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MMA Handicapper Stats: Aaron Watershow

Aaron Watershow (aaronwatershow)


MMA MHandicapper - Aaron Watershow

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 454 (45%) Right 243 (47%) Right 173 (43%) Right 38 (47%)
Wrong 544 (55%) Wrong 269 (53%) Wrong 232 (57%) Wrong 43 (53%)
Avg Odds 2.16 Avg Odds 2.08 Avg Odds 2.29 Avg Odds 2.15
Units Bet 1,247.7 Units Bet 662.1 Units Bet 489.8 Units Bet 95.8
Avg Bet 1.25 Avg Bet 1.29 Avg Bet 1.21 Avg Bet 1.18
Units Profit 6.49 Units Profit 9.96 Units Profit -3.93 Units Profit 0.45
ROI % 1% ROI % 2% ROI % -1% ROI % 0%
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Aaron Watershow: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
19th Apr '24 PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season 6.05 -3.5 -58% -3.5 / 6.05 (-58%)
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 6.85 1.0 15% -2.3 / 4.85 (-47%) 3.3 / 2 (165%)
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 4.3 -2.1 -50% -2.1 / 4.3 (-50%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 5.5 0.5 9% -1.5 / 4 (-38%) 2.0 / 1.5 (133%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 4 2.5 64% 0.6 / 1.5 (37%) 2.0 / 2.5 (80%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 8.2 -1.3 -15% -0.3 / 5.2 (-6%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.0 / 1 (103%)
9th Mar '24 LFA 178 1.3 1.0 77% 1.0 / 1.3 (77%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 5.5 4.0 74% 2.0 / 2.8 (73%) 2.0 / 2.7 (74%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 3 2.2 73% 1.3 / 1 (125%) 0.9 / 2 (47%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 11.75 -2.4 -21% 0.1 / 4.25 (1%) -1.5 / 6.5 (-23%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 7.6 1.3 18% 1.8 / 3.5 (51%) -2.1 / 2.1 (-100%) 1.6 / 2 (82%)
3rd Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 4 2.2 54% 2.1 / 2 (105%) 0.1 / 2 (3%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 5.55 1.2 22% 0.2 / 2 (10%) 2.0 / 2.55 (78%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Jan '24 UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 4.53 1.8 40% -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.25 (80%) 2.0 / 2.08 (96%)
16th Dec '23 UFC 296 11.6 2.1 18% -1.1 / 7.1 (-15%) 3.2 / 4.5 (71%)
15th Dec '23 LFA 173 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Dec '23 Cage Warriors 165 6.65 4.8 71% 2.0 / 3.65 (55%) 2.8 / 3 (92%)
9th Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez 7.9 -5.5 -69% -0.0 / 2.45 (-0%) -5.5 / 5.45 (-100%)
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 7.65 -0.4 -5% 0.6 / 6.65 (10%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Nov '23 PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 3.75 -1.6 -41% -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%) 1.2 / 1 (120%)
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 6.65 1.5 23% -4.0 / 6.15 (-65%) 5.5 / 0.5 (1,100%)
17th Nov '23 Bellator 301 11.25 4.8 42% -0.5 / 5.95 (-8%) 4.2 / 4.3 (98%) 1.1 / 1 (108%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 13.75 3.0 22% 1.2 / 7.95 (15%) -0.7 / 3.8 (-17%) 2.4 / 2 (121%)
4th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 4.75 -0.0 -1% -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.45 (-100%) 2.7 / 2 (135%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 7.75 -5.1 -66% -1.5 / 4.15 (-36%) -3.6 / 3.6 (-100%)
7th Oct '23 Bellator 300 4.75 3.3 69% 1.3 / 3.75 (35%) 2.0 / 1 (200%)
7th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 6.8 -0.3 -4% 0.7 / 3.65 (21%) 0.0 / 2.15 (0%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Oct '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 9 1 1.7 170% 1.7 / 1 (170%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 11.25 0.2 1% -2.9 / 7.65 (-38%) 2.0 / 2.6 (77%) 1.1 / 1 (106%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 7 -2.4 -35% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 2.6 / 2 (129%)
9th Sep '23 Cage Warriors 159 5 4.2 84% 4.2 / 3 (140%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.0 / 1 (100%)
5th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 5 4.6 -1.8 -39% -1.8 / 4.6 (-39%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 9.05 -1.0 -11% -2.0 / 7.4 (-27%) 1.0 / 1.65 (61%)
26th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 5.55 0.9 16% -0.3 / 2.55 (-14%) 0.2 / 2 (10%) 1.1 / 1 (106%)
11th Aug '23 Bellator 298 2.75 2.9 104% 2.9 / 2.75 (104%)
5th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 7.35 -7.4 -100% -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) -4.1 / 4.1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Jul '23 UFC 291 9.35 10.6 113% 6.1 / 5.5 (112%) 3.2 / 2.85 (114%) 1.2 / 1 (120%)
22nd Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 13.6 0.5 4% 1.0 / 3.9 (26%) 0.5 / 8.7 (6%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 8.4 0.8 9% 1.0 / 3.8 (26%) -2.6 / 2.6 (-100%) 2.4 / 2 (118%)
1st Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 14.15 1.1 8% 6.5 / 6.7 (97%) -4.4 / 6.45 (-68%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 14.3 -6.9 -48% -2.2 / 7.25 (-30%) -2.7 / 5.05 (-53%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Jun '23 PFL 6: Regular Season 5 -0.8 -17% -2.0 / 4 (-50%) 1.2 / 1 (115%)
17th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 5.4 -3.9 -72% -1.4 / 1.4 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 0.5 / 1 (51%)
16th Jun '23 PFL 5: Regular Season 8.1 2.5 31% 2.0 / 2.8 (71%) 0.5 / 5.3 (9%)
16th Jun '23 Bellator 297 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Jun '23 UFC 289 8.3 0.3 3% 3.1 / 3.5 (87%) -3.8 / 3.8 (-100%) 1.0 / 1 (104%)
8th Jun '23 PFL 4: Regular Season 4 -2.0 -50% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 1.0 / 1 (101%)
3rd Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi 7.55 3.1 41% 3.1 / 3.35 (93%) -1.0 / 3.2 (-31%) 1.0 / 1 (101%)
20th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 7.15 3.9 55% 2.9 / 6.15 (47%) 1.0 / 1 (100%)
13th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 10.3 0.3 3% 2.0 / 2.3 (87%) 0.3 / 6 (6%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th May '23 Bellator 296 11.55 -3.0 -26% -0.7 / 7.05 (-10%) -0.3 / 2.5 (-14%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 6.6 -0.3 -5% -2.3 / 4.4 (-52%) 2.0 / 2.2 (91%)
22nd Apr '23 Bellator 295 6.55 -2.2 -34% -0.5 / 2.6 (-19%) -1.7 / 3.95 (-44%)
22nd Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 7.65 -5.3 -69% -2.6 / 4.95 (-52%) -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
15th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 12.2 -2.9 -23% -1.7 / 6.6 (-26%) -1.2 / 5.6 (-21%)
14th Apr '23 LFA 156 1.25 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
14th Apr '23 PFL 3: 2023 5.8 -3.4 -59% -4.4 / 4.4 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.4 (71%)
8th Apr '23 UFC 287 17.05 -6.9 -41% -1.6 / 4.9 (-33%) -6.3 / 11.15 (-57%) 1.0 / 1 (101%)
7th Apr '23 PFL 2: 2023 6.4 -1.7 -27% 0.0 / 2.5 (0%) -0.7 / 2.9 (-24%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Apr '23 PFL 1: 2023 5.3 0.4 8% 2.7 / 3 (91%) -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Mar '23 Bellator 293 8.23 -0.1 -2% -0.9 / 5.78 (-15%) 0.8 / 2.45 (31%)
25th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 4.6 2.5 54% 0.4 / 2 (18%) 3.1 / 1.6 (195%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Mar '23 UFC 286 6.85 -0.4 -5% 4.2 / 2.25 (188%) -3.6 / 3.6 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Mar '23 Bellator 292 3.5 0.3 7% 0.3 / 3.5 (7%)
4th Mar '23 UFC 285 11.15 7.3 65% 2.0 / 2.35 (85%) 4.2 / 7.8 (54%) 1.1 / 1 (109%)
3rd Mar '23 Cage Warriors 149 1.75 0.5 29% 0.5 / 1.75 (29%)
25th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen 5.05 2.8 56% -1.1 / 1.05 (-100%) 2.6 / 3 (88%) 1.2 / 1 (123%)
25th Feb '23 Bellator 291 3.7 -0.8 -22% 1.9 / 1 (190%) -2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)
18th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 8.75 3.6 41% -2.4 / 2.35 (-100%) 4.8 / 5.4 (89%) 1.1 / 1 (115%)
11th Feb '23 UFC 284 8.9 0.1 1% 1.5 / 2.15 (70%) -0.8 / 4.75 (-16%) -0.7 / 2 (-35%)
4th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak 5.9 -0.4 -7% 0.5 / 1.9 (26%) 0.1 / 3 (3%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Feb '23 Bellator 290 5.66 2.2 39% 1.2 / 4.55 (26%) 1.0 / 1.11 (90%)
21st Jan '23 UFC 283 11.68 3.0 26% 0.8 / 5.5 (15%) 1.2 / 5.15 (22%) 1.0 / 1.03 (97%)
14th Jan '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov 9.75 -3.0 -31% -0.6 / 5 (-11%) -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%) 0.3 / 2 (15%)
17th Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland 10.8 0.5 5% -0.0 / 7.25 (-0%) 0.5 / 3.55 (14%)
10th Dec '22 UFC 282 8.45 5.8 69% 4.8 / 7.25 (66%) 1.0 / 1.2 (83%)
9th Dec '22 Bellator 289 7.4 -5.4 -73% -3.4 / 5.4 (-63%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
25th Nov '22 PFL 2022 #10 9 0.9 10% 0.5 / 2.2 (23%) -0.3 / 4.8 (-6%) 0.7 / 2 (36%)
19th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 12.05 5.4 45% 0.7 / 4.75 (14%) 3.5 / 6.3 (56%) 1.2 / 1 (124%)
18th Nov '22 Bellator 288 2 0.9 45% 1.9 / 1 (190%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
12th Nov '22 UFC 281 16.04 2.1 13% -3.5 / 6 (-58%) 6.6 / 9 (73%) -1.0 / 1.04 (-100%)
5th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 6.25 2.8 45% 0.5 / 1.65 (30%) 2.3 / 4.6 (50%)
29th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 4.7 -0.1 -2% 0.1 / 4.45 (3%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
29th Oct '22 Bellator 287 6.95 3.6 52% 2.1 / 2 (105%) 1.5 / 4.95 (30%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 13.55 -8.5 -62% -3.7 / 8.75 (-42%) -4.8 / 4.8 (-100%)
21st Oct '22 LFA 145 1.75 1.0 57% 1.0 / 1.75 (57%)
15th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 11.7 3.9 33% 0.0 / 2.5 (0%) 5.9 / 7.2 (82%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Sep '22 Cage Warriors 143 4.6 -4.6 -100% -3.6 / 3.6 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 8.25 7.3 88% 4.0 / 5.25 (76%) 3.3 / 3 (110%)
13th Sep '22 DWCS 2022: Week 8 3 2.4 82% 1.6 / 1 (160%) 0.8 / 2 (42%)
10th Sep '22 UFC 279 9.75 -5.2 -53% -2.3 / 4.45 (-52%) -2.9 / 5.3 (-54%)
6th Sep '22 DWCS 2022: Week 7 4.3 -2.3 -53% -2.3 / 4.3 (-53%)
3rd Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 8.65 -2.9 -34% -1.4 / 1.4 (-100%) 0.5 / 5.25 (10%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 5 5.4 -3.3 -61% -1.8 / 1.8 (-100%) -1.5 / 3.6 (-42%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 13.65 3.6 27% 4.5 / 4.15 (108%) -0.9 / 9.5 (-9%)
20th Aug '22 PFL 2022 #9 4.35 3.4 77% 1.5 / 1.5 (100%) 1.9 / 2.85 (65%)
16th Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 4 3.2 -3.2 -100% -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 8.85 -1.6 -18% 1.0 / 1.45 (69%) 1.4 / 3.4 (41%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
12th Aug '22 Bellator 284 3 2.2 75% 2.2 / 3 (75%)
9th Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 3 5.8 2.0 34% 2.0 / 5.8 (34%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 8.85 4.2 47% 0.5 / 1.8 (28%) 4.7 / 6.05 (77%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Aug '22 LFA 138 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Aug '22 PFL 2022 #7 4.5 0.0 0% 2.0 / 2.5 (80%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 2 6.55 3.0 46% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 4.0 / 5.55 (72%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 6.55 -2.0 -31% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 2.0 / 2.55 (78%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 11.5 -5.2 -45% -1.2 / 7.5 (-16%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
22nd Jul '22 Bellator 283 9.95 -1.4 -14% -3.0 / 4.5 (-66%) 2.6 / 4.45 (58%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 18.7 12.7 68% 10.7 / 11.3 (95%) 4.0 / 5.4 (74%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 11.45 -3.3 -28% -3.3 / 3.3 (-100%) 2.1 / 6.15 (33%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 9.25 -6.9 -75% -3.6 / 5.9 (-61%) -3.4 / 3.35 (-100%)
1st Jul '22 PFL 2022 #6 1.5 1.0 67% 1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
25th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 7.9 4.0 51% 2.2 / 5.4 (41%) 1.8 / 2.5 (74%)
24th Jun '22 Bellator 282 2 -0.0 -0% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.0 / 1 (100%)
24th Jun '22 PFL 2022 #5 3.65 1.5 41% 2.5 / 2.65 (94%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 10 3.0 30% 1.2 / 5 (23%) 1.9 / 5 (37%)
17th Jun '22 PFL 2022 #4 3.15 2.0 63% 2.0 / 3.15 (63%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 8.15 -3.5 -42% -2.5 / 7.15 (-34%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Jun '22 Cage Warriors 139 3.4 -3.4 -100% -3.4 / 3.4 (-100%)
4th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 8.25 3.5 42% 3.5 / 8.25 (42%)
21st May '22 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 8.95 4.1 46% 5.1 / 7.95 (65%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
14th May '22 UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 3 -0.7 -23% -0.7 / 3 (-23%)
13th May '22 Bellator 281 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
6th May '22 Bellator 280 1.65 1.0 61% 1.0 / 1.65 (61%)
30th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 4.75 0.7 15% 0.1 / 2 (5%) 0.6 / 2.75 (23%)
20th Apr '22 PFL 2022 #1 4.85 -0.2 -3% 0.8 / 3.85 (22%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 3.2 -3.2 -100% -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Apr '22 LFA 129 1 1.1 110% 1.1 / 1 (110%)
15th Apr '22 Bellator 277 5.05 -2.7 -53% 1.0 / 1.35 (74%) -3.7 / 3.7 (-100%)
9th Apr '22 UFC 273 9.25 1.7 18% -1.4 / 5.75 (-25%) 2.1 / 2.5 (84%) 1.0 / 1 (100%)
26th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 7.9 -2.9 -37% 0.6 / 1.5 (40%) -3.5 / 6.4 (-55%)
19th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 10.05 -4.0 -40% 1.0 / 3.4 (29%) -5.0 / 6.65 (-76%)
5th Mar '22 UFC 272 12.7 -6.5 -51% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -5.5 / 7.7 (-72%) 2.0 / 2 (101%)
5th Mar '22 Cage Warriors 133 9 -0.7 -7% 1.0 / 3 (33%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 2.3 / 2 (117%)
12th Feb '22 UFC 271 11.3 -3.7 -33% -0.5 / 5.6 (-9%) -3.2 / 5.7 (-56%)
28th Jan '22 EFC 44 5.05 -2.6 -51% -1.6 / 4.05 (-40%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Dec '21 UFC FN 7.65 -5.2 -67% -1.9 / 4.4 (-43%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Dec '21 UFC 269 12.8 0.1 1% 0.1 / 10.55 (1%) 1.0 / 1.25 (80%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Dec '21 UFC FN 7.5 -1.7 -23% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 1.8 / 4 (45%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Nov '21 UFC FN 7.9 -5.9 -75% -2.0 / 4 (-50%) -3.9 / 3.9 (-100%)
13th Nov '21 UFC FN 5 0.0 0% 0.8 / 2.5 (30%) -0.7 / 2.5 (-30%)
30th Oct '21 UFC 267 6.6 2.5 38% -1.0 / 3.6 (-28%) 3.5 / 3 (117%)
27th Oct '21 PFL 2021 #10: Championships 3 1.8 60% 0.8 / 2 (40%) 1.0 / 1 (100%)
23rd Oct '21 UFC FN 6.85 -2.3 -33% 1.0 / 1.35 (74%) -3.3 / 5.5 (-59%)
9th Oct '21 UFC FN 7.55 2.4 31% 1.0 / 1.8 (56%) 1.4 / 5.75 (23%)
27th Aug '21 PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs 1.1 1.0 91% 1.0 / 1.1 (91%)
13th Aug '21 PFL 2021 #7: Playoffs 2 2.4 120% 2.4 / 2 (120%)
7th Aug '21 UFC 265 5.55 1.3 23% 1.0 / 1.1 (91%) 0.3 / 4.45 (7%)
24th Jul '21 UFC FN 4.75 -0.3 -6% 0.7 / 3.75 (19%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Jul '21 UFC FN 2.5 1.2 49% 1.2 / 2.5 (49%)
16th Jul '21 Bellator 262 3 2.0 67% 2.0 / 3 (67%)
10th Jul '21 UFC 264 1.9 1.0 53% 1.0 / 1.9 (53%)
12th Jun '21 UFC 263 5.25 -0.6 -11% 0.5 / 1.95 (26%) -1.1 / 3.3 (-33%)
10th Jun '21 PFL 2021: Week 4 4.4 -4.4 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)
15th May '21 UFC 262 10.15 0.8 8% -0.9 / 5.55 (-15%) 1.6 / 4.6 (36%)
7th May '21 Bellator 258 2.75 -0.4 -15% -0.4 / 2.75 (-15%)
1st May '21 UFC FN 3.15 -0.6 -17% -1.4 / 1.4 (-100%) 0.8 / 1.75 (49%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 6.33 -2.2 -35% -2.0 / 4.33 (-46%) 0.8 / 1 (80%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 3.9 0.6 15% 0.6 / 3.9 (15%)
16th Apr '21 Bellator 257 1.95 1.0 51% 1.0 / 1.95 (51%)
2nd Apr '21 Bellator 255 1.08 1.0 93% 1.0 / 1.08 (93%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 6.1 3.5 57% 2.5 / 4.9 (51%) 1.0 / 1.2 (83%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 3.9 -1.4 -36% -1.4 / 3.9 (-36%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 6.25 -4.7 -76% -3.7 / 5.25 (-71%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
13th Feb '21 UFC 258 4.75 0.9 19% -0.5 / 4.25 (-12%) 1.4 / 0.5 (280%)
12th Feb '21 LFA 99 1.15 1.0 87% 1.0 / 1.15 (87%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 4.55 3.3 73% 3.0 / 2.1 (142%) 0.4 / 2.45 (14%)
29th Jan '21 LFA 98 1.65 -1.7 -100% -1.7 / 1.65 (-100%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 6.6 -1.8 -27% -0.0 / 4.85 (-1%) -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 6.7 3.8 57% 3.3 / 3.4 (99%) 0.5 / 3.3 (14%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 8.5 3.3 39% 3.3 / 8.5 (39%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 6.35 3.4 54% 2.4 / 5.2 (46%) 1.0 / 1.15 (87%)
11th Dec '20 Bellator 254 1.5 1.0 67% 1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 2 2.0 100% 2.0 / 2 (100%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 4.6 0.3 5% 1.3 / 3.6 (35%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Nov '20 Bellator 253 2.2 2.0 91% 2.0 / 2.2 (91%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 4.25 -4.3 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 4.85 2.1 43% 2.1 / 4.85 (43%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 3.2 -0.3 -11% 1.0 / 1.85 (54%) -1.4 / 1.35 (-100%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 4 0.8 21% -0.2 / 3.75 (-4%) 1.0 / 0.25 (400%)
2nd Sep '20 DWCS 31 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
26th Aug '20 DWCS 30 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 3.9 3.0 77% 2.0 / 2.3 (87%) 1.0 / 1.6 (63%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 3.3 -1.3 -39% 1.0 / 1 (100%) -2.3 / 2.3 (-100%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 9.55 1.4 15% -0.5 / 2.65 (-19%) 1.9 / 6.9 (28%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 6.2 0.8 12% 0.0 / 4.8 (0%) 0.8 / 1.4 (54%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 7.95 2.8 35% 3.0 / 7.7 (39%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 4.4 -1.8 -41% -1.8 / 4.4 (-41%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 9.85 -7.8 -79% -6.2 / 6.15 (-100%) -1.6 / 3.7 (-43%)
2nd Jul '20 Invicta 40 1.2 -1.2 -100% -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
27th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 175 1.65 1.0 61% 1.0 / 1.65 (61%)
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 3.7 -1.5 -41% -1.0 / 3.2 (-31%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
13th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 173 2.6 2.0 77% 2.0 / 2.6 (77%)
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 10.2 1.5 15% 3.0 / 6.4 (47%) -1.5 / 3.8 (-39%)
16th May '20 UFC Fight Night 171 4.15 3.0 72% 3.0 / 4.15 (72%)
14th May '20 UFC Fight Night 170 10 -2.6 -26% -1.6 / 9 (-18%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
26th Oct '19 UFC Fight Night 162 4 -2.2 -54% -2.2 / 4 (-54%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 2 -0.3 -16% -0.3 / 2 (-16%)


Winning Events: 106 (53%)
Losing Events: 93 (47%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.27 units
Most Staked On One Event: 18.70 units
Best Event: 12.75 units
Worst Event: -8.45 units
Average Event: 0.03 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 15.75
Max Losing Streak: Events: 9, Units: -26.99

Aaron Watershow: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 78.13 8.4 11% -4.0 / 41.95 (-10%) 8.8 / 25.1 (35%) 3.7 / 11.08 (33%) 10 / 4 (71%) 0.60
2023 440.22 2.3 1% 4.1 / 217.48 (2%) -14.3 / 173.1 (-8%) 12.5 / 49.64 (25%) 30 / 30 (50%) 0.04
2022 430.44 -2.3 -1% 7.3 / 208.1 (4%) 3.1 / 192.3 (2%) -12.7 / 30.04 (-42%) 30 / 31 (49%) -0.04
2021 168.76 -4.0 -2% -1.3 / 99.98 (-1%) 0.4 / 63.7 (1%) -3.0 / 5.08 (-59%) 20 / 15 (57%) -0.11
2020 125.1 4.5 4% 6.4 / 88.55 (7%) -1.9 / 36.55 (-5%) 16 / 11 (59%) 0.17
2019 6 -2.5 -41% -2.5 / 6 (-41%) / 2 (0%) -1.24

Aaron Watershow: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Aaron Watershow: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 967.73 6.4 1% 9.9 / 507.33 (2%) -2.0 / 389.75 (-1%) -1.6 / 70.65 (-2%)
Bellator 112.42 8.0 7% 8.8 / 61.78 (14%) -0.8 / 42.45 (-2%) 0.1 / 8.19 (1%)
PFL 85.9 -0.6 -1% 0.6 / 47.35 (1%) 0.9 / 29.55 (3%) -2.1 / 9 (-23%)
Other 82.6 -7.3 -9% -9.4 / 45.6 (-21%) -1.9 / 29 (-7%) 4.1 / 8 (51%)

Aaron Watershow: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 17 (3%) 12 71 % 41.65 1.45 0.09 3%
Slight Favorites 213 (41%) 130 61 % 336.41 23.28 0.11 7%
Slight Underdogs 217 (42%) 85 39 % 237.00 -13.18 -0.06 -6%
Big Underdogs 67 (13%) 18 27 % 47.00 -1.59 -0.02 -3%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 55 (11%) 24 44 % 68.80 -3.65 -0.07 -5%
Co-Main Event 53 (10%) 28 53 % 67.60 6.05 0.11 9%
Position 3-5 147 (29%) 72 49 % 198.35 7.93 0.05 4%
6+ (Undercard) 259 (50%) 121 47 % 327.31 -0.36 -0.00 -0%

Aaron Watershow: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 32 (6%) 14 44 % 37.50 -4.30 -0.13 -11%
Light Heavy 38 (7%) 22 58 % 46.45 6.48 0.17 14%
Middleweight 57 (11%) 25 44 % 70.60 -0.40 -0.01 -1%
Welterweight 63 (12%) 30 48 % 83.83 4.85 0.08 6%
Lightweight 77 (15%) 35 45 % 98.25 -0.05 -0.00 -0%
Featherweight 67 (13%) 33 49 % 86.20 8.53 0.13 10%
Bantamweight 60 (12%) 25 42 % 82.25 -14.75 -0.25 -18%
Flyweight 32 (6%) 17 53 % 41.50 4.12 0.13 10%
               
Women's Fights 88 (17%) 44 50 % 115.48 5.48 0.06 5%
Featherweight 10 (2%) 7 70 % 12.65 6.15 0.62 49%
Bantamweight 22 (4%) 8 36 % 26.05 -3.85 -0.17 -15%
Flyweight 28 (5%) 15 54 % 39.05 1.16 0.04 3%
Strawweight 28 (5%) 14 50 % 37.73 2.02 0.07 5%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 126 (80%) 83 66 %
Slight Favorites 31 (20%) 22 71 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
157 105 67 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 22 (5%) 20 91 %
50-65% 169 (40%) 86 51 %
35-50% 137 (32%) 63 46 %
<35% chance 95 (22%) 18 19 %
423 187 44 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 27 (6%) 14 52 % 1.89 3.80Pick was correct 1.31Pick was correct 0.2 (1%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 212 (50%) 111 52 % 1.93 3.50Pick was incorrect 1.34Pick was correct 2.1 (1%)
Goes to Decision 2 (0%) 1 50 % 1.75 1.77Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was correct -0.3 (-13%)
Does not go to Decision 47 (11%) 28 60 % 2.06 3.50Pick was correct 1.40Pick was correct 11.8 (25%)
X Wins by KO 18 (4%) 3 17 % 3.76 15.00Pick was incorrect 1.65Pick was incorrect -12.0 (-67%)
X Wins by Sub 45 (11%) 9 20 % 6.37 19.00Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was incorrect 19.5 (43%)
X Wins by Decision 5 (1%) 1 20 % 3.98 7.00Pick was incorrect 2.10Pick was incorrect 0.0 (0%)
X Wins Inside Distance 28 (7%) 8 29 % 2.47 5.50Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was correct -9.6 (-34%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (0%) 0 0 % 14.44 26.00Pick was incorrect 10.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 37 (9%) 12 32 % 2.13 13.00Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was correct -13.0 (-35%)
423 187 44 % 2.22     -3.3 (-1%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Aaron Watershow's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 2 -0.3 -16% $10.00 $1,000.00 $996.90
26th Oct UFC Fight Night 162 4 -2.2 -54% $9.97 $996.90 $975.30
14th May UFC Fight Night 170 10 -2.6 -26% $9.75 $975.30 $949.45
16th May UFC Fight Night 171 4.15 3.0 72% $9.49 $949.45 $977.94
6th Jun UFC 250 10.2 1.5 15% $9.78 $977.94 $992.60
13th Jun UFC Fight Night 173 2.6 2.0 77% $9.93 $992.60 $1,012.46
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 3.7 -1.5 -41% $10.12 $1,012.46 $997.27
27th Jun UFC Fight Night 175 1.65 1.0 61% $9.97 $997.27 $1,007.24
2nd Jul Invicta 40 1.2 -1.2 -100% $10.07 $1,007.24 $995.16
11th Jul UFC 251 9.85 -7.8 -79% $9.95 $995.16 $918.03
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 4.4 -1.8 -41% $9.18 $918.03 $901.51
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 7.95 2.8 35% $9.02 $901.51 $926.30
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 6.2 0.8 12% $9.26 $926.30 $933.25
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 9.55 1.4 15% $9.33 $933.25 $946.31
15th Aug UFC 252 3.3 -1.3 -39% $9.46 $946.31 $934.01
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 3.9 3.0 77% $9.34 $934.01 $962.03
26th Aug DWCS 30 1 -1.0 -100% $9.62 $962.03 $952.41
2nd Sep DWCS 31 1 -1.0 -100% $9.52 $952.41 $942.89
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 4 0.8 21% $9.43 $942.89 $950.90
26th Sep UFC 253 3.2 -0.3 -11% $9.51 $950.90 $947.57
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 4.85 2.1 43% $9.48 $947.57 $967.47
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 4.25 -4.3 -100% $9.67 $967.47 $926.35
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 3 -3.0 -100% $9.26 $926.35 $898.56
19th Nov Bellator 253 2.2 2.0 91% $8.99 $898.56 $916.53
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 4.6 0.3 5% $9.17 $916.53 $918.83
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 2 2.0 100% $9.19 $918.83 $937.20
11th Dec Bellator 254 1.5 1.0 67% $9.37 $937.20 $946.57
13th Dec UFC 256 6.35 3.4 54% $9.47 $946.57 $978.76
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 8.5 3.3 39% $9.79 $978.76 $1,011.06
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 6.7 3.8 57% $10.11 $1,011.06 $1,049.48
24th Jan UFC 257 6.6 -1.8 -27% $10.49 $1,049.48 $1,030.59
29th Jan LFA 98 1.65 -1.7 -100% $10.31 $1,030.59 $1,013.58
6th Feb UFC FN 4.55 3.3 73% $10.14 $1,013.58 $1,047.29
12th Feb LFA 99 1.15 1.0 87% $10.47 $1,047.29 $1,057.76
13th Feb UFC 258 4.75 0.9 19% $10.58 $1,057.76 $1,067.28
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.67 $1,067.28 $1,040.60
6th Mar UFC 259 6.25 -4.7 -76% $10.41 $1,040.60 $991.17
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 3.9 -1.4 -36% $9.91 $991.17 $977.29
28th Mar UFC 260 6.1 3.5 57% $9.77 $977.29 $1,011.50
2nd Apr Bellator 255 1.08 1.0 93% $10.11 $1,011.50 $1,021.64
16th Apr Bellator 257 1.95 1.0 51% $10.22 $1,021.64 $1,031.85
17th Apr UFC FN 3.9 0.6 15% $10.32 $1,031.85 $1,038.05
24th Apr UFC 261 6.33 -2.2 -35% $10.38 $1,038.05 $1,015.21
1st May UFC FN 3.15 -0.6 -17% $10.15 $1,015.21 $1,009.62
7th May Bellator 258 2.75 -0.4 -15% $10.10 $1,009.62 $1,005.59
15th May UFC 262 10.15 0.8 8% $10.06 $1,005.59 $1,013.63
10th Jun PFL 2021: Week 4 4.4 -4.4 -100% $10.14 $1,013.63 $969.03
12th Jun UFC 263 5.25 -0.6 -11% $9.69 $969.03 $963.22
10th Jul UFC 264 1.9 1.0 53% $9.63 $963.22 $972.85
16th Jul Bellator 262 3 2.0 67% $9.73 $972.85 $992.30
17th Jul UFC FN 2.5 1.2 49% $9.92 $992.30 $1,004.46
24th Jul UFC FN 4.75 -0.3 -6% $10.04 $1,004.46 $1,001.45
7th Aug UFC 265 5.55 1.3 23% $10.01 $1,001.45 $1,014.47
13th Aug PFL 2021 #7: Playoffs 2 2.4 120% $10.14 $1,014.47 $1,038.81
27th Aug PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs 1.1 1.0 91% $10.39 $1,038.81 $1,049.20
9th Oct UFC FN 7.55 2.4 31% $10.49 $1,049.20 $1,073.86
23rd Oct UFC FN 6.85 -2.3 -33% $10.74 $1,073.86 $1,049.70
27th Oct PFL 2021 #10: Championships 3 1.8 60% $10.50 $1,049.70 $1,068.59
30th Oct UFC 267 6.6 2.5 38% $10.69 $1,068.59 $1,095.30
13th Nov UFC FN 5 0.0 0% $10.95 $1,095.30 $1,095.31
20th Nov UFC FN 7.9 -5.9 -75% $10.95 $1,095.31 $1,030.68
4th Dec UFC FN 7.5 -1.7 -23% $10.31 $1,030.68 $1,013.08
11th Dec UFC 269 12.8 0.1 1% $10.13 $1,013.08 $1,014.10
18th Dec UFC FN 7.65 -5.2 -67% $10.14 $1,014.10 $961.87
28th Jan EFC 44 5.05 -2.6 -51% $9.62 $961.87 $936.86
12th Feb UFC 271 11.3 -3.7 -33% $9.37 $936.86 $902.20
5th Mar Cage Warriors 133 9 -0.7 -7% $9.02 $902.20 $896.18
5th Mar UFC 272 12.7 -6.5 -51% $8.96 $896.18 $837.63
19th Mar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 10.05 -4.0 -40% $8.38 $837.63 $803.91
26th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 7.9 -2.9 -37% $8.04 $803.91 $780.20
9th Apr UFC 273 9.25 1.7 18% $7.80 $780.20 $793.09
15th Apr Bellator 277 5.05 -2.7 -53% $7.93 $793.09 $771.67
15th Apr LFA 129 1 1.1 110% $7.72 $771.67 $780.16
16th Apr UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 3.2 -3.2 -100% $7.80 $780.16 $755.20
20th Apr PFL 2022 #1 4.85 -0.2 -3% $7.55 $755.20 $754.06
30th Apr UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 4.75 0.7 15% $7.54 $754.06 $759.53
6th May Bellator 280 1.65 1.0 61% $7.60 $759.53 $767.13
13th May Bellator 281 3 -3.0 -100% $7.67 $767.13 $744.11
14th May UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 3 -0.7 -23% $7.44 $744.11 $739.05
21st May UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 8.95 4.1 46% $7.39 $739.05 $769.72
4th Jun UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 8.25 3.5 42% $7.70 $769.72 $796.66
10th Jun Cage Warriors 139 3.4 -3.4 -100% $7.97 $796.66 $769.58
11th Jun UFC 275 8.15 -3.5 -42% $7.70 $769.58 $743.03
17th Jun PFL 2022 #4 3.15 2.0 63% $7.43 $743.03 $757.89
18th Jun UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 10 3.0 30% $7.58 $757.89 $780.62
24th Jun Bellator 282 2 -0.0 -0% $7.81 $780.62 $780.62
24th Jun PFL 2022 #5 3.65 1.5 41% $7.81 $780.62 $792.33
25th Jun UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 7.9 4.0 51% $7.92 $792.33 $824.42
1st Jul PFL 2022 #6 1.5 1.0 67% $8.24 $824.42 $832.67
2nd Jul UFC 276 9.25 -6.9 -75% $8.33 $832.67 $774.80
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 11.45 -3.3 -28% $7.75 $774.80 $749.61
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 18.7 12.7 68% $7.50 $749.61 $845.19
22nd Jul Bellator 283 9.95 -1.4 -14% $8.45 $845.19 $833.57
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 11.5 -5.2 -45% $8.34 $833.57 $790.22
30th Jul UFC 277 6.55 -2.0 -31% $7.90 $790.22 $774.42
2nd Aug DWCS 2022: Week 2 6.55 3.0 46% $7.74 $774.42 $797.65
5th Aug PFL 2022 #7 4.5 0.0 0% $7.98 $797.65 $797.65
5th Aug LFA 138 1 -1.0 -100% $7.98 $797.65 $789.67
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 8.85 4.2 47% $7.90 $789.67 $822.45
9th Aug DWCS 2022: Week 3 5.8 2.0 34% $8.22 $822.45 $838.90
12th Aug Bellator 284 3 2.2 75% $8.39 $838.90 $857.77
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 8.85 -1.6 -18% $8.58 $857.77 $844.05
16th Aug DWCS 2022: Week 4 3.2 -3.2 -100% $8.44 $844.05 $817.04
20th Aug PFL 2022 #9 4.35 3.4 77% $8.17 $817.04 $844.41
20th Aug UFC 278 13.65 3.6 27% $8.44 $844.41 $875.23
23rd Aug DWCS 2022: Week 5 5.4 -3.3 -61% $8.75 $875.23 $846.35
3rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 8.65 -2.9 -34% $8.46 $846.35 $821.80
6th Sep DWCS 2022: Week 7 4.3 -2.3 -53% $8.22 $821.80 $802.90
10th Sep UFC 279 9.75 -5.2 -53% $8.03 $802.90 $761.55
13th Sep DWCS 2022: Week 8 3 2.4 82% $7.62 $761.55 $780.21
17th Sep UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 8.25 7.3 88% $7.80 $780.21 $837.16
23rd Sep Cage Warriors 143 4.6 -4.6 -100% $8.37 $837.16 $798.65
15th Oct UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo 11.7 3.9 33% $7.99 $798.65 $829.80
21st Oct LFA 145 1.75 1.0 57% $8.30 $829.80 $838.10
22nd Oct UFC 280 13.55 -8.5 -62% $8.38 $838.10 $767.28
29th Oct Bellator 287 6.95 3.6 52% $7.67 $767.28 $794.90
29th Oct UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 4.7 -0.1 -2% $7.95 $794.90 $794.11
5th Nov UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 6.25 2.8 45% $7.94 $794.11 $816.34
12th Nov UFC 281 16.04 2.1 13% $8.16 $816.34 $833.16
18th Nov Bellator 288 2 0.9 45% $8.33 $833.16 $840.66
19th Nov UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 12.05 5.4 45% $8.41 $840.66 $886.39
25th Nov PFL 2022 #10 9 0.9 10% $8.86 $886.39 $894.57
9th Dec Bellator 289 7.4 -5.4 -73% $8.95 $894.57 $846.26
10th Dec UFC 282 8.45 5.8 69% $8.46 $846.26 $895.35
17th Dec UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland 10.8 0.5 5% $8.95 $895.35 $899.82
14th Jan UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov 9.75 -3.0 -31% $9.00 $899.82 $872.88
21st Jan UFC 283 11.68 3.0 26% $8.73 $872.88 $899.06
4th Feb Bellator 290 5.66 2.2 39% $8.99 $899.06 $918.81
4th Feb UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak 5.9 -0.4 -7% $9.19 $918.81 $915.14
11th Feb UFC 284 8.9 0.1 1% $9.15 $915.14 $915.67
18th Feb UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 8.75 3.6 41% $9.16 $915.67 $948.61
25th Feb Bellator 291 3.7 -0.8 -22% $9.49 $948.61 $941.02
25th Feb UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen 5.05 2.8 56% $9.41 $941.02 $967.40
3rd Mar Cage Warriors 149 1.75 0.5 29% $9.67 $967.40 $972.23
4th Mar UFC 285 11.15 7.3 65% $9.72 $972.23 $1,042.83
10th Mar Bellator 292 3.5 0.3 7% $10.43 $1,042.83 $1,045.44
18th Mar UFC 286 6.85 -0.4 -5% $10.45 $1,045.44 $1,041.52
25th Mar UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 4.6 2.5 54% $10.42 $1,041.52 $1,067.30
31st Mar Bellator 293 8.23 -0.1 -2% $10.67 $1,067.30 $1,065.91
1st Apr PFL 1: 2023 5.3 0.4 8% $10.66 $1,065.91 $1,070.53
7th Apr PFL 2: 2023 6.4 -1.7 -27% $10.71 $1,070.53 $1,052.33
8th Apr UFC 287 17.05 -6.9 -41% $10.52 $1,052.33 $979.28
14th Apr PFL 3: 2023 5.8 -3.4 -59% $9.79 $979.28 $945.99
14th Apr LFA 156 1.25 -1.3 -100% $9.46 $945.99 $934.16
15th Apr UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 12.2 -2.9 -23% $9.34 $934.16 $907.54
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 7.65 -5.3 -69% $9.08 $907.54 $859.89
22nd Apr Bellator 295 6.55 -2.2 -34% $8.60 $859.89 $840.55
29th Apr UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 6.6 -0.3 -5% $8.41 $840.55 $838.02
12th May Bellator 296 11.55 -3.0 -26% $8.38 $838.02 $812.46
13th May UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 10.3 0.3 3% $8.12 $812.46 $815.31
20th May UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 7.15 3.9 55% $8.15 $815.31 $847.15
3rd Jun UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi 7.55 3.1 41% $8.47 $847.15 $873.48
8th Jun PFL 4: Regular Season 4 -2.0 -50% $8.73 $873.48 $856.13
10th Jun UFC 289 8.3 0.3 3% $8.56 $856.13 $858.61
16th Jun Bellator 297 1 -1.0 -100% $8.59 $858.61 $850.03
16th Jun PFL 5: Regular Season 8.1 2.5 31% $8.50 $850.03 $871.28
17th Jun UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 5.4 -3.9 -72% $8.71 $871.28 $837.41
23rd Jun PFL 6: Regular Season 5 -0.8 -17% $8.37 $837.41 $830.30
24th Jun UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 14.3 -6.9 -48% $8.30 $830.30 $773.01
1st Jul UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 14.15 1.1 8% $7.73 $773.01 $781.51
15th Jul UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 8.4 0.8 9% $7.82 $781.51 $787.48
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 13.6 0.5 4% $7.87 $787.48 $791.81
29th Jul UFC 291 9.35 10.6 113% $7.92 $791.81 $875.75
5th Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 7.35 -7.4 -100% $8.76 $875.75 $811.38
11th Aug Bellator 298 2.75 2.9 104% $8.11 $811.38 $834.51
26th Aug UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 5.55 0.9 16% $8.35 $834.51 $842.13
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 9.05 -1.0 -11% $8.42 $842.13 $833.70
5th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 5 4.6 -1.8 -39% $8.34 $833.70 $818.70
9th Sep Cage Warriors 159 5 4.2 84% $8.19 $818.70 $853.11
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 7 -2.4 -35% $8.53 $853.11 $832.41
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 11.25 0.2 1% $8.32 $832.41 $833.74
3rd Oct Contender Series 2023: Week 9 1 1.7 170% $8.34 $833.74 $847.91
7th Oct UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 6.8 -0.3 -4% $8.48 $847.91 $845.79
7th Oct Bellator 300 4.75 3.3 69% $8.46 $845.79 $873.70
21st Oct UFC 294 7.75 -5.1 -66% $8.74 $873.70 $829.15
4th Nov UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 4.75 -0.0 -1% $8.29 $829.15 $828.75
11th Nov UFC 295 13.75 3.0 22% $8.29 $828.75 $853.48
17th Nov Bellator 301 11.25 4.8 42% $8.53 $853.48 $894.24
18th Nov UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 6.65 1.5 23% $8.94 $894.24 $907.65
24th Nov PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 3.75 -1.6 -41% $9.08 $907.65 $893.58
2nd Dec UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 7.65 -0.4 -5% $8.94 $893.58 $890.45
9th Dec UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez 7.9 -5.5 -69% $8.90 $890.45 $841.92
15th Dec Cage Warriors 165 6.65 4.8 71% $8.42 $841.92 $881.93
15th Dec LFA 173 1 -1.0 -100% $8.82 $881.93 $873.11
16th Dec UFC 296 11.6 2.1 18% $8.73 $873.11 $891.44
13th Jan UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 4.53 1.8 40% $8.91 $891.44 $907.49
20th Jan UFC 297 5.55 1.2 22% $9.07 $907.49 $918.38
3rd Feb UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 4 2.2 54% $9.18 $918.38 $938.14
10th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 7.6 1.3 18% $9.38 $938.14 $950.70
17th Feb UFC 298 11.75 -2.4 -21% $9.51 $950.70 $927.41
24th Feb UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 3 2.2 73% $9.27 $927.41 $947.69
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 5.5 4.0 74% $9.48 $947.69 $986.07
9th Mar LFA 178 1.3 1.0 77% $9.86 $986.07 $995.93
9th Mar UFC 299 8.2 -1.3 -15% $9.96 $995.93 $983.28
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 4 2.5 64% $9.83 $983.28 $1,008.35
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 5.5 0.5 9% $10.08 $1,008.35 $1,013.39
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 4.3 -2.1 -50% $10.13 $1,013.39 $991.61
6th Apr UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 6.85 1.0 15% $9.92 $991.61 $1,001.52
19th Apr PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season 6.05 -3.5 -58% $10.02 $1,001.52 $966.47


ROI % from starting bank balance: -3.35% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Aaron Watershow: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '24 Adam Borics Enrique Barzola 1.65 1.55 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Jean Matsumoto Dan Argueta 1.65 1.55 Sub, R2 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '24 Dennis Buzukja Connor Matthews 1.87 1.15 TKO, R3 (0:22) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '24 Julian Erosa Ricardo Ramos 2.50 1 Sub, R1 (2:15) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Chelsea Chandler Josiane Nunes 2.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Philipe Lins Ion Cutelaba 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Dustin Poirier Benoit Saint-Denis 2.80 1 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Jeff Creighton Miguel Jacob 1.77 1.3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Vinicius de Oliveira Bernardo Sopai 1.77 1.3 TKO, R3 (4:41) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Jairzinho Rozenstruik Shamil Gaziev 2.55 1 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '24 Brian Ortega Yair Rodriguez 2.25 1 Sub, R3 (0:58) MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '24 Ilia Topuria Alex Volkanovski 2.05 1 TKO, R2 (3:32) MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '24 Mingyang Zhang Brendson Ribeiro 1.80 1.25 TKO, R1 (1:41) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '24 Rodolfo Vieira Armen Petrosyan 1.83 1.2 Sub, R1 (4:48) MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '24 Jack Hermansson Joe Pyfer 3.10 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '24 Sam Patterson Yohan Lainesse 2.20 1 Sub, R1 (2:3) MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '23 Josh Emmett Bryce Mitchell 3.05 1 TKO, R1 (1:57) MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '23 Alexandre Pantoja Brandon Royval 1.51 1.95 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '23 Roberto Hernandez Trevin Jones 1.80 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '23 Anthony Orozco Benjamin Orozco 1.42 2.4 TKO, R3 (4:23) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '24 Otto Rodrigues Tyler Diamond 1.77 1.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Neiman Gracie Goiti Yamauchi 2.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Logan Storley Shamil Musaev 1.45 2.2 TKO, R2 (0:27) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Pedro Falcao Victor Hugo Silva 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Morgan Charriere Jose Mariscal 1.77 1.3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 Chris Curtis Brendan Allen 3.00 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Bruno Silva Chris Weidman 1.51 1.95 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Vicente Luque Joaquin Buckley 1.83 1.2 TKO, R2 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Cody Gibson Miles Johns 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Cameron Saaiman Payton Talbott 2.30 1 TKO, R2 (0:21) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Amanda Ribas Rose Namajunas 2.80 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Pannie Kianzad Macy Chiasson 3.00 0.5 Sub, R1 (3:54) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '24 Michal Oleksiejczuk Michel Pereira 2.15 1 Sub, R1 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Gilbert Burns Jack Della Maddalena 2.25 1 TKO, R3 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Jailton Junior Curtis Blaydes 1.83 1.2 TKO, R2 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '24 Alex Perez Muhammad Mokaev 4.00 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '24 Mackenzie Dern Amanda Lemos 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '24 Paulo Costa Robert Whittaker 2.95 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '24 Zac Pauga Bogdan Guskov 1.77 1.3 TKO, R1 (3:38) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jan '24 Sean Strickland Dricus Du Plessis 2.00 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Aaron Watershow: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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