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Straight Pick Stats
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|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
34 (8%) |
25 |
74 % |
59.90 |
4.88 |
0.14 |
8% |
Slight Favorites |
149 (34%) |
84 |
56 % |
164.44 |
7.35 |
0.05 |
4% |
Slight Underdogs |
165 (38%) |
68 |
41 % |
128.45 |
14.61 |
0.09 |
11% |
Big Underdogs |
90 (21%) |
29 |
32 % |
55.83 |
7.02 |
0.08 |
13% |
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Progress Chart
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Click here to view breakdown of straight picks |
domadilla 's MMA Handicapper Bio
|
I have been following UFC since the early days (no gloves!). I am primarily a value bettor - this means I'm generally looking for skewed odds and I usually bet when I think the odds are off due to factors such as recency bias or fighter popularity.
Note on my general pick methodology:
- Starting point is the statistics on ufcstats.com for fighters with >5 but ideally >10 fights
- Second port of call is tape study to better understand the paths to victory for each fighter
- If no definitive conclusion then take insights/information from the community/pods
- Revisit initial picks and line movement throughout the week
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Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by domadilla |
Props and Parlays |
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Unit
Bet |
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1 |
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0.5 |
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1 |
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0.5 |
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0.5 |
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0.5 |
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1.2 |
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0.5 |
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UFC 315, Montreal, Quebec, 10th May '25
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domadilla 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
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Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Su Mudaerji vs Mitch Raposo |
Mudaerji to win |
W |
1.62 |
Pi |
Chase Hooper vs Jim Miller |
Hooper to win |
W |
1.15 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.86 |
|
|
1 |
0.86 |
$8.63 |
86% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Dan Ige vs Sean Woodson |
Ige (scorecards = no action) |
W |
1.50 |
|
|
1.5 |
0.75 |
$7.50 |
50% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Dominick Reyes vs Nikita Krylov |
Reyes (scorecards = no action) |
W |
3.00 |
|
|
0.75 |
1.50 |
$15.00 |
200% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.25 |
3.11 |
$31.13 |
96% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.50 |
8.11 |
$81.13 |
85% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Brad Tavares vs Gerald Meerschaert |
Meerschaert (scorecards = no action) |
NA |
1.87 |
|
|
0.75 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Robert Valentin vs Torrez Finney |
Finney to win |
W |
1.36 |
Pi |
Josh Emmett vs Lerone Murphy |
Murphy to win |
W |
1.33 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.81 |
|
|
0.75 |
0.61 |
$6.07 |
81% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Robert Valentin vs Torrez Finney |
Finney wins inside distance |
L |
2.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Josh Emmett vs Lerone Murphy |
Murphy (scorecards = no action) |
NA |
1.71 |
|
|
1 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Brad Tavares vs Gerald Meerschaert |
Meerschaert (scorecards = no action) |
NA |
1.95 |
|
|
0.25 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
0.36 |
$3.57 |
12% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.30 |
1.76 |
$17.64 |
41% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Raul Rosas Jr vs Vincent Morales |
Rosas Jr to win |
W |
1.33 |
Pi |
Jamall Emmers vs Gabriel Miranda |
Emmers to win |
W |
1.36 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.81 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.40 |
$4.04 |
81% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Julia Polastri vs Lupita Godinez |
Godinez to win |
W |
1.53 |
Pi |
Brandon Moreno vs Steve Erceg |
Moreno to win |
W |
1.53 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.34 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.67 |
$6.70 |
134% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Brandon Moreno vs Steve Erceg |
Moreno wins in round 4,5 or by Dec |
W |
1.91 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.46 |
$4.55 |
91% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Brandon Moreno vs Steve Erceg |
Moreno wins in round 4,5 or by Dec |
W |
1.91 |
|
|
1 |
0.91 |
$9.10 |
91% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.50 |
2.44 |
$24.40 |
98% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.00 |
3.43 |
$34.30 |
86% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Leon Edwards vs Sean Brady |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
2.40 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.70 |
$7.00 |
140% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Marcin Tybura vs Michael Parkin |
(scorecards = no action) |
NA |
2.10 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
0.70 |
$7.00 |
70% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.50 |
0.33 |
$3.30 |
7% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.00 |
2.57 |
$25.70 |
86% |
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|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Rei Tsuruya vs Joshua Van |
Van to win |
W |
1.53 |
Pi |
Bobby Green vs Mauricio Ruffy |
Ruffy to win |
W |
1.20 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.84 |
|
|
1 |
0.84 |
$8.36 |
84% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Alex Pereira vs Magomed Ankalaev |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.62 |
|
|
1.5 |
0.93 |
$9.30 |
62% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.50 |
1.77 |
$17.66 |
71% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.00 |
4.27 |
$42.66 |
71% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Ricardo Ramos vs Jose Mariscal |
Mariscal to win |
W |
1.22 |
Pi |
Danny Barlow vs Sam Patterson |
Barlow to win |
L |
1.33 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.62 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
2.75 |
-2.75 |
$-27.50 |
-100% |
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|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Brendan Allen vs Anthony Hernandez |
Hernandez to win |
W |
1.33 |
Pi |
Rob Font vs Jean Matsumoto |
Matsumoto to win |
L |
1.67 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.22 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Modestas Bukauskas vs Raffael Cerqueira |
Over 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.90 |
Pi |
Nursulton Ruziboev vs Eric McConico |
Ruziboev to win |
W |
1.36 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.58 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
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|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Brendan Allen vs Anthony Hernandez |
Hernandez to win |
W |
1.33 |
Pr |
Ion Cutelaba vs Ibo Aslan |
Over 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.90 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.53 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Brendan Allen vs Anthony Hernandez |
Hernandez wins by decision |
W |
2.30 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.65 |
$6.50 |
130% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Henry Cejudo vs Yadong Song |
Song wins in round 4,5 or by Dec |
L |
1.91 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Ricky Simon vs Javid Basharat |
Simon wins by split / majority decision |
L |
8.50 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.60 |
-2.45 |
$-24.50 |
-68% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.85 |
-1.39 |
$-13.95 |
-29% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Jared Cannonier vs Gregory Rodrigues |
Rodrigues to win |
L |
1.44 |
Pi |
Calvin Kattar vs Youssef Zalal |
Zalal to win |
W |
1.22 |
Pi |
Julia Avila vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti |
Cavalcanti to win |
W |
1.20 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.11 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Jared Cannonier vs Gregory Rodrigues |
Rodrigues wins inside distance |
L |
1.80 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Ismael Bonfim vs Nazim Sadykhov |
Sadykhov (scorecards = no action) |
W |
2.30 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.65 |
$6.50 |
130% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.50 |
-1.35 |
$-13.50 |
-54% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.75 |
-2.85 |
$-28.50 |
-60% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.25 |
-0.18 |
$-1.80 |
-2% |
|
ACA 183, Krasnodar,
8th Feb '25 |
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Abubakar Vagaev vs Albert Tumenov |
Over 0.5 rounds |
W |
2.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.50 |
$5.00 |
100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
$5.00 |
100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
$5.00 |
100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Israel Adesanya vs Nassourdine Imavov |
Adesanya wins in round 4,5 or by Dec |
L |
2.20 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Mayra Bueno Silva |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
L |
3.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Sergey Pavlovich vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
Fight starts round 2 |
W |
2.10 |
|
|
0.25 |
0.28 |
$2.75 |
110% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
-0.47 |
$-4.75 |
-47% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.75 |
-1.35 |
$-13.50 |
-36% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Kevin Holland vs Reinier de Ridder |
de Ridder (scorecards = no action) |
W |
2.10 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.55 |
$5.50 |
110% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
0.50 |
0.55 |
$5.50 |
110% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
2.75 |
1.15 |
$11.50 |
42% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Punahele Soriano vs Uros Medic |
Soriano (scorecards = no action) |
W |
2.88 |
|
|
1 |
1.88 |
$18.80 |
188% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Amanda Ribas vs Mackenzie Dern |
Ribas wins in round 4,5 or by Dec |
L |
1.84 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Chris Curtis vs Roman Kopylov |
Curtis (scorecards = no action) |
L |
2.10 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.00 |
0.88 |
$8.80 |
44% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.00 |
1.72 |
$17.25 |
43% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Adrian Yanez vs Daniel Marcos |
Yanez (scorecards = no action) |
NA |
2.40 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Michael Johnson vs Ottman Azaitar |
Azaitar (scorecards = no action) |
L |
2.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Colby Covington vs Joaquin Buckley |
Covington wins in round 4,5 or by Dec |
L |
4.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Adrian Yanez vs Daniel Marcos |
Yanez (scorecards = no action) |
NA |
2.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.75 |
-0.75 |
$-7.50 |
-43% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
2.50 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-60% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Ian Garry |
Rakhmonov to win |
W |
1.30 |
Pi |
Bryce Mitchell vs Kron Gracie |
Mitchell to win |
W |
1.18 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.53 |
|
|
2 |
1.07 |
$10.68 |
53% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Ian Garry |
Fight starts round 3 |
W |
1.57 |
|
|
3 |
1.71 |
$17.10 |
57% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Alexandre Pantoja vs Kai Asakura |
Fight starts round 2 |
W |
1.30 |
Pr |
Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Ian Garry |
Fight starts round 2 |
W |
1.25 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.63 |
|
|
3 |
1.88 |
$18.75 |
63% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
8.00 |
4.65 |
$46.53 |
58% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
12.00 |
2.28 |
$22.83 |
19% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Kenan Song |
Muslim Salikhov |
L |
2.88 |
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.88 |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Petr Yan vs Deiveson Figueiredo |
Yan wins in round 4,5 or by Dec |
W |
1.83 |
|
|
1 |
0.83 |
$8.30 |
83% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Petr Yan vs Deiveson Figueiredo |
Yan to win |
W |
1.40 |
Pi |
Yan Xiaonan vs Tabatha Ricci |
Xiaonan to win |
W |
1.50 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.10 |
|
|
1 |
1.10 |
$11.00 |
110% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.00 |
1.93 |
$19.30 |
96% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
2.50 |
1.43 |
$14.30 |
57% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.50 |
-0.68 |
$-6.75 |
-12% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Marc-Andre Barriault vs Dustin Stoltzfus |
Barriault to win |
L |
1.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
0.50 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
2.25 |
-1.35 |
$-13.50 |
-60% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Ilia Topuria vs Max Holloway |
Fight starts round 4 |
L |
1.80 |
|
|
1.5 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Geoff Neal vs Rafael dos Anjos |
Neal to win |
W |
1.33 |
Pi |
Myktybek Orolbai vs Mateusz Rebecki |
Orolbai to win |
L |
1.33 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.77 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Abusupiyan Magomedov vs Brunno Ferreira |
Ferreira (scorecards = no action) |
L |
2.10 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.00 |
-4.00 |
$-40.00 |
-100% |
|
>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history
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