MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: The Octagon Originators

The Octagon Originators (The Originators)

MMA MHandicapper - The Octagon Originators

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	18 (64%)	Right	18 (64%)	Right	0 (nan%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	10 (36%)	Wrong	10 (36%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	1.89	Avg Odds	1.89	Avg Odds	nan	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	60.0	Units Bet	60.0	Units Bet	0.0	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	2.14	Avg Bet	2.14	Avg Bet	nan	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	13.27	Units Profit	13.27	Units Profit	0.00	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	22%	ROI %	22%	ROI %	nan%	ROI %	nan%

The Octagon Originators : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	3	3.8	127%	3.8 / 3 (127%)
22nd Aug '20	UFC Vegas 7	1.5	1.3	85%	1.3 / 1.5 (85%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
18th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 2	8	-0.6	-8%	-0.6 / 8 (-8%)
15th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 1	4.5	-1.9	-41%	-1.9 / 4.5 (-41%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	9	2.8	31%	2.8 / 9 (31%)
27th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 175	7.5	-1.3	-18%	-1.3 / 7.5 (-18%)
20th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 174	5	4.7	94%	4.7 / 5 (94%)
13th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 173	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
6th Jun '20	UFC 250	5.25	3.8	73%	3.8 / 5.25 (73%)
30th May '20	UFC Fight Night 172	2.5	-0.5	-20%	-0.5 / 2.5 (-20%)
16th May '20	UFC Fight Night 171	4	2.2	54%	2.2 / 4 (54%)
14th May '20	UFC Fight Night 170	3.75	2.3	60%	2.3 / 3.75 (60%)
10th May '20	UFC 249	2.5	0.3	14%	0.3 / 2.5 (14%)

Winning Events: 8 (57%)
Losing Events: 6 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.29 units
Most Staked On One Event: 9.00 units
Best Event: 4.68 units
Worst Event: -3.00 units
Average Event: 0.95 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 5.09
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -5.51

The Octagon Originators : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	60	13.3	22%	13.3 / 60 (22%)			8 / 6 (57%)	0.95

The Octagon Originators : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Octagon Originators : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	60	13.3	22%	13.3 / 60 (22%)

The Octagon Originators : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	2 (7%)	1	50 %	9.00	-3.30	-1.65	-37%
Slight Favorites	17 (59%)	13	76 %	34.00	8.56	0.50	25%
Slight Underdogs	7 (24%)	5	71 %	14.50	10.51	1.50	72%
Big Underdogs	3 (10%)	0	0 %	2.50	-2.50	-0.83	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	5 (17%)	2	40 %	9.50	-0.95	-0.19	-10%
Co-Main Event	4 (14%)	3	75 %	6.00	2.94	0.74	49%
Position 3-5	8 (28%)	6	75 %	19.00	10.89	1.36	57%
6+ (Undercard)	12 (41%)	8	67 %	25.50	0.39	0.03	2%

The Octagon Originators : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (14%)	2	50 %	6.00	-1.07	-0.27	-18%
Light Heavy	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.50	1.28	1.28	85%
Middleweight	1 (3%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%
Welterweight	3 (10%)	3	100 %	8.00	5.05	1.68	63%
Lightweight	6 (21%)	4	67 %	13.25	2.08	0.35	16%
Featherweight	3 (10%)	3	100 %	8.50	7.11	2.37	84%
Bantamweight	5 (17%)	3	60 %	8.50	1.69	0.34	20%
Flyweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.25	0.89	0.89	71%

Women's Fights	5 (17%)	2	40 %	10.00	-0.77	-0.15	-8%
Flyweight	4 (14%)	1	25 %	8.00	-2.00	-0.50	-25%
Strawweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	2.00	1.23	1.23	62%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
35-50%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
	0	0	nan %	nan			0.0 (nan%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Octagon Originators 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
10th May	UFC 249	2.5	0.3	14%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,003.50
14th May	UFC Fight Night 170	3.75	2.3	60%		$10.03	$1,003.50	$1,026.08
16th May	UFC Fight Night 171	4	2.2	54%		$10.26	$1,026.08	$1,048.26
30th May	UFC Fight Night 172	2.5	-0.5	-20%		$10.48	$1,048.26	$1,043.02
6th Jun	UFC 250	5.25	3.8	73%		$10.43	$1,043.02	$1,083.01
13th Jun	UFC Fight Night 173	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$10.83	$1,083.01	$1,077.60
20th Jun	UFC Fight Night 174	5	4.7	94%		$10.78	$1,077.60	$1,128.04
27th Jun	UFC Fight Night 175	7.5	-1.3	-18%		$11.28	$1,128.04	$1,112.96
11th Jul	UFC 251	9	2.8	31%		$11.13	$1,112.96	$1,143.58
15th Jul	UFC Fight Island 1	4.5	-1.9	-41%		$11.44	$1,143.58	$1,122.27
18th Jul	UFC Fight Island 2	8	-0.6	-8%		$11.22	$1,122.27	$1,114.97
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	3	-3.0	-100%		$11.15	$1,114.97	$1,081.52
22nd Aug	UFC Vegas 7	1.5	1.3	85%		$10.82	$1,081.52	$1,095.39
26th Sep	UFC 253	3	3.8	127%		$10.95	$1,095.39	$1,137.12

ROI % from starting bank balance: 13.71% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Octagon Originators : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Sep '20	Hakeem Dawodu	Zubaira Tukhugov	2.27	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Aug '20	Jordan Wright	Ike Villanueva	1.85	1.5	TKO, R1 (1:31)
3.	Jul '20	Rafael Fiziev	Marc Diakiese	2.45	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jul '20	Jimmie Rivera	Cody Stamann	1.76	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jul '20	Leonardo Santos	Roman Bogatov	1.59	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jul '20	Muslim Salikhov	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	1.83	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jul '20	Kamaru Usman	Jorge Masvidal	1.43	4	U Decision (5 rounds)
8.	Jun '20	Kay Hansen	Jinh Yu Frey	1.62	2	Sub, R3 (2:26)
9.	Jun '20	Tanner Boser	Philipe Lins	1.95	1.5	TKO, R1 (2:41)
10.	Jun '20	Lauren Murphy	Roxanne Modafferi	2.00	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jun '20	Belal Muhammad	Lyman Good	1.84	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Jun '20	Cody Garbrandt	Raphael Assuncao	1.74	2	TKO, R2 (4:59)
13.	Jun '20	Cody Garbrandt	Raphael Assuncao	1.73	2	TKO, R2 (4:59)
14.	Jun '20	Alex Perez	Jussier Formiga	1.71	1.25	TKO, R1 (4:6)
15.	May '20	Augusto Sakai	Blagoy Ivanov	2.00	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	May '20	Yadong Song	Marlon Vera	1.54	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	May '20	Omar Morales	Gabriel Benitez	1.57	1.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	May '20	Justin Gaethje	Tony Ferguson	2.85	1	TKO, R5 (3:39)
19.	May '20	Ricky Simon	Ray Borg	1.63	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '20	Molly McCann	Taila Santos	1.72	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jul '20	Darren Till	Robert Whittaker	2.25	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
3.	Jul '20	Martin Day	Davey Grant	1.68	1.5	TKO, R3 (2:38)	No
4.	Jul '20	Joseph Duffy	Joel Alvarez	1.30	5	Sub, R1 (2:25)	No
5.	Jun '20	Philipe Lins	Tanner Boser	1.95	3	TKO, R1 (2:41)	No
6.	Jun '20	Daniel Hooker	Dustin Poirier	2.90	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Jun '20	Jessica Eye	Cynthia Calvillo	2.20	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	May '20	Antonina Shevchenko	Katlyn Chookagian	1.71	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	May '20	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	Francis Ngannou	3.35	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:20)	No
10.	May '20	Dominick Cruz	Henry Cejudo	2.96	1	TKO, R2 (4:58)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Octagon Originators : Progress Chart

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