props and Parlays     Unit Bet    
  Fight Pick Odds
Pi Yusaku Kinoshita vs Adam Fugitt Kinoshita to win 1.49
  1.2
  Fight Pick Odds
Pr Jun Yong Park vs Denis Tiuliulin Under 2.5 rounds 2.15
  1 View Pick Writeup




UFC 284, Perth, 11th Feb '23 View this capper's previous bets on/against fighters on this card

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Islam Makhachev Alex Volkanovski 1.30 3.3 MMA Bookmaker
Randy Brown Jack Della Maddalena 3.80 2 MMA Bookmaker
Alonzo Menifield Jim Crute 2.95 1 MMA Bookmaker
Kleydson Rodrigues Shannon Ross 1.52 1.92 View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



John Stargaryen's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


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LFA 151, São Paulo, 28th Jan '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Julia Polastri Brenda Gottig W 1.63 1.59 1.00 $10.00 63% Bet Info
Marciano Ferreira Mateus Brauns W 2.45 2 2.90 $29.00 145% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.96 3.59 3.90 $39.00 109%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.59 3.90 $39.00 109%  

PFL Challenger Series: Week 1, Orlando, Florida, 28th Jan '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Lucas Barbosa Itso Babulaidze L 1.53 1.9 -1.90 $-19.00 -100% Bet Info
Eric Alequin Thad Jean L 3.45 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.12 2.40 -2.40 $-24.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.40 -2.40 $-24.00 -100%  

UFC 283, Rio de Janeiro, 21st Jan '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Glover Teixeira Jamahal Hill L 2.12 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Glover Teixeira Jamahal Hill L 2.17 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Brandon Moreno Deiveson Figueiredo W 2.02 1 1.02 $10.20 102% Bet Info
Gregory Rodrigues Brunno Ferreira L 1.34 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Mounir Lazzez Gabriel Bonfim L 2.56 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Ismael Bonfim Terrance McKinney W 2.05 2 2.10 $21.00 105% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.97 9.00 -2.88 $-28.80 -32%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Jessica Andrade vs Lauren Murphy Over 2.5 rounds W 1.91
  1.1 1.00 $10.00 91% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.10 1.00 $10.00 91%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.10 -1.88 $-18.80 -19%  

Invicta FC 51, Denver, 18th Jan '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Laura Gallardo Fatima Kline L 5.00 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Laura Gallardo Fatima Kline L 4.75 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   4.87 1.50 -1.50 $-15.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.50 -1.50 $-15.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov, Las Vegas, 14th Jan '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Sean Strickland Nassourdine Imavov W 2.20 1 1.20 $12.00 120% Bet Info
Damon Jackson Dan Ige L 2.24 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Raoni Barcelos Umar Nurmagomedov L 8.00 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Javid Basharat Mateus Mendonca W 1.32 2 0.65 $6.45 32% Bet Info
Abdul Razak Alhassan Claudio Ribeiro W 1.95 2.1 2.00 $20.00 95% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.18 8.10 0.85 $8.45 10%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Allan Nascimento vs Carlos Hernandez Over 2.5 rounds L 1.56
  1.8 -1.80 $-18.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Dan Ige vs Damon Jackson Under 2.5 rounds W 2.40
  1 1.40 $14.00 140% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.80 -0.40 $-4.00 -14%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.90 0.45 $4.45 4%  

LFA 150, Minnesota, 13th Jan '23

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Mark Climaco Miguel Sanson W 1.55 2.5 1.38 $13.81 55% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Scott Writz Jalin Fuller L 2.40 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Wesley Schultz Dylan Budka L 2.85 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.13 4.50 -0.62 $-6.19 -14%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Dylan Budka vs Wesley Schultz Over 1.5 rounds W 1.74
  1.35 1.00 $10.00 74% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.35 1.00 $10.00 74%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.85 0.38 $3.81 7%  

Cage Warriors 148, London, 31st Dec '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Justin Barry Dario Bellandi L 2.10 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.10 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland, Las Vegas, 17th Dec '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jared Cannonier Sean Strickland W 1.91 1.1 1.00 $10.00 91% Bet Info
Damir Ismagulov Arman Tsarukyan L 2.55 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Cody Brundage Michal Oleksiejczuk L 3.40 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Said Nurmagomedov Saidyokub Kakhramonov W 2.04 1 1.04 $10.40 104% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
David Dvorak Manel Kape L 3.13 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.48 4.10 0.04 $0.40 1%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Sergey Morozov vs Journey Newson Over 2.5 rounds W 1.65
  2 1.29 $12.90 65% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Bryan Battle vs Rinat Fakhretdinov Over 2.5 rounds W 1.63
  2 1.25 $12.50 63% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   4.00 2.54 $25.40 64%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   8.10 2.58 $25.80 32%  

UFC 282, Las Vegas, 10th Dec '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jared Gordon Paddy Pimblett L 2.70 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Jared Gordon Paddy Pimblett L 3.25 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Dricus Du Plessis Darren Till W 1.79 2.5 1.98 $19.84 79% Bet Info
Jay Perrin Raul Rosas Jr L 3.25 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Jay Perrin Raul Rosas Jr L 3.25 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Jay Perrin Raul Rosas Jr L 3.10 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Joaquin Buckley Chris Curtis L 1.91 2.2 -2.20 $-22.00 -100% Bet Info
T.J. Brown Erik Silva W 2.36 2 2.72 $27.20 136% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.56 13.20 -4.00 $-39.96 -30%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Paddy Pimblett vs Jared Gordon Gordon wins by decision L 6.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Alexander Hernandez vs Billy Quarantillo Under 2.5 rounds W 2.55
  1 1.55 $15.50 155% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 0.55 $5.50 27%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.20 -3.45 $-34.46 -23%  

LFA 148, Commerce, 9th Dec '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Chris Brown Alfonso Leyva W 4.00 1 3.00 $30.00 300% Bet Info Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   4.00 1.00 3.00 $30.00 300%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.00 3.00 $30.00 300%  

Bellator 289, Uncasville, 9th Dec '22

  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Magomed Magomedov vs Patrick Mix Over 4.5 rounds L 1.75
  1.33 -1.33 $-13.30 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Cody Law vs Chris Lencioni Under 2.5 rounds L 2.35
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.33 -2.33 $-23.30 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.33 -2.33 $-23.30 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland, Orlando, 3rd Dec '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jack Hermansson Roman Dolidze L 1.56 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Emily Ducote Angela Hill L 1.83 1.2 -1.20 $-12.00 -100% Bet Info
Scott Holtzman Clay Guida L 1.67 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Marc Diakiese Michael Johnson L 1.44 2.5 -2.50 $-25.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Marcelo Rojo Francis Marshall L 2.50 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Istela Nunes Yazmin Jauregui L 3.70 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.90 10.70 -10.70 $-107.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Natan Levy vs Genaro Valdez Under 2.5 rounds L 1.65
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Stephen Thompson vs Kevin Holland Thompson wins by decision L 5.00
  1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Darren Elkins vs Jonathan Pearce Over 2.5 rounds W 2.00
  1 1.00 $10.00 100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   4.50 -2.50 $-25.00 -56%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.20 -13.20 $-132.00 -87%  

PFL 2022 #10, New York, 25th Nov '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Brendan Loughnane Bubba Jenkins W 1.65 2 1.29 $12.90 65% Bet Info
Omari Akhmedov Rob Wilkinson L 2.80 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Biaggio Ali Walsh Tom Graesser W 1.27 3 0.81 $8.11 27% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.71 7.00 0.10 $1.01 1%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   7.00 0.10 $1.01 1%  

UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba, Las Vegas, 19th Nov '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Danny Roberts Jack Della Maddalena L 6.00 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Jennifer Maia Maryna Moroz W 2.70 1 1.70 $17.00 170% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Vincent Morales Miles Johns L 2.50 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Ricky Turcios Kevin Natividad W 1.68 2 1.35 $13.51 68% Bet Info
Vanessa Demopoulos Maria Oliveira W 2.06 1 1.06 $10.60 106% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.48 6.00 2.11 $21.11 35%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Chase Sherman Over 1.5 rounds W 1.71
  2 1.43 $14.29 71% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 1.43 $14.29 71%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   8.00 3.54 $35.40 44%  

Bellator 288, Chicago, Illinois, 18th Nov '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Killys Mota Jairo Pacheco W 1.59 2 1.18 $11.76 59% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.59 2.00 1.18 $11.76 59%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 1.18 $11.76 59%  

UFC 281, New York, 12th Nov '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Israel Adesanya Alex Pereira L 1.57 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Carla Esparza Weili Zhang L 4.00 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Michael Chandler Dustin Poirier L 2.94 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Daniel Hooker Claudio Puelles W 1.65 3.1 2.00 $20.00 65% Bet Info
Matt Frevola Ottman Azaitar W 2.35 2 2.70 $27.00 135% Bet Info
Silvana Gomez Juarez Karolina Kowalkiewicz L 1.95 1.05 -1.05 $-10.50 -100% Bet Info
Carlos Ulberg Nick Negumereanu W 1.83 1.2 1.00 $10.00 83% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.11 12.85 -0.85 $-8.50 -7%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Frankie Edgar vs Chris Gutierrez Over 2.5 rounds L 1.64
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   14.85 -2.85 $-28.50 -19%  

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos, Las Vegas, 5th Nov '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Tagir Ulanbekov Nathan Maness W 1.56 2 1.11 $11.11 56% Bet Info
Mario Bautista Benito Lopez W 1.44 2.25 1.00 $10.00 44% Bet Info
Polyana Viana Jinh Yu Frey W 2.00 1 1.00 $10.00 100% Bet Info
Carlos Candelario Jake Hadley L 3.40 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.88 5.75 2.61 $26.11 45%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Darrick Minner vs Yilan Sha Under 2.5 rounds W 1.77
  3 2.31 $23.08 77% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 2.31 $23.08 77%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   8.75 4.92 $49.19 56%  

Cage Warriors 145, London, 4th Nov '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Josh Reed Ryan Shelley L 2.85 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.85 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen, Las Vegas, 29th Oct '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Calvin Kattar Arnold Allen L 2.00 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Jared Vanderaa Waldo Cortes-Acosta L 2.87 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Khalil Rountree Dustin Jacoby W 2.70 2 3.40 $34.00 170% Bet Info
Marcos Rogerio de Lima Andrei Arlovski W 1.80 4 3.20 $32.00 80% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.25 9.50 3.10 $31.00 33%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   9.50 3.10 $31.00 33%  

Bellator 287, Milan, 29th Oct '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Nicolo Solli Bourama Camara W 2.12 1.5 1.68 $16.80 112% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.12 1.50 1.68 $16.80 112%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.50 1.68 $16.80 112%  



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