|
|
Straight Pick Stats
|
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
4 (4%) |
3 |
75 % |
18.20 |
2.55 |
0.64 |
14% |
Slight Favorites |
45 (47%) |
22 |
49 % |
125.41 |
-12.84 |
-0.29 |
-10% |
Slight Underdogs |
40 (42%) |
15 |
38 % |
84.88 |
-17.12 |
-0.43 |
-20% |
Big Underdogs |
7 (7%) |
2 |
29 % |
5.50 |
-0.58 |
-0.08 |
-10% |
|
Progress Chart
|
Click here to view breakdown of straight picks |
Brett Johnson MMA's MMA Handicapper Bio
|
Started making picks seriously in May of 2021 (UFC 262). I watch tape, find trends, dive into stats, and read what well-respected cappers are doing. I am on a 1-5u scale (1-5% of bankroll). I do not provide breakdowns on here, but I do on my twitter. Good luck!
*32 Red Sport is either Barstool Sportbook or Pointsbet
Twitter: @octagoninvest |
Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Brett Johnson MMA |
UFC 276, Las Vegas, 2nd Jul '22
Props and Parlays |
|
|
Unit
Bet |
|
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
Odds |
Pr |
Glover Teixeira vs Jiri Prochazka |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
1.20 |
Pi |
Sean O'Malley vs Pedro Munhoz |
O'Malley to win |
1.42 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.70 |
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
Brett Johnson MMA's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
|
Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Umar Nurmagomedov vs Nathan Maness |
Nurmagomedov wins inside distance |
L |
1.67 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.00 |
-6.86 |
$-68.55 |
-46% |
|
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Julian Marquez vs Gregory Rodrigues |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.69 |
|
|
5 |
3.45 |
$34.48 |
69% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.00 |
3.45 |
$34.48 |
69% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
3.45 |
$34.48 |
69% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Clay Guida |
Claudio Puelles |
L |
1.91 |
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.91 |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jordan Wright vs Marc-Andre Barriault |
Fight ends by (T)KO |
L |
1.87 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Maycee Barber vs Montana De La Rosa |
De La Rosa wins by decision |
L |
3.75 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.00 |
-4.00 |
$-40.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.00 |
-7.00 |
$-70.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Gilbert Burns vs Khamzat Chimaev |
Chimaev wins by TKO/KO |
L |
2.65 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Mackenzie Dern vs Tecia Torres |
Torres wins by decision |
L |
2.60 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.00 |
-6.00 |
$-60.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.00 |
-15.00 |
$-150.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Elise Reed vs Cory McKenna |
McKenna to win |
L |
1.38 |
Pr |
Jai Herbert vs Ilia Topuria |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.29 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.78 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Paddy Pimblett vs Rodrigo Vargas |
Pimblett wins in round 1/2 |
W |
1.78 |
|
|
3 |
2.33 |
$23.26 |
78% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Gunnar Nelson vs Takashi Sato |
Nelson wins inside distance |
L |
1.67 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
9.00 |
-3.67 |
$-36.74 |
-41% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
16.00 |
-10.67 |
$-106.74 |
-67% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Sabina Mazo vs Miranda Maverick |
Mazo wins by decision |
L |
5.60 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Khalil Rountree vs Karl Roberson |
Roberson wins by submission |
L |
11.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Marlon Moraes vs Yadong Song |
Song wins in round 3/Dec |
L |
3.25 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Thiago Santos vs Magomed Ankalaev |
Ankalaev to win |
W |
1.18 |
Pr |
Drew Dober vs Terrance McKinney |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
W |
1.40 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.65 |
|
|
5 |
3.27 |
$32.73 |
65% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Thiago Santos vs Magomed Ankalaev |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
1.73 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Thiago Santos vs Magomed Ankalaev |
Ankalaev wins inside distance |
L |
2.10 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
12.50 |
-4.23 |
$-42.27 |
-34% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
18.50 |
-3.18 |
$-31.77 |
-17% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Colby Covington vs Jorge Masvidal |
Covington wins in round 4,5 or by Dec |
W |
1.67 |
|
|
3 |
2.00 |
$20.00 |
67% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Greg Hardy vs Sergey Spivak |
Hardy wins in round 1 |
L |
6.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Brian Kelleher vs Umar Nurmagomedov |
Nurmagomedov wins by KO/TKO or Sub |
W |
2.22 |
|
|
3 |
3.66 |
$36.60 |
122% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.50 |
5.16 |
$51.60 |
79% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
12.50 |
-0.84 |
$-8.40 |
-7% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Arman Tsarukyan vs Joel Alvarez |
Tsarukyan to win |
W |
1.47 |
Pi |
Ramiz Brahimaj vs Micheal Gillmore |
Brahimaj to win |
W |
1.29 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.90 |
|
|
3 |
2.69 |
$26.88 |
90% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Ramiz Brahimaj vs Micheal Gillmore |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.69 |
|
|
3 |
2.07 |
$20.69 |
69% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.00 |
4.76 |
$47.57 |
79% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
12.00 |
12.14 |
$121.37 |
101% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Gabriel Benitez |
David Onama |
L |
2.40 |
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.40 |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Joaquin Buckley vs Abdul Razak Alhassan |
Alhassan wins by (T)KO round 1 |
L |
5.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Christian Rodriguez vs Jonathan Pearce |
Pearce to win |
W |
1.29 |
Pr |
Johnny Walker vs Jamahal Hill |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
W |
1.23 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.60 |
|
|
4 |
2.38 |
$23.80 |
60% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.50 |
1.88 |
$18.80 |
42% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.50 |
-1.12 |
$-11.20 |
-15% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Carlos Ulberg vs Fabio Cherant |
Ulberg to win |
W |
1.41 |
Pr |
AJ Dobson vs Jacob Malkoun |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
1.55 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.18 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
17.00 |
-5.70 |
$-57.01 |
-34% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Bryan Battle |
Tresean Gore |
W |
2.45 |
3 |
4.35 |
$43.50 |
145% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.45 |
3.00 |
4.35 |
$43.50 |
145% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Carlston Harris |
Rakhmonov wins inside distance |
W |
2.00 |
|
|
3 |
3.00 |
$30.00 |
100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
3.00 |
$30.00 |
100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.00 |
7.35 |
$73.50 |
123% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Victor Henry vs Raoni Barcelos |
Barcelos to win |
L |
1.20 |
Pi |
Tony Gravely vs Saimon Oliveira |
Gravely to win |
W |
1.40 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.67 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jack Della Maddalena vs Pete Rodriguez |
Fight ends in round 1/2 |
W |
1.40 |
Pr |
Cody Stamann vs Said Nurmagomedov |
Fight starts round 3 |
L |
1.25 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.75 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Cody Stamann vs Said Nurmagomedov |
Stamann wins by decision |
L |
3.60 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Victor Henry vs Raoni Barcelos |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.00 |
|
|
3 |
3.00 |
$30.00 |
100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
10.00 |
-4.00 |
$-40.00 |
-40% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
16.00 |
-2.35 |
$-23.50 |
-15% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Court McGee |
Ramiz Brahimaj |
W |
1.87 |
3 |
2.61 |
$26.09 |
87% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.87 |
3.00 |
2.61 |
$26.09 |
87% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Dakota Bush vs Viacheslav Borshchev |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.67 |
|
|
3 |
2.00 |
$20.00 |
67% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Katlyn Chookagian vs Jennifer Maia |
Chookagian wins by decision |
W |
1.80 |
|
|
3 |
2.40 |
$24.00 |
80% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.00 |
4.40 |
$44.00 |
73% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.00 |
7.01 |
$70.09 |
78% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Derrick Lewis vs Chris Daukaus |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.22 |
Pr |
Raphael Assuncao vs Ricky Simon |
Over 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.29 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.57 |
|
|
4 |
-4.00 |
$-40.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.00 |
-4.00 |
$-40.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.00 |
-1.78 |
$-17.78 |
-22% |
|
UFC 269, Las Vegas,
11th Dec '21 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Pedro Munhoz |
Dominick Cruz |
L |
1.91 |
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.91 |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Sean O'Malley vs Raulian Paiva |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.80 |
|
|
3 |
2.40 |
$24.00 |
80% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Sean O'Malley vs Raulian Paiva |
O'Malley to win |
W |
1.30 |
PrPi |
Amanda Nunes vs Julianna Pena |
Nunes wins inside distance |
L |
1.36 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.77 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
8.00 |
-2.60 |
$-26.00 |
-33% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
11.00 |
-5.60 |
$-56.00 |
-51% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Chris Curtis vs Brendan Allen |
Allen to win |
L |
1.27 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Manel Kape vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
Kape to win |
W |
1.36 |
Pr |
Rob Font vs Jose Aldo |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.34 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.83 |
|
|
3 |
2.50 |
$25.02 |
83% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.00 |
-0.50 |
$-4.98 |
-8% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
13.00 |
5.68 |
$56.80 |
44% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Miesha Tate vs Ketlen Vieira |
Vieira wins by decision |
W |
3.30 |
|
|
1 |
2.30 |
$23.00 |
230% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Yilan Sha vs Sean Soriano |
Soriano to win |
L |
1.36 |
Pi |
Manel Kape vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
Kape to win |
W |
1.48 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.01 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.00 |
-0.70 |
$-7.00 |
-18% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.00 |
0.18 |
$1.75 |
1% |
|
UFC FN, Las Vegas,
13th Nov '21 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Da Un Jung |
Kennedy Nzechukwu |
W |
1.77 |
4 |
3.08 |
$30.77 |
77% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.77 |
4.00 |
3.08 |
$30.77 |
77% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Thiago Moises vs Joel Alvarez |
Moises to win |
L |
1.39 |
Pr |
Cynthia Calvillo vs Andrea Lee |
Over 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.33 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.86 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Max Holloway vs Yair Rodriguez |
Fight goes the distance |
W |
2.04 |
|
|
3 |
3.12 |
$31.20 |
104% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.00 |
0.12 |
$1.20 |
2% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.00 |
3.20 |
$31.97 |
32% |
|
UFC 268, New York,
6th Nov '21 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Weili Zhang |
Rose Namajunas |
L |
1.88 |
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.88 |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Cory Sandhagen vs Petr Yan |
Yan to win |
W |
1.43 |
Pi |
Kamaru Usman vs Colby Covington |
Usman to win |
W |
1.33 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.89 |
|
|
5 |
4.46 |
$44.65 |
89% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Jordan Williams vs Ian Garry |
Garry to win |
W |
1.25 |
Pr |
Alex Pereira vs Andreas Michailidis |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.44 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.81 |
|
|
3 |
2.42 |
$24.17 |
81% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Frankie Edgar vs Marlon Vera |
Edgar wins by decision |
L |
3.60 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Edmen Shahbazyan vs Nassourdine Imavov |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.57 |
|
|
5 |
2.86 |
$28.57 |
57% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Melsik Bagdasaryan vs Bruno Souza |
Bagdasaryan wins by TKO/KO |
L |
2.80 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
17.00 |
5.74 |
$57.38 |
34% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
20.00 |
2.74 |
$27.38 |
14% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Li Jingliang vs Khamzat Chimaev |
Chimaev to win |
W |
1.29 |
Pi |
Magomed Ankalaev vs Volkan Oezdemir |
Ankalaev to win |
W |
1.34 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.73 |
|
|
5 |
3.65 |
$36.45 |
73% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Li Jingliang vs Khamzat Chimaev |
Chimaev wins in round 3 |
L |
11.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.50 |
3.15 |
$31.45 |
57% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.50 |
4.26 |
$42.58 |
45% |
|
>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history
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