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MMA Handicapper Stats: WelshTalianMMA

WelshTalianMMA (WelshTalianMMA)

MMA MHandicapper - WelshTalianMMA

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	54 (47%)	Right	26 (52%)	Right	23 (42%)	Right	5 (45%)
Wrong	62 (53%)	Wrong	24 (48%)	Wrong	32 (58%)	Wrong	6 (55%)
Avg Odds	2.01	Avg Odds	1.81	Avg Odds	2.25	Avg Odds	2.00
Units Bet	121.0	Units Bet	58.5	Units Bet	47.5	Units Bet	15.0
Avg Bet	1.04	Avg Bet	1.17	Avg Bet	0.86	Avg Bet	1.36
Units Profit	-3.69	Units Profit	-3.73	Units Profit	-2.12	Units Profit	2.15
ROI %	-3%	ROI %	-6%	ROI %	-4%	ROI %	14%

WelshTalianMMA : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
11th Jun '22	UFC 275	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
7th May '22	UFC 274	3	2.3	75%	1.3 / 2 (63%)	1.0 / 1 (100%)
30th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	2	-2.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade	2	-0.1	-5%	-0.1 / 2 (-5%)
16th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	4	-4.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
9th Apr '22	UFC 273	3	-0.9	-30%	1.1 / 1 (110%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Mar '22	UFC 272	5	-0.8	-16%	-0.8 / 5 (-16%)
12th Feb '22	UFC 271	4	0.8	19%	0.3 / 3 (8%)	0.5 / 1 (50%)
22nd Jan '22	UFC 270	2	2.8	138%	2.8 / 2 (138%)
11th Dec '21	UFC 269	4	2.1	53%	1.2 / 1.5 (79%)	2.0 / 1.5 (130%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Dec '21	UFC FN	3.5	-0.5	-14%	-0.5 / 3.5 (-14%)
20th Nov '21	UFC FN	4	1.4	35%		1.4 / 4 (35%)
12th Jun '21	UFC 263	7.5	-1.4	-19%	-1.4 / 3 (-46%)	-1.3 / 2.5 (-52%)	1.3 / 2 (64%)
5th Jun '21	UFC FN	4	-1.2	-29%	0.7 / 1 (66%)	-0.8 / 2 (-41%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd May '21	UFC FN	5.5	-2.0	-35%	-0.2 / 2 (-9%)	-1.8 / 3.5 (-51%)
29th Aug '20	UFC Fight Night 182	3	0.7	24%	1.0 / 1 (100%)	0.7 / 1 (72%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	7	-1.5	-22%	-1.5 / 6 (-25%)	-0.1 / 1 (-5%)
15th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 1	5.5	-1.3	-23%	-0.9 / 2.5 (-36%)	-0.4 / 3 (-13%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	6.5	5.9	91%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	4.4 / 4 (109%)	2.0 / 2 (102%)
6th Jun '20	UFC 250	8.5	-3.0	-36%	-3.3 / 5 (-66%)	-0.6 / 2.5 (-24%)	0.9 / 1 (86%)
30th May '20	UFC Fight Night 172	7	4.6	65%	2.7 / 4 (68%)	2.8 / 2 (142%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
14th May '20	UFC Fight Night 170	5	-0.2	-5%	-1.5 / 4 (-38%)	1.3 / 1 (125%)
10th May '20	UFC 249	7	-3.9	-56%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-2.4 / 5.5 (-44%)
8th Mar '20	UFC 248	17	-0.4	-2%	1.4 / 4 (36%)	-4.8 / 8 (-60%)	3.0 / 5 (60%)

Winning Events: 8 (33%)
Losing Events: 16 (67%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.04 units
Most Staked On One Event: 17.00 units
Best Event: 5.89 units
Worst Event: -4.00 units
Average Event: -0.15 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 5.89
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -7.78

WelshTalianMMA : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	26	-3.0	-12%	0.5 / 19 (3%)	-2.5 / 6 (-42%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	3 / 6 (33%)	-0.34
2021	28.5	-1.5	-5%	-0.2 / 11 (-2%)	-0.5 / 13.5 (-4%)	-0.7 / 4 (-18%)	2 / 4 (33%)	-0.24
2020	66.5	0.8	1%	-4.0 / 28.5 (-14%)	0.9 / 28 (3%)	3.9 / 10 (39%)	3 / 6 (33%)	0.09

WelshTalianMMA : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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WelshTalianMMA : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	121	-3.7	-3%	-3.7 / 58.5 (-6%)	-2.1 / 47.5 (-4%)	2.2 / 15 (14%)

WelshTalianMMA : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	6 (12%)	3	50 %	11.00	-3.10	-0.52	-28%
Slight Favorites	25 (50%)	15	60 %	30.00	-1.53	-0.06	-5%
Slight Underdogs	18 (36%)	8	44 %	17.00	1.40	0.08	8%
Big Underdogs	1 (2%)	0	0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	10 (20%)	5	50 %	14.00	0.93	0.09	7%
Co-Main Event	5 (10%)	2	40 %	6.50	-2.09	-0.42	-32%
Position 3-5	16 (32%)	9	56 %	16.00	1.01	0.06	6%
6+ (Undercard)	19 (38%)	10	53 %	22.00	-3.58	-0.19	-16%

WelshTalianMMA : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.25	1.25	125%
Light Heavy	5 (10%)	2	40 %	4.50	-1.58	-0.32	-35%
Middleweight	6 (12%)	5	83 %	6.00	3.12	0.52	52%
Welterweight	5 (10%)	3	60 %	8.00	1.32	0.26	16%
Lightweight	12 (24%)	8	67 %	15.00	2.24	0.19	15%
Featherweight	5 (10%)	2	40 %	5.50	-2.30	-0.46	-42%
Bantamweight	7 (14%)	2	29 %	9.50	-4.87	-0.70	-51%
Flyweight	3 (6%)	2	67 %	2.50	1.10	0.37	44%

Women's Fights	6 (12%)	1	17 %	6.50	-4.00	-0.67	-62%
Bantamweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	2.00	0.50	0.50	25%
Flyweight	2 (4%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-1.00	-100%
Strawweight	3 (6%)		0 %	2.50	-2.50	-0.83	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	18 (90%)	14	78 %
Slight Favorites	2 (10%)	1	50 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	20	15	75 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	8 (13%)	4	50 %
50-65%	21 (34%)	11	52 %
35-50%	18 (29%)	9	50 %
<35% chance	15 (24%)	3	20 %
	62	27	44 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (3%)	2	100 %	1.55	1.61	1.50	1.1 (56%)
Goes to Decision	10 (16%)	8	80 %	1.59	2.25	1.21	3.4 (34%)
Does not go to Decision	3 (5%)	0	0 %	1.69	1.91	1.55	-3.0 (-100%)
Fight Starts Round X	2 (3%)	1	50 %	1.56	1.90	1.33	-0.1 (-5%)
X Wins by KO	8 (13%)	3	38 %	2.26	2.70	1.72	-1.5 (-19%)
X Wins by Sub	3 (5%)	1	33 %	3.19	3.50	2.70	-0.3 (-10%)
X Wins by Decision	13 (21%)	4	31 %	2.48	3.50	1.72	-3.5 (-27%)
X Wins Inside Distance	4 (6%)	1	25 %	1.84	2.30	1.44	-2.0 (-50%)
Others	17 (27%)	7	41 %	2.50	14.00	1.67	2.1 (12%)
	62	27	44 %	2.11			-3.8 (-6%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail WelshTalianMMA 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
8th Mar	UFC 248	17	-0.4	-2%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$996.12
10th May	UFC 249	7	-3.9	-56%		$9.96	$996.12	$956.97
14th May	UFC Fight Night 170	5	-0.2	-5%		$9.57	$956.97	$954.58
30th May	UFC Fight Night 172	7	4.6	65%		$9.55	$954.58	$998.21
6th Jun	UFC 250	8.5	-3.0	-36%		$9.98	$998.21	$968.06
11th Jul	UFC 251	6.5	5.9	91%		$9.68	$968.06	$1,025.10
15th Jul	UFC Fight Island 1	5.5	-1.3	-23%		$10.25	$1,025.10	$1,012.08
15th Aug	UFC 252	7	-1.5	-22%		$10.12	$1,012.08	$996.60
29th Aug	UFC Fight Night 182	3	0.7	24%		$9.97	$996.60	$1,003.77
22nd May	UFC FN	5.5	-2.0	-35%		$10.04	$1,003.77	$984.20
5th Jun	UFC FN	4	-1.2	-29%		$9.84	$984.20	$972.83
12th Jun	UFC 263	7.5	-1.4	-19%		$9.73	$972.83	$959.17
20th Nov	UFC FN	4	1.4	35%		$9.59	$959.17	$972.69
4th Dec	UFC FN	3.5	-0.5	-14%		$9.73	$972.69	$967.83
11th Dec	UFC 269	4	2.1	53%		$9.68	$967.83	$988.52
22nd Jan	UFC 270	2	2.8	138%		$9.89	$988.52	$1,015.70
12th Feb	UFC 271	4	0.8	19%		$10.16	$1,015.70	$1,023.37
5th Mar	UFC 272	5	-0.8	-16%		$10.23	$1,023.37	$1,015.31
9th Apr	UFC 273	3	-0.9	-30%		$10.15	$1,015.31	$1,006.17
16th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	4	-4.0	-100%		$10.06	$1,006.17	$965.93
23rd Apr	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade	2	-0.1	-5%		$9.66	$965.93	$965.05
30th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.65	$965.05	$945.75
7th May	UFC 274	3	2.3	75%		$9.46	$945.75	$967.03
11th Jun	UFC 275	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.67	$967.03	$957.36

ROI % from starting bank balance: -4.26% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

WelshTalianMMA : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '22	Charles Oliveira	Justin Gaethje	1.63	2	Sub, R1 (3:22)
2.	Apr '22	Claudio Puelles	Clay Guida	1.91	1	Sub, R1 (3:1)
3.	Apr '22	Mark O. Madsen	Vinc Pichel	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Mar '22	Jalin Turner	Jamie Mullarkey	1.61	1	TKO, R2 (0:46)
5.	Mar '22	Colby Covington	Jorge Masvidal	1.30	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
6.	Feb '22	Bobby Green	Nasrat Haqparast	1.67	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Feb '22	Jared Cannonier	Derek Brunson	1.59	1	TKO, R2 (4:29)
8.	Jan '22	Deiveson Figueiredo	Brandon Moreno	2.50	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Jan '22	Francis Ngannou	Ciryl Gane	2.25	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Dec '21	Kai Kara-France	Cody Garbrandt	2.20	0.5	TKO, R1 (3:21)
11.	Dec '21	Josh Emmett	Dan Ige	1.59	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Dec '21	Claudio Puelles	Chris Gruetzemacher	1.80	1	Sub, R3 (3:25)
13.	Dec '21	Jamahal Hill	Jim Crute	2.40	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:48)
14.	Jun '21	Eryk Anders	Darren Stewart	1.62	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Jun '21	Roman Dolidze	Laureano Staropoli	1.66	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	May '21	Rob Font	Cody Garbrandt	1.83	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
17.	Aug '20	Zak Cummings	Alessio Di Chirico	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Aug '20	Merab Dvalishvili	John Dodson	1.40	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Aug '20	Vinc Pichel	Jim Miller	1.72	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Jul '20	Jared Gordon	Chris Fishgold	1.61	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jun '22	Glover Teixeira	Jiri Prochazka	2.62	1	Sub, R5 (4:32)	No
2.	Apr '22	Rob Font	Marlon Vera	1.72	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
3.	Apr '22	Lando Vannata	Charles Jourdain	2.00	1	Sub, R1 (2:32)	No
4.	Apr '22	Vicente Luque	Belal Muhammad	1.57	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Mar '22	Devonte Smith	Ludovit Klein	1.63	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Mar '22	Mariya Agapova	Maryna Moroz	1.53	1	Sub, R2 (3:27)	No
7.	Feb '22	Alexander Hernandez	Renato Moicano	2.40	1	Sub, R2 (1:23)	No
8.	Dec '21	Alonzo Menifield	William Knight	1.61	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Dec '21	Rob Font	Jose Aldo	1.67	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
10.	Jun '21	Drew Dober	Brad Riddell	1.67	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	May '21	Claudio Silva	Court McGee	1.90	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Aug '20	Sean O'Malley	Marlon Vera	1.33	3	TKO, R1 (4:40)	No
13.	Jul '20	Molly McCann	Taila Santos	1.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Jul '20	Cody Stamann	Jimmie Rivera	2.10	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Jul '20	Jessica Andrade	Rose Namajunas	2.50	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Jun '20	Gerald Meerschaert	Ian Heinisch	2.10	1	TKO, R1 (1:14)	No
17.	Jun '20	Chase Hooper	Alex Caceres	1.66	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Jun '20	Cory Sandhagen	Aljamain Sterling	2.00	1	Sub, R1 (1:28)	No
19.	May '20	Tim Elliott	Brandon Royval	1.57	1	Sub, R2 (3:18)	No
20.	May '20	Anthony Smith	Glover Teixeira	1.53	1	TKO, R5 (1:4)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

WelshTalianMMA : Progress Chart

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