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MMA Handicapper Profile: Positive Expectation

37 followers

Positive Expectation (skylightfoot)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Positive Expectation

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 29 (39%) Right 17 (40%) Right 12 (36%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 46 (61%) Wrong 25 (60%) Wrong 21 (64%) Wrong 0 (0%)
Avg Odds 2.83 Avg Odds 2.32 Avg Odds 3.94 Avg Odds 0.00
Units Bet 252.5 Units Bet 175.5 Units Bet 77.0 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 3.37 Avg Bet 4.18 Avg Bet 2.33 Avg Bet 0.00
Units Profit 50.16 Units Profit 4.61 Units Profit 45.55 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 20% ROI % 3% ROI % 59% ROI % 0%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (2%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Slight Favorites 15 (36%) 6 40 % 65.00 -20.69 -1.38 -32%
Slight Underdogs 15 (36%) 8 53 % 75.00 27.19 1.81 36%
Big Underdogs 11 (26%) 3 27 % 34.50 -0.89 -0.08 -3%
 

Progress Chart

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Positive Expectation's MMA Handicapper Bio

consistently beating the closing line

all picks for free unless exceptional value.
ie off market lines. Price to purchase adjusted accordingly.

 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Positive Expectation

This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights.

Positive Expectation's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno, Mexico City, 5th Aug '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Randa Markos Alexa Grasso L 2.35 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.35 4.00 -4.00 $-40.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 -4.00 $-40.00 -100%  

UFC 214, Anaheim, California, 29th Jul '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Daniel Cormier Jon Jones L 3.55 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Kailin Curran Alexandra Albu L 2.35 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.83 6.00 -6.00 $-60.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Cristiane Justino vs Tonya Evinger Fight starts round 2 W 2.85
  3 5.55 $55.50 185% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Kailin Curran vs Alexandra Albu Curran wins in round 3 L 34.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Cristiane Justino vs Tonya Evinger Over 1.5 rounds W 3.65
  3 7.95 $79.50 265% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Cristiane Justino vs Tonya Evinger Justino wins in round 2 L 7.65
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Cristiane Justino vs Tonya Evinger Evinger wins by submission L 26.00
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   8.50 11.00 $110.00 129%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   14.50 5.00 $50.00 34%  

UFC 213, Las Vegas, Nevada, 8th Jul '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Robert Whittaker Yoel Romero W 2.35 10 13.50 $135.00 135% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Alistair Overeem Fabricio Werdum W 1.80 5 4.00 $40.00 80% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.04 15.00 17.50 $175.00 117%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 17.50 $175.00 117%  

TUF Season 25 Finale, Las Vegas, Nevada, 7th Jul '17

  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Michael Johnson vs Justin Gaethje Johnson wins by decision L 9.50
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night 112, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, 25th Jun '17

  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi B.J. Penn vs Dennis Siver Penn wins by decision L 6.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  

Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva, New York, 24th Jun '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Matt Mitrione Fedor Emelianenko W 1.80 3 2.40 $24.00 80% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.80 3.00 2.40 $24.00 80%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Aaron Pico vs Zach Freeman Under 1.5 rounds W 2.20
  2 2.40 $24.00 120% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 2.40 $24.00 120%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 4.80 $48.00 96%  

UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis, Auckland, New Zealand, 10th Jun '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Mark Hunt Derrick Lewis W 2.20 10 12.00 $120.00 120% Bet Info
Damien Brown Vinc Pichel L 1.93 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Dominique Steele Luke Jumeau L 1.66 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.90 18.00 4.00 $40.00 22%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Tim Elliott vs Ben Nguyen Fight doesn't go to decision W 2.80
  5 9.00 $90.00 180% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 9.00 $90.00 180%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   23.00 13.00 $130.00 57%  

UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 3rd Jun '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jose Aldo Max Holloway L 1.93 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Oluwale Bamgbose Paulo Henrique Costa L 3.70 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Erick Silva Yancy Medeiros L 2.25 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Raphael Assuncao Marlon Moraes W 2.60 3 4.80 $48.00 160% Bet Info
Johnny Eduardo Matthew Lopez L 2.91 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.55 15.50 -7.70 $-77.00 -50%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Jose Aldo vs Max Holloway Aldo wins by decision L 3.25
  1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Erick Silva vs Yancy Medeiros Over 1.5 rounds L 1.63
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Vitor Belfort vs Nate Marquardt Marquardt wins by TKO/KO L 3.60
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   7.50 -7.50 $-75.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   23.00 -15.20 $-152.00 -66%  

UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira, Stockholm, Sweden, 28th May '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Glover Teixeira Alexander Gustafsson L 3.79 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Omari Akhmedov Abdul Razak Alhassan W 3.31 3 6.93 $69.30 231% Bet Info
Trevor Smith Chris Camozzi W 3.11 3 6.33 $63.30 211% Bet Info
Joaquim Silva Reza Madadi W 1.57 5 2.85 $28.50 57% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.62 14.00 13.11 $131.10 94%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Alexander Gustafsson vs Glover Teixeira NOT Gustafsson wins inside distance L 1.83
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Marcin Held vs Damir Hadzovic Held wins by submission L 2.75
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   6.00 -6.00 $-60.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   20.00 7.11 $71.10 36%  

UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos, Dallas, Texas, 13th May '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Stipe Miocic Junior dos Santos W 1.90 5 4.50 $45.00 90% Bet Info
Jessica Andrade Joanna Jedrzejczyk L 2.50 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Demian Maia Jorge Masvidal W 2.22 5 6.10 $61.00 122% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.18 15.00 5.60 $56.00 37%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.00 5.60 $56.00 37%  

UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis, Kansas City, Missouri, 15th Apr '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Robert Whittaker Ronaldo Souza W 2.87 5 9.35 $93.50 187% Bet Info
Patrick Williams Tom Duquesnoy L 7.60 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Augusto Mendes Aljamain Sterling L 4.65 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   4.32 15.00 -0.65 $-6.50 -4%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Tom Duquesnoy vs Patrick Williams Williams wins by submission L 15.65
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Ronaldo Souza vs Robert Whittaker Whittaker wins by TKO/KO W 5.50
  1 4.50 $45.00 450% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 3.50 $35.00 175%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   17.00 2.85 $28.50 17%  

UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2, Buffalo, New York, 8th Apr '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Anthony Johnson Daniel Cormier L 1.94 10 -10.00 $-100.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.94 10.00 -10.00 $-100.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Gegard Mousasi vs Chris Weidman Mousasi wins by decision L 3.40
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   11.00 -11.00 $-110.00 -100%  

UFC 209, Las Vegas, Nevada, 4th Mar '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Tyron Woodley Stephen Thompson W 2.40 5 7.00 $70.00 140% Bet Info
Alistair Overeem Mark Hunt W 1.78 5 3.90 $39.00 78% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.04 10.00 10.90 $109.00 109%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Alistair Overeem vs Mark Hunt Over 1.5 rounds W 2.25
  5 6.25 $62.50 125% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Alistair Overeem vs Mark Hunt Overeem wins by decision L 6.00
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Mirsad Bektic vs Darren Elkins Elkins wins by decision L 10.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   8.00 3.25 $32.50 41%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   18.00 14.15 $141.50 79%  

UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne, Halifax, Nova Scotia, 19th Feb '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Nordine Taleb Santiago Ponzinibbio L 4.30 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   4.30 3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Sara McMann vs Gina Mazany McMann wins in round 3 L 13.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Sara McMann vs Gina Mazany McMann wins inside distance W 2.60
  4 6.40 $64.00 160% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Hector Lombard vs Johny Hendricks Hendricks wins in round 3 L 26.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   6.00 4.40 $44.00 73%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   9.00 1.40 $14.00 16%  

UFC 208, Brooklyn, New York, 11th Feb '17

  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Anderson Silva vs Derek Brunson Silva wins by decision W 9.00
  1 8.00 $80.00 800% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 8.00 $80.00 800%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.00 8.00 $80.00 800%  

UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn, Phoenix, Arizona, 15th Jan '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Marcin Held Joe Lauzon L 2.10 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.10 5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr B.J. Penn vs Yair Rodriguez Over 2.5 rounds L 1.90
  5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi B.J. Penn vs Yair Rodriguez Penn wins by submission L 8.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   6.00 -6.00 $-60.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   11.00 -11.00 $-110.00 -100%  

UFC 206, Toronto, Canada, 10th Dec '16

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Kelvin Gastelum Tim Kennedy W 2.30 5 6.50 $65.00 130% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Valerie Letourneau Viviane Pereira L 1.78 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.01 10.00 1.50 $15.00 15%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Doo Ho Choi vs Cub Swanson Swanson wins by submission L 15.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Drew Dober Aubin-Mercier wins by submission W 4.50
  1 3.50 $35.00 350% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 2.50 $25.00 125%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   12.00 4.00 $40.00 33%  

UFC Fight Night 102 Albany, Albany, New York, 9th Dec '16

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Anthony Hamilton Francis Ngannou L 5.35 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Saparbek Safarov Gian Villante L 2.70 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.59 6.00 -6.00 $-60.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Saparbek Safarov vs Gian Villante Over 1.5 rounds W 2.10
  5 5.50 $55.00 110% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Gerald Meerschaert vs Joseph Gigliotti Fight ends by sub W 3.00
  2 4.00 $40.00 200% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   7.00 9.50 $95.00 136%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   13.00 3.50 $35.00 27%  

UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale, Las Vegas, Nevada, 3rd Dec '16

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Gray Maynard Ryan Hall L 1.91 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.91 5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night 101, Melbourne, Australia, 26th Nov '16

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Derek Brunson Robert Whittaker L 1.74 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Kyle Noke Omari Akhmedov L 2.62 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Marlon Vera Guangyou Ning W 2.30 5 6.50 $65.00 130% Bet Info
Jenel Lausa Zhikui Yao W 1.83 2 1.66 $16.60 83% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.06 17.00 -1.84 $-18.40 -11%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Robert Whittaker vs Derek Brunson Fight doesn't go to decision W 2.75
  10 17.50 $175.00 175% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   10.00 17.50 $175.00 175%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   27.00 15.66 $156.60 58%  

UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2, Sao Paulo, Brazil, 19th Nov '16

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Cezar Ferreira Jack Hermansson W 2.79 1 1.79 $17.90 179% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.79 1.00 1.79 $17.90 179%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.00 1.79 $17.90 179%  

UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall, Belfast, Northern Ireland, 19th Nov '16

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Ross Pearson Stevie Ray L 1.95 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Magnus Cedenblad Jack Marshman L 1.49 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Magomed Mustafaev Kevin Lee L 1.96 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.77 3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Artem Lobov vs Teruto Ishihara Ishihara wins by TKO/KO L 7.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Magnus Cedenblad vs Jack Marshman Cedenblad wins by submission L 4.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  

 
 
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