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MMA Handicapper Stats: TheOzmeister

TheOzmeister (TheOzmeister)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	35 (51%)	Right	12 (48%)	Right	15 (63%)	Right	8 (40%)
Wrong	34 (49%)	Wrong	13 (52%)	Wrong	9 (38%)	Wrong	12 (60%)
Avg Odds	2.28	Avg Odds	2.01	Avg Odds	2.73	Avg Odds	2.23
Units Bet	126.8	Units Bet	46.0	Units Bet	32.3	Units Bet	48.5
Avg Bet	1.84	Avg Bet	1.84	Avg Bet	1.34	Avg Bet	2.43
Units Profit	9.14	Units Profit	-6.13	Units Profit	19.76	Units Profit	-4.49
ROI %	7%	ROI %	-13%	ROI %	61%	ROI %	-9%

TheOzmeister : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
1st Aug '20	UFC Vegas 5	3.5	-1.2	-36%	-0.7 / 3 (-25%)		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	16.5	-13.1	-80%	-0.1 / 3.5 (-4%)		-13.0 / 13 (-100%)
18th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 2	3.25	-1.2	-38%		-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	-1.0 / 3 (-32%)
15th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 1	5.25	5.5	105%	0.7 / 1 (72%)	0.6 / 0.25 (250%)	4.2 / 4 (104%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	14.75	11.6	78%	0.5 / 6 (9%)	6.7 / 5.75 (117%)	4.3 / 3 (144%)
27th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 175	4.75	0.1	2%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	1.1 / 3.75 (29%)
20th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 174	12	-7.2	-60%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)	1.8 / 3 (61%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
6th Jun '20	UFC 250	8	5.2	65%		5.2 / 8 (65%)
30th May '20	UFC Fight Night 172	6.5	2.9	45%	3.4 / 6 (57%)		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
14th May '20	UFC Fight Night 170	5.5	-1.5	-27%	0.8 / 1 (80%)	0.7 / 1.5 (47%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
10th May '20	UFC 249	4.5	-2.6	-58%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	1.4 / 0.5 (275%)
14th Mar '20	UFC Fight Night 169	9	4.1	45%	1.3 / 3.5 (38%)		2.8 / 5.5 (50%)
8th Mar '20	UFC 248	19	1.8	10%	1.0 / 7 (14%)	-0.3 / 8 (-4%)	1.1 / 4 (28%)
29th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night	9.25	-2.4	-26%	-2.0 / 4 (-50%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	-0.2 / 5 (-4%)
22nd Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 168	5	7.3	146%		3.0 / 1 (300%)	4.3 / 4 (108%)

Winning Events: 8 (53%)
Losing Events: 7 (47%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.45 units
Most Staked On One Event: 19.00 units
Best Event: 11.56 units
Worst Event: -13.14 units
Average Event: 0.61 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 17.15
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -15.61

TheOzmeister : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	126.75	9.1	7%	-6.1 / 46 (-13%)	19.8 / 32.25 (61%)	-4.5 / 48.5 (-9%)	8 / 7 (53%)	0.61

TheOzmeister : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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TheOzmeister : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	126.75	9.1	7%	-6.1 / 46 (-13%)	19.8 / 32.25 (61%)	-4.5 / 48.5 (-9%)

TheOzmeister : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	2 (8%)	1	50 %	10.00	-4.40	-2.20	-44%
Slight Favorites	12 (46%)	8	67 %	23.00	2.22	0.18	10%
Slight Underdogs	8 (31%)	4	50 %	9.00	0.05	0.01	1%
Big Underdogs	4 (15%)	0	0 %	4.00	-4.00	-1.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (12%)	1	33 %	8.00	-2.40	-0.80	-30%
Co-Main Event	4 (15%)	1	25 %	3.50	-1.25	-0.31	-36%
Position 3-5	7 (27%)	4	57 %	16.00	-4.15	-0.59	-26%
6+ (Undercard)	12 (46%)	7	58 %	18.50	1.67	0.14	9%

TheOzmeister : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (12%)	1	33 %	4.00	-2.00	-0.67	-50%
Middleweight	2 (8%)	1	50 %	5.00	0.60	0.30	12%
Welterweight	2 (8%)	1	50 %	1.50	0.30	0.15	20%
Lightweight	8 (31%)	4	50 %	19.50	-4.80	-0.60	-25%
Featherweight	3 (12%)	3	100 %	4.00	3.62	1.21	90%
Bantamweight	2 (8%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-1.00	-100%
Flyweight	4 (15%)	3	75 %	7.00	1.15	0.29	16%

Women's Fights	2 (8%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.50	-100%
Strawweight	2 (8%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.50	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	30 (73%)	23	77 %
Slight Favorites	9 (22%)	3	33 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (5%)	1	50 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	41	27	66 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	7 (22%)	6	86 %
50-65%	7 (22%)	6	86 %
35-50%	3 (9%)	3	100 %
<35% chance	15 (47%)	7	47 %
	32	22	69 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	11 (34%)	10	91 %	1.50	1.66	1.31	4.3 (39%)
Goes to Decision	4 (13%)	3	75 %	1.72	3.40	1.30	2.1 (53%)
X Wins by Decision	14 (44%)	9	64 %	3.28	7.00	2.00	13.8 (99%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (3%)	0	0 %	11.00	11.00	11.00	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	2 (6%)	0	0 %	4.00	4.50	3.60	-2.0 (-100%)
	32	22	69 %	2.21			17.2 (54%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail TheOzmeister 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
22nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 168	5	7.3	146%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,073.23
29th Feb	UFC Fight Night	9.25	-2.4	-26%		$10.73	$1,073.23	$1,047.09
8th Mar	UFC 248	19	1.8	10%	$5	$10.47	$1,047.09	$1,061.01
14th Mar	UFC Fight Night 169	9	4.1	45%	$5	$10.61	$1,061.01	$1,099.36
10th May	UFC 249	4.5	-2.6	-58%	$5	$10.99	$1,099.36	$1,065.50
14th May	UFC Fight Night 170	5.5	-1.5	-27%	$5	$10.66	$1,065.50	$1,044.52
30th May	UFC Fight Night 172	6.5	2.9	45%	$5	$10.45	$1,044.52	$1,069.81
6th Jun	UFC 250	8	5.2	65%	$5	$10.70	$1,069.81	$1,120.55
20th Jun	UFC Fight Night 174	12	-7.2	-60%	$5	$11.21	$1,120.55	$1,035.20
27th Jun	UFC Fight Night 175	4.75	0.1	2%		$10.35	$1,035.20	$1,036.03
11th Jul	UFC 251	14.75	11.6	78%	$5	$10.36	$1,036.03	$1,150.78
15th Jul	UFC Fight Island 1	5.25	5.5	105%	$5	$11.51	$1,150.78	$1,209.22
18th Jul	UFC Fight Island 2	3.25	-1.2	-38%		$12.09	$1,209.22	$1,194.47
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	16.5	-13.1	-80%		$11.94	$1,194.47	$1,037.52
1st Aug	UFC Vegas 5	3.5	-1.2	-36%		$10.38	$1,037.52	$1,024.55

ROI % from starting bank balance: 2.45% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

TheOzmeister : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '20	Jennifer Maia	Joanne Wood	2.25	1	Sub, R1 (4:29)
2.	Jul '20	Francisco Trinaldo	Jai Herbert	1.68	2	TKO, R3 (1:30)
3.	Jul '20	Jimmie Rivera	Cody Stamann	1.72	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jul '20	Leonardo Santos	Roman Bogatov	1.57	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jul '20	Muslim Salikhov	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	1.80	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	May '20	Billy Quarantillo	Spike Carlyle	1.75	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	May '20	Brandon Royval	Tim Elliott	1.75	2	Sub, R2 (3:18)
8.	May '20	Brandon Royval	Tim Elliott	2.40	1	Sub, R2 (3:18)
9.	May '20	Drew Dober	Alexander Hernandez	1.80	1	TKO, R2 (4:25)
10.	Mar '20	Francisco Trinaldo	John Makdessi	1.61	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Mar '20	Giga Chikadze	Jamall Emmers	2.40	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Feb '20	Marcin Tybura	Sergey Spivak	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Mar '20	Israel Adesanya	Yoel Romero	1.40	4	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Aug '20	Lando Vannata	Bobby Green	1.67	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jul '20	Jai Herbert	Francisco Trinaldo	2.00	1.5	TKO, R3 (1:30)	No
3.	Jul '20	Maxim Grishin	Marcin Tybura	1.90	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jun '20	Daniel Hooker	Dustin Poirier	2.87	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Jun '20	Roosevelt Roberts	Jim Miller	1.40	6	Sub, R1 (2:25)	No
6.	May '20	Vincent Morales	Chris Gutierrez	1.90	1	TKO, R2 (4:27)	No
7.	May '20	Michelle Waterson	Carla Esparza	2.30	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	May '20	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	Francis Ngannou	3.40	1	TKO, R1 (0:20)	No
9.	May '20	Dominick Cruz	Henry Cejudo	2.86	1	TKO, R2 (4:58)	No
10.	Mar '20	Demian Maia	Gilbert Burns	2.50	0.5	TKO, R1 (2:34)	No
11.	Mar '20	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Weili Zhang	2.40	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
12.	Mar '20	Saparbek Safarov	Rodolfo Vieira	6.00	1	Sub, R1 (2:58)	No
13.	Feb '20	Joseph Benavidez	Deiveson Figueiredo	1.73	3	TKO, R2 (1:54)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

TheOzmeister : Progress Chart

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