MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2347

MMA Handicapper Stats: The UNDERstood

The UNDERstood (The UNDERstood)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	70 (51%)	Right	68 (53%)	Right	2 (40%)	Right	0 (0%)
Wrong	66 (49%)	Wrong	61 (47%)	Wrong	3 (60%)	Wrong	2 (100%)
Avg Odds	1.90	Avg Odds	1.86	Avg Odds	3.06	Avg Odds	3.22
Units Bet	239.6	Units Bet	234.1	Units Bet	3.5	Units Bet	2.0
Avg Bet	1.76	Avg Bet	1.81	Avg Bet	0.70	Avg Bet	1.00
Units Profit	-12.57	Units Profit	-11.27	Units Profit	0.70	Units Profit	-2.00
ROI %	-5%	ROI %	-5%	ROI %	20%	ROI %	-100%

The UNDERstood: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
21st Aug '21	UFC FN	12.3	-7.7	-63%	-7.7 / 12.3 (-63%)
13th Aug '21	PFL 2021 #7: Playoffs	3.5	-0.6	-16%	-0.6 / 3.5 (-16%)
7th Aug '21	UFC 265	8	3.3	41%	3.3 / 8 (41%)
31st Jul '21	Bellator 263	5	1.7	34%	1.7 / 5 (34%)
26th Jun '21	UFC FN	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Jun '21	UFC FN	4.5	0.4	8%	0.4 / 4.5 (8%)
12th Jun '21	UFC 263	6.1	-1.4	-23%	-1.4 / 6.1 (-23%)
5th Jun '21	UFC FN	5	-1.5	-29%	-1.5 / 5 (-29%)
22nd May '21	UFC FN	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
15th May '21	UFC 262	5.5	-2.7	-48%	-2.7 / 5.5 (-48%)
8th May '21	UFC FN	2	3.3	163%	3.3 / 2 (163%)
7th May '21	Bellator 258	5.8	-1.7	-30%	-0.7 / 4.8 (-16%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st May '21	UFC FN	5	2.1	43%	2.1 / 5 (43%)
24th Apr '21	UFC 261	6.75	4.9	72%	4.9 / 6.75 (72%)
23rd Apr '21	PFL 2021: Week 1	6	-1.2	-21%	-1.2 / 6 (-21%)
17th Apr '21	UFC FN	6	-0.3	-5%	-0.3 / 6 (-5%)
10th Apr '21	UFC FN	7	1.3	18%	1.3 / 7 (18%)
9th Apr '21	Bellator 256	1.8	-0.4	-22%	-0.4 / 1.8 (-22%)
28th Mar '21	UFC 260	7	-0.7	-10%	0.3 / 6 (5%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 188	7.5	0.4	6%	-0.7 / 6.5 (-11%)	1.1 / 1 (115%)
13th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 187	1	0.9	87%	0.9 / 1 (87%)
6th Mar '21	UFC 259	9.5	-6.9	-72%	-6.9 / 9.5 (-72%)
28th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 186	2.8	-0.4	-14%	-0.4 / 2.8 (-14%)
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	3.3	-0.0	-2%	-0.0 / 3.3 (-2%)
13th Feb '21	UFC 258	3.5	2.6	76%	2.6 / 3.5 (76%)
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	4.5	-4.5	-100%	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	4.5	0.3	7%	0.5 / 4.3 (12%)	-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	5.5	-5.5	-100%	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	5.5	3.8	68%	3.8 / 5.5 (68%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	6.5	-1.2	-19%	-1.2 / 6.5 (-19%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	4	-1.2	-29%	-1.2 / 4 (-29%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	4.5	2.3	51%	2.3 / 4.5 (51%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	2	1.0	49%	1.0 / 2 (49%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	8	4.7	58%	3.6 / 7 (51%)	1.1 / 1 (105%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	5	1.2	24%	1.2 / 5 (24%)
8th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 13	7	-4.1	-59%	-3.1 / 6 (-52%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Oct '20	Bellator 250	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	5.5	1.0	19%	1.0 / 5.5 (19%)
17th Oct '20	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	9.5	2.5	27%	2.5 / 9.5 (27%)
15th Oct '20	Bellator 249	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Oct '20	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	4	0.6	15%	0.6 / 4 (15%)
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	3.8	2.7	70%	3.0 / 3.5 (85%)	-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)
19th Sep '20	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 184	4	-0.5	-13%	-0.5 / 4 (-13%)
5th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 183	7.2	2.4	34%	2.4 / 7.2 (34%)
22nd Aug '20	UFC Vegas 7	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	3.5	2.2	63%	2.2 / 3.5 (63%)
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	2	2.7	135%	2.7 / 2 (135%)
8th Aug '20	Bellator 243	2.75	-2.8	-100%	-2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)
5th Aug '20	DWCS 27	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)

Winning Events: 23 (45%)
Losing Events: 28 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.70 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.30 units
Best Event: 4.85 units
Worst Event: -7.72 units
Average Event: -0.25 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 9.11
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -10.51

The UNDERstood: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	151.85	-17.6	-12%	-16.5 / 148.65 (-11%)	-0.1 / 2.2 (-2%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	12 / 17 (41%)	-0.61
2020	87.75	5.0	6%	5.2 / 85.45 (6%)	0.8 / 1.3 (58%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	11 / 11 (50%)	0.23

The UNDERstood: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The UNDERstood: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	210.25	-3.0	-1%	-2.7 / 205.75 (-1%)	0.7 / 3.5 (20%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
Bellator	18.35	-6.2	-34%	-5.2 / 17.35 (-30%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
PFL	9.5	-1.8	-19%	-1.8 / 9.5 (-19%)
Other	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)

The UNDERstood: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	30 (23%)	21	70 %	84.35	-6.13	-0.20	-7%
Slight Favorites	49 (38%)	26	53 %	96.10	-5.64	-0.12	-6%
Slight Underdogs	40 (31%)	16	40 %	48.20	-7.66	-0.19	-16%
Big Underdogs	10 (8%)	5	50 %	5.45	8.16	0.82	150%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	21 (16%)	8	38 %	30.35	-0.32	-0.02	-1%
Co-Main Event	16 (12%)	9	56 %	29.80	-2.15	-0.13	-7%
Position 3-5	43 (33%)	22	51 %	77.65	-7.41	-0.17	-10%
6+ (Undercard)	49 (38%)	29	59 %	96.30	-1.38	-0.03	-1%

The UNDERstood: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	10 (8%)	5	50 %	21.30	-2.01	-0.20	-9%
Light Heavy	11 (9%)	6	55 %	22.90	-1.58	-0.14	-7%
Middleweight	18 (14%)	13	72 %	34.50	11.06	0.61	32%
Welterweight	22 (17%)	15	68 %	38.70	10.03	0.46	26%
Lightweight	24 (19%)	9	38 %	39.80	-12.65	-0.53	-32%
Featherweight	15 (12%)	7	47 %	30.80	-8.80	-0.59	-29%
Bantamweight	13 (10%)	8	62 %	25.00	1.72	0.13	7%
Flyweight	7 (5%)	1	14 %	8.00	-6.65	-0.95	-83%

Women's Fights	9 (7%)	4	44 %	13.10	-2.39	-0.27	-18%
Featherweight	1 (1%)		0 %	0.30	-0.30	-0.30	-100%
Flyweight	3 (2%)	3	100 %	6.00	3.62	1.21	60%
Strawweight	5 (4%)	1	20 %	6.80	-5.70	-1.14	-84%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	3 (50%)	2	67 %
Slight Favorites	2 (33%)	1	50 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (17%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	6	3	50 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
35-50%	3 (60%)	2	67 %
<35% chance	2 (40%)	0	0 %
	5	2	40 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (20%)	0	0 %	2.05	2.05	2.05	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	1 (20%)	1	100 %	2.15	2.15	2.15	1.1 (115%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (20%)	0	0 %	7.50	7.50	7.50	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (20%)	1	100 %	2.05	2.05	2.05	1.1 (105%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (20%)	0	0 %	17.30	17.30	17.30	-1.0 (-100%)
	5	2	40 %	3.06			-0.8 (-16%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The UNDERstood's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
5th Aug	DWCS 27	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$985.00
8th Aug	Bellator 243	2.75	-2.8	-100%		$9.85	$985.00	$957.91
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	2	2.7	135%		$9.58	$957.91	$983.78
15th Aug	UFC 252	3.5	2.2	63%		$9.84	$983.78	$1,005.30
22nd Aug	UFC Vegas 7	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.05	$1,005.30	$995.24
5th Sep	UFC Fight Night 183	7.2	2.4	34%		$9.95	$995.24	$1,019.60
12th Sep	UFC Fight Night 184	4	-0.5	-13%		$10.20	$1,019.60	$1,014.50
19th Sep	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.14	$1,014.50	$994.21
26th Sep	UFC 253	3.8	2.7	70%		$9.94	$994.21	$1,020.78
10th Oct	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	4	0.6	15%		$10.21	$1,020.78	$1,027.01
15th Oct	Bellator 249	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.27	$1,027.01	$1,006.47
17th Oct	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	9.5	2.5	27%		$10.06	$1,006.47	$1,031.87
24th Oct	UFC 254	5.5	1.0	19%		$10.32	$1,031.87	$1,042.48
29th Oct	Bellator 250	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.42	$1,042.48	$1,032.05
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.32	$1,032.05	$1,021.73
8th Nov	UFC Vegas 13	7	-4.1	-59%		$10.22	$1,021.73	$979.54
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	5	1.2	24%		$9.80	$979.54	$991.07
21st Nov	UFC 255	8	4.7	58%		$9.91	$991.07	$1,037.19
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	2	1.0	49%		$10.37	$1,037.19	$1,047.41
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	4.5	2.3	51%		$10.47	$1,047.41	$1,071.44
13th Dec	UFC 256	4	-1.2	-29%		$10.71	$1,071.44	$1,059.01
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	6.5	-1.2	-19%		$10.59	$1,059.01	$1,045.86
16th Jan	UFC FN	5.5	3.8	68%		$10.46	$1,045.86	$1,085.21
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	5.5	-5.5	-100%		$10.85	$1,085.21	$1,025.52
24th Jan	UFC 257	4.5	0.3	7%		$10.26	$1,025.52	$1,028.95
6th Feb	UFC FN	4.5	-4.5	-100%		$10.29	$1,028.95	$982.64
13th Feb	UFC 258	3.5	2.6	76%		$9.83	$982.64	$1,008.68
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	3.3	-0.0	-2%		$10.09	$1,008.68	$1,008.18
28th Feb	UFC Fight Night 186	2.8	-0.4	-14%		$10.08	$1,008.18	$1,004.23
6th Mar	UFC 259	9.5	-6.9	-72%		$10.04	$1,004.23	$935.34
13th Mar	UFC Fight Night 187	1	0.9	87%		$9.35	$935.34	$943.48
20th Mar	UFC Fight Night 188	7.5	0.4	6%		$9.43	$943.48	$947.53
28th Mar	UFC 260	7	-0.7	-10%		$9.48	$947.53	$941.17
9th Apr	Bellator 256	1.8	-0.4	-22%		$9.41	$941.17	$937.39
10th Apr	UFC FN	7	1.3	18%		$9.37	$937.39	$949.29
17th Apr	UFC FN	6	-0.3	-5%		$9.49	$949.29	$946.59
23rd Apr	PFL 2021: Week 1	6	-1.2	-21%		$9.47	$946.59	$934.85
24th Apr	UFC 261	6.75	4.9	72%		$9.35	$934.85	$980.20
1st May	UFC FN	5	2.1	43%		$9.80	$980.20	$1,001.19
7th May	Bellator 258	5.8	-1.7	-30%		$10.01	$1,001.19	$983.70
8th May	UFC FN	2	3.3	163%		$9.84	$983.70	$1,015.67
15th May	UFC 262	5.5	-2.7	-48%		$10.16	$1,015.67	$988.64
22nd May	UFC FN	5	-5.0	-100%		$9.89	$988.64	$939.21
5th Jun	UFC FN	5	-1.5	-29%		$9.39	$939.21	$925.48
12th Jun	UFC 263	6.1	-1.4	-23%		$9.25	$925.48	$912.67
19th Jun	UFC FN	4.5	0.4	8%		$9.13	$912.67	$916.09
26th Jun	UFC FN	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.16	$916.09	$897.77
31st Jul	Bellator 263	5	1.7	34%		$8.98	$897.77	$912.87
7th Aug	UFC 265	8	3.3	41%		$9.13	$912.87	$942.70
13th Aug	PFL 2021 #7: Playoffs	3.5	-0.6	-16%		$9.43	$942.70	$937.31
21st Aug	UFC FN	12.3	-7.7	-63%		$9.37	$937.31	$864.94

ROI % from starting bank balance: -13.51% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The UNDERstood: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '21	Brian Kelleher	Domingo Pilarte	1.53	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Aug '21	Ray Cooper III	Rory MacDonald	1.95	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Aug '21	Alonzo Menifield	Ed Herman	1.39	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Aug '21	Vicente Luque	Michael Chiesa	1.83	3.5	Sub, R1 (3:25)
5.	Jul '21	A.J. McKee	Patricio Freire	1.91	3.5	Sub, R1 (1:57)
6.	Jun '21	Kalinn Williams	Matt Semelsberger	1.63	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jun '21	Terrance McKinney	Matt Frevola	2.68	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:7)
8.	Jun '21	Brad Riddell	Drew Dober	2.25	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jun '21	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	Augusto Sakai	1.77	2	TKO, R1 (4:59)
10.	May '21	Lando Vannata	Mike Grundy	1.89	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	May '21	Alex Morono	Donald Cerrone	2.68	1	TKO, R1 (4:40)
12.	May '21	Neil Magny	Geoff Neal	2.57	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	May '21	Michael Page	Derek Anderson	1.35	3	TKO, R1 (5:0)
14.	May '21	Sean Strickland	Krzysztof Jotko	1.36	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Apr '21	Dwight Grant	Stefan Sekulic	1.51	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Apr '21	Brendan Allen	Karl Roberson	1.63	2	Sub, R1 (4:55)
17.	Apr '21	Urijah Hall	Chris Weidman	2.13	2.5	TKO, R1 (0:17)
18.	Apr '21	Clay Collard	Anthony Pettis	4.76	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Apr '21	Austin Hubbard	Dakota Bush	1.54	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Apr '21	Luis Pena	Alex Munoz	1.70	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Aug '21	Roosevelt Roberts	Ignacio Bahamondes	1.59	5	TKO, R3 (4:55)	No
2.	Aug '21	Fabio Cherant	William Knight	2.46	0.8	TKO, R1 (3:58)	No
3.	Aug '21	Clay Guida	Mark O. Madsen	2.35	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Aug '21	Brandon Royval	Alexandre Pantoja	2.35	2.5	Sub, R2 (1:46)	No
5.	Aug '21	Clay Collard	Raush Manfio	1.57	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Aug '21	Angela Hill	Tecia Torres	2.22	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jul '21	Brent Primus	Islam Mamedov	2.75	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jun '21	Justin Jaynes	Charles Rosa	2.40	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jun '21	Davey Grant	Marlon Vera	2.70	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jun '21	Jamahal Hill	Paul Craig	1.37	4.1	TKO, R1 (1:59)	No
11.	Jun '21	Jordan Leavitt	Claudio Puelles	1.49	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	May '21	Justin Tafa	Jared Vanderaa	1.54	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	May '21	Yan Xiaonan	Carla Esparza	1.87	1.5	TKO, R2 (2:58)	No
14.	May '21	Claudio Silva	Court McGee	1.91	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	May '21	Shane Burgos	Edson Barboza	1.61	2	TKO, R3 (1:16)	No
16.	May '21	Tony Ferguson	Beneil Dariush	2.35	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	May '21	Juan Archulata	Sergio Pettis	1.68	1.8	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
18.	Apr '21	Jorge Masvidal	Kamaru Usman	4.20	0.25	TKO, R2 (1:2)	No
19.	Apr '21	Lance Palmer	Bubba Jenkins	1.26	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Apr '21	Lupita Godinez	Jessica Penne	1.36	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The UNDERstood: Progress Chart

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