MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2348

MMA Handicapper Stats: intuitive picks

intuitive picks (intuitivepicks)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	26 (55%)	Right	16 (73%)	Right	7 (44%)	Right	3 (33%)
Wrong	21 (45%)	Wrong	6 (27%)	Wrong	9 (56%)	Wrong	6 (67%)
Avg Odds	1.80	Avg Odds	1.59	Avg Odds	2.00	Avg Odds	2.15
Units Bet	188.3	Units Bet	71.8	Units Bet	52.5	Units Bet	64.0
Avg Bet	4.01	Avg Bet	3.26	Avg Bet	3.28	Avg Bet	7.11
Units Profit	9.03	Units Profit	11.18	Units Profit	-6.92	Units Profit	4.76
ROI %	5%	ROI %	16%	ROI %	-13%	ROI %	7%

intuitive picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
29th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	13	-13.0	-100%	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
22nd Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes	14.5	-4.8	-33%	-0.8 / 10.5 (-8%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Apr '23	UFC 287	9	1.6	18%	3.2 / 2 (160%)	-1.6 / 7 (-23%)
6th Nov '21	UFC 268	19.25	-12.1	-63%	1.4 / 5.75 (24%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
30th Oct '21	UFC 267	45	29.1	65%	6.3 / 21 (30%)	9.7 / 13 (75%)	13.1 / 11 (119%)
23rd Oct '21	UFC FN	29	-1.1	-4%	1.0 / 10 (10%)	-9.1 / 11 (-83%)	7.0 / 8 (87%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	32.5	-20.1	-62%	1.7 / 3.5 (49%)	-4.9 / 12 (-41%)	-17.0 / 17 (-100%)
19th Nov '20	Bellator 253	11	6.4	58%	6.4 / 11 (58%)
10th Oct '20	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	10	19.7	197%			19.7 / 10 (197%)
4th Oct '20	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	5	3.4	68%		3.4 / 5 (68%)

Winning Events: 5 (50%)
Losing Events: 5 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 18.83 units
Most Staked On One Event: 45.00 units
Best Event: 29.15 units
Worst Event: -20.15 units
Average Event: 0.90 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 29.50
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -21.28

intuitive picks: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	36.5	-16.2	-44%	-5.6 / 20.5 (-27%)	-3.6 / 9 (-40%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)	1 / 2 (33%)	-5.40
2021	93.25	15.9	17%	8.7 / 36.75 (24%)	-1.8 / 26.5 (-7%)	9.0 / 30 (30%)	1 / 2 (33%)	5.29
2020	58.5	9.3	16%	8.1 / 14.5 (56%)	-1.5 / 17 (-9%)	2.7 / 27 (10%)	3 / 1 (75%)	2.34

intuitive picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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intuitive picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	177.25	2.6	1%	4.8 / 60.75 (8%)	-6.9 / 52.5 (-13%)	4.8 / 64 (7%)
Bellator	11	6.4	58%	6.4 / 11 (58%)

intuitive picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	11 (48%)	9	82 %	40.00	5.42	0.49	14%
Slight Favorites	6 (26%)	3	50 %	24.50	-2.97	-0.49	-12%
Slight Underdogs	6 (26%)	5	83 %	7.25	8.73	1.46	120%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (13%)	1	33 %	12.00	-4.40	-1.47	-37%
Co-Main Event	2 (9%)	2	100 %	12.00	7.68	3.84	64%
Position 3-5	5 (22%)	3	60 %	6.75	-1.15	-0.23	-17%
6+ (Undercard)	13 (57%)	11	85 %	41.00	9.05	0.70	22%

intuitive picks: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (9%)	1	50 %	4.50	-1.50	-0.75	-33%
Middleweight	5 (22%)	5	100 %	20.00	7.79	1.56	39%
Welterweight	6 (26%)	5	83 %	26.50	7.80	1.30	29%
Lightweight	2 (9%)	2	100 %	1.50	0.41	0.20	27%
Featherweight	4 (17%)	2	50 %	12.00	-1.72	-0.43	-14%
Bantamweight	3 (13%)	1	33 %	6.25	-1.85	-0.62	-30%
Flyweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.25	0.25	25%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	21 (88%)	16	76 %
Slight Favorites	2 (8%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (4%)	1	100 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	24	17	71 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	3 (18%)	0	0 %
50-65%	6 (35%)	3	50 %
35-50%	8 (47%)	4	50 %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	17	7	41 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (12%)	0	0 %	1.89	2.00	1.80	-2.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (12%)	1	50 %	2.08	2.38	1.85	-0.1 (-7%)
Goes to Decision	2 (12%)	1	50 %	2.09	2.38	1.87	0.4 (19%)
X Wins by KO	1 (6%)	0	0 %	1.90	1.90	1.90	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (6%)	1	100 %	2.70	2.70	2.70	1.7 (170%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (6%)	0	0 %	2.40	2.40	2.40	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	8 (47%)	4	50 %	1.84	2.75	1.50	0.0 (0%)
	17	7	41 %	1.97			-2.1 (-12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail intuitive picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
4th Oct	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	5	3.4	68%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,034.00
10th Oct	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	10	19.7	197%		$10.34	$1,034.00	$1,237.90
19th Nov	Bellator 253	11	6.4	58%		$12.38	$1,237.90	$1,316.88
21st Nov	UFC 255	32.5	-20.1	-62%		$13.17	$1,316.88	$1,051.53
23rd Oct	UFC FN	29	-1.1	-4%	$5	$10.52	$1,051.53	$1,034.66
30th Oct	UFC 267	45	29.1	65%	$5	$10.35	$1,034.66	$1,331.24
6th Nov	UFC 268	19.25	-12.1	-63%	$5	$13.31	$1,331.24	$1,164.63
8th Apr	UFC 287	9	1.6	18%		$11.65	$1,164.63	$1,183.26
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes	14.5	-4.8	-33%	$5	$11.83	$1,183.26	$1,121.46
29th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	13	-13.0	-100%	$5	$11.21	$1,121.46	$970.67

ROI % from starting bank balance: -2.93% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

intuitive picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '23	Bruno Silva	Brad Tavares	2.30	1	TKO, R1 (3:35)
2.	Apr '23	Mohammed Usman	Junior Tafa	2.00	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Apr '23	Brady Hiestand	Danaa Batgerel	2.20	2	TKO, R3 (4:21)
4.	Apr '23	Steve Garcia	Yilan Sha	2.60	2	TKO, R2 (0:36)
5.	Nov '21	Melsik Bagdasaryan	Bruno Souza	1.27	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Nov '21	Ian Garry	Jordan Williams	1.26	1	TKO, R1 (4:59)
7.	Nov '21	Bobby Green	Al Iaquinta	1.54	0.5	TKO, R1 (2:25)
8.	Oct '21	Albert Duraev	Roman Kopylov	1.25	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Oct '21	Tagir Ulanbekov	Allan Nascimento	1.25	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Oct '21	Islam Makhachev	Daniel Hooker	1.14	1	Sub, R1 (2:25)
11.	Oct '21	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	Benoit Saint-Denis	1.40	8	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Oct '21	Francisco Trinaldo	Dwight Grant	1.69	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Oct '21	Marvin Vettori	Paulo Costa	1.52	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
14.	Nov '20	Jason Jackson	Benson Henderson	1.58	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Nov '20	Tim Means	Mike Perry	2.17	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Nov '20	Joaquin Buckley	Jordan Wright	1.38	1.5	TKO, R2 (0:18)
17.	Nov '20	Joaquin Buckley	Jordan Wright	1.38	1.5	TKO, R2 (0:18)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '23	Josh Quinlan	Trey Waters	1.61	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '23	Ricky Simon	Yadong Song	1.85	4	TKO, R5 (1:10)	No
3.	Apr '23	Francis Marshall	William Gomis	1.47	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Apr '23	Curtis Blaydes	Sergey Pavlovich	1.65	3	TKO, R1 (3:8)	No
5.	Nov '21	Frankie Edgar	Marlon Vera	2.36	0.25	TKO, R3 (3:50)	No
6.	Oct '21	Seung Woo Choi	Alex Caceres	1.36	3	Sub, R2 (3:31)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

intuitive picks: Progress Chart

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