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MMA Handicapper Stats: Chris Picks

Chris Picks (ChrisPicks!)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Chris Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 22 (40%) Right 18 (56%) Right 1 (7%) Right 3 (38%)
Wrong 33 (60%) Wrong 14 (44%) Wrong 14 (93%) Wrong 5 (63%)
Avg Odds 2.20 Avg Odds 2.00 Avg Odds 2.59 Avg Odds 2.51
Units Bet 129.7 Units Bet 78.4 Units Bet 27.8 Units Bet 23.6
Avg Bet 2.36 Avg Bet 2.45 Avg Bet 1.85 Avg Bet 2.94
Units Profit -28.92 Units Profit 2.20 Units Profit -21.25 Units Profit -9.87
ROI % -22% ROI % 3% ROI % -77% ROI % -42%
View Handicapper's Profile

Chris Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
1st Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
2nd Oct '21 UFC FN 1.2 -1.2 -100% -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
25th Sep '21 UFC 266 11 -2.1 -19% -1.1 / 10 (-11%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Jun '21 UFC FN 10.75 -1.0 -10% -1.0 / 10.75 (-10%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 11 -3.8 -34% -1.8 / 9 (-20%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 10 0.0 0% -1.0 / 4.5 (-21%) 4.0 / 2.5 (160%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
7th Apr '21 One on TNT 1 3 4.4 145% 4.4 / 3 (145%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 10 -10.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 5 4.0 80% 4.0 / 5 (80%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 10 -5.0 -50% 0.0 / 5 (0%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 13.25 -0.1 -1% 3.7 / 6.5 (57%) -3.8 / 6.75 (-57%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 4.5 -4.5 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 5.5 1.1 20% 3.1 / 3.5 (89%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 3.25 -3.3 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 7.25 1.4 19% -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) 3.7 / 5 (73%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 3.35 3.1 93% 2.1 / 2.25 (93%) 1.0 / 1.1 (91%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 2.475 2.0 82% 2.0 / 2.475 (82%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 2.2 2.0 91% 2.0 / 2.2 (91%)


Winning Events: 8 (40%)
Losing Events: 12 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.49 units
Most Staked On One Event: 13.25 units
Best Event: 4.35 units
Worst Event: -10.00 units
Average Event: -1.45 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 8.54
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -18.09

Chris Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2023 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) / 1 (0%) -10.00
2021 75.95 -18.7 -25% -7.5 / 58.25 (-13%) -2.0 / 8.5 (-24%) -9.2 / 9.2 (-100%) 3 / 7 (30%) -1.87
2020 43.775 -0.2 -1% 9.7 / 20.175 (48%) -9.3 / 9.25 (-100%) -0.7 / 14.35 (-5%) 5 / 4 (56%) -0.02

Chris Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Chris Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 126.725 -33.3 -26% -2.1 / 75.425 (-3%) -21.3 / 27.75 (-77%) -9.9 / 23.55 (-42%)
Other 3 4.4 145% 4.4 / 3 (145%)

Chris Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 5 (15%) 4 80 % 15.60 3.26 0.65 21%
Slight Favorites 12 (35%) 7 58 % 28.70 3.86 0.32 13%
Slight Underdogs 12 (35%) 5 42 % 30.50 -3.95 -0.33 -13%
Big Underdogs 5 (15%) 2 40 % 3.63 -0.97 -0.19 -27%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 2 (6%) 1 50 % 4.75 -0.82 -0.41 -17%
Co-Main Event 2 (6%) 2 100 % 4.50 5.27 2.64 117%
Position 3-5 12 (35%) 5 42 % 28.08 -5.29 -0.44 -19%
6+ (Undercard) 18 (53%) 10 56 % 41.10 3.04 0.17 7%

Chris Picks: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (6%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -2.50 -100%
Light Heavy 1 (3%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -4.00 -100%
Middleweight 2 (6%) 1 50 % 5.75 0.01 0.00 0%
Welterweight 5 (15%) 3 60 % 11.70 2.27 0.45 19%
Lightweight 4 (12%) 2 50 % 9.10 -2.46 -0.61 -27%
Featherweight 7 (21%) 3 43 % 17.00 -0.17 -0.02 -1%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.10 1.10 110%
Flyweight 2 (6%) 2 100 % 6.25 5.00 2.50 80%
               
Women's Fights 10 (29%) 6 60 % 18.63 5.45 0.55 29%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Flyweight 8 (24%) 6 75 % 16.63 7.45 0.93 45%
Strawweight 1 (3%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 7 (70%) 4 57 %
Slight Favorites 3 (30%) 1 33 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
10 5 50 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 5 (19%) 2 40 %
50-65% 8 (31%) 4 50 %
35-50% 9 (35%) 2 22 %
<35% chance 4 (15%) 0 0 %
26 8 31 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Does not go to Decision 10 (38%) 6 60 % 1.62 2.60Pick was correct 1.36Pick was correct 0.5 (5%)
X Wins Inside Distance 8 (31%) 1 13 % 2.18 3.40Pick was incorrect 1.72Pick was incorrect -5.7 (-71%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (8%) 0 0 % 4.62 4.75Pick was incorrect 4.50Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 6 (23%) 1 17 % 2.30 5.50Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was correct -4.4 (-73%)
26 8 31 % 2.02     -11.6 (-45%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Chris Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 2.2 2.0 91% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,020.00
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 2.475 2.0 82% $10.20 $1,020.00 $1,040.72
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 3.35 3.1 93% $10.41 $1,040.72 $1,072.98
26th Sep UFC 253 7.25 1.4 19% $10.73 $1,072.98 $1,088.14
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 3.25 -3.3 -100% $10.88 $1,088.14 $1,052.77
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 5.5 1.1 20% $10.53 $1,052.77 $1,064.57
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 4.5 -4.5 -100% $10.65 $1,064.57 $1,016.66
13th Dec UFC 256 13.25 -0.1 -1% $10.17 $1,016.66 $1,015.31
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 2 -2.0 -100% $10.15 $1,015.31 $995.00
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 10 -5.0 -50% $9.95 $995.00 $945.25
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 4 -4.0 -100% $9.45 $945.25 $907.44
6th Mar UFC 259 5 4.0 80% $9.07 $907.44 $943.74
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 10 -10.0 -100% $9.44 $943.74 $849.36
7th Apr One on TNT 1 3 4.4 145% $8.49 $849.36 $886.31
10th Apr UFC FN 10 0.0 0% $8.86 $886.31 $886.68
17th Apr UFC FN 11 -3.8 -34% $8.87 $886.68 $853.18
5th Jun UFC FN 10.75 -1.0 -10% $8.53 $853.18 $844.29
25th Sep UFC 266 11 -2.1 -19% $8.44 $844.29 $826.80
2nd Oct UFC FN 1.2 -1.2 -100% $8.27 $826.80 $816.88
1st Jul UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 10 -10.0 -100% $8.17 $816.88 $735.19


ROI % from starting bank balance: -26.48% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Chris Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Sep '21 Taila Santos Roxanne Modafferi 1.25 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '21 Alex Volkanovski Brian Ortega 1.57 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '21 Manon Fiorot Tabatha Ricci 5.00 0.25 TKO, R2 (3:0) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '21 Kamuela Kirk Makwan Amirkhani 2.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '21 Roman Dolidze Laureano Staropoli 1.65 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '21 Tracy Cortez Justine Kish 1.44 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '21 Mateusz Gamrot Scott Holtzman 1.42 2.5 TKO, R2 (1:22) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '21 Iuri Lapicus Eddie Alvarez 2.45 3 MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '21 Askar Askarov Joseph Benavidez 1.80 5 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '21 Casey O'Neill Shana Dobson 1.67 3 TKO, R2 (3:41) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '20 Gavin Tucker Billy Quarantillo 2.40 4.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '20 Norma Dumont Ashlee Evans-Smith 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '20 Miguel Baeza Takashi Sato 1.61 1.5 Sub, R2 (4:28) MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '20 Randy Costa Journey Newson 2.10 1 TKO, R1 (0:41) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '20 David Dvorak Jordan Espinosa 1.80 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '20 Roxanne Modafferi Andrea Lee 3.75 0.375 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '20 Billy Quarantillo Kyle Nelson 1.48 2.1 TKO, R3 (0:7) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '20 Michel Pereira Zelim Imadaev 1.91 2.2 Sub, R3 (4:39) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '21 Cynthia Calvillo Jessica Andrade 3.00 1 TKO, R1 (4:54) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '21 Uros Medic Jalin Turner 1.80 2.5 Sub, R1 (4:1) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '21 Miguel Baeza Santiago Ponzinibbio 1.72 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '21 Ariane Lipski Montana De La Rosa 3.25 1 TKO, R2 (4:27) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '21 Miguel Baeza Santiago Ponzinibbio 1.83 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '21 Juan Espino Alexander Romanov 2.25 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '21 Ignacio Bahamondes John Makdessi 1.53 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '21 Gavin Tucker Dan Ige 2.30 3 TKO, R1 (0:22) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '21 Gavin Tucker Dan Ige 2.25 4 TKO, R1 (0:22) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '21 Maxim Grishin Dustin Jacoby 2.50 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '21 Nate Landwehr Julian Erosa 1.91 1 TKO, R1 (0:56) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '21 Jared Vanderaa Sergey Spivak 3.00 1 TKO, R2 (4:32) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '20 Daniel Pineda Cub Swanson 1.67 1.25 TKO, R2 (1:52) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '20 Virna Jandiroba Mackenzie Dern 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '20 Julianna Pena Germaine de Randamie 2.25 1 Sub, R3 (3:25) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '20 Paulo Costa Israel Adesanya 2.50 2.25 TKO, R2 (3:59) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Chris Picks: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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