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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352
 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Risky UFC

Risky UFC (RiskyUFC)

MMA MHandicapper - Risky UFC

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 55 (52%) Right 18 (62%) Right 16 (57%) Right 21 (44%)
Wrong 50 (48%) Wrong 11 (38%) Wrong 12 (43%) Wrong 27 (56%)
Avg Odds 2.13 Avg Odds 1.92 Avg Odds 1.98 Avg Odds 2.38
Units Bet 188.2 Units Bet 51.6 Units Bet 56.5 Units Bet 80.1
Avg Bet 1.79 Avg Bet 1.78 Avg Bet 2.02 Avg Bet 1.67
Units Profit 18.68 Units Profit 9.37 Units Profit 14.79 Units Profit -5.47
ROI % 10% ROI % 18% ROI % 26% ROI % -7%
View Handicapper's Profile

Risky UFC: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 6.91 6.1 88% 6.1 / 6.91 (88%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 6.33 2.6 40% 2.0 / 2.7 (74%) 0.6 / 3.63 (16%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 3.8 -3.8 -100% -3.8 / 3.8 (-100%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 14.89 3.1 21% -4.4 / 4.38 (-100%) 0.9 / 2.94 (31%) 6.6 / 7.57 (87%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 14.74 -5.8 -39% 0.0 / 3.36 (0%) -3.8 / 3.8 (-100%) -2.0 / 7.58 (-27%)
11th Dec '20 Cage Warriors 118 0.5 0.3 63% 0.3 / 0.5 (63%)
11th Dec '20 Bellator 254 1.53 0.5 31% 0.5 / 1.53 (31%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 5.56 5.8 105% 1.4 / 2.55 (56%) 4.4 / 3.01 (147%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 11.23 6.0 54% 2.0 / 2.9 (69%) 7.0 / 5.36 (131%) -3.0 / 2.97 (-100%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 19.53 1.4 7% 1.0 / 6.18 (16%) -4.1 / 4.05 (-100%) 4.5 / 9.3 (49%)
19th Nov '20 Bellator 253 1.77 -1.8 -100% -1.8 / 1.77 (-100%)
18th Nov '20 DWCS 36 1.75 -1.8 -100% -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 10.14 1.8 17% 2.0 / 3.8 (53%) -1.2 / 5.34 (-23%) 1.0 / 1 (101%)
12th Nov '20 Bellator 252 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Nov '20 DWCS 35 1 1.1 106% 1.1 / 1 (106%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 11 -4.2 -38% 1.8 / 5 (36%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
5th Nov '20 Bellator 251 1 0.9 90% 0.9 / 1 (90%)
5th Nov '20 DWCS 34 1 1.0 103% 1.0 / 1 (103%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 9 -4.9 -55% 1.6 / 2.5 (63%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 9.5 4.6 49% 0.7 / 7 (9%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 5.5 / 1 (549%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 11 -4.9 -44% -3.8 / 8 (-47%) -0.6 / 2.5 (-24%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
15th Oct '20 Bellator 249 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 11.5 -0.8 -7% 3.2 / 7.5 (43%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 6 9.8 164% 1.8 / 2 (91%) 11.0 / 1 (1,100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 6 1.6 27% 2.2 / 1 (220%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.4 / 3 (47%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 6 -2.6 -43% -2.6 / 6 (-43%)
16th Sep '20 DWCS 33 2 1.1 57% 1.1 / 2 (57%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 8.5 4.8 57% 2.0 / 1 (195%) 1.1 / 5.5 (20%) 1.8 / 2 (89%)
11th Sep '20 Bellator 245 4 -1.5 -36% -1.5 / 4 (-36%)


Winning Events: 17 (59%)
Losing Events: 12 (41%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.49 units
Most Staked On One Event: 19.53 units
Best Event: 9.82 units
Worst Event: -5.82 units
Average Event: 0.64 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 14.11
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -6.65

Risky UFC: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2021 17.04 4.8 28% 4.3 / 13.41 (32%) 0.6 / 3.63 (16%) 2 / 1 (67%) 1.61
2020 171.14 13.9 8% 9.4 / 51.62 (18%) 10.5 / 43.07 (24%) -6.0 / 76.45 (-8%) 15 / 11 (58%) 0.53

Risky UFC: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Risky UFC: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 171.63 20.7 12% 8.2 / 49.62 (17%) 14.3 / 54.95 (26%) -1.8 / 67.06 (-3%)
Bellator 10.3 -3.9 -37% 0.5 / 1.53 (31%) -4.3 / 8.77 (-49%)
Other 6.25 1.8 29% 1.1 / 2 (57%) 0.7 / 4.25 (15%)

Risky UFC: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 5 (17%) 4 80 % 12.04 2.92 0.58 24%
Slight Favorites 13 (43%) 9 69 % 25.36 2.96 0.23 12%
Slight Underdogs 7 (23%) 3 43 % 8.04 -2.59 -0.37 -32%
Big Underdogs 5 (17%) 3 60 % 6.18 6.07 1.21 98%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (10%) 3 100 % 8.70 5.43 1.81 62%
Co-Main Event 4 (13%) 1 25 % 5.00 -1.80 -0.45 -36%
Position 3-5 5 (17%) 4 80 % 7.36 4.29 0.86 58%
6+ (Undercard) 18 (60%) 11 61 % 30.56 1.45 0.08 5%

Risky UFC: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (13%) 3 75 % 6.00 5.71 1.43 95%
Light Heavy 3 (10%) 3 100 % 4.90 6.15 2.05 126%
Middleweight 6 (20%) 2 33 % 11.74 -5.64 -0.94 -48%
Welterweight 5 (17%) 5 100 % 6.50 5.63 1.13 87%
Lightweight 3 (10%) 1 33 % 7.80 -2.00 -0.67 -26%
Featherweight 4 (13%) 2 50 % 5.50 -1.16 -0.29 -21%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 2.00 1.43 1.43 71%
Flyweight 2 (7%) 1 50 % 5.18 -0.23 -0.12 -5%
               
Women's Fights 2 (7%) 1 50 % 2.00 -0.52 -0.26 -26%
Flyweight 2 (7%) 1 50 % 2.00 -0.52 -0.26 -26%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 96 (84%) 72 75 %
Slight Favorites 16 (14%) 10 63 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 2 (2%) 1 50 %
114 83 73 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 35 (55%) 27 77 %
50-65% 18 (28%) 10 56 %
35-50% 6 (9%) 3 50 %
<35% chance 5 (8%) 2 40 %
64 42 66 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 11 (17%) 9 82 % 1.39 1.91Pick was correct 1.14Pick was correct 1.4 (12%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (5%) 1 33 % 1.54 1.61Pick was incorrect 1.42Pick was correct -1.6 (-53%)
Goes to Decision 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.29 1.29Pick was correct 1.29Pick was correct 0.3 (29%)
Does not go to Decision 5 (8%) 4 80 % 1.27 1.65Pick was correct 1.14Pick was incorrect 0.3 (6%)
Fight Starts Round X 14 (22%) 12 86 % 1.21 1.43Pick was correct 1.12Pick was incorrect 0.6 (4%)
X Wins by KO 2 (3%) 2 100 % 2.45 2.95Pick was correct 2.10Pick was correct 3.1 (153%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (3%) 0 0 % 9.74 10.00Pick was incorrect 9.50Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 10 (16%) 5 50 % 1.90 4.20Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect -0.1 (-1%)
X Wins Inside Distance 15 (23%) 7 47 % 1.68 2.75Pick was correct 1.36Pick was correct -3.0 (-20%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (2%) 1 100 % 12.00 12.00Pick was correct 12.00Pick was correct 11.0 (1,100%)
64 42 66 % 1.54     9.9 (15%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Risky UFC's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
11th Sep Bellator 245 4 -1.5 -36% $10.00 $1,000.00 $985.41
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 8.5 4.8 57% $9.85 $985.41 $1,033.09
16th Sep DWCS 33 2 1.1 57% $10.33 $1,033.09 $1,044.90
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 6 -2.6 -43% $10.45 $1,044.90 $1,017.64
26th Sep UFC 253 6 1.6 27% $10.18 $1,017.64 $1,034.07
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 6 9.8 164% $10.34 $1,034.07 $1,135.64
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 11.5 -0.8 -7% $11.36 $1,135.64 $1,126.88
15th Oct Bellator 249 1 -1.0 -100% $11.27 $1,126.88 $1,115.62
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 11 -4.9 -44% $11.16 $1,115.62 $1,061.24
24th Oct UFC 254 9.5 4.6 49% $10.61 $1,061.24 $1,110.56
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 9 -4.9 -55% $11.11 $1,110.56 $1,055.73
5th Nov DWCS 34 1 1.0 103% $10.56 $1,055.73 $1,066.56
5th Nov Bellator 251 1 0.9 90% $10.67 $1,066.56 $1,076.17
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 11 -4.2 -38% $10.76 $1,076.17 $1,030.82
11th Nov DWCS 35 1 1.1 106% $10.31 $1,030.82 $1,041.77
12th Nov Bellator 252 1 -1.0 -100% $10.42 $1,041.77 $1,031.35
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 10.14 1.8 17% $5 $10.31 $1,031.35 $1,044.56
18th Nov DWCS 36 1.75 -1.8 -100% $10.45 $1,044.56 $1,026.28
19th Nov Bellator 253 1.77 -1.8 -100% $10.26 $1,026.28 $1,008.12
21st Nov UFC 255 19.53 1.4 7% $5 $10.08 $1,008.12 $1,017.55
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 11.23 6.0 54% $5 $10.18 $1,017.55 $1,074.05
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 5.56 5.8 105% $5 $10.74 $1,074.05 $1,131.84
11th Dec Bellator 254 1.53 0.5 31% $5 $11.32 $1,131.84 $1,132.17
11th Dec Cage Warriors 118 0.5 0.3 63% $5 $11.32 $1,132.17 $1,130.77
13th Dec UFC 256 14.74 -5.8 -39% $5 $11.31 $1,130.77 $1,059.95
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 14.89 3.1 21% $5 $10.60 $1,059.95 $1,088.25
16th Jan UFC FN 3.8 -3.8 -100% $5 $10.88 $1,088.25 $1,041.89
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 6.33 2.6 40% $10.42 $1,041.89 $1,068.60
24th Jan UFC 257 6.91 6.1 88% $10.69 $1,068.60 $1,133.28


ROI % from starting bank balance: 13.33% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Risky UFC: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '20 Paid Pick Kevin Holland Ronaldo Souza 1.91 1.76 TKO, R1 (1:45) MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '20 Paid Pick Anthony Smith Devin Clark 1.69 2.9 Sub, R1 (2:34) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '20 Paid Pick Brandon Moreno Brandon Royval 1.53 3.24 TKO, R1 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '20 Paid Pick Tim Means Mike Perry 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '20 Paid Pick Rafael dos Anjos Paul Felder 1.53 3.8 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '20 Jason Witt Cole Williams 1.63 2.5 Sub, R2 (2:9) MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '20 Tai Tuivasa Stefan Struve 1.87 2 TKO, R1 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '20 Shavkat Rakhmonov Alex Oliveira 2.05 1 Sub, R1 (4:40) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '20 Tai Tuivasa Stefan Struve 1.87 1 TKO, R1 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '20 Gillian Robertson Poliana Botelho 1.48 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '20 Jun Yong Park John Phillips 1.37 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '20 Cory Sandhagen Marlon Moraes 1.71 2 TKO, R2 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '20 Ilia Topuria Youssef Zalal 2.40 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '20 Chris Daukaus Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira 3.05 2 TKO, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '20 Nassourdine Imavov Jordan Williams 1.95 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '20 Luigi Vendramini Jessin Ayari 1.87 1 TKO, R1 (1:12) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '20 Jan Blachowicz Dominick Reyes 3.20 1 TKO, R2 (4:36) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '20 Kyle Driscoll Dinis Paiva 1.57 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '20 Ed Herman Mike Rodriguez 2.95 1 Sub, R3 (2:41) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '20 Paid Pick Jamie Pickett Tafon Nchukwi 3.50 1.18 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '20 Paid Pick Antonio Arroyo Deron Winn 1.63 3.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '20 Paid Pick Ronaldo Souza Kevin Holland 2.25 1.6 TKO, R1 (1:45) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '20 Paid Pick Brandon Royval Brandon Moreno 2.55 1.94 TKO, R1 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '20 Stefan Struve Tai Tuivasa 2.15 1 TKO, R1 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '20 Katlyn Chookagian Jessica Andrade 2.25 1 TKO, R1 (4:55) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '20 Mateusz Gamrot Guram Kutateladze 1.32 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '20 Jamie Mullarkey Fares Ziam 1.67 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '20 Omar Morales Giga Chikadze 1.63 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '20 Makwan Amirkhani Edson Barboza 3.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '20 Jared Cannonier Robert Whittaker 1.83 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Risky UFC: Progress Chart
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