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MMA Handicapper Stats: man604

man604 (man604)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - man604

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 49 (46%) Right 45 (45%) Right 1 (100%) Right 3 (43%)
Wrong 58 (54%) Wrong 54 (55%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 4 (57%)
Avg Odds 2.27 Avg Odds 2.15 Avg Odds 3.30 Avg Odds 10.20
Units Bet 431.0 Units Bet 414.5 Units Bet 1.0 Units Bet 15.5
Avg Bet 4.03 Avg Bet 4.19 Avg Bet 1.00 Avg Bet 2.21
Units Profit 74.77 Units Profit 16.94 Units Profit 2.30 Units Profit 55.53
ROI % 17% ROI % 4% ROI % 230% ROI % 358%
View Handicapper's Profile

man604 : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
10th Jul '21 UFC 264 45 15.4 34% 15.4 / 45 (34%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 20 -20.0 -100% -20.0 / 20 (-100%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 15 5.3 35% 5.3 / 15 (35%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 30 13.0 43% 13.0 / 30 (43%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 20 4.3 22% 4.3 / 20 (22%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 30 28.2 94% 28.2 / 30 (94%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 55 4.3 8% 4.3 / 55 (8%)
16th May '20 UFC Fight Night 171 20 -12.4 -62% -12.4 / 20 (-62%)
14th May '20 UFC Fight Night 170 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
10th May '20 UFC 249 4 -2.4 -59% -2.4 / 4 (-59%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 50 65.7 131% 21.3 / 40 (53%) 44.4 / 10 (444%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 4 0.5 13% 0.5 / 4 (13%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 3 0.3 9% 0.3 / 3 (9%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 5 3.1 62% 1.8 / 3 (60%) 2.3 / 1 (230%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 2 -0.1 -3% -0.1 / 2 (-3%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 2 1.0 50% 1.0 / 2 (50%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 5 -2.9 -57% -2.9 / 5 (-57%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 4 -1.9 -49% -1.9 / 4 (-49%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 20 8.9 44% 8.9 / 20 (44%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 4 0.6 14% 0.6 / 4 (14%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 15 2.4 16% 2.4 / 15 (16%)
15th Dec '18 UFC Fight Night Milwaukee 11 -8.9 -81% -8.9 / 11 (-81%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 6 -6.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 5 1.7 34% 1.7 / 5 (34%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 4 -1.5 -36% -0.5 / 3 (-15%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 4 12.6 315% 3.6 / 3 (120%) 9.0 / 1 (900%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 2 7.2 358% 1.0 / 1.5 (70%) 6.1 / 0.5 (1,220%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 2 0.4 20% 0.4 / 2 (20%)


Winning Events: 18 (55%)
Losing Events: 15 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.06 units
Most Staked On One Event: 55.00 units
Best Event: 65.70 units
Worst Event: -20.00 units
Average Event: 2.27 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 69.61
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -50.00

man604 : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 55 5.4 10% 5.4 / 55 (10%) 1 / 1 (50%) 2.70
2020 274 56.0 20% 11.5 / 264 (4%) 44.4 / 10 (444%) 6 / 6 (50%) 4.66
2019 53 5.5 10% 5.2 / 50 (10%) 2.3 / 1 (230%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 6 / 5 (55%) 0.50
2018 49 7.9 16% -5.2 / 45.5 (-11%) 13.1 / 3.5 (374%) 5 / 3 (63%) 0.99

man604 : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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man604 : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 431 74.8 17% 16.9 / 414.5 (4%) 2.3 / 1 (230%) 55.5 / 15.5 (358%)

man604 : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 10 (10%) 6 60 % 77.00 -0.68 -0.07 -1%
Slight Favorites 24 (24%) 16 67 % 142.00 29.88 1.24 21%
Slight Underdogs 48 (48%) 20 42 % 158.00 3.18 0.07 2%
Big Underdogs 17 (17%) 3 18 % 37.50 -15.44 -0.91 -41%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 26 (26%) 11 42 % 113.50 -10.55 -0.41 -9%
Co-Main Event 20 (20%) 9 45 % 87.00 3.10 0.16 4%
Position 3-5 32 (32%) 17 53 % 142.00 23.81 0.74 17%
6+ (Undercard) 21 (21%) 8 38 % 72.00 0.58 0.03 1%

man604 : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 7 (7%) 1 14 % 10.50 -8.34 -1.19 -79%
Light Heavy 11 (11%) 7 64 % 42.00 13.64 1.24 32%
Middleweight 9 (9%) 6 67 % 54.00 10.36 1.15 19%
Welterweight 19 (19%) 8 42 % 68.00 21.70 1.14 32%
Lightweight 15 (15%) 7 47 % 59.00 -15.68 -1.05 -27%
Featherweight 15 (15%) 6 40 % 73.00 -8.58 -0.57 -12%
Bantamweight 9 (9%) 1 11 % 40.00 -37.85 -4.21 -95%
Flyweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 2.00 0.16 0.08 8%
               
Women's Fights 12 (12%) 8 67 % 66.00 41.53 3.46 63%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 3 100 % 30.00 26.05 8.68 87%
Flyweight 3 (3%) 2 67 % 12.00 6.50 2.17 54%
Strawweight 5 (5%) 3 60 % 23.00 9.98 2.00 43%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 6 (26%) 5 83 %
Slight Favorites 6 (26%) 4 67 %
Slight Underdogs 6 (26%) 5 83 %
Big Underdogs 5 (22%) 1 20 %
23 15 65 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 1 (100%) 1 100 %
1 1 100 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (100%) 1 100 % 3.30 3.30Pick was correct 3.30Pick was correct 2.3 (230%)
1 1 100 % 3.30     2.3 (230%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail man604 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 2 0.4 20% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,004.00
3rd Nov UFC 230 2 7.2 358% $10.04 $1,004.00 $1,075.80
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 4 12.6 315% $10.76 $1,075.80 $1,211.39
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 4 -1.5 -36% $12.11 $1,211.39 $1,193.83
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 5 1.7 34% $11.94 $1,193.83 $1,214.24
8th Dec UFC 231 6 -6.0 -100% $12.14 $1,214.24 $1,141.39
15th Dec UFC Fight Night Milwaukee 11 -8.9 -81% $11.41 $1,141.39 $1,039.24
29th Dec UFC 232 15 2.4 16% $10.39 $1,039.24 $1,064.55
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 4 0.6 14% $10.65 $1,064.55 $1,070.61
2nd Mar UFC 235 1 -1.0 -100% $10.71 $1,070.61 $1,059.90
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 20 8.9 44% $10.60 $1,059.90 $1,153.88
13th Apr UFC 236 3 -3.0 -100% $11.54 $1,153.88 $1,119.27
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 4 -1.9 -49% $11.19 $1,119.27 $1,097.44
8th Jun UFC 238 5 -2.9 -57% $10.97 $1,097.44 $1,066.16
6th Jul UFC 239 2 1.0 50% $10.66 $1,066.16 $1,076.93
5th Oct UFC 243 2 -0.1 -3% $10.77 $1,076.93 $1,076.32
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 5 3.1 62% $10.76 $1,076.32 $1,109.69
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 3 0.3 9% $11.10 $1,109.69 $1,112.80
2nd Nov UFC 244 4 0.5 13% $11.13 $1,112.80 $1,118.70
8th Mar UFC 248 50 65.7 131% $11.19 $1,118.70 $1,853.70
10th May UFC 249 4 -2.4 -59% $18.54 $1,853.70 $1,809.97
14th May UFC Fight Night 170 10 -10.0 -100% $18.10 $1,809.97 $1,628.97
16th May UFC Fight Night 171 20 -12.4 -62% $16.29 $1,628.97 $1,426.61
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 55 4.3 8% $14.27 $1,426.61 $1,487.53
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 30 28.2 94% $14.88 $1,487.53 $1,906.72
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 20 4.3 22% $19.07 $1,906.72 $1,988.71
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 30 13.0 43% $19.89 $1,988.71 $2,247.30
24th Oct UFC 254 15 5.3 35% $22.47 $2,247.30 $2,366.41
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 20 -20.0 -100% $23.66 $2,366.41 $1,893.13
13th Dec UFC 256 10 -10.0 -100% $18.93 $1,893.13 $1,703.81
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 10 -10.0 -100% $17.04 $1,703.81 $1,533.43
16th Jan UFC FN 10 -10.0 -100% $15.33 $1,533.43 $1,380.09
10th Jul UFC 264 45 15.4 34% $13.80 $1,380.09 $1,592.53


ROI % from starting bank balance: 59.25% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

man604 : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '21 Irene Aldana Yana Santos 1.92 10 TKO, R1 (4:35) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '21 Gilbert Burns Stephen Thompson 2.37 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '21 Dustin Poirier Conor McGregor 1.75 10 TKO, R1 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '20 Robert Whittaker Jared Cannonier 2.03 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '20 Jessica Andrade Katlyn Chookagian 1.68 10 TKO, R1 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '20 Brian Ortega Chan Sung Jung 2.62 10 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '20 Giga Chikadze Omar Morales 2.43 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '20 Carlos Condit Court McGee 2.13 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '20 Germaine de Randamie Julianna Pena 1.83 10 Sub, R3 (3:25) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '20 Holly Holm Irene Aldana 1.85 10 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '20 Mackenzie Dern Randa Markos 1.59 10 Sub, R1 (3:44) MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '20 Khamzat Chimaev Gerald Meerschaert 1.20 10 TKO, R1 (0:17) MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '20 Kevin Holland Darren Stewart 1.37 10 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '20 Johnny Walker Ryan Spann 1.77 10 TKO, R1 (2:43) MMA Bookmaker
15. May '20 Yadong Song Marlon Vera 1.52 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. May '20 Bryce Mitchell Charles Rosa 1.64 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '20 Alex Oliveira Max Griffin 1.71 10 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '20 Beneil Dariush Drakkar Klose 1.55 10 TKO, R2 (1:0) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '20 Weili Zhang Joanna Jedrzejczyk 1.48 10 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '20 Israel Adesanya Yoel Romero 1.39 10 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '21 Ryan Hall Ilia Topuria 2.86 10 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '21 Niko Price Michel Pereira 2.51 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '21 Calvin Kattar Max Holloway 2.59 10 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '20 Marlon Vera Jose Aldo 2.41 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '20 Tony Ferguson Charles Oliveira 1.65 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '20 Ovince St Preux Jamahal Hill 2.40 10 TKO, R2 (3:37) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '20 Jack Hermansson Marvin Vettori 2.13 10 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '20 Justin Gaethje Khabib Nurmagomedov 3.45 5 Sub, R2 (1:34) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '20 Thomas Almeida Jonathan Martinez 1.79 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '20 Marlon Moraes Cory Sandhagen 2.45 10 TKO, R2 (1:3) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '20 Mirsad Bektic Damon Jackson 1.28 10 Sub, R3 (1:21) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '20 Tyron Woodley Colby Covington 3.75 5 TKO, R5 (1:19) No MMA Bookmaker
13. May '20 Edson Barboza Dan Ige 1.75 10 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. May '20 Walt Harris Alistair Overeem 1.63 5 TKO, R2 (3:0) No MMA Bookmaker
15. May '20 Alexander Hernandez Drew Dober 1.98 5 TKO, R2 (4:25) No MMA Bookmaker
16. May '20 Ray Borg Ricky Simon 2.41 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. May '20 Michelle Waterson Carla Esparza 2.26 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. May '20 Donald Cerrone Anthony Pettis 2.24 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. May '20 Dominick Cruz Henry Cejudo 2.88 1 TKO, R2 (4:58) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '19 Johnny Walker Corey Anderson 1.67 1 TKO, R1 (2:7) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

man604 : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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