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MMA Handicapper Profile: pablo_has

2 followers

pablo_has (pablo_has)

MMA MHandicapper - pablo_has

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	406 (46%)	Right	244 (50%)	Right	160 (41%)	Right	2 (40%)
Wrong	471 (54%)	Wrong	242 (50%)	Wrong	226 (59%)	Wrong	3 (60%)
Avg Odds	2.17	Avg Odds	1.96	Avg Odds	2.53	Avg Odds	1.62
Units Bet	2,076.5	Units Bet	1,415.2	Units Bet	652.7	Units Bet	8.6
Avg Bet	2.37	Avg Bet	2.91	Avg Bet	1.69	Avg Bet	1.71
Units Profit	-78.24	Units Profit	-66.56	Units Profit	-10.05	Units Profit	-1.64
ROI %	-4%	ROI %	-5%	ROI %	-2%	ROI %	-19%

Straight Pick Stats

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	115 (23%)	83	72 %	338.37	5.39	0.05	2%
Slight Favorites	141 (29%)	79	56 %	476.40	-17.42	-0.12	-4%
Slight Underdogs	136 (28%)	63	46 %	371.28	25.69	0.19	7%
Big Underdogs	98 (20%)	21	21 %	229.14	-80.23	-0.82	-35%

Progress Chart

Chart

Click here to view breakdown of straight picks

pablo_has 's MMA Handicapper Bio

hi guys,

I'm pablo_has, and I follow mma since Brock Lesnar fought Frank Mir. I had a rough start in my predictions cause I lacked the programming skills to deal with data modelling in mma, but I took some programming classes and with time, effort and a lot of trial and error I've made a lot of progress. I also visited a couple of sports analytics seminars to see how bookmakers and academics are working.
I do bayesian and survival analysis in my data, and I manage to get a few working models.

* I usually post predictions after the weigh ins, when the card is pretty much fixed.

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by pablo_has

This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights.

pablo_has 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History

Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig, Las Vegas, 18th Nov '23
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Luana Pinheiro	Amanda Ribas	L	3.00	1	-1.00	$-10.00	-100%
Rafael Estevam	Charles Johnson	W	1.75	1	0.75	$7.50	75%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.21	2.00	-0.25	$-2.50	-13%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

2.00

-0.25

$-2.50

-13%

Bellator 301, Chicago, Illinois, 17th Nov '23
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Danny Sabatello	Raufeon Stots	L	1.85	1	-1.00	$-10.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.85	1.00	-1.00	$-10.00	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

1.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green, Las Vegas, Nevada, 7th Oct '23
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Alexander Hernandez	Bill Algeo	L	1.87	0.55	-0.55	$-5.50	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.87	0.55	-0.55	$-5.50	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

0.55

-0.55

$-5.50

-100%

UFC 276, Las Vegas, 2nd Jul '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Sean Strickland	Alex Pereira	L	1.91	1.57	-1.57	$-15.70	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.91	1.57	-1.57	$-15.70	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

1.57

-1.57

$-15.70

-100%

PFL 2022 #6, Atlanta, 1st Jul '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Zamzagul Fayzallanova	Martina Jindrova	L	3.85	0.75	-0.75	$-7.50	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			3.85	0.75	-0.75	$-7.50	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Marina Mokhnatkina vs Abigail Montes	Fight goes to decision	W	1.41

2.1

0.86

$8.61

41%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Rory MacDonald vs Sadibou Sy	Fight goes to decision	W	1.74

1.7

1.26

$12.58

74%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

3.80

2.12

$21.19

56%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

4.55

1.37

$13.69

30%

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett, Austin, 18th Jun '22

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Calvin Kattar vs Josh Emmett	Fight starts round 4	W	1.59

1.85

1.09

$10.92

59%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Joaquin Buckley vs Albert Duraev	Fight doesn't go to decision	W	1.53

1.95

1.03

$10.34

53%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Adrian Yanez vs Tony Kelley	Fight goes to decision	L	2.16

1.4

-1.40

$-14.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Jeremiah Wells vs Court McGee	Fight goes to decision	L	1.61

1.86

-1.86

$-18.60

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

7.06

-1.13

$-11.35

-16%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

7.06

-1.13

$-11.35

-16%

PFL 2022 #4, Atlanta, 17th Jun '22

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Omari Akhmedov vs Teodoras Aukstuolis	Fight doesn't go to decision	W	1.63

1.26

$12.60

63%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

2.00

1.26

$12.60

63%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

2.00

1.26

$12.60

63%

UFC 275, Kallang, 11th Jun '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Taila Santos	Valentina Shevchenko	L	6.50	0.6	-0.60	$-6.00	-100%
Weili Zhang	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	W	1.64	1.8	1.15	$11.52	64%
Hayisaer Maheshate	Steve Garcia	W	2.68	1.15	1.93	$19.32	168%
Na Liang	Silvana Gomez Juarez	L	2.05	1.57	-1.57	$-15.70	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.46	5.12	0.91	$9.14	18%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

5.12

0.91

$9.14

18%

Cage Warriors 139, San Diego, 10th Jun '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Alex Trinidad	Jordan Bailey	L	1.65	3.2	-3.20	$-32.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.65	3.20	-3.20	$-32.00	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

3.20

-3.20

$-32.00

-100%

UFC 274, Phoenix, 7th May '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Rose Namajunas	Carla Esparza	L	1.53	1	-1.00	$-10.00	-100%
Brandon Royval	Matt Schnell	W	1.50	1	0.50	$5.00	50%
Marcos Rogerio de Lima	Blagoy Ivanov	L	2.32	1	-1.00	$-10.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.71	3.00	-1.50	$-15.00	-50%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

3.00

-1.50

$-15.00

-50%

UFC 271, Houston, 12th Feb '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Tai Tuivasa	Derrick Lewis	W	2.65	1.1	1.81	$18.15	165%
Nasrat Haqparast	Bobby Green	L	2.26	1.3	-1.30	$-13.00	-100%
Jared Vanderaa	Andrei Arlovski	L	2.35	1.25	-1.25	$-12.50	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.41	3.65	-0.74	$-7.35	-20%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

3.65

-0.74

$-7.35

-20%

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland, Las Vegas, 5th Feb '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Jack Hermansson	Sean Strickland	L	2.95	1.05	-1.05	$-10.50	-100%
Nick Maximov	Punahele Soriano	W	2.68	1.1	1.85	$18.48	168%
Sam Alvey	Brendan Allen	L	4.45	0.65	-0.65	$-6.50	-100%
Steven Peterson	Julian Erosa	L	3.65	0.8	-0.80	$-8.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			3.30	3.60	-0.65	$-6.52	-18%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

3.60

-0.65

$-6.52

-18%

UFC 270, Anaheim, 22nd Jan '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Francis Ngannou	Ciryl Gane	W	2.30	1.3	1.69	$16.90	130%
Deiveson Figueiredo	Brandon Moreno	W	2.70	1.1	1.87	$18.70	170%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.48	2.40	3.56	$35.60	148%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

2.40

3.56

$35.60

148%

Invicta 45, Kansas City, 12th Jan '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Alesha Zappitella	Jessica Delboni	L	2.90	1.42	-1.42	$-14.20	-100%
Monica Franco	Hailey Cowan	L	3.40	1.05	-1.05	$-10.50	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			3.13	2.47	-2.47	$-24.70	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

2.47

-2.47

$-24.70

-100%

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 18th Dec '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Derrick Lewis	Chris Daukaus	W	2.40	1.1	1.54	$15.40	140%
Belal Muhammad	Stephen Thompson	W	3.25	0.7	1.58	$15.75	225%
Amanda Lemos	Angela Hill	W	1.36	1.6	0.58	$5.76	36%
Dustin Stoltzfus	Gerald Meerschaert	L	3.05	1.8	-1.80	$-18.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.24	5.20	1.89	$18.91	36%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

5.20

1.89

$18.91

36%

Brave CF 56, Belgrade, 18th Dec '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Rolando Dy	Slobodan Maksimovic	L	1.87	1.6	-1.60	$-16.00	-100%
Jakob Nedoh	Zvonimir Kralj	W	2.30	0.5	0.65	$6.50	130%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.06	2.10	-0.95	$-9.50	-45%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

2.10

-0.95

$-9.50

-45%

KSW 65, Gliwice, 18th Dec '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Roberto Soldic	Mamed Khalidov	W	1.44	1.1	0.48	$4.84	44%
Mateusz Legierski	Roman Szymanski	L	2.75	1.5	-1.50	$-15.00	-100%
Marek Samociuk	Michal Kita	L	4.50	1.85	-1.85	$-18.50	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.34	4.45	-2.87	$-28.66	-64%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

4.45

-2.87

$-28.66

-64%

UFC 269, Las Vegas, 11th Dec '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Kai Kara-France	Cody Garbrandt	W	2.55	0.7	1.08	$10.85	155%
Raulian Paiva	Sean O'Malley	L	3.70	0.85	-0.85	$-8.50	-100%
Josh Emmett	Dan Ige	W	1.69	0.4	0.28	$2.76	69%
Andre Muniz	Eryk Anders	W	1.66	1.3	0.86	$8.58	66%
Ryan Hall	Darrick Minner	W	1.53	1.3	0.69	$6.89	53%
Priscila Cachoeira	Gillian Robertson	L	4.30	0.4	-0.40	$-4.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.19	4.95	1.66	$16.58	33%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Priscila Cachoeira vs Gillian Robertson	Fight goes to decision	L	2.55

1.6

-1.60

$-16.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Amanda Nunes vs Julianna Pena	Fight goes to decision	L	4.50

0.8

-0.80

$-8.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Andre Muniz vs Eryk Anders	Fight goes to decision	L	2.92

1.4

-1.40

$-14.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Miranda Maverick vs Erin Blanchfield	Fight doesn't go to decision	L	3.20

1.2

-1.20

$-12.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Randy Costa vs Tony Kelley	Over 0.5 rounds	W	3.00

0.85

1.70

$17.00

200%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Bruno Silva vs Jordan Wright	Fight goes to decision	L	5.00

0.5

-0.50

$-5.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Pedro Munhoz vs Dominick Cruz	Fight doesn't go to decision	L	2.77

0.8

-0.80

$-8.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Tai Tuivasa vs Augusto Sakai	Fight goes to decision	L	2.80

0.5

-0.50

$-5.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Geoff Neal vs Santiago Ponzinibbio	Fight goes to decision	W	2.50

0.5

0.75

$7.50

150%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Cody Garbrandt vs Kai Kara-France	Fight goes to decision	L	2.35

0.5

-0.50

$-5.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

8.65

-4.85

$-48.50

-56%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

13.60

-3.19

$-31.92

-23%

Cage Warriors 131, London, 10th Dec '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Djati Melan	Matthew Bonner	W	2.85	1.27	2.35	$23.49	185%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.85	1.27	2.35	$23.49	185%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

1.27

2.35

$23.49

185%

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 4th Dec '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Rob Font	Jose Aldo	L	1.87	0.7	-0.70	$-7.00	-100%
Brad Riddell	Rafael Fiziev	L	2.10	0.85	-0.85	$-8.50	-100%
Jim Crute	Jamahal Hill	L	1.61	0.9	-0.90	$-9.00	-100%
Darian Weeks	Bryan Barberena	L	2.60	0.7	-0.70	$-7.00	-100%
Claudio Puelles	Chris Gruetzemacher	W	2.20	1.44	1.73	$17.28	120%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.02	4.59	-1.42	$-14.22	-31%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Brad Riddell vs Rafael Fiziev	Fight doesn't go the distance	W	2.70

1.8

3.06

$30.60

170%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Claudio Puelles vs Chris Gruetzemacher	Fight doesn't go to decision	W	2.55

1.2

1.86

$18.60

155%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Rob Font vs Jose Aldo	Fight doesn't go to decision	L	2.15

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Clay Guida vs Leonardo Santos	Fight doesn't go to decision	W	2.30

0.8

1.04

$10.40

130%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Louis Smolka vs Vincent Morales	Fight doesn't go to decision	W	2.20

0.65

0.78

$7.80

120%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

5.45

5.74

$57.40

105%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

10.04

4.32

$43.18

43%

>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history

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MMA Handicapper Profile: pablo_has

2 followers

pablo_has (pablo_has)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Straight Pick Stats

Progress Chart

pablo_has 's MMA Handicapper Bio

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by pablo_has

pablo_has 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig, Las Vegas, 18th Nov '23

Bellator 301, Chicago, Illinois, 17th Nov '23

UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green, Las Vegas, Nevada, 7th Oct '23

UFC 276, Las Vegas, 2nd Jul '22

PFL 2022 #6, Atlanta, 1st Jul '22

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett, Austin, 18th Jun '22

PFL 2022 #4, Atlanta, 17th Jun '22

UFC 275, Kallang, 11th Jun '22

Cage Warriors 139, San Diego, 10th Jun '22

UFC 274, Phoenix, 7th May '22

UFC 271, Houston, 12th Feb '22

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland, Las Vegas, 5th Feb '22

UFC 270, Anaheim, 22nd Jan '22

Invicta 45, Kansas City, 12th Jan '22

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 18th Dec '21

Brave CF 56, Belgrade, 18th Dec '21

KSW 65, Gliwice, 18th Dec '21

UFC 269, Las Vegas, 11th Dec '21

Cage Warriors 131, London, 10th Dec '21

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 4th Dec '21