MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA Model

MMA Model (MMAModel)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	50 (42%)	Right	39 (53%)	Right	3 (14%)	Right	8 (32%)
Wrong	70 (58%)	Wrong	35 (47%)	Wrong	18 (86%)	Wrong	17 (68%)
Avg Odds	2.23	Avg Odds	1.83	Avg Odds	3.13	Avg Odds	3.82
Units Bet	447.1	Units Bet	292.1	Units Bet	53.0	Units Bet	102.0
Avg Bet	3.73	Avg Bet	3.95	Avg Bet	2.52	Avg Bet	4.08
Units Profit	-10.74	Units Profit	-11.39	Units Profit	-35.56	Units Profit	36.20
ROI %	-2%	ROI %	-4%	ROI %	-67%	ROI %	35%

MMA Model: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
6th Mar '21	UFC 259	45	-2.8	-6%	-7.0 / 20 (-35%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	9.2 / 20 (46%)
13th Feb '21	UFC 258	13	7.2	56%			7.2 / 13 (56%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	15	5.7	38%	5.7 / 15 (38%)
25th Jul '20	Bellator 242	3.75	3.0	80%	3.0 / 3.75 (80%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	50	35.5	71%	15.3 / 46 (33%)		20.3 / 4 (507%)
14th May '20	UFC Fight Night 170	16	-9.8	-61%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-5.8 / 12 (-48%)
10th May '20	UFC 249	20	-11.9	-59%	-7.9 / 16 (-49%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
14th Mar '20	UFC Fight Night 169	15.5	-10.2	-66%	-2.7 / 8 (-34%)	-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
8th Mar '20	UFC 248	39.5	-36.4	-92%	-11.9 / 15 (-79%)	-21.5 / 21.5 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night	11	-5.4	-49%	-3.4 / 9 (-38%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
22nd Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 168	22.5	7.3	32%	6.5 / 17 (38%)		0.8 / 5.5 (15%)
18th Jan '20	UFC 246	34	-15.2	-45%	-1.4 / 14 (-10%)	2.2 / 4 (56%)	-16.0 / 16 (-100%)
15th Dec '19	UFC 245	28.75	36.0	125%	10.1 / 13.75 (74%)		25.8 / 15 (172%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	26.6	-4.1	-15%	-7.1 / 18.6 (-38%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	4.0 / 7 (57%)
10th Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 156	14.7	1.4	10%	-0.9 / 10.7 (-8%)		2.3 / 4 (59%)
3rd Aug '19	UFC on ESPN 5	19.2	-0.7	-4%	-0.7 / 19.2 (-4%)
27th Jul '19	UFC 240	19	-3.2	-17%	-3.2 / 19 (-17%)
24th Jul '19	DWCS 21	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th Jul '19	UFC on ESPN 4	28.9	-4.5	-16%	-7.5 / 26.9 (-28%)	3.0 / 2 (150%)
13th Jul '19	UFC Fight Night 155	9.65	7.5	78%	7.5 / 9.65 (78%)
10th Jul '19	DWTNCS 19	2.5	2.2	88%	2.2 / 2.5 (88%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Winning Events: 9 (41%)
Losing Events: 13 (59%)

Average Staked Per Event: 19.93 units
Most Staked On One Event: 50.00 units
Best Event: 35.97 units
Worst Event: -36.39 units
Average Event: -0.10 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 51.48
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -73.62

MMA Model: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	58	4.4	8%	-7.0 / 20 (-35%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	16.5 / 33 (50%)	1 / 1 (50%)	2.22
2020	227.25	-37.3	-16%	-0.8 / 147.75 (-1%)	-32.6 / 45 (-72%)	-3.9 / 34.5 (-11%)	4 / 6 (40%)	-3.73
2019	153.3	30.6	20%	-3.5 / 124.3 (-3%)	2.0 / 3 (67%)	32.2 / 26 (124%)	4 / 6 (40%)	3.06

MMA Model: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MMA Model: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	430.3	-5.4	-1%	-14.6 / 283.8 (-5%)	-35.6 / 53 (-67%)	44.7 / 93.5 (48%)
Bellator	3.75	3.0	80%	3.0 / 3.75 (80%)
Other	4.5	0.2	4%	0.2 / 4.5 (4%)

MMA Model: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	17 (22%)	14	82 %	80.50	19.33	1.14	24%
Slight Favorites	33 (43%)	16	48 %	135.30	-17.79	-0.54	-13%
Slight Underdogs	20 (26%)	8	40 %	59.25	-16.63	-0.83	-28%
Big Underdogs	7 (9%)	2	29 %	17.00	3.70	0.53	22%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	13 (17%)	7	54 %	49.40	-0.83	-0.06	-2%
Co-Main Event	11 (14%)	7	64 %	37.60	2.69	0.24	7%
Position 3-5	19 (25%)	10	53 %	82.00	-5.09	-0.27	-6%
6+ (Undercard)	34 (44%)	16	47 %	123.05	-8.16	-0.24	-7%

MMA Model: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	5 (6%)	3	60 %	20.00	5.74	1.15	29%
Light Heavy	4 (5%)	2	50 %	10.75	-4.67	-1.17	-43%
Middleweight	5 (6%)	2	40 %	16.50	-2.97	-0.59	-18%
Welterweight	18 (23%)	11	61 %	67.25	7.95	0.44	12%
Lightweight	9 (12%)	4	44 %	43.00	-1.85	-0.21	-4%
Featherweight	10 (13%)	6	60 %	41.25	12.57	1.26	30%
Bantamweight	9 (12%)	4	44 %	35.85	-10.84	-1.20	-30%
Flyweight	6 (8%)	3	50 %	22.45	-6.58	-1.10	-29%

Women's Fights	11 (14%)	5	45 %	35.00	-10.74	-0.98	-31%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	4.00	1.60	1.60	40%
Bantamweight	5 (6%)	1	20 %	18.00	-10.80	-2.16	-60%
Flyweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.00	1.00	100%
Strawweight	4 (5%)	2	50 %	12.00	-2.54	-0.63	-21%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	37 (70%)	32	86 %
Slight Favorites	8 (15%)	3	38 %
Slight Underdogs	6 (11%)	3	50 %
Big Underdogs	2 (4%)	0	0 %
	53	38	72 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	6 (13%)	5	83 %
50-65%	10 (22%)	6	60 %
35-50%	8 (17%)	3	38 %
<35% chance	22 (48%)	3	14 %
	46	17	37 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (7%)	2	67 %	1.67	1.87	1.56	0.4 (14%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (7%)	0	0 %	1.88	2.25	1.67	-3.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.20	1.20	1.20	0.2 (20%)
Does not go to Decision	6 (13%)	5	83 %	1.49	2.75	1.19	2.3 (39%)
X Wins by KO	10 (22%)	0	0 %	4.44	15.00	2.50	-10.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (4%)	0	0 %	3.62	3.75	3.50	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	5 (11%)	3	60 %	2.56	3.85	1.95	3.1 (61%)
X Wins Inside Distance	5 (11%)	3	60 %	1.65	2.25	1.27	-0.8 (-15%)
X Wins in Round X	5 (11%)	1	20 %	6.63	33.00	4.50	0.0 (0%)
Others	6 (13%)	2	33 %	5.89	29.50	2.50	1.2 (20%)
	46	17	37 %	2.58			-8.6 (-19%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MMA Model's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
6th Jul	UFC 239	2	-2.0	-100%	$2	$10.00	$1,000.00	$978.00
10th Jul	DWTNCS 19	2.5	2.2	88%		$9.78	$978.00	$999.47
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 155	9.65	7.5	78%		$9.99	$999.47	$1,074.93
20th Jul	UFC on ESPN 4	28.9	-4.5	-16%	$2	$10.75	$1,074.93	$1,024.56
24th Jul	DWCS 21	2	-2.0	-100%	$2	$10.25	$1,024.56	$1,002.07
27th Jul	UFC 240	19	-3.2	-17%	$2	$10.02	$1,002.07	$968.40
3rd Aug	UFC on ESPN 5	19.2	-0.7	-4%		$9.68	$968.40	$961.14
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night 156	14.7	1.4	10%	$2	$9.61	$961.14	$972.99
17th Aug	UFC 241	26.6	-4.1	-15%	$2	$9.73	$972.99	$930.98
15th Dec	UFC 245	28.75	36.0	125%	$2	$9.31	$930.98	$1,263.89
18th Jan	UFC 246	34	-15.2	-45%		$12.64	$1,263.89	$1,071.94
22nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 168	22.5	7.3	32%		$10.72	$1,071.94	$1,149.69
29th Feb	UFC Fight Night	11	-5.4	-49%		$11.50	$1,149.69	$1,087.61
8th Mar	UFC 248	39.5	-36.4	-92%		$10.88	$1,087.61	$691.84
14th Mar	UFC Fight Night 169	15.5	-10.2	-66%		$6.92	$691.84	$621.32
10th May	UFC 249	20	-11.9	-59%	$2	$6.21	$621.32	$545.65
14th May	UFC Fight Night 170	16	-9.8	-61%		$5.46	$545.65	$492.30
11th Jul	UFC 251	50	35.5	71%		$4.92	$492.30	$667.25
25th Jul	Bellator 242	3.75	3.0	80%		$6.67	$667.25	$687.27
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	15	5.7	38%		$6.87	$687.27	$726.44
13th Feb	UFC 258	13	7.2	56%		$7.26	$726.44	$779.02
6th Mar	UFC 259	45	-2.8	-6%		$7.79	$779.02	$757.17

ROI % from starting bank balance: -24.28% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MMA Model: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '21	Uros Medic	Aalon Cruz	1.59	3	TKO, R1 (1:40)
2.	Mar '21	Tim Elliott	Jordan Espinosa	1.91	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Mar '21	Dominick Cruz	Casey Kenney	2.20	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jul '20	Jason Jackson	Jordan Mein	1.80	3.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jul '20	Jesse Ronson	Nicolas Dalby	3.20	3	Sub, R1 (2:48)
6.	Jul '20	Fabricio Werdum	Alexander Gustafsson	3.70	3	Sub, R1 (2:30)
7.	Jul '20	Makwan Amirkhani	Danny Henry	1.54	10	Sub, R1 (3:15)
8.	Jul '20	Leonardo Santos	Roman Bogatov	1.59	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jul '20	Alex Volkanovski	Max Holloway	1.43	7	Split Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Jul '20	Petr Yan	Jose Aldo	1.43	6	TKO, R5 (3:24)
11.	Jul '20	Kamaru Usman	Jorge Masvidal	1.42	8	U Decision (5 rounds)
12.	May '20	Francis Ngannou	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	1.36	6	TKO, R1 (0:20)
13.	Mar '20	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	Alexey Kunchenko	1.77	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Mar '20	Weili Zhang	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	1.56	2	Split Decision (5 rounds)
15.	Feb '20	Megan Anderson	Norma Dumont	1.40	4	TKO, R1 (3:31)
16.	Feb '20	Jalin Turner	Joshua Culibao	1.50	5	TKO, R2 (3:1)
17.	Feb '20	Zubaira Tukhugov	Kevin Aguilar	2.00	2	TKO, R1 (3:21)
18.	Feb '20	Angela Hill	Loma Lookboonmee	1.59	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Feb '20	Kai Kara-France	Tyson Nam	1.40	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Jan '20	Carlos Diego Ferreira	Anthony Pettis	1.42	6	Sub, R2 (1:46)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '21	Carlos Ulberg	Kennedy Nzechukwu	1.40	4	TKO, R2 (3:19)	No
2.	Mar '21	Yadong Song	Kyler Phillips	1.63	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Mar '21	Petr Yan	Aljamain Sterling	1.91	5		No
4.	Jul '20	Peter Sobotta	Alex Oliveira	2.50	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Jul '20	Bethe Correia	Pannie Kianzad	2.25	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jul '20	Darren Till	Robert Whittaker	2.20	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Jul '20	Jessica Andrade	Rose Namajunas	2.70	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	May '20	Alexander Hernandez	Drew Dober	2.10	4	TKO, R2 (4:25)	No
9.	May '20	Niko Price	Vicente Luque	3.20	3	TKO, R3 (3:37)	No
10.	May '20	Dominick Cruz	Henry Cejudo	2.80	7	TKO, R2 (4:58)	No
11.	Mar '20	Veronica Macedo	Bea Malecki	1.63	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Mar '20	Li Jingliang	Neil Magny	1.61	6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Mar '20	Yoel Romero	Israel Adesanya	3.50	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
14.	Mar '20	Li Jingliang	Neil Magny	1.57	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Feb '20	Joseph Benavidez	Deiveson Figueiredo	1.80	5	TKO, R2 (1:54)	No
16.	Feb '20	Paul Felder	Daniel Hooker	2.30	2	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	Jan '20	Nasrat Haqparast	Drew Dober	1.36	3	TKO, R1 (1:10)	No
18.	Jan '20	Raquel Pennington	Holly Holm	2.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Aug '19	Anthony Pettis	Nate Diaz	1.71	2.1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Aug '19	Geraldo De Freitas Jr.	Chris Gutierrez	1.69	2.2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MMA Model: Progress Chart

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