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Straight Pick Stats
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Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
32 (9%) |
23 |
72 % |
57.90 |
3.88 |
0.12 |
7% |
Slight Favorites |
129 (36%) |
72 |
56 % |
146.69 |
7.38 |
0.06 |
5% |
Slight Underdogs |
134 (37%) |
50 |
37 % |
107.20 |
6.39 |
0.05 |
6% |
Big Underdogs |
66 (18%) |
23 |
35 % |
45.53 |
10.22 |
0.15 |
22% |
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Progress Chart
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Click here to view breakdown of straight picks |
domadilla 's MMA Handicapper Bio
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I have been following UFC since the early days (no gloves!). I am primarily a value bettor - this means I'm generally looking for skewed odds and I usually bet when I think the odds are off due to factors such as recency bias or fighter popularity.
Note on my general pick methodology:
- Starting point is the statistics on ufcstats.com for fighters with >5 but ideally >10 fights
- Second port of call is tape study to better understand the paths to victory for each fighter
- If no definitive conclusion then take insights/information from the community/pods
- Revisit initial picks and line movement throughout the week
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Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by domadilla |
This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights. |
domadilla 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
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Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Marc-Andre Barriault vs Dustin Stoltzfus |
Barriault to win |
L |
1.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
0.50 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
2.25 |
-1.35 |
$-13.50 |
-60% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Ilia Topuria vs Max Holloway |
Fight starts round 4 |
L |
1.80 |
|
|
1.5 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Geoff Neal vs Rafael dos Anjos |
Neal to win |
W |
1.33 |
Pi |
Myktybek Orolbai vs Mateusz Rebecki |
Orolbai to win |
L |
1.33 |
|
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Parlay Odds: |
1.77 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Abusupiyan Magomedov vs Brunno Ferreira |
Ferreira (scorecards = no action) |
L |
2.10 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.00 |
-4.00 |
$-40.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Darren Elkins |
Daniel Pineda |
W |
2.00 |
0.5 |
0.50 |
$5.00 |
100% |
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Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.00 |
0.50 |
0.50 |
$5.00 |
100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
$5.00 |
100% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Pat Sabatini |
Jonathan Pearce |
W |
2.60 |
0.6 |
0.96 |
$9.60 |
160% |
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Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.60 |
0.60 |
0.96 |
$9.60 |
160% |
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|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Niko Price vs Themba Gorimbo |
Gorimbo to win |
W |
1.30 |
Pi |
Brandon Royval vs Tatsuro Taira |
Taira to win |
L |
1.33 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.73 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
1.60 |
-0.04 |
$-0.40 |
-3% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Alex Pereira vs Khalil Rountree |
Rountree wins by TKO/KO |
L |
6.60 |
|
|
0.15 |
-0.15 |
$-1.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Carla Esparza vs Tecia Torres |
Torres wins by decision |
W |
1.85 |
|
|
0.25 |
0.21 |
$2.13 |
85% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Jose Aldo vs Mario Bautista |
Bautista (scorecards = no action) |
NA |
1.60 |
|
|
1 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.40 |
0.06 |
$0.63 |
4% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.40 |
-0.03 |
$-0.28 |
-0% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Brendan Allen vs Nassourdine Imavov |
Allen (scorecards = no action) |
NA |
3.25 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Matt Frevola vs Fares Ziam |
Frevola (scorecards = no action) |
L |
2.10 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-50% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
-0.85 |
$-8.55 |
-17% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.50 |
0.96 |
$9.60 |
21% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Gilbert Burns vs Sean Brady |
Brady wins by KO/TKO or Sub |
L |
3.20 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
0.50 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.50 |
2.02 |
$20.15 |
58% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Jack Jenkins vs Herbert Burns |
Jenkins to win |
W |
1.20 |
Pi |
Michael Morales vs Neil Magny |
Morales to win |
W |
1.20 |
Pi |
Edmen Shahbazyan vs Gerald Meerschaert |
Shahbazyan to win |
L |
1.36 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.96 |
|
|
1.5 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.50 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.00 |
-2.07 |
$-20.65 |
-69% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jack Jenkins vs Herbert Burns |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
2.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.50 |
$5.00 |
100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
$5.00 |
100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.00 |
3.68 |
$36.80 |
92% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Karol Rosa vs Pannie Kianzad |
Rosa to win |
W |
1.50 |
Pi |
Karl Williams vs Jhonata Diniz |
Williams to win |
L |
1.50 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.25 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
0.50 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-5% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.03 |
-1.91 |
$-19.06 |
-27% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Michael Parkin vs Lukasz Brzeski |
Parkin to win |
W |
1.36 |
Pi |
Kiefer Crosbie vs Sam Patterson |
Patterson to win |
W |
1.25 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.70 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.35 |
$3.50 |
70% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Tom Aspinall vs Curtis Blaydes |
Aspinall wins in round 1/2 |
W |
1.83 |
|
|
0.77 |
0.64 |
$6.39 |
83% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Tom Aspinall vs Curtis Blaydes |
Aspinall wins by (T)KO round 3 |
L |
15.00 |
|
|
0.23 |
-0.23 |
$-2.30 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Arnold Allen vs Giga Chikadze |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
2.50 |
|
|
0.27 |
-0.27 |
$-2.70 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.77 |
0.49 |
$4.89 |
28% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.97 |
-0.11 |
$-1.11 |
-3% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.00 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Muslim Salikhov |
Ponzinibbio to win |
L |
1.50 |
Pi |
Joshua Van vs Charles Johnson |
Van to win |
L |
1.50 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.25 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
0.50 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.25 |
-1.55 |
$-15.50 |
-48% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Ricky Simon vs Vinicius de Oliveira |
Simon to win |
L |
1.40 |
Pi |
Andrei Arlovski vs Martin Buday |
Buday to win |
W |
1.36 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.90 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Macy Chiasson vs Mayra Bueno Silva |
Bueno Silva (scorecards = no action) |
L |
1.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Macy Chiasson vs Mayra Bueno Silva |
Bueno Silva (scorecards = no action) |
L |
1.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.50 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.00 |
-6.00 |
$-60.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Sergey Pavlovich vs Alexander Volkov |
Fight ends in R2 |
L |
5.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Sergey Pavlovich vs Alexander Volkov |
Fight ends in R3 |
L |
8.50 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Rinat Fakhretdinov vs Nicolas Dalby |
Fakhretdinov to win |
W |
1.30 |
Pr |
Muin Gafurov vs Kyung Ho Kang |
Fight starts round 2 |
W |
1.20 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.56 |
|
|
1 |
0.56 |
$5.60 |
56% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.75 |
-0.19 |
$-1.90 |
-11% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.75 |
2.34 |
$23.40 |
49% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Tatsuro Taira |
Alex Perez |
W |
1.58 |
1.2 |
0.70 |
$6.96 |
58% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.58 |
1.20 |
0.70 |
$6.96 |
58% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Jimmy Flick vs Nathan Maness |
Maness to win |
W |
1.20 |
Pr |
Miles Johns vs Douglas Silva de Andrade |
Fight starts round 3 |
W |
1.44 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.73 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.36 |
$3.64 |
73% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Jimmy Flick vs Nathan Maness |
Maness to win |
W |
1.20 |
Pr |
Brady Hiestand vs Garrett Armfield |
Fight starts round 2 |
W |
1.25 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.25 |
$2.50 |
50% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Alex Perez vs Tatsuro Taira |
Taira wins inside distance |
W |
2.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.50 |
$5.00 |
100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.50 |
1.11 |
$11.14 |
74% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
2.70 |
1.81 |
$18.10 |
67% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
2.00 |
2.32 |
$23.20 |
116% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
1.25 |
-0.42 |
$-4.25 |
-34% |
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>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history
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