MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6363
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2350

MMA Handicapper Stats: ModelLocks

ModelLocks (ModelLocks)

MMA MHandicapper - ModelLocks

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	59 (51%)	Right	59 (51%)	Right	0 (nan%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	56 (49%)	Wrong	56 (49%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	1.78	Avg Odds	1.78	Avg Odds	nan	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	374.7	Units Bet	374.7	Units Bet	0.0	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	3.26	Avg Bet	3.26	Avg Bet	nan	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	-51.40	Units Profit	-51.40	Units Profit	0.00	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	-14%	ROI %	-14%	ROI %	nan%	ROI %	nan%

ModelLocks : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Feb '21	UFC 258	20.72	-15.2	-73%	-15.2 / 20.72 (-73%)
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	24.01	-8.4	-35%	-8.4 / 24.01 (-35%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	20.96	-12.3	-59%	-12.3 / 20.96 (-59%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	19.89	-13.9	-70%	-13.9 / 19.89 (-70%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	14.19	-6.8	-48%	-6.8 / 14.19 (-48%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	20.41	-6.3	-31%	-6.3 / 20.41 (-31%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	22.76	-0.4	-2%	-0.4 / 22.76 (-2%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	20.16	-12.3	-61%	-12.3 / 20.16 (-61%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	16.06	1.8	11%	1.8 / 16.06 (11%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	12.92	15.5	120%	15.5 / 12.92 (120%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	13.23	6.6	50%	6.6 / 13.23 (50%)
8th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 13	11.21	4.8	43%	4.8 / 11.21 (43%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	23.31	-5.7	-25%	-5.7 / 23.31 (-25%)
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	12.76	-4.0	-31%	-4.0 / 12.76 (-31%)
17th Oct '20	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	13.83	7.9	57%	7.9 / 13.83 (57%)
10th Oct '20	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	9.01	-0.5	-5%	-0.5 / 9.01 (-5%)
4th Oct '20	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	7.22	5.6	78%	5.6 / 7.22 (78%)
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	11.6	-3.6	-31%	-3.6 / 11.6 (-31%)
12th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 184	13.53	0.2	1%	0.2 / 13.53 (1%)
5th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 183	16.5	7.8	47%	7.8 / 16.5 (47%)
29th Aug '20	UFC Fight Night 182	6.94	-1.5	-22%	-1.5 / 6.94 (-22%)
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	7.17	-7.2	-100%	-7.2 / 7.17 (-100%)
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	3.3	-3.3	-100%	-3.3 / 3.3 (-100%)
1st Aug '20	UFC Vegas 5	9.58	2.2	23%	2.2 / 9.58 (23%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	4.22	-2.7	-63%	-2.7 / 4.22 (-63%)
15th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 1	5.96	-4.7	-78%	-4.7 / 5.96 (-78%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	13.28	4.8	36%	4.8 / 13.28 (36%)

Winning Events: 10 (37%)
Losing Events: 17 (63%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.88 units
Most Staked On One Event: 24.01 units
Best Event: 15.47 units
Worst Event: -15.15 units
Average Event: -1.90 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 28.69
Max Losing Streak: Events: 8, Units: -75.49

ModelLocks : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	99.77	-56.6	-57%	-56.6 / 99.77 (-57%)			/ 5 (0%)	-11.32
2020	274.96	5.2	2%	5.2 / 274.96 (2%)			10 / 12 (45%)	0.24

ModelLocks : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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ModelLocks : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	374.73	-51.4	-14%	-51.4 / 374.73 (-14%)

ModelLocks : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	35 (30%)	26	74 %	74.75	0.89	0.03	1%
Slight Favorites	42 (36%)	18	43 %	130.21	-40.17	-0.96	-31%
Slight Underdogs	25 (21%)	13	52 %	101.70	16.91	0.68	17%
Big Underdogs	16 (14%)	3	19 %	68.07	-29.03	-1.81	-43%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	15 (13%)	10	67 %	48.01	10.81	0.72	23%
Co-Main Event	19 (16%)	11	58 %	62.13	11.86	0.62	19%
Position 3-5	30 (25%)	9	30 %	94.95	-56.21	-1.87	-59%
6+ (Undercard)	54 (46%)	30	56 %	169.64	-17.86	-0.33	-11%

ModelLocks : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (1%)		0 %	3.25	-3.25	-3.25	-100%
Light Heavy	11 (9%)	5	45 %	37.50	-3.10	-0.28	-8%
Middleweight	16 (14%)	6	38 %	64.23	-12.12	-0.76	-19%
Welterweight	24 (20%)	15	63 %	71.74	8.16	0.34	11%
Lightweight	18 (15%)	9	50 %	62.35	-14.72	-0.82	-24%
Featherweight	23 (19%)	11	48 %	69.91	-13.59	-0.59	-19%
Bantamweight	16 (14%)	9	56 %	41.75	-5.48	-0.34	-13%
Flyweight	5 (4%)	4	80 %	12.70	3.24	0.65	25%

Women's Fights	4 (3%)	1	25 %	11.30	-10.53	-2.63	-93%
Flyweight	1 (1%)		0 %	2.62	-2.62	-2.62	-100%
Strawweight	3 (3%)	1	33 %	8.68	-7.91	-2.64	-91%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
35-50%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
	0	0	nan %	nan			0.0 (nan%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail ModelLocks 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
11th Jul	UFC 251	13.28	4.8	36%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,047.92
15th Jul	UFC Fight Island 1	5.96	-4.7	-78%		$10.48	$1,047.92	$998.99
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	4.22	-2.7	-63%		$9.99	$998.99	$972.23
1st Aug	UFC Vegas 5	9.58	2.2	23%		$9.72	$972.23	$993.31
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	3.3	-3.3	-100%		$9.93	$993.31	$960.53
15th Aug	UFC 252	7.17	-7.2	-100%		$9.61	$960.53	$891.66
29th Aug	UFC Fight Night 182	6.94	-1.5	-22%		$8.92	$891.66	$877.97
5th Sep	UFC Fight Night 183	16.5	7.8	47%		$8.78	$877.97	$946.39
12th Sep	UFC Fight Night 184	13.53	0.2	1%		$9.46	$946.39	$948.27
26th Sep	UFC 253	11.6	-3.6	-31%		$9.48	$948.27	$914.55
4th Oct	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	7.22	5.6	78%		$9.15	$914.55	$966.02
10th Oct	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	9.01	-0.5	-5%		$9.66	$966.02	$961.28
17th Oct	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	13.83	7.9	57%		$9.61	$961.28	$1,037.43
24th Oct	UFC 254	12.76	-4.0	-31%		$10.37	$1,037.43	$996.11
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	23.31	-5.7	-25%		$9.96	$996.11	$939.17
8th Nov	UFC Vegas 13	11.21	4.8	43%		$9.39	$939.17	$984.59
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	13.23	6.6	50%		$9.85	$984.59	$1,049.89
21st Nov	UFC 255	12.92	15.5	120%		$10.50	$1,049.89	$1,212.34
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	16.06	1.8	11%		$12.12	$1,212.34	$1,233.57
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	20.16	-12.3	-61%		$12.34	$1,233.57	$1,082.41
13th Dec	UFC 256	22.76	-0.4	-2%		$10.82	$1,082.41	$1,078.51
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	20.41	-6.3	-31%		$10.79	$1,078.51	$1,010.99
16th Jan	UFC FN	14.19	-6.8	-48%		$10.11	$1,010.99	$942.57
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	19.89	-13.9	-70%		$9.43	$942.57	$811.14
24th Jan	UFC 257	20.96	-12.3	-59%		$8.11	$811.14	$711.13
6th Feb	UFC FN	24.01	-8.4	-35%		$7.11	$711.13	$651.23
13th Feb	UFC 258	20.72	-15.2	-73%		$6.51	$651.23	$552.55

ROI % from starting bank balance: -44.75% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

ModelLocks : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '21	Chris Gutierrez	Andre Ewell	1.71	2.19	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Feb '21	Belal Muhammad	Dhiego Lima	1.20	1.51	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Feb '21	Danilo Marques	Mike Rodriguez	2.95	3.15	Sub, R2 (4:52)
4.	Feb '21	Clay Guida	Michael Johnson	2.75	1.63	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Feb '21	Cory Sandhagen	Frankie Edgar	1.25	1.45	TKO, R1 (0:28)
6.	Jan '21	Amir Albazi	Zhalgas Zhumagulov	1.91	3.82	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jan '21	Movsar Evloev	Nik Lentz	1.14	1.17	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jan '21	Su Mudaerji	Zarrukh Adashev	1.20	1.44	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jan '21	Lerone Murphy	Douglas Silva de Andrade	1.29	2.22	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jan '21	Matt Schnell	Tyson Nam	2.20	0.62	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jan '21	Carlos Condit	Matt Brown	1.57	3.64	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Jan '21	Max Holloway	Calvin Kattar	1.61	1.06	U Decision (5 rounds)
13.	Dec '20	Deron Winn	Antonio Arroyo	2.40	4.06	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Dec '20	Anthony Pettis	Alex Morono	1.44	3.05	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Dec '20	Gavin Tucker	Billy Quarantillo	2.50	4.06	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Dec '20	Charles Oliveira	Tony Ferguson	2.45	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Dec '20	Ilia Topuria	Damon Jackson	1.37	2.7	TKO, R1 (2:38)
18.	Dec '20	Jamahal Hill	Ovince St Preux	1.54	2.73	TKO, R2 (3:37)
19.	Nov '20	Anderson dos Santos	Martin Day	2.40	5	Sub, R1 (4:35)
20.	Nov '20	Anthony Smith	Devin Clark	1.71	3.39	Sub, R1 (2:34)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '21	Maki Pitolo	Julian Marquez	2.35	4.23	Sub, R3 (4:17)	No
2.	Feb '21	Brian Kelleher	Ricky Simon	3.00	3.68	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Feb '21	Ian Heinisch	Kelvin Gastelum	2.80	4.11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Feb '21	Gilbert Burns	Kamaru Usman	3.05	5	TKO, R3 (0:34)	No
5.	Feb '21	Jerome Rivera	Ode Osbourne	2.75	3.16	TKO, R1 (0:26)	No
6.	Feb '21	Martin Day	Timur Valiev	4.00	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Feb '21	Justin Jaynes	Devonte Smith	3.50	5	TKO, R2 (3:38)	No
8.	Feb '21	Carlos Diego Ferreira	Beneil Dariush	1.87	4.62	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jan '21	Antonio Carlos Junior	Brad Tavares	1.91	4.35	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jan '21	Matt Frevola	Arman Tsarukyan	5.25	4.88	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Jan '21	Andrew Sanchez	Makhmud Muradov	2.40	5	TKO, R3 (2:59)	No
12.	Jan '21	Conor McGregor	Dustin Poirier	1.29	1.74	TKO, R2 (2:32)	No
13.	Jan '21	Markus Perez	Dalcha Lungiambula	2.20	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Jan '21	Tom Breese	Omari Akhmedov	1.63	3.84	Sub, R2 (1:41)	No
15.	Jan '21	Mounir Lazzez	Warlley Alves	1.38	2.77	TKO, R1 (2:35)	No
16.	Jan '21	Neil Magny	Michael Chiesa	1.67	4	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	Jan '21	Jacob Kilburn	Austin Lingo	2.90	1.56	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Jan '21	Dusko Todorovic	Punahele Soriano	1.61	3.3	TKO, R1 (4:48)	No
19.	Jan '21	Joaquin Buckley	Alessio Di Chirico	1.35	2.23	TKO, R1 (2:12)	No
20.	Jan '21	Santiago Ponzinibbio	Li Jingliang	1.32	2.4	TKO, R1 (4:25)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

ModelLocks : Progress Chart

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