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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mark O'Sullivan

Mark O'Sullivan (markyosullivan)

MMA MHandicapper - Mark O'Sullivan

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	16 (38%)	Right	6 (29%)	Right	3 (50%)	Right	7 (47%)
Wrong	26 (62%)	Wrong	15 (71%)	Wrong	3 (50%)	Wrong	8 (53%)
Avg Odds	2.25	Avg Odds	2.00	Avg Odds	1.88	Avg Odds	3.00
Units Bet	128.4	Units Bet	72.3	Units Bet	12.3	Units Bet	43.9
Avg Bet	3.06	Avg Bet	3.44	Avg Bet	2.05	Avg Bet	2.92
Units Profit	18.37	Units Profit	-29.23	Units Profit	-0.27	Units Profit	47.86
ROI %	14%	ROI %	-40%	ROI %	-2%	ROI %	109%

Mark O'Sullivan: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
15th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 1	6	1.5	25%		1.5 / 6 (25%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
25th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 112	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
5th Mar '16	UFC 196 - McGregor vs. Diaz	21	-21.0	-100%	-16.0 / 16 (-100%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th Feb '16	UFC Fight Night 82 - Hendricks vs. Thompson	5	3.1	61%			3.1 / 5 (61%)
2nd Jan '16	UFC 195 - Lawler vs Condit	5	4.9	98%	4.9 / 5 (98%)
19th Dec '15	UFC on Fox 17 - Dos Anjos vs. Cerrone 2	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
12th Dec '15	UFC 194 - Aldo vs. McGregor	7.5	-7.5	-100%	-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
10th Dec '15	UFC Fight Night - VanZant vs Namajunas	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
28th Nov '15	UFC Fight Night 79 - Henderson vs. Masvidal	4.66	5.4	115%			5.4 / 4.66 (115%)
21st Nov '15	UFC Fight Night 78 - Magny vs. Gastelum	2.5	4.8	194%			4.8 / 2.5 (194%)
14th Nov '15	UFC 193 - Rousey vs. Holm	8.5	11.5	136%	17.2 / 2.8 (615%)	-1.8 / 1.8 (-100%)	-3.9 / 3.9 (-100%)
7th Nov '15	UFC Fight Night 77: Belfort vs. Henderson 3	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
3rd Oct '15	UFC 192 - Cormier vs. Gustafsson	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
26th Sep '15	UFC Fight Night - Barnett vs. Nelson	6.47	2.5	38%		0.0 / 4.47 (1%)	2.4 / 2 (122%)
23rd Aug '15	UFC Fight Night 74 - Holloway vs. Oliveira	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Aug '15	UFC Fight Night - St. Preux vs. Teixeira	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
25th Jul '15	UFC on Fox 16 - Dillashaw vs. Barao 2	4	2.7	67%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		4.7 / 2 (234%)
18th Jul '15	UFC Fight Night - Bisping vs. Leites	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
17th Jul '15	Bellator 140 - Lima vs. Koreshkov	4	-1.7	-44%	-1.7 / 4 (-44%)
15th Jul '15	UFC Fight Night - Mir vs. Duffee	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Jul '15	UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 21 Finale	2	1.0	50%	1.0 / 2 (50%)
11th Jul '15	UFC 189 - McGregor vs. Mendes	5.8	-0.5	-9%	2.3 / 3 (75%)		-2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)
27th Jun '15	UFC Fight Night - Machida vs. Romero	2	4.4	221%	1.6 / 1 (163%)		2.8 / 1 (279%)
20th Jun '15	UFC Fight Night - Jedrzejczyk vs. Penne	5	46.4	928%			46.4 / 5 (928%)

Winning Events: 11 (41%)
Losing Events: 16 (59%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.76 units
Most Staked On One Event: 21.00 units
Best Event: 46.39 units
Worst Event: -21.00 units
Average Event: 0.68 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 50.81
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -38.00

Mark O'Sullivan: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	6	1.5	25%		1.5 / 6 (25%)		1 / 0 (100%)	1.50
2019	12	-12.0	-100%	-12.0 / 12 (-100%)			/ 3 (0%)	-4.00
2017	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)			0 / 1 (0%)	-5.00
2016	31	-13.0	-42%	-11.1 / 21 (-53%)		-1.9 / 10 (-19%)	2 / 1 (67%)	-4.35
2015	74.43	46.9	63%	-1.1 / 34.3 (-3%)	-1.8 / 6.27 (-28%)	49.8 / 33.86 (147%)	8 / 11 (42%)	2.47

Mark O'Sullivan: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Mark O'Sullivan: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	124.43	20.1	16%	-27.5 / 68.3 (-40%)	-0.3 / 12.27 (-2%)	47.9 / 43.86 (109%)
Bellator	4	-1.7	-44%	-1.7 / 4 (-44%)

Mark O'Sullivan: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	5 (24%)	2	40 %	22.00	-16.74	-3.35	-76%
Slight Favorites	4 (19%)	1	25 %	17.00	-7.10	-1.77	-42%
Slight Underdogs	8 (38%)	2	25 %	26.50	-18.61	-2.33	-70%
Big Underdogs	4 (19%)	1	25 %	6.80	13.22	3.31	194%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	12 (57%)	4	33 %	42.80	-7.25	-0.60	-17%
Co-Main Event	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Position 3-5	6 (29%)	2	33 %	22.50	-14.98	-2.50	-67%
6+ (Undercard)	3 (14%)	0	0 %	7.00	-7.00	-2.33	-100%

Mark O'Sullivan: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Light Heavy	2 (10%)	1	50 %	2.00	0.63	0.32	32%
Middleweight	1 (5%)	1	100 %	5.00	4.90	4.90	98%
Welterweight	8 (38%)	3	38 %	32.50	-21.98	-2.75	-68%
Lightweight	3 (14%)		0 %	6.00	-6.00	-2.00	-100%
Featherweight	2 (10%)		0 %	7.00	-7.00	-3.50	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (5%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%

Women's Fights	4 (19%)	1	25 %	17.80	2.22	0.56	12%
Bantamweight	2 (10%)	1	50 %	7.80	12.22	6.11	157%
Strawweight	2 (10%)		0 %	10.00	-10.00	-5.00	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	25 (71%)	20	80 %
Slight Favorites	6 (17%)	3	50 %
Slight Underdogs	4 (11%)	3	75 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	35	26	74 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	5 (38%)	4	80 %
50-65%	3 (23%)	3	100 %
35-50%	3 (23%)	1	33 %
<35% chance	2 (15%)	0	0 %
	13	8	62 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (8%)	1	100 %	1.50	1.50	1.50	0.5 (50%)
Does not go to Decision	6 (46%)	4	67 %	1.48	2.65	1.20	-0.4 (-7%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (8%)	0	0 %	3.40	3.40	3.40	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (23%)	3	100 %	1.94	2.65	1.57	3.1 (103%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (8%)	0	0 %	6.00	6.00	6.00	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	1 (8%)	0	0 %	2.16	2.16	2.16	-1.0 (-100%)
	13	8	62 %	1.81			0.2 (1%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mark O'Sullivan's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
20th Jun	UFC Fight Night - Jedrzejczyk vs. Penne	5	46.4	928%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,463.87
27th Jun	UFC Fight Night - Machida vs. Romero	2	4.4	221%	$10	$14.64	$1,463.87	$1,518.66
11th Jul	UFC 189 - McGregor vs. Mendes	5.8	-0.5	-9%	$10	$15.19	$1,518.66	$1,500.50
12th Jul	UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 21 Finale	2	1.0	50%	$10	$15.01	$1,500.50	$1,505.49
15th Jul	UFC Fight Night - Mir vs. Duffee	2	-2.0	-100%		$15.05	$1,505.49	$1,475.38
17th Jul	Bellator 140 - Lima vs. Koreshkov	4	-1.7	-44%	$10	$14.75	$1,475.38	$1,439.70
18th Jul	UFC Fight Night - Bisping vs. Leites	2	-2.0	-100%	$10	$14.40	$1,439.70	$1,400.91
25th Jul	UFC on Fox 16 - Dillashaw vs. Barao 2	4	2.7	67%	$10	$14.01	$1,400.91	$1,428.47
8th Aug	UFC Fight Night - St. Preux vs. Teixeira	3	-3.0	-100%		$14.28	$1,428.47	$1,385.62
23rd Aug	UFC Fight Night 74 - Holloway vs. Oliveira	2	-2.0	-100%		$13.86	$1,385.62	$1,357.91
26th Sep	UFC Fight Night - Barnett vs. Nelson	6.47	2.5	38%		$13.58	$1,357.91	$1,391.46
3rd Oct	UFC 192 - Cormier vs. Gustafsson	3	-3.0	-100%		$13.91	$1,391.46	$1,349.71
7th Nov	UFC Fight Night 77: Belfort vs. Henderson 3	2	-2.0	-100%		$13.50	$1,349.71	$1,322.72
14th Nov	UFC 193 - Rousey vs. Holm	8.5	11.5	136%		$13.23	$1,322.72	$1,475.10
21st Nov	UFC Fight Night 78 - Magny vs. Gastelum	2.5	4.8	194%		$14.75	$1,475.10	$1,546.49
28th Nov	UFC Fight Night 79 - Henderson vs. Masvidal	4.66	5.4	115%		$15.46	$1,546.49	$1,629.47
10th Dec	UFC Fight Night - VanZant vs Namajunas	5	-5.0	-100%		$16.29	$1,629.47	$1,548.00
12th Dec	UFC 194 - Aldo vs. McGregor	7.5	-7.5	-100%		$15.48	$1,548.00	$1,431.90
19th Dec	UFC on Fox 17 - Dos Anjos vs. Cerrone 2	3	-3.0	-100%		$14.32	$1,431.90	$1,388.94
2nd Jan	UFC 195 - Lawler vs Condit	5	4.9	98%		$13.89	$1,388.94	$1,457.01
6th Feb	UFC Fight Night 82 - Hendricks vs. Thompson	5	3.1	61%		$14.57	$1,457.01	$1,501.48
5th Mar	UFC 196 - McGregor vs. Diaz	21	-21.0	-100%		$15.01	$1,501.48	$1,186.17
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night 112	5	-5.0	-100%		$11.86	$1,186.17	$1,126.86
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	5	-5.0	-100%		$11.27	$1,126.86	$1,070.52
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	5	-5.0	-100%		$10.71	$1,070.52	$1,016.99
13th Apr	UFC 236	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.17	$1,016.99	$996.65
15th Jul	UFC Fight Island 1	6	1.5	25%		$9.97	$996.65	$1,011.60

ROI % from starting bank balance: 1.16% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mark O'Sullivan: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jan '16	Robbie Lawler	Carlos Condit	1.98	5	Split Decision (5 rounds)
2.	Nov '15	Holly Holm	Ronda Rousey	7.15	2.8	TKO, R2 (0:59)
3.	Jul '15	Michael Page	Rudy Bears	1.13	2	TKO, R1 (1:5)
4.	Jul '15	Stephen Thompson	Jake Ellenberger	1.50	2	TKO, R1 (4:29)
5.	Jul '15	Gunnar Nelson	Brandon Thatch	2.63	2	Sub, R1 (2:54)
6.	Jun '15	Yoel Romero	Lyoto Machida	2.63	1	TKO, R3 (1:38)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '19	Max Holloway	Dustin Poirier	1.40	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	Mar '19	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Michelle Waterson	1.61	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Mar '19	Stephen Thompson	Anthony Pettis	1.25	5	TKO, R2 (4:55)	No
4.	Jun '17	B.J. Penn	Dennis Siver	2.60	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Mar '16	Conor McGregor	Nate Diaz	1.26	11	Sub, R2 (4:12)	No
6.	Mar '16	Valentina Shevchenko	Amanda Nunes	2.15	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Dec '15	Donald Cerrone	Rafael dos Anjos	2.85	3	TKO, R1 (1:6)	No
8.	Dec '15	Paige VanZant	Rose Namajunas	1.58	5	Sub, R5 (2:25)	No
9.	Dec '15	Gunnar Nelson	Demian Maia	2.00	7.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Nov '15	Piotr Hallmann	Alex Oliveira	2.80	1	TKO, R3 (0:51)	No
11.	Nov '15	Fabio Maldonado	Corey Anderson	5.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Aug '15	Charles Oliveira	Max Holloway	2.00	2	TKO, R1 (1:39)	No
13.	Jul '15	Renan Barao	T.J. Dillashaw	2.86	2	TKO, R4 (0:35)	No
14.	Jul '15	Douglas Lima	Andrey Koreshkov	1.58	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
15.	Jul '15	Mike Swick	Alex Garcia	4.55	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mark O'Sullivan: Progress Chart

Chart

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