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MMA Handicapper Stats: Fatty Mallon

Fatty Mallon (fattymallon)


MMA MHandicapper - Fatty Mallon

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 46 (36%) Right 29 (55%) Right 15 (26%) Right 2 (13%)
Wrong 81 (64%) Wrong 24 (45%) Wrong 43 (74%) Wrong 14 (88%)
Avg Odds 2.37 Avg Odds 1.67 Avg Odds 3.12 Avg Odds 4.93
Units Bet 565.0 Units Bet 281.0 Units Bet 205.0 Units Bet 79.0
Avg Bet 4.45 Avg Bet 5.30 Avg Bet 3.53 Avg Bet 4.94
Units Profit -111.83 Units Profit -45.53 Units Profit -18.04 Units Profit -48.26
ROI % -20% ROI % -16% ROI % -9% ROI % -61%
View Handicapper's Profile

Fatty Mallon: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 100 -47.0 -47% -35.5 / 50 (-71%) 5.8 / 20 (29%) -17.3 / 30 (-58%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 65 -3.0 -5% -11.0 / 40 (-28%) 13.0 / 20 (65%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
27th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 175 100 -7.0 -7% 3.6 / 50 (7%) -5.6 / 45 (-12%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 100 -42.4 -42% -5.9 / 50 (-12%) -25.6 / 39 (-66%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
13th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 173 100 -9.8 -10% 0.5 / 45 (1%) -13.2 / 40 (-33%) 3.0 / 15 (20%)
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 100 -2.6 -3% 2.7 / 46 (6%) 7.6 / 41 (19%) -13.0 / 13 (-100%)


Winning Events: 0 (0%)
Losing Events: 6 (100%)

Average Staked Per Event: 94.17 units
Most Staked On One Event: 100.00 units
Best Event: 0.00 units
Worst Event: -47.01 units
Average Event: -18.64 units

Max Win Streak: Events: , Units: 0.00
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -111.83

Fatty Mallon: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 565 -111.8 -20% -45.5 / 281 (-16%) -18.0 / 205 (-9%) -48.3 / 79 (-61%) / 6 (0%) -18.64

Fatty Mallon: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Fatty Mallon: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 565 -111.8 -20% -45.5 / 281 (-16%) -18.0 / 205 (-9%) -48.3 / 79 (-61%)

Fatty Mallon: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 22 (42%) 15 68 % 130.00 -11.04 -0.50 -8%
Slight Favorites 18 (34%) 9 50 % 93.00 -35.16 -1.95 -38%
Slight Underdogs 8 (15%) 4 50 % 37.00 6.17 0.77 17%
Big Underdogs 5 (9%) 1 20 % 21.00 -5.50 -1.10 -26%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 6 (11%) 3 50 % 40.00 -20.45 -3.41 -51%
Co-Main Event 6 (11%) 3 50 % 40.00 -13.00 -2.17 -33%
Position 3-5 16 (30%) 11 69 % 90.00 9.90 0.62 11%
6+ (Undercard) 25 (47%) 12 48 % 111.00 -21.98 -0.88 -20%

Fatty Mallon: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (9%) 1 20 % 35.00 -28.60 -5.72 -82%
Light Heavy 1 (2%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
Middleweight 6 (11%) 5 83 % 31.00 7.37 1.23 24%
Welterweight 6 (11%) 4 67 % 32.00 2.49 0.41 8%
Lightweight 8 (15%) 2 25 % 36.00 -13.25 -1.66 -37%
Featherweight 7 (13%) 5 71 % 37.00 6.61 0.94 18%
Bantamweight 7 (13%) 5 71 % 48.00 0.90 0.13 2%
Flyweight 4 (8%) 1 25 % 19.00 -13.72 -3.43 -72%
               
Women's Fights 9 (17%) 6 67 % 38.00 -2.33 -0.26 -6%
Featherweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 5.00 0.90 0.90 18%
Bantamweight 2 (4%) 2 100 % 8.00 2.83 1.42 35%
Flyweight 4 (8%) 2 50 % 17.00 -6.16 -1.54 -36%
Strawweight 2 (4%) 1 50 % 8.00 0.10 0.05 1%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 14 (67%) 9 64 %
Slight Favorites 5 (24%) 2 40 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (10%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
21 11 52 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 18 (17%) 12 67 %
50-65% 24 (23%) 10 42 %
35-50% 23 (22%) 5 22 %
<35% chance 38 (37%) 11 29 %
103 38 37 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (3%) 2 67 % 1.47 1.69Pick was correct 1.26Pick was incorrect 0.2 (7%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (3%) 0 0 % 1.47 1.63Pick was incorrect 1.31Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 12 (12%) 9 75 % 1.59 5.00Pick was correct 1.22Pick was correct 4.3 (36%)
Does not go to Decision 13 (13%) 9 69 % 1.69 2.65Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was correct 1.3 (10%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (1%) 0 0 % 1.37 1.37Pick was incorrect 1.37Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 7 (7%) 2 29 % 3.15 6.50Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect -0.4 (-6%)
X Wins by Sub 5 (5%) 0 0 % 9.35 18.50Pick was incorrect 6.00Pick was incorrect -5.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 27 (26%) 8 30 % 2.70 5.05Pick was incorrect 1.72Pick was correct -6.9 (-26%)
X Wins Inside Distance 22 (21%) 5 23 % 2.06 9.00Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was incorrect -6.4 (-29%)
X Wins in Round X 9 (9%) 3 33 % 4.92 15.00Pick was incorrect 2.75Pick was incorrect 7.0 (78%)
Others 1 (1%) 0 0 % 10.00 10.00Pick was incorrect 10.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
103 38 37 % 2.27     -10.9 (-11%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Fatty Mallon's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
6th Jun UFC 250 100 -2.6 -3% $25 $10.00 $1,000.00 $948.80
13th Jun UFC Fight Night 173 100 -9.8 -10% $9.49 $948.80 $856.20
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 100 -42.4 -42% $25 $8.56 $856.20 $467.83
27th Jun UFC Fight Night 175 100 -7.0 -7% $4.68 $467.83 $435.08
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 65 -3.0 -5% $25 $4.35 $435.08 $397.03
15th Aug UFC 252 100 -47.0 -47% $25 $3.97 $397.03 $185.37


ROI % from starting bank balance: -81.46% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Fatty Mallon: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Aug '20 Paid Pick Merab Dvalishvili John Dodson 1.45 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '20 Paid Pick Jonathan Martinez Frankie Saenz 1.40 10 TKO, R3 (0:57) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '20 Paid Pick Vicente Luque Randy Brown 1.50 10 TKO, R2 (4:56) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '20 Kay Hansen Jinh Yu Frey 1.62 5 Sub, R3 (2:26) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '20 Takashi Sato Jason Witt 1.38 5 TKO, R1 (0:48) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '20 Youssef Zalal Jordan Griffin 1.83 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '20 Khama Worthy Luis Pena 3.10 5 Sub, R3 (2:53) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '20 Brendan Allen Kyle Daukaus 1.34 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '20 Dustin Poirier Daniel Hooker 1.45 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '20 Paid Pick Gillian Robertson Cortney Casey 1.92 2 Sub, R3 (4:36) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '20 Paid Pick Belal Muhammad Lyman Good 1.82 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '20 Paid Pick Raquel Pennington Marion Reneau 1.61 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '20 Paid Pick Marc-Andre Barriault Oskar Piechota 2.18 5 TKO, R2 (4:50) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '20 Paid Pick Josh Emmett Shane Burgos 2.18 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '20 Paid Pick Curtis Blaydes Alexander Volkov 1.28 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '20 Charles Rosa Kevin Aguilar 2.69 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '20 Andre Fili Charles Jourdain 1.47 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '20 Mariya Agapova Hannah Cifers 1.40 5 Sub, R1 (2:42) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '20 Merab Dvalishvili Gustavo Lopez 1.14 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '20 Julia Avila Gina Mazany 1.20 5 TKO, R1 (0:22) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Aug '20 Paid Pick T.J. Brown Danny Chavez 1.68 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '20 Paid Pick Junior dos Santos Jairzinho Rozenstruik 2.18 10 TKO, R2 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '20 Paid Pick Sean O'Malley Marlon Vera 1.36 10 TKO, R1 (4:40) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '20 Paid Pick Daniel Cormier Stipe Miocic 1.91 10 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '20 Paid Pick Joanne Wood Jennifer Maia 1.73 10 Sub, R1 (4:29) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '20 Paid Pick Edmen Shahbazyan Derek Brunson 1.33 10 TKO, R3 (0:26) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '20 Gian Villante Maurice Greene 3.00 5 Sub, R3 (3:44) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '20 Philipe Lins Tanner Boser 1.95 5 TKO, R1 (2:41) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '20 Sean Woodson Julian Erosa 1.22 5 Sub, R3 (2:44) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '20 Mickey Gall Mike Perry 3.60 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '20 Paid Pick Max Rohskopf Austin Hubbard 1.54 5 TKO, R2 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '20 Paid Pick Brianna Van Buren Tecia Torres 1.48 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '20 Paid Pick Clay Guida Bobby Green 3.16 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '20 Paid Pick Frank Camacho Justin Jaynes 1.32 5 TKO, R1 (0:41) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '20 Paid Pick Roosevelt Roberts Jim Miller 1.46 5 Sub, R1 (2:25) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '20 Paid Pick Roxanne Modafferi Lauren Murphy 1.91 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '20 Anthony Ivy Christian Aguilera 1.56 5 TKO, R1 (0:59) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '20 Zarrukh Adashev Tyson Nam 2.10 3 TKO, R1 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '20 Mark Delarosa Jordan Espinosa 2.48 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '20 Jessica Eye Cynthia Calvillo 1.93 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Fatty Mallon: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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