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MMA Handicapper Profile: Josh P

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Josh P (DogWatch247) VIP Supporter


MMA MHandicapper - Josh  P

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 31 (47%) Right 28 (54%) Right 3 (30%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 35 (53%) Wrong 24 (46%) Wrong 7 (70%) Wrong 4 (100%)
Avg Odds 2.31 Avg Odds 2.12 Avg Odds 3.71 Avg Odds 3.05
Units Bet 222.2 Units Bet 187.3 Units Bet 27.4 Units Bet 7.5
Avg Bet 3.37 Avg Bet 3.60 Avg Bet 2.74 Avg Bet 1.88
Units Profit 33.26 Units Profit 31.10 Units Profit 9.66 Units Profit -7.50
ROI % 15% ROI % 17% ROI % 35% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 4 (8%) 3 75 % 24.00 3.55 0.89 15%
Slight Favorites 17 (33%) 10 59 % 67.80 3.25 0.19 5%
Slight Underdogs 24 (46%) 14 58 % 86.00 30.45 1.27 35%
Big Underdogs 7 (13%) 1 14 % 9.50 -6.15 -0.88 -65%
 

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Josh P's MMA Handicapper Bio

I'm Josh P and I have been hooked on MMA especially the UFC since I accidentally watched George St Pierre v Bj Penn countdown show in 2009. I don't miss any UFC events and will occasionally watch other shows typically won't bet them however.

I believe in betting the proper line and never reaching outside of -140 unless I really like the bet. I try to find value in underdogs imparticular the ones I feel the oddsmakers made the incorrect line, hence the name DogWatch.

I'm sitting at 22-20 on straight picks and 25-27 overall BUT IM STILL PROFITING that is because my betting style is proving to be successful over time, at the time of this writing I have bet 200 Units an profited 33 UNITS which is 17% ROI.

I'm not happy with the results I would like to win at a 60% rate that is the goal as well as going from my current 50$ Unit and one day a few years from now be playing 500$ UNITS and changing lines!!  

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Josh P

UFC Fight Night 134, Hamburg, Germany, 22nd Jul '18

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Stefan Struve Marcin Tybura 3.10 1 MMA Bookmaker
Corey Anderson Glover Teixeira 2.85 1.5 MMA Bookmaker



UFC on Fox 30, Alberta, Canada, 28th Jul '18

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Dustin Poirier Eddie Alvarez 1.77 4 MMA Bookmaker



UFC 227, Los Angeles, CA, 4th Aug '18

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Cody Garbrandt T.J. Dillashaw 2.15 4 MMA Bookmaker
Derek Brunson Antonio Carlos Junior 1.74 4 View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Josh P's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


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UFC Fight Night 133, Boise, Idaho, 14th Jul '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Myles Jury Chad Mendes L 3.10 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Darren Elkins Alex Volkanovski L 3.85 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Cat Zingano Marion Reneau W 1.95 1.5 1.43 $14.29 95% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Niko Price Randy Brown W 2.07 1 1.07 $10.70 107% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.54 4.50 0.50 $4.99 11%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.50 0.50 $4.99 11%  

UFC 226, Las Vegas, Nevada, 7th Jul '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Daniel Cormier Stipe Miocic W 3.35 1 2.35 $23.50 235% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Gokhan Saki Khalil Rountree L 1.69 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Raphael Assuncao Rob Font W 1.61 1.5 0.91 $9.15 61% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Drakkar Klose Lando Vannata W 2.65 1.5 2.47 $24.75 165% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Gilbert Burns Daniel Hooker L 2.50 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.18 9.00 0.74 $7.40 8%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Lando Vannata vs Drakkar Klose Klose to win W 2.60
Pi Daniel Hooker vs Gilbert Burns Burns to win L 2.50
    Parlay Odds:   6.50
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Daniel Cormier vs Stipe Miocic Cormier wins by split / majority decision L 12.45
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Gokhan Saki vs Khalil Rountree Saki to win L 1.69
Pi Francis Ngannou vs Derrick Lewis Ngannou to win L 1.27
    Parlay Odds:   2.15
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Raphael Assuncao vs Rob Font Assuncao to win W 1.61
Pi Gokhan Saki vs Khalil Rountree Saki to win L 1.74
    Parlay Odds:   2.80
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   14.00 -4.26 $-42.60 -30%  

TUF 27 Finale, Las Vegas, 7th Jul '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Israel Adesanya Brad Tavares W 1.89 4 3.57 $35.71 89% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.89 4.00 3.57 $35.71 89%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 3.57 $35.71 89%  

UFC Fight Night 132, Singapore, 23rd Jun '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Leon Edwards Donald Cerrone W 1.67 6 4.00 $40.00 67% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Tyson Pedro Ovince St Preux L 1.77 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Jessica Eye Jessica-Rose Clark W 2.30 2 2.60 $26.00 130% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.88 12.00 2.60 $26.00 22%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   12.00 2.60 $26.00 22%  

Cage Warriors 94, Antwerp, Belgium, 16th Jun '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Brian Bouland Ilia Topuria L 1.74 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.74 1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  

UFC 225, Chicago, IL, 9th Jun '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Colby Covington Rafael dos Anjos W 2.00 5 5.00 $50.00 100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Curtis Blaydes Alistair Overeem W 1.80 6 4.80 $48.00 80% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Sergio Pettis Joseph Benavidez W 2.85 3 5.55 $55.50 185% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.13 14.00 15.35 $153.50 110%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   14.00 15.35 $153.50 110%  

UFC Fight Night 131, Utica, NY, 1st Jun '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Ben Saunders Jake Ellenberger W 2.75 1 1.75 $17.50 175% Bet Info
Jarred Brooks Jose Torres L 2.55 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.65 3.00 -0.25 $-2.50 -8%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Gregor Gillespie vs Vinc Pichel Pichel wins by decision L 10.00
  0.38 -0.38 $-3.80 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Jimmie Rivera vs Marlon Moraes Rivera wins by decision L 2.50
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Nik Lentz vs David Teymur Lentz wins by submission L 13.75
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.63 -3.63 $-36.30 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.63 -3.88 $-38.80 -59%  

UFC Fight Night 130, Liverpool, UK, 27th May '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Stephen Thompson Darren Till L 1.59 6.8 -6.80 $-68.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Makwan Amirkhani Jason Knight W 2.35 3 4.05 $40.50 135% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.90 9.80 -2.75 $-27.50 -28%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Stephen Thompson vs Darren Till Thompson to win L 1.95
Pi Daniel Kelly vs Tom Breese Breese to win W 1.30
Pi Craig White vs Neil Magny Magny to win W 1.18
    Parlay Odds:   3.00
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Stephen Thompson vs Darren Till Thompson Someone wins by unanimous decision W 5.05
  2 8.10 $81.00 405% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 5.10 $51.00 102%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   14.80 2.35 $23.50 16%  

UFC Fight Night 129, Santiago, Chile, 19th May '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jared Cannonier Dominick Reyes L 3.10 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Zak Cummings Michel Prazeres L 2.05 6 -6.00 $-60.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.47 7.00 -7.00 $-70.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Kamaru Usman vs Demian Maia Usman wins inside distance L 1.69
  4.8 -4.80 $-48.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Kamaru Usman vs Demian Maia Maia wins by submission L 8.80
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.30 -5.30 $-53.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   12.30 -12.30 $-123.00 -100%  

UFC 224, Rio de Janeiro, 12th May '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Aleksei Oleinik Junior Albini W 1.80 3 2.40 $24.00 80% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Sean Strickland Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos L 2.10 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Thales Leites Jack Hermansson L 2.30 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.05 11.00 -5.60 $-56.00 -51%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Vitor Belfort vs Lyoto Machida Belfort Fight ends by (T)KO W 4.70
  2 7.40 $74.00 370% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 7.40 $74.00 370%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   13.00 1.80 $18.00 14%  

Bellator 198, Illinois, 28th Apr '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Fedor Emelianenko Frank Mir W 2.40 1.5 2.10 $21.00 140% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.40 1.50 2.10 $21.00 140%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.50 2.10 $21.00 140%  

UFC Fight Night 128, Atlantic City, NJ, 21st Apr '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Kevin Lee Edson Barboza W 1.80 4 3.20 $32.00 80% Bet Info
David Branch Thiago Santos W 2.75 2 3.50 $35.00 175% Bet Info
Aljamain Sterling Brett Johns W 2.14 4 4.56 $45.60 114% Bet Info
Corey Anderson Patrick Cummins W 1.87 4 3.48 $34.78 87% Bet Info
Tony Martin Keita Nakamura W 1.47 3 1.42 $14.22 47% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.92 17.00 16.16 $161.60 95%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   17.00 16.16 $161.60 95%  

UFC on Fox 29, Glendale, Arizona, 14th Apr '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Carlos Condit Alex Oliveira L 2.90 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Marvin Vettori Israel Adesanya L 3.25 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Krzysztof Jotko Brad Tavares L 2.55 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.87 6.50 -6.50 $-65.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.50 -6.50 $-65.00 -100%  

UFC 223, Brooklyn, New York, 7th Apr '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Rose Namajunas Joanna Jedrzejczyk W 2.20 3 3.60 $36.00 120% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Renato Moicano Calvin Kattar W 2.55 6 9.30 $93.00 155% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Felice Herrig Karolina Kowalkiewicz L 2.65 6 -6.00 $-60.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.45 15.00 6.90 $69.00 46%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 6.90 $69.00 46%  

UFC Fight Night 127, London, England, 17th Mar '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Alexander Volkov Fabricio Werdum W 2.85 6 11.10 $111.00 185% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.85 6.00 11.10 $111.00 185%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 11.10 $111.00 185%  

UFC 222, Las Vegas, 3rd Mar '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Yana Kunitskaya Cristiane Justino L 11.75 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Brian Ortega Frankie Edgar W 2.60 8 12.80 $128.00 160% Bet Info
Andre Soukhamthath Sean O'Malley L 1.69 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Stefan Struve Andrei Arlovski L 1.44 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Mackenzie Dern Ashley Yoder W 1.35 11 3.86 $38.60 35% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.00 28.00 7.66 $76.59 27%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   28.00 7.66 $76.59 27%  

UFC on Fox 28, Orlando, Florida, 24th Feb '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Josh Emmett Jeremy Stephens L 2.30 8 -8.00 $-80.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Eric Shelton Alex Perez L 2.10 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Manny Bermudez Albert Morales W 1.67 2 1.33 $13.33 67% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.99 12.00 -8.67 $-86.67 -72%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   12.00 -8.67 $-86.67 -72%  

UFC Fight Night 126, Austin, Texas, 18th Feb '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Donald Cerrone Yancy Medeiros W 1.74 8 5.93 $59.26 74% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.74 8.00 5.93 $59.26 74%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   8.00 5.93 $59.26 74%  

UFC 221, Perth, Australia, 10th Feb '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Luke Rockhold Yoel Romero L 1.71 6 -6.00 $-60.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.71 6.00 -6.00 $-60.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Yoel Romero vs Luke Rockhold Over 1.5 rounds W 1.60
  11 6.59 $65.87 60% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   11.00 6.59 $65.87 60%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   17.00 0.59 $5.87 3%  

UFC Fight Night 125, Belem, Brazil, 4th Feb '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Desmond Green Michel Prazeres L 2.35 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Thiago Santos Anthony Smith W 1.38 6 2.26 $22.64 38% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Joseph Morales Deiveson Figueiredo L 1.83 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.77 12.00 -3.74 $-37.36 -31%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Desmond Green vs Michel Prazeres Green to win L 2.05
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 -6.74 $-67.36 -45%  

 
 
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