MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Taco Tom

Taco Tom (holawayt54)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	34 (56%)	Right	32 (58%)	Right	2 (40%)	Right	0 (0%)
Wrong	27 (44%)	Wrong	23 (42%)	Wrong	3 (60%)	Wrong	1 (100%)
Avg Odds	1.88	Avg Odds	1.83	Avg Odds	2.55	Avg Odds	2.42
Units Bet	102.0	Units Bet	95.3	Units Bet	5.3	Units Bet	1.5
Avg Bet	1.67	Avg Bet	1.73	Avg Bet	1.05	Avg Bet	1.50
Units Profit	11.72	Units Profit	14.02	Units Profit	-0.80	Units Profit	-1.50
ROI %	11%	ROI %	15%	ROI %	-15%	ROI %	-100%

Taco Tom: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	10.77	5.0	46%	5.0 / 10.77 (46%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	10.52	0.6	5%	0.6 / 10.52 (5%)
27th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 175	5.9	-0.6	-10%	-1.1 / 4.4 (-25%)	0.5 / 1.5 (33%)
29th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night	5.11	-5.1	-100%	-5.1 / 5.11 (-100%)
22nd Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 168	3.9	0.7	18%	0.7 / 3.9 (18%)
15th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 167	11.3	-2.7	-24%	-2.7 / 11.3 (-24%)
9th Feb '20	UFC 247	7.97	-0.8	-11%	0.5 / 6.67 (7%)	-1.3 / 1.3 (-100%)
25th Jan '20	UFC Fight Night 166	6.85	7.3	107%	6.3 / 5.4 (117%)	1.0 / 1.45 (69%)
18th Jan '20	UFC 246	11.45	5.2	45%	5.2 / 11.45 (45%)
29th Dec '19	Bellator 237	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
15th Dec '19	UFC 245	8.25	-3.2	-39%	-0.7 / 5.75 (-12%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
7th Dec '19	UFC on ESPN 7	7	3.2	45%	3.2 / 7 (45%)
23rd Nov '19	Bellator London	2	0.5	27%	0.5 / 2 (27%)
16th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 164	9	3.7	41%	3.7 / 9 (41%)

Winning Events: 8 (57%)
Losing Events: 6 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.29 units
Most Staked On One Event: 11.45 units
Best Event: 7.34 units
Worst Event: -5.11 units
Average Event: 0.84 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 12.49
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -5.71

Taco Tom: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	73.77	9.5	13%	9.3 / 69.52 (13%)	0.2 / 4.25 (5%)		5 / 4 (56%)	1.05
2019	28.25	2.2	8%	4.7 / 25.75 (18%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	3 / 2 (60%)	0.45

Taco Tom: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Taco Tom: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	98.02	13.2	13%	15.5 / 91.27 (17%)	-0.8 / 5.25 (-15%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
Bellator	4	-1.5	-36%	-1.5 / 4 (-36%)

Taco Tom: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	10 (18%)	10	100 %	28.70	10.68	1.07	37%
Slight Favorites	26 (47%)	13	50 %	47.32	0.16	0.01	0%
Slight Underdogs	13 (24%)	5	38 %	15.00	-1.91	-0.15	-13%
Big Underdogs	6 (11%)	4	67 %	4.25	5.10	0.85	120%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	11 (20%)	6	55 %	22.90	4.22	0.38	18%
Co-Main Event	7 (13%)	3	43 %	13.00	-1.56	-0.22	-12%
Position 3-5	15 (27%)	11	73 %	29.34	10.52	0.70	36%
6+ (Undercard)	22 (40%)	12	55 %	30.03	0.85	0.04	3%

Taco Tom: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	9 (16%)	6	67 %	14.06	3.19	0.35	23%
Light Heavy	7 (13%)	6	86 %	14.50	7.62	1.09	53%
Middleweight	6 (11%)	3	50 %	7.92	-0.81	-0.13	-10%
Welterweight	7 (13%)	3	43 %	14.70	-0.62	-0.09	-4%
Lightweight	8 (15%)	6	75 %	17.35	8.55	1.07	49%
Featherweight	6 (11%)	4	67 %	8.75	2.47	0.41	28%
Bantamweight	7 (13%)	2	29 %	9.57	-4.55	-0.65	-48%
Flyweight	3 (5%)	1	33 %	4.60	-1.30	-0.43	-28%

Women's Fights	2 (4%)	1	50 %	3.82	-0.53	-0.26	-14%
Bantamweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	2.00	1.29	1.29	65%
Strawweight	1 (2%)		0 %	1.82	-1.82	-1.82	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	1 (50%)	1	100 %
Slight Favorites	1 (50%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	2	1	50 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	2 (40%)	1	50 %
35-50%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	3 (60%)	1	33 %
	5	2	40 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by Decision	1 (20%)	0	0 %	3.00	3.00	3.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (20%)	0	0 %	1.77	1.77	1.77	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (20%)	0	0 %	4.50	4.50	4.50	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	2 (40%)	2	100 %	2.38	4.00	1.69	3.7 (184%)
	5	2	40 %	2.55			0.7 (14%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Taco Tom's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
16th Nov	UFC Fight Night 164	9	3.7	41%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,037.25
23rd Nov	Bellator London	2	0.5	27%		$10.37	$1,037.25	$1,042.86
7th Dec	UFC on ESPN 7	7	3.2	45%		$10.43	$1,042.86	$1,075.96
15th Dec	UFC 245	8.25	-3.2	-39%		$10.76	$1,075.96	$1,041.53
29th Dec	Bellator 237	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.42	$1,041.53	$1,020.70
18th Jan	UFC 246	11.45	5.2	45%		$10.21	$1,020.70	$1,073.27
25th Jan	UFC Fight Night 166	6.85	7.3	107%		$10.73	$1,073.27	$1,152.05
9th Feb	UFC 247	7.97	-0.8	-11%		$11.52	$1,152.05	$1,142.31
15th Feb	UFC Fight Night 167	11.3	-2.7	-24%		$11.42	$1,142.31	$1,111.47
22nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 168	3.9	0.7	18%		$11.11	$1,111.47	$1,119.25
29th Feb	UFC Fight Night	5.11	-5.1	-100%		$11.19	$1,119.25	$1,062.05
27th Jun	UFC Fight Night 175	5.9	-0.6	-10%		$10.62	$1,062.05	$1,055.68
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	10.52	0.6	5%		$10.56	$1,055.68	$1,061.54
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	10.77	5.0	46%		$10.62	$1,061.54	$1,114.55

ROI % from starting bank balance: 11.46% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Taco Tom: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '20	Gavin Tucker	Justin Jaynes	1.80	1.25	Sub, R3 (1:43)
2.	Aug '20	Darren Stewart	Maki Pitolo	1.66	1.52	Sub, R1 (3:41)
3.	Aug '20	Beneil Dariush	Scott Holtzman	1.60	5	TKO, R1 (4:38)
4.	Aug '20	Derrick Lewis	Aleksei Oleinik	1.50	2	TKO, R2 (0:21)
5.	Jul '20	Tom Aspinall	Jake Collier	1.38	2.6	TKO, R1 (0:45)
6.	Jul '20	Mauricio Rua	Rogerio Nogueira	1.56	3.6	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jul '20	Fabricio Werdum	Alexander Gustafsson	3.75	0.5	Sub, R1 (2:30)
8.	Jun '20	Maurice Greene	Gian Villante	1.43	2.3	Sub, R3 (3:44)
9.	Feb '20	Daniel Hooker	Paul Felder	1.77	2.6	Split Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Feb '20	Scott Holtzman	Jim Miller	1.67	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Feb '20	Raulian Paiva	Mark Delarosa	1.43	2.3	TKO, R2 (4:42)
12.	Feb '20	Jan Blachowicz	Corey Anderson	2.80	1	TKO, R1 (3:8)
13.	Feb '20	Derrick Lewis	Ilir Latifi	1.40	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Feb '20	Justin Tafa	Juan Adams	2.95	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:59)
15.	Feb '20	Dan Ige	Mirsad Bektic	2.15	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Jan '20	Jamahal Hill	Darko Stosic	1.83	2.4	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jan '20	Herbert Burns	Nate Landwehr	2.02	1	TKO, R1 (2:43)
18.	Jan '20	Brett Johns	Tony Gravely	2.02	1	Sub, R3 (2:53)
19.	Jan '20	Michael Chiesa	Rafael dos Anjos	3.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Jan '20	Aleksa Camur	Justin Ledet	1.83	0.6	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Aug '20	Omari Akhmedov	Chris Weidman	2.15	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jul '20	Mike Grundy	Movsar Evloev	2.70	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jul '20	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Carla Esparza	1.55	1.82	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jul '20	Darren Till	Robert Whittaker	2.15	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Jun '20	Philipe Lins	Tanner Boser	1.91	1.1	TKO, R1 (2:41)	No
6.	Jun '20	Daniel Hooker	Dustin Poirier	2.90	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Feb '20	Ismail Naurdiev	Sean Brady	1.77	1.3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Feb '20	Tom Breese	Brendan Allen	1.74	1.35	TKO, R1 (4:47)	No
9.	Feb '20	Sergey Spivak	Marcin Tybura	1.86	1.16	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Feb '20	Joseph Benavidez	Deiveson Figueiredo	1.77	1.3	TKO, R2 (1:54)	No
11.	Feb '20	Michal Oleksiejczuk	Jim Crute	1.77	1.3	Sub, R1 (3:29)	No
12.	Feb '20	Rodrigo Vargas	Brok Weaver	3.60	0.5		No
13.	Feb '20	Rogerio Bontorin	Ray Borg	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Feb '20	Yancy Medeiros	Lando Vannata	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Feb '20	Michel Pereira	Diego Sanchez	1.63	2.4		No
16.	Feb '20	Nathaniel Wood	John Dodson	1.63	1.6	TKO, R3 (0:16)	No
17.	Feb '20	Domingo Pilarte	Journey Newson	1.77	1.3	TKO, R1 (0:38)	No
18.	Feb '20	Miles Johns	Mario Bautista	1.73	1.37	TKO, R2 (1:41)	No
19.	Jan '20	Ode Osbourne	Brian Kelleher	1.77	1.3	Sub, R1 (2:49)	No
20.	Dec '19	Quinton Jackson	Fedor Emelianenko	2.26	2	TKO, R1 (2:44)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Taco Tom: Progress Chart

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