MMA Handicapper Stats: Mixed Martial Arts Analysis |
|
Mixed Martial Arts Analysis: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
18th Dec '21 |
UFC FN |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
|
|
11th Dec '21 |
UFC 269 |
4.5 |
0.4 |
9% |
0.4 / 4.5 (9%) |
|
|
4th Dec '21 |
UFC FN |
4 |
-0.1 |
-2% |
0.9 / 1 (87%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
0.0 / 2 (2%) |
3rd Dec '21 |
Bellator 272 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
|
20th Nov '21 |
UFC FN |
4.25 |
-1.0 |
-23% |
-0.7 / 4 (-18%) |
-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) |
|
13th Nov '21 |
UFC FN |
5.5 |
-1.7 |
-32% |
-2.7 / 4.5 (-60%) |
|
1.0 / 1 (96%) |
6th Nov '21 |
UFC 268 |
5.5 |
3.8 |
68% |
3.8 / 5.5 (68%) |
|
|
30th Oct '21 |
UFC 267 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
27th Oct '21 |
PFL 2021 #10: Championships |
1 |
0.7 |
67% |
1.2 / 0.5 (235%) |
|
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
23rd Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
3 |
0.5 |
18% |
1.5 / 2 (77%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
16th Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
3 |
-1.1 |
-36% |
-0.1 / 2 (-5%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
2nd Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
2 |
0.0 |
1% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
1.0 / 1 (102%) |
28th Sep '21 |
DWCS 2021: Week 5 |
1 |
0.6 |
65% |
|
0.6 / 1 (65%) |
|
25th Sep '21 |
UFC 266 |
3.5 |
1.4 |
41% |
0.6 / 3 (19%) |
|
0.9 / 0.5 (175%) |
18th Sep '21 |
Bellator 266: Davis vs. Romero |
2 |
1.6 |
82% |
1.6 / 2 (82%) |
|
|
4th Sep '21 |
UFC FN |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
|
28th Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
3.25 |
-0.9 |
-29% |
-0.7 / 3 (-23%) |
-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) |
|
21st Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
4 |
1.1 |
28% |
1.1 / 4 (28%) |
|
|
7th Aug '21 |
UFC 265 |
9.5 |
1.7 |
18% |
1.2 / 6.5 (18%) |
0.5 / 3 (18%) |
|
31st Jul '21 |
Bellator 263 |
3 |
0.7 |
24% |
0.7 / 3 (24%) |
|
|
31st Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
9 |
1.1 |
12% |
1.1 / 9 (12%) |
|
|
24th Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
8 |
1.9 |
23% |
1.9 / 8 (23%) |
|
|
17th Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
6.7 |
-0.4 |
-7% |
-0.2 / 6.5 (-4%) |
-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%) |
|
26th Jun '21 |
UFC FN |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
|
25th Jun '21 |
Bellator 261 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
|
25th Jun '21 |
PFL 2021: Week 6 |
1 |
0.8 |
76% |
0.8 / 1 (76%) |
|
|
12th Jun '21 |
UFC 263 |
8.8 |
-0.1 |
-1% |
1.4 / 7.25 (20%) |
-1.6 / 1.55 (-100%) |
|
11th Jun '21 |
Bellator 260 |
2 |
0.1 |
5% |
0.1 / 2 (5%) |
|
|
10th Jun '21 |
PFL 2021: Week 4 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
|
5th Jun '21 |
UFC FN |
5.5 |
-1.3 |
-24% |
-1.3 / 5.5 (-24%) |
|
|
22nd May '21 |
UFC FN |
6.5 |
0.3 |
5% |
0.8 / 6 (13%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
|
21st May '21 |
Bellator 259 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
|
|
15th May '21 |
UFC 262 |
7.3 |
-0.1 |
-1% |
-1.4 / 7 (-20%) |
1.3 / 0.3 (435%) |
|
4th Oct '20 |
UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana |
2 |
0.1 |
5% |
0.1 / 2 (5%) |
|
|
26th Sep '20 |
UFC 253 |
1 |
0.8 |
80% |
0.8 / 1 (80%) |
|
|
19th Sep '20 |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
1 |
0.8 |
80% |
0.8 / 1 (80%) |
|
|
15th Aug '20 |
UFC 252 |
3 |
0.6 |
20% |
0.6 / 3 (20%) |
|
|
18th Jul '20 |
UFC Fight Island 2 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
|
15th Jul '20 |
UFC Fight Island 1 |
3 |
-1.2 |
-41% |
-0.2 / 2 (-12%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
11th Jul '20 |
UFC 251 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
|
27th Jun '20 |
UFC Fight Night 175 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
20th Jun '20 |
UFC Fight Night 174 |
7 |
0.5 |
7% |
0.5 / 7 (7%) |
|
|
13th Jun '20 |
UFC Fight Night 173 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
|
6th Jun '20 |
UFC 250 |
4 |
-1.3 |
-33% |
-0.3 / 3 (-10%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
30th May '20 |
UFC Fight Night 172 |
5 |
5.1 |
103% |
2.6 / 3 (87%) |
1.9 / 1 (190%) |
0.6 / 1 (63%) |
Winning Events: 22 (49%) Losing Events: 23 (51%)
Average Staked Per Event: 3.61 units Most Staked On One Event: 9.50 units Best Event: 5.14 units Worst Event: -4.00 units Average Event: -0.16 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 6.46 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -4.79 |
Mixed Martial Arts Analysis: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
131.8 |
-8.0 |
-6% |
-6.2 / 115.75 (-5%) |
-1.8 / 8.55 (-21%) |
-0.1 / 7.5 (-1%) |
16 / 17 (48%) |
-0.24 |
2020 |
30.5 |
0.9 |
3% |
1.9 / 25 (7%) |
-0.6 / 3.5 (-17%) |
-0.4 / 2 (-19%) |
6 / 6 (50%) |
0.07 |
|
Mixed Martial Arts Analysis: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
Mixed Martial Arts Analysis: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
145.3 |
-1.0 |
-1% |
1.9 / 125.25 (2%) |
-3.0 / 11.05 (-27%) |
0.0 / 9 (0%) |
Bellator |
12 |
-6.2 |
-51% |
-6.2 / 12 (-51%) |
|
|
PFL |
4 |
-0.6 |
-14% |
-0.1 / 3.5 (-2%) |
|
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
Other |
1 |
0.6 |
65% |
|
0.6 / 1 (65%) |
|
|
Mixed Martial Arts Analysis: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
6 (6%) |
4 |
67 % |
19.00 |
-1.24 |
-0.21 |
-7% |
Slight Favorites |
57 (53%) |
33 |
58 % |
80.00 |
-0.71 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
Slight Underdogs |
34 (31%) |
16 |
47 % |
33.75 |
2.22 |
0.07 |
7% |
Big Underdogs |
11 (10%) |
2 |
18 % |
8.00 |
-4.57 |
-0.42 |
-57% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
18 (17%) |
7 |
39 % |
25.50 |
-8.29 |
-0.46 |
-33% |
Co-Main Event |
13 (12%) |
9 |
69 % |
16.25 |
6.87 |
0.53 |
42% |
Position 3-5 |
36 (33%) |
19 |
53 % |
48.50 |
0.20 |
0.01 |
0% |
6+ (Undercard) |
41 (38%) |
20 |
49 % |
50.50 |
-3.08 |
-0.08 |
-6% |
|
Mixed Martial Arts Analysis: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
7 (6%) |
2 |
29 % |
10.50 |
-2.98 |
-0.43 |
-28% |
Light Heavy |
5 (5%) |
3 |
60 % |
4.50 |
0.92 |
0.18 |
20% |
Middleweight |
14 (13%) |
9 |
64 % |
21.50 |
3.44 |
0.25 |
16% |
Welterweight |
17 (16%) |
7 |
41 % |
20.50 |
-3.22 |
-0.19 |
-16% |
Lightweight |
22 (20%) |
13 |
59 % |
27.00 |
2.08 |
0.09 |
8% |
Featherweight |
13 (12%) |
6 |
46 % |
17.00 |
-3.46 |
-0.27 |
-20% |
Bantamweight |
12 (11%) |
5 |
42 % |
21.00 |
-4.41 |
-0.37 |
-21% |
Flyweight |
4 (4%) |
4 |
100 % |
4.25 |
4.94 |
1.23 |
116% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
14 (13%) |
6 |
43 % |
14.50 |
-1.61 |
-0.12 |
-11% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
3 (3%) |
2 |
67 % |
3.00 |
0.39 |
0.13 |
13% |
Flyweight |
4 (4%) |
2 |
50 % |
4.00 |
-0.16 |
-0.04 |
-4% |
Strawweight |
6 (6%) |
2 |
33 % |
6.50 |
-0.85 |
-0.14 |
-13% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
23 (85%) |
19 |
83 % |
Slight Favorites |
4 (15%) |
2 |
50 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
27 |
21 |
78 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
1 (5%) |
1 |
100 % |
50-65% |
4 (20%) |
2 |
50 % |
35-50% |
2 (10%) |
0 |
0 % |
<35% chance |
13 (65%) |
2 |
15 % |
|
20 |
5 |
25 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Mixed Martial Arts Analysis's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
30th May |
UFC Fight Night 172 |
5 |
5.1 |
103% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,051.38 |
6th Jun |
UFC 250 |
4 |
-1.3 |
-33% |
|
$10.51 |
$1,051.38 |
$1,037.71 |
13th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 173 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,037.71 |
$1,022.14 |
20th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 174 |
7 |
0.5 |
7% |
|
$10.22 |
$1,022.14 |
$1,027.25 |
27th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 175 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.27 |
$1,027.25 |
$1,016.98 |
11th Jul |
UFC 251 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.17 |
$1,016.98 |
$1,006.81 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 1 |
3 |
-1.2 |
-41% |
|
$10.07 |
$1,006.81 |
$994.30 |
18th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 2 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.94 |
$994.30 |
$984.36 |
15th Aug |
UFC 252 |
3 |
0.6 |
20% |
|
$9.84 |
$984.36 |
$990.26 |
19th Sep |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
1 |
0.8 |
80% |
|
$9.90 |
$990.26 |
$998.19 |
26th Sep |
UFC 253 |
1 |
0.8 |
80% |
|
$9.98 |
$998.19 |
$1,006.17 |
4th Oct |
UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana |
2 |
0.1 |
5% |
|
$10.06 |
$1,006.17 |
$1,007.18 |
15th May |
UFC 262 |
7.3 |
-0.1 |
-1% |
|
$10.07 |
$1,007.18 |
$1,006.47 |
21st May |
Bellator 259 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.06 |
$1,006.47 |
$966.21 |
22nd May |
UFC FN |
6.5 |
0.3 |
5% |
|
$9.66 |
$966.21 |
$969.11 |
5th Jun |
UFC FN |
5.5 |
-1.3 |
-24% |
|
$9.69 |
$969.11 |
$956.51 |
10th Jun |
PFL 2021: Week 4 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.57 |
$956.51 |
$937.38 |
11th Jun |
Bellator 260 |
2 |
0.1 |
5% |
|
$9.37 |
$937.38 |
$938.32 |
12th Jun |
UFC 263 |
8.8 |
-0.1 |
-1% |
|
$9.38 |
$938.32 |
$937.15 |
25th Jun |
PFL 2021: Week 6 |
1 |
0.8 |
76% |
|
$9.37 |
$937.15 |
$944.25 |
25th Jun |
Bellator 261 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.44 |
$944.25 |
$934.81 |
26th Jun |
UFC FN |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.35 |
$934.81 |
$916.11 |
17th Jul |
UFC FN |
6.7 |
-0.4 |
-7% |
|
$9.16 |
$916.11 |
$912.11 |
24th Jul |
UFC FN |
8 |
1.9 |
23% |
|
$9.12 |
$912.11 |
$929.12 |
31st Jul |
UFC FN |
9 |
1.1 |
12% |
|
$9.29 |
$929.12 |
$939.12 |
31st Jul |
Bellator 263 |
3 |
0.7 |
24% |
|
$9.39 |
$939.12 |
$945.93 |
7th Aug |
UFC 265 |
9.5 |
1.7 |
18% |
|
$9.46 |
$945.93 |
$961.93 |
21st Aug |
UFC FN |
4 |
1.1 |
28% |
|
$9.62 |
$961.93 |
$972.54 |
28th Aug |
UFC FN |
3.25 |
-0.9 |
-29% |
|
$9.73 |
$972.54 |
$963.30 |
4th Sep |
UFC FN |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.63 |
$963.30 |
$934.40 |
18th Sep |
Bellator 266: Davis vs. Romero |
2 |
1.6 |
82% |
|
$9.34 |
$934.40 |
$949.72 |
25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
3.5 |
1.4 |
41% |
|
$9.50 |
$949.72 |
$963.39 |
28th Sep |
DWCS 2021: Week 5 |
1 |
0.6 |
65% |
|
$9.63 |
$963.39 |
$969.61 |
2nd Oct |
UFC FN |
2 |
0.0 |
1% |
|
$9.70 |
$969.61 |
$969.81 |
16th Oct |
UFC FN |
3 |
-1.1 |
-36% |
|
$9.70 |
$969.81 |
$959.23 |
23rd Oct |
UFC FN |
3 |
0.5 |
18% |
|
$9.59 |
$959.23 |
$964.39 |
27th Oct |
PFL 2021 #10: Championships |
1 |
0.7 |
67% |
|
$9.64 |
$964.39 |
$970.90 |
30th Oct |
UFC 267 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.71 |
$970.90 |
$946.63 |
6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
5.5 |
3.8 |
68% |
|
$9.47 |
$946.63 |
$982.15 |
13th Nov |
UFC FN |
5.5 |
-1.7 |
-32% |
|
$9.82 |
$982.15 |
$965.08 |
20th Nov |
UFC FN |
4.25 |
-1.0 |
-23% |
|
$9.65 |
$965.08 |
$955.82 |
3rd Dec |
Bellator 272 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.56 |
$955.82 |
$936.70 |
4th Dec |
UFC FN |
4 |
-0.1 |
-2% |
|
$9.37 |
$936.70 |
$935.81 |
11th Dec |
UFC 269 |
4.5 |
0.4 |
9% |
|
$9.36 |
$935.81 |
$939.55 |
18th Dec |
UFC FN |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.40 |
$939.55 |
$925.46 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -7.45% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Mixed Martial Arts Analysis: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Dec '21 |
Chris Daukaus |
Derrick Lewis |
1.71 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:36) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Dec '21 |
Augusto Sakai |
Tai Tuivasa |
1.91 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (0:26) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Dec '21 |
Kyoji Horiguchi |
Sergio Pettis |
1.59 |
2 |
TKO, R4 (3:24) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Nov '21 |
Kyung Ho Kang |
Rani Yahya |
1.83 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Nov '21 |
Miesha Tate |
Ketlen Vieira |
2.00 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Nov '21 |
Julio Arce |
Yadong Song |
2.15 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (1:35) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Nov '21 |
Cynthia Calvillo |
Andrea Lee |
1.74 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Nov '21 |
Miguel Baeza |
Kalinn Williams |
1.69 |
1.5 |
TKO, R3 (1:2) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Oct '21 |
Virna Jandiroba |
Amanda Ribas |
2.50 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Oct '21 |
Daniel Hooker |
Islam Makhachev |
6.00 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (2:25) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Oct '21 |
Aspen Ladd |
Norma Dumont |
1.77 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Oct '21 |
Misha Cirkunov |
Krzysztof Jotko |
2.28 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Sep '21 |
Omar Morales |
Jonathan Pearce |
1.69 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (3:31) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Sep '21 |
Darren Till |
Derek Brunson |
1.61 |
3 |
Sub, R3 (2:13) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Aug '21 |
Edson Barboza |
Giga Chikadze |
1.87 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (1:44) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Aug '21 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Jared Cannonier |
2.25 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Aug '21 |
Ed Herman |
Alonzo Menifield |
3.00 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Aug '21 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
Jessica Penne |
1.79 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:32) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Aug '21 |
Angela Hill |
Tecia Torres |
2.18 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Jul '21 |
Orion Cosce |
Phil Rowe |
1.67 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:21) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Mixed Martial Arts Analysis: Progress Chart |
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