MMA Handicapper Stats: Mister Shifters |
|
Mister Shifters: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 41 (44%) Losing Events: 53 (56%)
Average Staked Per Event: 14.60 units Most Staked On One Event: 55.00 units Best Event: 22.27 units Worst Event: -20.88 units Average Event: -0.38 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 37.05 Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -38.12 |
Mister Shifters: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
75.8 |
-2.9 |
-4% |
-6.1 / 50.3 (-12%) |
6.2 / 22.5 (28%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
3 / 3 (50%) |
-0.48 |
2023 |
336.233 |
-46.4 |
-14% |
-34.7 / 232.25 (-15%) |
-5.7 / 89.483 (-6%) |
-6.0 / 14.5 (-42%) |
10 / 15 (40%) |
-1.86 |
2022 |
570.3 |
49.7 |
9% |
51.5 / 451.25 (11%) |
7.1 / 86.05 (8%) |
-9.0 / 33 (-27%) |
16 / 18 (47%) |
1.46 |
2021 |
273.2 |
-26.0 |
-10% |
-11.0 / 248.7 (-4%) |
-4.5 / 14 (-32%) |
-10.5 / 10.5 (-100%) |
7 / 10 (41%) |
-1.53 |
2020 |
117 |
-9.9 |
-9% |
-7.9 / 112 (-7%) |
-2.0 / 5 (-40%) |
|
5 / 7 (42%) |
-0.83 |
|
Mister Shifters: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
Mister Shifters: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
1304.533 |
5.1 |
0% |
26.4 / 1032.5 (3%) |
1.2 / 217.033 (1%) |
-22.5 / 55 (-41%) |
Bellator |
31 |
-18.9 |
-61% |
-18.9 / 31 (-61%) |
|
|
PFL |
23.5 |
-21.5 |
-91% |
-20.0 / 22 (-91%) |
|
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
Other |
13.5 |
-0.2 |
-1% |
4.3 / 9 (48%) |
|
-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) |
|
Mister Shifters: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
118 (32%) |
83 |
70 % |
577.40 |
-27.78 |
-0.24 |
-5% |
Slight Favorites |
112 (31%) |
71 |
63 % |
302.50 |
15.44 |
0.14 |
5% |
Slight Underdogs |
102 (28%) |
44 |
43 % |
172.25 |
25.18 |
0.25 |
15% |
Big Underdogs |
35 (10%) |
6 |
17 % |
42.35 |
-21.03 |
-0.60 |
-50% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
65 (18%) |
31 |
48 % |
266.65 |
-16.65 |
-0.26 |
-6% |
Co-Main Event |
52 (14%) |
30 |
58 % |
169.95 |
19.57 |
0.38 |
12% |
Position 3-5 |
103 (28%) |
57 |
55 % |
282.75 |
17.47 |
0.17 |
6% |
6+ (Undercard) |
147 (40%) |
86 |
59 % |
375.15 |
-28.58 |
-0.19 |
-8% |
|
Mister Shifters: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
30 (8%) |
17 |
57 % |
91.10 |
22.54 |
0.75 |
25% |
Light Heavy |
29 (8%) |
13 |
45 % |
93.25 |
-8.16 |
-0.28 |
-9% |
Middleweight |
35 (10%) |
20 |
57 % |
92.00 |
-5.18 |
-0.15 |
-6% |
Welterweight |
52 (14%) |
31 |
60 % |
160.00 |
24.99 |
0.48 |
16% |
Lightweight |
37 (10%) |
16 |
43 % |
132.95 |
-50.73 |
-1.37 |
-38% |
Featherweight |
56 (15%) |
31 |
55 % |
133.85 |
-12.88 |
-0.23 |
-10% |
Bantamweight |
48 (13%) |
31 |
65 % |
155.40 |
25.55 |
0.53 |
16% |
Flyweight |
17 (5%) |
9 |
53 % |
58.90 |
-8.09 |
-0.48 |
-14% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
63 (17%) |
36 |
57 % |
177.05 |
3.75 |
0.06 |
2% |
Featherweight |
5 (1%) |
|
0 % |
5.50 |
-5.50 |
-1.10 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
7 (2%) |
4 |
57 % |
15.00 |
-1.97 |
-0.28 |
-13% |
Flyweight |
25 (7%) |
15 |
60 % |
68.70 |
2.63 |
0.11 |
4% |
Strawweight |
26 (7%) |
17 |
65 % |
87.85 |
8.59 |
0.33 |
10% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
95 (90%) |
72 |
76 % |
Slight Favorites |
9 (8%) |
5 |
56 % |
Slight Underdogs |
2 (2%) |
0 |
0 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
106 |
77 |
73 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
22 (12%) |
15 |
68 % |
50-65% |
21 (12%) |
10 |
48 % |
35-50% |
31 (17%) |
12 |
39 % |
<35% chance |
104 (58%) |
21 |
20 % |
|
178 |
58 |
33 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Mister Shifters's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
18th Jan |
UFC 246 |
4.5 |
2.5 |
55% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,024.81 |
25th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 166 |
7.5 |
3.0 |
40% |
|
$10.25 |
$1,024.81 |
$1,055.56 |
9th Feb |
UFC 247 |
5 |
-0.8 |
-16% |
|
$10.56 |
$1,055.56 |
$1,047.11 |
22nd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 168 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.47 |
$1,047.11 |
$1,026.17 |
29th Feb |
UFC Fight Night |
6.4 |
-4.6 |
-72% |
$5 |
$10.26 |
$1,026.17 |
$974.10 |
8th Mar |
UFC 248 |
6.5 |
-3.5 |
-54% |
$5 |
$9.74 |
$974.10 |
$935.01 |
14th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 169 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$9.35 |
$935.01 |
$901.96 |
20th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 174 |
22.4 |
-7.4 |
-33% |
$5 |
$9.02 |
$901.96 |
$829.91 |
27th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 175 |
16.7 |
2.5 |
15% |
$5 |
$8.30 |
$829.91 |
$846.07 |
11th Jul |
KSW 53 |
4 |
2.0 |
50% |
$5 |
$8.46 |
$846.07 |
$857.99 |
11th Jul |
UFC 251 |
36 |
4.3 |
12% |
$5 |
$8.58 |
$857.99 |
$890.23 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 1 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$8.90 |
$890.23 |
$858.53 |
16th Jan |
UFC FN |
5.5 |
0.5 |
9% |
|
$8.59 |
$858.53 |
$862.82 |
6th Feb |
UFC FN |
17 |
2.9 |
17% |
$5 |
$8.63 |
$862.82 |
$883.03 |
13th Feb |
UFC 258 |
18.7 |
-5.4 |
-29% |
$5 |
$8.83 |
$883.03 |
$830.02 |
20th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
16 |
-5.8 |
-36% |
$5 |
$8.30 |
$830.02 |
$777.29 |
28th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
11 |
-1.2 |
-11% |
$5 |
$7.77 |
$777.29 |
$762.83 |
6th Mar |
UFC 259 |
10 |
6.0 |
60% |
$5 |
$7.63 |
$762.83 |
$803.94 |
13th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 187 |
6 |
-0.8 |
-13% |
$5 |
$8.04 |
$803.94 |
$792.69 |
28th Mar |
UFC 260 |
34 |
3.7 |
11% |
$5 |
$7.93 |
$792.69 |
$816.76 |
17th Apr |
UFC FN |
24 |
-6.6 |
-27% |
$5 |
$8.17 |
$816.76 |
$758.08 |
24th Apr |
UFC 261 |
26 |
7.0 |
27% |
$5 |
$7.58 |
$758.08 |
$806.01 |
1st May |
UFC FN |
9 |
2.4 |
27% |
$5 |
$8.06 |
$806.01 |
$820.71 |
8th May |
UFC FN |
8 |
0.0 |
1% |
$5 |
$8.21 |
$820.71 |
$816.05 |
15th May |
UFC 262 |
6 |
-1.9 |
-31% |
$5 |
$8.16 |
$816.05 |
$795.87 |
22nd May |
UFC FN |
16 |
-3.0 |
-19% |
$5 |
$7.96 |
$795.87 |
$766.99 |
5th Jun |
UFC FN |
6 |
-1.2 |
-21% |
$5 |
$7.67 |
$766.99 |
$752.52 |
12th Jun |
UFC 263 |
25 |
-6.5 |
-26% |
$5 |
$7.53 |
$752.52 |
$698.32 |
11th Dec |
UFC 269 |
35 |
-16.2 |
-46% |
$5 |
$6.98 |
$698.32 |
$580.33 |
22nd Jan |
UFC 270 |
22 |
21.7 |
99% |
$5 |
$5.80 |
$580.33 |
$701.28 |
5th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland |
19.75 |
5.0 |
25% |
$5 |
$7.01 |
$701.28 |
$731.13 |
12th Feb |
UFC 271 |
15 |
-0.7 |
-5% |
$5 |
$7.31 |
$731.13 |
$720.85 |
19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
16.05 |
-1.5 |
-9% |
|
$7.21 |
$720.85 |
$710.22 |
5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
31.75 |
12.6 |
40% |
|
$7.10 |
$710.22 |
$799.48 |
12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
24 |
5.5 |
23% |
|
$7.99 |
$799.48 |
$843.77 |
12th Mar |
Bellator 276 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.44 |
$843.77 |
$801.58 |
19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
16 |
12.6 |
79% |
|
$8.02 |
$801.58 |
$902.71 |
26th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus |
37 |
-1.5 |
-4% |
$5 |
$9.03 |
$902.71 |
$884.35 |
9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
29 |
-2.8 |
-10% |
|
$8.84 |
$884.35 |
$859.47 |
23rd Apr |
Bellator 278 |
2 |
1.2 |
59% |
|
$8.59 |
$859.47 |
$869.58 |
23rd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade |
2 |
1.7 |
87% |
|
$8.70 |
$869.58 |
$884.70 |
30th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
11 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$8.85 |
$884.70 |
$884.41 |
11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
27 |
8.8 |
33% |
|
$8.84 |
$884.41 |
$962.33 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
22.5 |
-10.3 |
-46% |
|
$9.62 |
$962.33 |
$862.89 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
20 |
3.6 |
18% |
$5 |
$8.63 |
$862.89 |
$888.98 |
30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
18.25 |
5.0 |
28% |
|
$8.89 |
$888.98 |
$933.75 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
11 |
4.2 |
38% |
|
$9.34 |
$933.75 |
$972.51 |
13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
17 |
-2.8 |
-16% |
|
$9.73 |
$972.51 |
$945.28 |
20th Aug |
PFL 2022 #9 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.45 |
$945.28 |
$907.47 |
20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
19.5 |
8.2 |
42% |
|
$9.07 |
$907.47 |
$982.26 |
3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
32 |
22.3 |
70% |
|
$9.82 |
$982.26 |
$1,201.03 |
10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
55 |
6.5 |
12% |
|
$12.01 |
$1,201.03 |
$1,279.52 |
17th Sep |
LFA 142 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$12.80 |
$1,279.52 |
$1,236.14 |
17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
21.5 |
-0.1 |
-0% |
|
$12.36 |
$1,236.14 |
$1,234.82 |
1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
14.5 |
-2.7 |
-19% |
|
$12.35 |
$1,234.82 |
$1,201.58 |
1st Oct |
Bellator 286 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.02 |
$1,201.58 |
$1,189.56 |
15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
13 |
-0.3 |
-3% |
|
$11.90 |
$1,189.56 |
$1,185.69 |
29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
3 |
3.2 |
105% |
|
$11.86 |
$1,185.69 |
$1,223.04 |
12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$12.23 |
$1,223.04 |
$1,192.46 |
25th Nov |
PFL 2022 #10 |
17 |
-15.0 |
-88% |
|
$11.92 |
$1,192.46 |
$1,013.59 |
3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
14 |
-7.4 |
-53% |
|
$10.14 |
$1,013.59 |
$938.58 |
9th Dec |
Bellator 289 |
19 |
-13.2 |
-70% |
|
$9.39 |
$938.58 |
$814.50 |
10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
5 |
1.5 |
30% |
|
$8.14 |
$814.50 |
$826.52 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
29.15 |
-3.3 |
-11% |
|
$8.27 |
$826.52 |
$799.19 |
18th Jan |
Invicta FC 51 |
5 |
2.3 |
47% |
|
$7.99 |
$799.19 |
$817.78 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
9 |
-9.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.18 |
$817.78 |
$744.18 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
15.75 |
-7.8 |
-49% |
|
$7.44 |
$744.18 |
$686.26 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
31 |
-20.9 |
-67% |
|
$6.86 |
$686.26 |
$542.96 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
32.333 |
3.4 |
11% |
$5 |
$5.43 |
$542.96 |
$556.40 |
10th Mar |
Bellator 292 |
4 |
-0.9 |
-22% |
|
$5.56 |
$556.40 |
$551.45 |
7th Apr |
PFL 2: 2023 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$5.51 |
$551.45 |
$537.67 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
10 |
-3.1 |
-31% |
|
$5.38 |
$537.67 |
$520.73 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
23 |
-14.5 |
-63% |
|
$5.21 |
$520.73 |
$445.05 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
11.2 |
-11.2 |
-100% |
|
$4.45 |
$445.05 |
$395.21 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
14 |
13.3 |
95% |
|
$3.95 |
$395.21 |
$447.77 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
9.75 |
0.4 |
4% |
$5 |
$4.48 |
$447.77 |
$444.39 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
11.6 |
0.4 |
4% |
$5 |
$4.44 |
$444.39 |
$441.28 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
20 |
-9.2 |
-46% |
|
$4.41 |
$441.28 |
$400.72 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
11 |
7.1 |
65% |
|
$4.01 |
$400.72 |
$429.16 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
19.5 |
12.6 |
65% |
|
$4.29 |
$429.16 |
$483.23 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
11.7 |
-1.8 |
-15% |
|
$4.83 |
$483.23 |
$474.53 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
18.5 |
-6.0 |
-32% |
|
$4.75 |
$474.53 |
$446.01 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
11.75 |
-2.0 |
-17% |
|
$4.46 |
$446.01 |
$437.14 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
16 |
5.8 |
36% |
|
$4.37 |
$437.14 |
$462.41 |
11th Nov |
Cage Warriors 163 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$4.62 |
$462.41 |
$455.48 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
10 |
3.1 |
31% |
|
$4.55 |
$455.48 |
$469.56 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
5 |
-3.7 |
-74% |
|
$4.70 |
$469.56 |
$452.30 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
3 |
2.6 |
87% |
|
$4.52 |
$452.30 |
$464.10 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
15.5 |
-0.6 |
-4% |
$5 |
$4.64 |
$464.10 |
$456.31 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
8.5 |
-6.0 |
-71% |
|
$4.56 |
$456.31 |
$428.94 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
19.8 |
8.8 |
44% |
|
$4.29 |
$428.94 |
$466.48 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
11.5 |
2.9 |
25% |
|
$4.66 |
$466.48 |
$480.04 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
4.75 |
2.8 |
59% |
|
$4.80 |
$480.04 |
$493.60 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
15.75 |
-10.8 |
-68% |
|
$4.94 |
$493.60 |
$440.54 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -55.95% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Mister Shifters: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Mar '24 |
Maryna Moroz |
Joanne Wood |
1.45 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Mar '24 |
Yadong Song |
Petr Yan |
2.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Mar '24 |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
Dustin Poirier |
1.57 |
3.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:32) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Mar '24 |
Marlon Vera |
Sean O'Malley |
3.20 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Feb '24 |
Roman Kopylov |
Anthony Hernandez |
2.60 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (3:23) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Feb '24 |
Alex Volkanovski |
Ilia Topuria |
1.91 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:32) |
Yes |
|
|
7. |
Feb '24 |
Armen Petrosyan |
Rodolfo Vieira |
2.05 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:48) |
Yes |
|
|
8. |
Feb '24 |
Landon Quiñones |
Marquel Mederos |
2.15 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Feb '24 |
Julija Stoliarenko |
Luana Carolina |
1.63 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (4:52) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Feb '24 |
Roman Dolidze |
Nassourdine Imavov |
2.50 |
1 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Jan '24 |
Brad Katona |
Garrett Armfield |
1.50 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Jan '24 |
Arnold Allen |
Movsar Evloev |
2.60 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Jan '24 |
Mayra Bueno Silva |
Raquel Pennington |
1.65 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Dec '23 |
Joe Solecki |
Drakkar Klose |
2.05 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:41) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Dec '23 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Sean Brady |
2.00 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Dec '23 |
Rob Font |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
1.69 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Dec '23 |
Beneil Dariush |
Arman Tsarukyan |
3.40 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:4) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Nov '23 |
Matt Frevola |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.95 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:31) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Nov '23 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Alex Pereira |
2.05 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:8) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Oct '23 |
Montana De La Rosa |
J.J. Aldrich |
1.67 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Mister Shifters: Progress Chart |
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