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MMA Handicapper Stats: MickiMalist

MickiMalist (Michael261125)

MMA MHandicapper - MickiMalist

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	54 (56%)	Right	43 (63%)	Right	4 (27%)	Right	7 (54%)
Wrong	42 (44%)	Wrong	25 (37%)	Wrong	11 (73%)	Wrong	6 (46%)
Avg Odds	2.03	Avg Odds	1.86	Avg Odds	3.04	Avg Odds	2.19
Units Bet	433.6	Units Bet	265.1	Units Bet	75.0	Units Bet	93.5
Avg Bet	4.52	Avg Bet	3.90	Avg Bet	5.00	Avg Bet	7.19
Units Profit	-8.07	Units Profit	6.72	Units Profit	-30.35	Units Profit	15.56
ROI %	-2%	ROI %	3%	ROI %	-40%	ROI %	17%

MickiMalist : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
1st May '21	UFC FN	3	1.5	49%	1.5 / 3 (49%)
24th Apr '21	UFC 261	23	-8.7	-38%			-8.7 / 23 (-38%)
17th Apr '21	UFC FN	5	-5.0	-100%		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
16th Apr '21	Bellator 257	11	9.1	82%			9.1 / 11 (82%)
10th Apr '21	UFC FN	12.1	-8.1	-67%	1.9 / 2.1 (90%)		-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
9th Apr '21	Bellator 256	0.2	-0.2	-100%	-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
7th Apr '21	One on TNT 1	12.25	-4.9	-40%	-4.9 / 12.25 (-40%)
2nd Apr '21	Bellator 255	0.1	0.0	41%	0.0 / 0.1 (41%)
28th Mar '21	UFC 260	35	26.9	77%	8.8 / 11 (80%)	14.4 / 19 (76%)	3.8 / 5 (76%)
13th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 187	13	-13.0	-100%	-13.0 / 13 (-100%)
6th Mar '21	UFC 259	30	2.6	9%	2.6 / 30 (9%)
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	5	-5.0	-100%			-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
13th Feb '21	UFC 258	20	9.8	49%	9.8 / 20 (49%)
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	10	9.1	91%	9.1 / 10 (91%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	20	-16.6	-83%	-8.6 / 12 (-71%)	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	10	-10.0	-100%		-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	27	-2.0	-7%	11.0 / 14 (79%)	-13.0 / 13 (-100%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	10	-4.5	-45%	-4.5 / 10 (-45%)
19th Nov '20	Bellator 253	5	2.4	47%	2.4 / 5 (47%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	11.5	-8.5	-74%	-8.5 / 11.5 (-74%)
12th Nov '20	Bellator 252	4	1.7	43%			1.7 / 4 (43%)
8th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 13	10	41.3	413%			41.3 / 10 (413%)
5th Nov '20	Bellator 251	0.5	0.2	40%			0.2 / 0.5 (40%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	17.5	-15.1	-86%	-0.1 / 2.5 (-3%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
29th Oct '20	Bellator 250	1	0.7	66%	0.7 / 1 (66%)
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	10	4.0	40%	2.2 / 5 (44%)	1.8 / 5 (36%)
17th Oct '20	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	10	-10.0	-100%			-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
10th Oct '20	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	18	-18.0	-100%	-13.0 / 13 (-100%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th Oct '20	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	4	3.4	85%	3.4 / 4 (85%)
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	15	1.3	9%	1.3 / 15 (9%)
19th Sep '20	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	7	4.8	68%	1.7 / 2 (83%)		3.1 / 5 (63%)
12th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 184	0.5	1.3	250%	1.3 / 0.5 (250%)
5th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 183	1.5	1.2	83%	1.2 / 1.5 (83%)
29th Aug '20	UFC Fight Night 182	3.4	2.1	62%	2.1 / 3.4 (62%)
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	11.5	-11.5	-100%	-11.5 / 11.5 (-100%)
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	15	6.0	40%	9.0 / 12 (75%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
1st Aug '20	UFC Vegas 5	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	8	9.6	120%	9.6 / 8 (120%)
25th Jul '20	Bellator 242	3	2.0	67%	2.0 / 3 (67%)
18th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 2	5.5	2.0	36%	2.0 / 5.5 (36%)
15th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 1	5	2.5	49%	2.5 / 5 (49%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	5	2.6	51%	0.1 / 3 (2%)	2.5 / 2 (125%)

Winning Events: 25 (58%)
Losing Events: 18 (42%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.08 units
Most Staked On One Event: 35.00 units
Best Event: 41.33 units
Worst Event: -18.00 units
Average Event: -0.19 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 43.24
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -43.03

MickiMalist : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	199.65	-2.5	-1%	7.0 / 113.65 (6%)	1.4 / 32 (4%)	-10.8 / 54 (-20%)	7 / 8 (47%)	-0.17
2020	233.9	-5.6	-2%	-0.2 / 151.4 (-0%)	-31.7 / 43 (-74%)	26.4 / 39.5 (67%)	18 / 10 (64%)	-0.20

MickiMalist : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MickiMalist : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	396.5	-19.0	-5%	6.7 / 243.5 (3%)	-30.3 / 75 (-40%)	4.6 / 78 (6%)
Bellator	24.8	15.8	64%	4.9 / 9.3 (52%)		11.0 / 15.5 (71%)
Other	12.25	-4.9	-40%	-4.9 / 12.25 (-40%)

MickiMalist : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	17 (24%)	11	65 %	88.10	-20.11	-1.18	-23%
Slight Favorites	31 (44%)	24	77 %	120.35	25.01	0.81	21%
Slight Underdogs	12 (17%)	7	58 %	35.00	8.22	0.69	23%
Big Underdogs	10 (14%)	3	30 %	21.60	-6.41	-0.64	-30%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	26 (37%)	15	58 %	103.70	-1.77	-0.07	-2%
Co-Main Event	12 (17%)	7	58 %	70.00	-9.54	-0.80	-14%
Position 3-5	25 (36%)	17	68 %	79.75	10.74	0.43	13%
6+ (Undercard)	7 (10%)	6	86 %	11.60	7.29	1.04	63%

MickiMalist : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	8 (11%)	3	38 %	20.50	7.50	0.94	37%
Light Heavy	10 (14%)	3	30 %	36.10	-23.16	-2.32	-64%
Middleweight	15 (21%)	10	67 %	67.25	-0.40	-0.03	-1%
Welterweight	4 (6%)	3	75 %	23.00	-5.43	-1.36	-24%
Lightweight	7 (10%)	5	71 %	46.00	8.53	1.22	19%
Featherweight	8 (11%)	7	88 %	23.60	-2.45	-0.31	-10%
Bantamweight	6 (9%)	5	83 %	16.10	4.67	0.78	29%
Flyweight	6 (9%)	3	50 %	21.50	7.67	1.28	36%

Women's Fights	6 (9%)	6	100 %	11.00	9.79	1.63	89%
Bantamweight	3 (4%)	3	100 %	4.50	4.64	1.55	103%
Flyweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	5.00	3.70	3.70	74%
Strawweight	2 (3%)	2	100 %	1.50	1.44	0.72	96%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	33 (89%)	28	85 %
Slight Favorites	4 (11%)	3	75 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	37	31	84 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	2 (14%)	0	0 %
35-50%	3 (21%)	3	100 %
<35% chance	9 (64%)	0	0 %
	14	3	21 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (14%)	1	50 %	1.99	2.10	1.90	0.1 (5%)
X Wins by KO	5 (36%)	1	20 %	2.98	6.50	1.66	-2.9 (-59%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (21%)	1	33 %	3.76	7.00	2.25	-0.7 (-25%)
X Wins in Round X	2 (14%)	0	0 %	3.37	3.50	3.25	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	2 (14%)	0	0 %	6.74	15.00	4.35	-2.0 (-100%)
	14	3	21 %	3.21			-7.6 (-54%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MickiMalist 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
11th Jul	UFC 251	5	2.6	51%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,025.70
15th Jul	UFC Fight Island 1	5	2.5	49%		$10.26	$1,025.70	$1,050.85
18th Jul	UFC Fight Island 2	5.5	2.0	36%		$10.51	$1,050.85	$1,071.87
25th Jul	Bellator 242	3	2.0	67%		$10.72	$1,071.87	$1,093.41
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	8	9.6	120%		$10.93	$1,093.41	$1,198.38
1st Aug	UFC Vegas 5	5	-5.0	-100%		$11.98	$1,198.38	$1,138.46
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	15	6.0	40%		$11.38	$1,138.46	$1,206.85
15th Aug	UFC 252	11.5	-11.5	-100%		$12.07	$1,206.85	$1,068.06
29th Aug	UFC Fight Night 182	3.4	2.1	62%		$10.68	$1,068.06	$1,090.49
5th Sep	UFC Fight Night 183	1.5	1.2	83%		$10.90	$1,090.49	$1,104.12
12th Sep	UFC Fight Night 184	0.5	1.3	250%		$11.04	$1,104.12	$1,117.93
19th Sep	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	7	4.8	68%		$11.18	$1,117.93	$1,171.52
26th Sep	UFC 253	15	1.3	9%		$11.72	$1,171.52	$1,186.75
4th Oct	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	4	3.4	85%		$11.87	$1,186.75	$1,226.98
10th Oct	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	18	-18.0	-100%		$12.27	$1,226.98	$1,006.12
17th Oct	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	10	-10.0	-100%		$10.06	$1,006.12	$905.51
24th Oct	UFC 254	10	4.0	40%		$9.06	$905.51	$941.73
29th Oct	Bellator 250	1	0.7	66%		$9.42	$941.73	$947.94
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	17.5	-15.1	-86%		$9.48	$947.94	$804.95
5th Nov	Bellator 251	0.5	0.2	40%		$8.05	$804.95	$806.57
8th Nov	UFC Vegas 13	10	41.3	413%		$8.07	$806.57	$1,139.92
12th Nov	Bellator 252	4	1.7	43%		$11.40	$1,139.92	$1,159.40
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	11.5	-8.5	-74%		$11.59	$1,159.40	$1,060.63
19th Nov	Bellator 253	5	2.4	47%		$10.61	$1,060.63	$1,085.65
21st Nov	UFC 255	10	-4.5	-45%		$10.86	$1,085.65	$1,037.26
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	10	-10.0	-100%		$10.37	$1,037.26	$933.53
13th Dec	UFC 256	27	-2.0	-7%		$9.34	$933.53	$914.86
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	10	-10.0	-100%		$9.15	$914.86	$823.38
24th Jan	UFC 257	20	-16.6	-83%		$8.23	$823.38	$686.93
6th Feb	UFC FN	10	9.1	91%		$6.87	$686.93	$749.38
13th Feb	UFC 258	20	9.8	49%		$7.49	$749.38	$822.66
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	5	-5.0	-100%		$8.23	$822.66	$781.53
6th Mar	UFC 259	30	2.6	9%		$7.82	$781.53	$801.63
13th Mar	UFC Fight Night 187	13	-13.0	-100%		$8.02	$801.63	$697.42
28th Mar	UFC 260	35	26.9	77%		$6.97	$697.42	$885.33
2nd Apr	Bellator 255	0.1	0.0	41%		$8.85	$885.33	$885.69
7th Apr	One on TNT 1	12.25	-4.9	-40%		$8.86	$885.69	$842.30
9th Apr	Bellator 256	0.2	-0.2	-100%		$8.42	$842.30	$840.61
10th Apr	UFC FN	12.1	-8.1	-67%		$8.41	$840.61	$772.44
16th Apr	Bellator 257	11	9.1	82%		$7.72	$772.44	$842.48
17th Apr	UFC FN	5	-5.0	-100%		$8.42	$842.48	$800.36
24th Apr	UFC 261	23	-8.7	-38%		$8.00	$800.36	$730.99
1st May	UFC FN	3	1.5	49%		$7.31	$730.99	$741.69

ROI % from starting bank balance: -25.83% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MickiMalist : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '21	Arnold Allen	Sodiq Yusuff	2.28	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Apr '21	Daniel Rodriguez	Mike Perry	1.54	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Apr '21	Raimond Magomedaliev	Tyler McGuire	1.64	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Apr '21	Adriano Moraes	Demetrious Johnson	6.94	1	TKO, R2 (2:24)
5.	May '21	Merab Dvalishvili	Cody Stamann	1.49	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Apr '21	Jack Shore	Hunter Azure	1.73	0.1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Apr '21	Patricio Freire	Emmanuel Sanchez	1.41	0.1	Sub, R1 (3:35)
8.	Mar '21	Francis Ngannou	Stipe Miocic	1.80	11	TKO, R2 (0:52)
9.	Mar '21	Kyler Phillips	Yadong Song	2.41	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Mar '21	Aleksandar Rakic	Thiago Santos	1.65	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Feb '21	Alexa Grasso	Maycee Barber	1.74	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Feb '21	Kelvin Gastelum	Ian Heinisch	1.49	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Mar '21	Islam Makhachev	Drew Dober	1.32	10	Sub, R3 (1:37)
14.	Mar '21	Aljamain Sterling	Petr Yan	2.10	3
15.	Feb '21	Kamaru Usman	Gilbert Burns	1.36	10	TKO, R3 (0:34)
16.	Feb '21	Alexandre Pantoja	Manel Kape	1.91	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jan '21	Makhmud Muradov	Andrew Sanchez	1.71	2	TKO, R3 (2:59)
18.	Dec '20	Charles Oliveira	Tony Ferguson	2.50	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Nov '20	Brandon Moreno	Brandon Royval	1.57	2	TKO, R1 (4:59)
20.	Nov '20	Tim Means	Mike Perry	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '21	Eddie Alvarez	Iuri Lapicus	1.77	11		No
2.	Apr '21	Lyoto Machida	Ryan Bader	3.46	0.2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
3.	Mar '21	Manel Kape	Matheus Nicolau	1.91	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Mar '21	Misha Cirkunov	Ryan Spann	1.83	10	TKO, R1 (1:11)	No
5.	Mar '21	Israel Adesanya	Jan Blachowicz	1.41	10	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	Dec '20	Junior dos Santos	Ciryl Gane	4.50	1	TKO, R2 (2:34)	No
7.	Dec '20	Ronaldo Souza	Kevin Holland	2.20	3	TKO, R1 (1:45)	No
8.	Jan '21	Conor McGregor	Dustin Poirier	1.47	10	TKO, R2 (2:32)	No
9.	Dec '20	Jack Hermansson	Marvin Vettori	2.10	10	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
10.	Nov '20	Mauricio Rua	Paul Craig	2.55	2	TKO, R2 (3:36)	No
11.	Nov '20	Alex Perez	Deiveson Figueiredo	3.57	5	Sub, R1 (1:57)	No
12.	Nov '20	Brendan Allen	Sean Strickland	1.90	10	TKO, R2 (1:32)	No
13.	Oct '20	Anderson Silva	Urijah Hall	2.80	1	TKO, R4 (1:24)	No
14.	Oct '20	Makwan Amirkhani	Edson Barboza	3.00	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Oct '20	Ben Rothwell	Marcin Tybura	1.67	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Aug '20	Anthony Smith	Aleksandar Rakic	3.50	0.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Sep '20	Dominick Reyes	Jan Blachowicz	1.50	5	TKO, R2 (4:36)	No
18.	Aug '20	Junior dos Santos	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	2.20	1	TKO, R2 (3:47)	No
19.	Aug '20	Daniel Cormier	Stipe Miocic	1.91	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
20.	Aug '20	Herbert Burns	Daniel Pineda	1.40	5	TKO, R2 (4:37)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MickiMalist : Progress Chart

Chart

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