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MMA Handicapper Profile: Positive Expectation

302 followers

Positive Expectation (skylightfoot)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Positive Expectation

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 56 (39%) Right 31 (40%) Right 25 (38%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 87 (61%) Wrong 47 (60%) Wrong 40 (62%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 2.71 Avg Odds 2.31 Avg Odds 3.44 Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 496.0 Units Bet 321.5 Units Bet 174.5 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 3.47 Avg Bet 4.12 Avg Bet 2.68 Avg Bet nan
Units Profit 67.18 Units Profit -14.00 Units Profit 81.18 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 14% ROI % -4% ROI % 47% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (1%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Slight Favorites 25 (32%) 12 48 % 115.00 -25.63 -1.03 -22%
Slight Underdogs 34 (44%) 16 47 % 153.00 31.52 0.93 21%
Big Underdogs 18 (23%) 3 17 % 52.50 -18.89 -1.05 -36%
 

Progress Chart

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Click here to view breakdown of straight picks

Positive Expectation's MMA Handicapper Bio

consistently beating the closing line

all picks for free unless exceptional value.
ie off market lines. Price to purchase adjusted accordingly.

 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Positive Expectation

This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights.

Positive Expectation's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC 281, New York, 12th Nov '22

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Alex Pereira Israel Adesanya W 2.75 2 3.50 $35.00 175% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Michael Chandler Dustin Poirier L 2.87 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.81 5.00 0.50 $5.00 10%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Dustin Poirier vs Michael Chandler Fight goes to decision L 3.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Frankie Edgar vs Chris Gutierrez Gutierrez wins inside distance W 2.80
  2 3.60 $36.00 180% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Israel Adesanya vs Alex Pereira Fight goes to decision L 1.99
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   4.00 1.60 $16.00 40%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   9.00 2.10 $21.00 23%  

UFC Fight Night 168, Aukland, 22nd Feb '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Magomed Mustafaev Brad Riddell L 1.87 11 -11.00 $-110.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.87 11.00 -11.00 $-110.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   11.00 -11.00 $-110.00 -100%  

UFC 238, Chicago, 8th Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jimmie Rivera Petr Yan L 3.90 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.90 3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Petr Yan vs Jimmie Rivera Fight goes to decision W 1.87
  5 4.35 $43.50 87% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Valentina Shevchenko vs Jessica Eye Fight goes to decision L 2.25
  5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Tony Ferguson vs Donald Cerrone Ferguson wins by submission L 7.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Tai Tuivasa vs Blagoy Ivanov Ivanov wins by KO/TKO or Sub L 4.65
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   14.00 -4.65 $-46.50 -33%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   17.00 -7.65 $-76.50 -45%  

UFC 229, Las Vegas, 6th Oct '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Conor McGregor Khabib Nurmagomedov L 2.64 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Jussier Formiga Sergio Pettis W 2.60 3 4.80 $48.00 160% Bet Info
Lina Lansberg Yana Santos L 3.04 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Tonya Evinger Aspen Ladd L 2.60 6 -6.00 $-60.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.71 15.00 -7.20 $-72.00 -48%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Aspen Ladd vs Tonya Evinger Evinger wins by KO/TKO or Sub L 7.00
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   16.00 -8.20 $-82.00 -51%  

UFC 228, Dallas, 8th Sep '18

  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Tyron Woodley vs Darren Till Woodley wins by (T)KO round 1 L 13.00
  0.6 -0.60 $-6.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Tyron Woodley vs Darren Till Woodley wins by (T)KO round 2 L 21.00
  0.4 -0.40 $-4.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  

UFC 223, Brooklyn, New York, 7th Apr '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Joanna Jedrzejczyk Rose Namajunas L 2.00 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.00 5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Joe Lauzon vs Chris Gruetzemacher Gruetzemacher wins by TKO/KO W 4.50
  3 10.50 $105.00 350% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 10.50 $105.00 350%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   8.00 5.50 $55.00 69%  

UFC 221, Perth, Australia, 10th Feb '18

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Mark Hunt Curtis Blaydes L 2.45 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Jake Matthews Li Jingliang W 2.77 2 3.54 $35.40 177% Bet Info
Jeremy Kennedy Alex Volkanovski L 2.65 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Ben Nguyen Jussier Formiga L 2.10 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Ross Pearson Mizuto Hirota W 1.77 3 2.31 $23.10 77% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.29 12.00 -1.15 $-11.50 -10%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   12.00 -1.15 $-11.50 -10%  

UFC Fight Night 125, Belem, Brazil, 4th Feb '18

  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Valentina Shevchenko vs Priscila Cachoeira Under 2.5 rounds W 1.73
  3 2.19 $21.90 73% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 2.19 $21.90 73%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 2.19 $21.90 73%  

UFC 220, Boston, Massacusetts, 20th Jan '18

  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Daniel Cormier vs Volkan Oezdemir Under 1.5 rounds W 2.72
  3 5.16 $51.60 172% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 5.16 $51.60 172%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 5.16 $51.60 172%  

UFC 219, Las Vegas, 31st Dec '17

  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Edson Barboza vs Khabib Nurmagomedov Nurmagomedov wins inside distance L 2.68
  3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  

UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos, Winnipeg, Canada, 16th Dec '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Robbie Lawler Rafael dos Anjos L 2.10 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Glover Teixeira Misha Cirkunov W 2.43 3 4.29 $42.90 143% Bet Info
Jan Blachowicz Jared Cannonier W 2.65 5 8.25 $82.50 165% Bet Info
Jordan Mein Erick Silva W 1.75 5 3.75 $37.50 75% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.18 16.00 13.29 $132.90 83%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Mike Perry Over 1.5 rounds W 2.45
  10 14.50 $145.00 145% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Robbie Lawler vs Rafael dos Anjos Over 2.5 rounds W 1.75
  5 3.75 $37.50 75% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Mike Perry Fight goes to decision W 4.33
  3 9.99 $99.90 333% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Chad Laprise vs Galore Bofando Over 1.5 rounds L 1.75
  10 -10.00 $-100.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   28.00 18.24 $182.40 65%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   44.00 31.53 $315.30 72%  

UFC 218, Detroit, Michigan, 2nd Dec '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Alistair Overeem Francis Ngannou L 3.40 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Charles Oliveira Paul Felder L 2.15 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Cortney Casey Felice Herrig L 2.20 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.47 15.00 -15.00 $-150.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Alistair Overeem vs Francis Ngannou Over 1.5 rounds L 2.22
  5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   20.00 -20.00 $-200.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney, Sydney, Australia, 18th Nov '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Frank Camacho Damien Brown W 1.77 5 3.85 $38.50 77% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.77 5.00 3.85 $38.50 77%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Nadia Kassem vs Alex Chambers Over 1.5 rounds W 1.66
  5 3.30 $33.00 66% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Nadia Kassem vs Alex Chambers NOT Kassem wins by KO/TKO or Sub W 1.53
  3 1.59 $15.90 53% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Elias Theodorou vs Daniel Kelly Kelly wins by decision L 5.50
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   9.00 3.89 $38.90 43%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   14.00 7.74 $77.40 55%  

UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia, Norfolk, Virginia, 11th Nov '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Dustin Poirier Anthony Pettis W 2.00 5 5.00 $50.00 100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.00 5.00 5.00 $50.00 100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 5.00 $50.00 100%  

UFC 217, New York, 4th Nov '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Michael Bisping Georges St-Pierre L 2.30 6 -6.00 $-60.00 -100% Bet Info
Paulo Costa Johny Hendricks W 2.62 10 16.20 $162.00 162% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.45 16.00 10.20 $102.00 64%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Michael Bisping vs Georges St-Pierre Bisping wins by decision L 4.30
  2.5 -2.50 $-25.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Mickey Gall vs Randy Brown Over 1.5 rounds W 1.81
  5 4.05 $40.50 81% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   7.50 1.55 $15.50 21%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   23.50 11.75 $117.50 50%  

UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk, Gdansk, 21st Oct '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Donald Cerrone Darren Till L 1.68 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Nasrat Haqparast Marcin Held L 4.75 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Andre Fili Artem Lobov W 1.71 5 3.55 $35.50 71% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.16 10.50 -1.95 $-19.50 -19%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Donald Cerrone vs Darren Till Cerrone wins by submission L 5.50
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   11.50 -2.95 $-29.50 -26%  

UFC 216, Las Vegas, Nevada, 7th Oct '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Poliana Botelho Pearl Gonzalez W 1.70 5 3.50 $35.00 70% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.70 5.00 3.50 $35.00 70%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Tony Ferguson vs Kevin Lee Over 2.5 rounds W 1.85
  3 2.55 $25.50 85% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Tony Ferguson vs Kevin Lee Lee wins by decision L 7.60
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Tony Ferguson vs Kevin Lee Lee wins by decision L 7.60
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.00 0.55 $5.50 11%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 4.05 $40.50 40%  

UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2, Saitama, Japan, 22nd Sep '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Gokhan Saki Luis Henrique da Silva W 1.70 3 2.10 $21.00 70% Bet Info
Hyun Gyu Lim Daichi Abe L 1.79 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.74 8.00 -2.90 $-29.00 -36%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Hyun Gyu Lim vs Daichi Abe Over 1.5 rounds W 2.20
  8 9.60 $96.00 120% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   8.00 9.60 $96.00 120%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   16.00 6.70 $67.00 42%  

UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, 16th Sep '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Tony Martin Olivier Aubin-Mercier L 2.00 5 -5.00 $-50.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.00 5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 -5.00 $-50.00 -100%  

UFC 215, Edmonton, Canada, 9th Sep '17

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Valentina Shevchenko Amanda Nunes L 1.83 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Ilir Latifi Tyson Pedro W 2.25 3 3.75 $37.50 125% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.02 6.00 0.75 $7.50 13%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Amanda Nunes vs Valentina Shevchenko Shevchenko wins in round 4 L 19.00
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Amanda Nunes vs Valentina Shevchenko Shevchenko wins in round 5 L 21.00
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   7.00 -0.25 $-2.50 -4%  



>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history

 
 
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