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MMA Handicapper Stats: Emil Lykke

Emil Lykke (EmilLykke)


MMA MHandicapper - Emil Lykke

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 59 (50%) Right 46 (58%) Right 9 (26%) Right 4 (80%)
Wrong 60 (50%) Wrong 33 (42%) Wrong 26 (74%) Wrong 1 (20%)
Avg Odds 2.30 Avg Odds 2.08 Avg Odds 3.07 Avg Odds 2.09
Units Bet 773.1 Units Bet 590.6 Units Bet 154.5 Units Bet 28.0
Avg Bet 6.50 Avg Bet 7.48 Avg Bet 4.41 Avg Bet 5.60
Units Profit 77.59 Units Profit 97.15 Units Profit -32.95 Units Profit 13.39
ROI % 10% ROI % 16% ROI % -21% ROI % 48%
View Handicapper's Profile

Emil Lykke: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 102.2 10.6 10% 19.1 / 71.2 (27%) -8.5 / 31 (-27%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 49 -17.9 -37% -17.9 / 49 (-37%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 37 -28.9 -78% -22.0 / 22 (-100%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%) 3.1 / 5 (62%)
27th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 175 40 7.8 19% -18.0 / 18 (-100%) 25.8 / 22 (117%)
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 74 31.8 43% 28.9 / 45 (64%) 2.9 / 29 (10%)
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 36 4.2 12% 4.2 / 36 (12%)
30th May '20 UFC Fight Night 172 33 21.8 66% 21.8 / 33 (66%)
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 169 34 -24.1 -71% -24.1 / 34 (-71%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 22 -1.1 -5% -11.0 / 11 (-100%) 9.9 / 11 (90%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 10.5 -4.5 -43% -4.5 / 10.5 (-43%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 16 9.7 61% 9.7 / 16 (61%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 11.5 1.2 10% 1.2 / 11.5 (10%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 25 29.3 117% 34.3 / 20 (171%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 21.9 -14.9 -68% 0.6 / 6.4 (9%) -10.5 / 10.5 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 12 5.3 44% 7.3 / 10 (73%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
21st Dec '19 UFC Fight Night 165 18 16.5 92% 16.5 / 18 (92%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 25 -0.8 -3% -3.9 / 20 (-20%) 3.1 / 5 (63%)
7th Dec '19 UFC on ESPN 7 35 28.2 81% 28.2 / 35 (81%)
16th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 164 25 -9.6 -38% 1.2 / 10 (12%) -13.0 / 13 (-100%) 2.2 / 2 (110%)
9th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 163 25 -2.0 -8% 5.0 / 18 (28%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 43 1.8 4% 1.8 / 43 (4%)
26th Oct '19 UFC Fight Night 162 31 -4.1 -13% 0.9 / 26 (3%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 47 17.3 37% 18.0 / 27 (67%) -0.7 / 20 (-3%)


Winning Events: 13 (57%)
Losing Events: 10 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 33.61 units
Most Staked On One Event: 102.20 units
Best Event: 31.82 units
Worst Event: -28.88 units
Average Event: 3.37 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 65.50
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -46.82

Emil Lykke: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 524.1 30.2 6% 29.4 / 393.6 (7%) -7.3 / 109.5 (-7%) 8.1 / 21 (38%) 9 / 6 (60%) 2.01
2019 249 47.4 19% 67.7 / 197 (34%) -25.7 / 45 (-57%) 5.3 / 7 (76%) 4 / 4 (50%) 5.93

Emil Lykke: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Emil Lykke: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 773.1 77.6 10% 97.2 / 590.6 (16%) -32.9 / 154.5 (-21%) 13.4 / 28 (48%)

Emil Lykke: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 8 (10%) 6 75 % 65.00 -0.39 -0.05 -1%
Slight Favorites 29 (36%) 22 76 % 229.00 79.18 2.73 35%
Slight Underdogs 27 (34%) 12 44 % 209.00 18.36 0.68 9%
Big Underdogs 16 (20%) 6 38 % 87.60 -0.00 -0.00 -0%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 14 (18%) 7 50 % 119.00 5.65 0.40 5%
Co-Main Event 7 (9%) 3 43 % 57.00 -7.29 -1.04 -13%
Position 3-5 19 (24%) 14 74 % 148.50 53.56 2.82 36%
6+ (Undercard) 40 (50%) 22 55 % 266.10 45.23 1.13 17%

Emil Lykke: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (8%) 4 67 % 46.00 10.10 1.68 22%
Light Heavy 7 (9%) 3 43 % 54.00 12.32 1.76 23%
Middleweight 7 (9%) 3 43 % 62.50 -10.48 -1.50 -17%
Welterweight 14 (18%) 10 71 % 114.00 36.65 2.62 32%
Lightweight 15 (19%) 10 67 % 101.00 37.31 2.49 37%
Featherweight 12 (15%) 5 42 % 77.60 -20.09 -1.67 -26%
Bantamweight 10 (13%) 4 40 % 77.50 -18.57 -1.86 -24%
Flyweight 2 (3%) 1 50 % 14.00 12.95 6.48 93%
               
Women's Fights 7 (9%) 6 86 % 44.00 36.96 5.28 84%
Bantamweight 2 (3%) 2 100 % 21.00 13.96 6.98 66%
Flyweight 3 (4%) 3 100 % 15.00 23.05 7.68 154%
Strawweight 2 (3%) 1 50 % 8.00 -0.05 -0.03 -1%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 10 (91%) 9 90 %
Slight Favorites 1 (9%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
11 9 82 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (6%) 2 100 %
50-65% 5 (14%) 3 60 %
35-50% 7 (19%) 1 14 %
<35% chance 22 (61%) 4 18 %
36 10 28 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (17%) 5 83 % 1.80 2.67Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was correct 2.6 (43%)
Goes to Decision 2 (6%) 1 50 % 2.17 5.40Pick was incorrect 1.36Pick was correct -0.6 (-32%)
X Wins by KO 3 (8%) 0 0 % 4.05 5.50Pick was incorrect 2.75Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 5 (14%) 1 20 % 5.44 7.50Pick was correct 3.50Pick was incorrect 2.5 (50%)
X Wins by Decision 8 (22%) 1 13 % 3.08 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-38%)
X Wins Inside Distance 12 (33%) 2 17 % 3.33 5.50Pick was incorrect 2.05Pick was incorrect -4.7 (-39%)
36 10 28 % 2.97     -6.3 (-17%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Emil Lykke's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 47 17.3 37% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,173.50
26th Oct UFC Fight Night 162 31 -4.1 -13% $11.73 $1,173.50 $1,125.15
2nd Nov UFC 244 43 1.8 4% $11.25 $1,125.15 $1,145.40
9th Nov UFC Fight Night 163 25 -2.0 -8% $11.45 $1,145.40 $1,122.49
16th Nov UFC Fight Night 164 25 -9.6 -38% $11.22 $1,122.49 $1,014.95
7th Dec UFC on ESPN 7 35 28.2 81% $19.99 $10.15 $1,014.95 $1,281.39
15th Dec UFC 245 25 -0.8 -3% $19.99 $12.81 $1,281.39 $1,251.51
21st Dec UFC Fight Night 165 18 16.5 92% $19.99 $12.52 $1,251.51 $1,438.27
18th Jan UFC 246 12 5.3 44% $19.99 $14.38 $1,438.27 $1,494.51
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 21.9 -14.9 -68% $19.99 $14.95 $1,494.51 $1,251.84
9th Feb UFC 247 25 29.3 117% $19.99 $12.52 $1,251.84 $1,598.01
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 11.5 1.2 10% $19.99 $15.98 $1,598.01 $1,597.04
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 16 9.7 61% $19.99 $15.97 $1,597.04 $1,732.28
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 10.5 -4.5 -43% $19.99 $17.32 $1,732.28 $1,634.34
8th Mar UFC 248 22 -1.1 -5% $19.99 $16.34 $1,634.34 $1,597.09
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 169 34 -24.1 -71% $19.99 $15.97 $1,597.09 $1,192.20
30th May UFC Fight Night 172 33 21.8 66% $19.99 $11.92 $1,192.20 $1,431.87
6th Jun UFC 250 36 4.2 12% $19.99 $14.32 $1,431.87 $1,471.31
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 74 31.8 43% $14.71 $1,471.31 $1,939.47
27th Jun UFC Fight Night 175 40 7.8 19% $19.39 $1,939.47 $2,089.79
11th Jul UFC 251 37 -28.9 -78% $20.90 $2,089.79 $1,486.26
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 49 -17.9 -37% $14.86 $1,486.26 $1,219.62
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 102.2 10.6 10% $12.20 $1,219.62 $1,348.78


ROI % from starting bank balance: 34.88% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Emil Lykke: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '20 Jesse Ronson Nicolas Dalby 3.45 3 Sub, R1 (2:48) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '20 Carla Esparza Marina Alcalde Rodriguez 2.65 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '20 Pannie Kianzad Bethe Correia 1.66 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '20 Alex Oliveira Peter Sobotta 1.67 8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '20 Francisco Trinaldo Jai Herbert 1.87 11 TKO, R3 (1:30) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '20 Robert Whittaker Darren Till 1.80 11 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '20 Grant Dawson Nad Narimani 1.46 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '20 Joel Alvarez Joseph Duffy 3.75 4 Sub, R1 (2:25) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '20 Josh Emmett Shane Burgos 2.45 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '20 Bobby Green Clay Guida 1.41 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '20 Gillian Robertson Cortney Casey 1.91 5 Sub, R3 (4:36) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '20 Justin Jaynes Frank Camacho 4.00 4 TKO, R1 (0:41) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '20 Lauren Murphy Roxanne Modafferi 2.00 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '20 Austin Hubbard Max Rohskopf 2.64 4 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '20 Paid Pick Aljamain Sterling Cory Sandhagen 1.91 11 Sub, R1 (1:28) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '20 Paid Pick Cody Garbrandt Raphael Assuncao 1.74 11 TKO, R2 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
17. May '20 Paid Pick Brandon Royval Tim Elliott 2.45 11 Sub, R2 (3:18) MMA Bookmaker
18. May '20 Paid Pick Gilbert Burns Tyron Woodley 2.53 11 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '20 Paid Pick Francisco Trinaldo John Makdessi 1.65 6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '20 Paid Pick Magomed Ankalaev Ion Cutelaba 1.50 4 TKO, R1 (0:38) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '20 Mike Grundy Movsar Evloev 2.70 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '20 Raphael Pessoa Tanner Boser 3.45 3 TKO, R2 (2:36) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '20 John Castaneda Nathaniel Wood 4.60 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '20 Gadzhimurad Antigulov Paul Craig 2.20 5 Sub, R1 (2:6) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '20 Mike Grundy Movsar Evloev 11.00 2.7 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '20 Joseph Benavidez Deiveson Figueiredo 2.96 3 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '20 Davi Ramos Arman Tsarukyan 3.00 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '20 Montel Jackson Brett Johns 1.50 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '20 Kelvin Gastelum Jack Hermansson 2.00 10 Sub, R1 (1:18) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '20 Jose Aldo Petr Yan 3.01 11 TKO, R5 (3:24) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '20 Jorge Masvidal Kamaru Usman 3.19 11 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '20 Jordan Griffin Youssef Zalal 2.10 8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '20 Luis Pena Khama Worthy 1.45 10 Sub, R3 (2:53) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '20 Lyman Good Belal Muhammad 2.10 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '20 Evan Dunham Herbert Burns 2.92 3 Sub, R1 (1:20) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '20 Paid Pick Gerald Meerschaert Ian Heinisch 2.15 11 TKO, R1 (1:14) No MMA Bookmaker
17. May '20 Paid Pick Louis Smolka Casey Kenney 3.42 11 Sub, R1 (3:3) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '20 Paid Pick Kevin Lee Charles Oliveira 1.69 10 Sub, R3 (0:28) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '20 Paid Pick Demian Maia Gilbert Burns 2.57 8 TKO, R1 (2:34) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '20 Paid Pick Johnny Walker Nikita Krylov 1.73 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Emil Lykke: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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