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MMA Handicapper Stats: Adam Patterson

Adam Patterson (AdamPatterson09)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	26 (46%)	Right	13 (57%)	Right	8 (44%)	Right	5 (31%)
Wrong	31 (54%)	Wrong	10 (43%)	Wrong	10 (56%)	Wrong	11 (69%)
Avg Odds	2.55	Avg Odds	2.29	Avg Odds	2.30	Avg Odds	3.59
Units Bet	63.8	Units Bet	35.4	Units Bet	19.6	Units Bet	8.9
Avg Bet	1.12	Avg Bet	1.54	Avg Bet	1.09	Avg Bet	0.56
Units Profit	15.72	Units Profit	18.18	Units Profit	-1.27	Units Profit	-1.19
ROI %	25%	ROI %	51%	ROI %	-7%	ROI %	-13%

Adam Patterson: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
22nd Aug '20	UFC Vegas 7	13.19	-2.6	-19%	5.4 / 5.25 (102%)	-4.1 / 4.11 (-100%)	-3.8 / 3.83 (-100%)
19th Aug '20	DWCS 29	3.7	-3.7	-100%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)		-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	9.15	7.1	78%	3.4 / 5.95 (57%)	2.6 / 2.65 (97%)	1.2 / 0.55 (218%)
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	12.55	2.8	23%	1.7 / 4.65 (37%)	-0.5 / 6 (-9%)	1.7 / 1.9 (87%)
5th Aug '20	DWCS 27	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Aug '20	UFC Vegas 5	9.9	5.2	53%	3.3 / 4.2 (79%)	2.1 / 5.5 (38%)	-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	11.32	5.8	51%	5.9 / 8.82 (67%)	-1.3 / 1.3 (-100%)	1.2 / 1.2 (100%)
25th Jul '20	Bellator 242	3	2.0	67%	2.0 / 3 (67%)

Winning Events: 5 (63%)
Losing Events: 3 (38%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.98 units
Most Staked On One Event: 13.19 units
Best Event: 7.14 units
Worst Event: -3.70 units
Average Event: 1.96 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 13.01
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -6.26

Adam Patterson: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	63.81	15.7	25%	18.2 / 35.37 (51%)	-1.3 / 19.56 (-7%)	-1.2 / 8.88 (-13%)	5 / 3 (63%)	1.96

Adam Patterson: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Adam Patterson: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	56.11	18.4	33%	19.7 / 28.87 (68%)	-1.3 / 19.56 (-7%)	0.0 / 7.68 (0%)
Bellator	3	2.0	67%	2.0 / 3 (67%)
Other	4.7	-4.7	-100%	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)		-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)

Adam Patterson: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (4%)	1	100 %	2.20	1.00	1.00	45%
Slight Favorites	8 (31%)	7	88 %	17.22	10.24	1.28	59%
Slight Underdogs	12 (46%)	4	33 %	11.50	0.18	0.01	2%
Big Underdogs	5 (19%)	3	60 %	4.45	6.76	1.35	152%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (12%)	3	100 %	6.40	7.90	2.63	123%
Co-Main Event	3 (12%)	1	33 %	1.50	0.30	0.10	20%
Position 3-5	12 (46%)	6	50 %	16.75	4.74	0.40	28%
6+ (Undercard)	8 (31%)	5	63 %	10.72	5.23	0.65	49%

Adam Patterson: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (4%)		0 %	1.50	-1.50	-1.50	-100%
Middleweight	4 (15%)	3	75 %	6.40	7.12	1.78	111%
Welterweight	4 (15%)	1	25 %	3.50	-0.88	-0.22	-25%
Lightweight	7 (27%)	4	57 %	9.75	4.97	0.71	51%
Featherweight	2 (8%)	2	100 %	3.35	2.00	1.00	60%
Bantamweight	3 (12%)	2	67 %	4.50	2.30	0.77	51%

Women's Fights	5 (19%)	3	60 %	6.37	4.16	0.83	65%
Bantamweight	2 (8%)	2	100 %	4.37	3.61	1.80	83%
Strawweight	3 (12%)	1	33 %	2.00	0.55	0.18	27%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	13 (38%)	3	23 %
Slight Favorites	12 (35%)	10	83 %
Slight Underdogs	4 (12%)	1	25 %
Big Underdogs	5 (15%)	4	80 %
	34	18	53 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	5 (20%)	5	100 %
50-65%	6 (24%)	5	83 %
35-50%	2 (8%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	12 (48%)	2	17 %
	25	12	48 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.61	1.61	1.61	0.6 (61%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (8%)	0	0 %	2.12	2.25	2.00	-2.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	4 (16%)	4	100 %	1.43	1.83	1.33	1.8 (45%)
Fight Starts Round X	3 (12%)	3	100 %	1.53	1.61	1.50	1.6 (54%)
X Wins by KO	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.77	1.77	1.77	0.8 (77%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (4%)	0	0 %	4.50	4.50	4.50	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	6 (24%)	1	17 %	4.10	7.00	1.61	-4.4 (-73%)
X Wins Inside Distance	6 (24%)	2	33 %	3.34	5.15	1.71	4.3 (72%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (4%)	0	0 %	3.75	3.75	3.75	-1.0 (-100%)
	25	12	48 %	2.35			0.7 (3%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Adam Patterson's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
25th Jul	Bellator 242	3	2.0	67%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,020.00
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	11.32	5.8	51%		$10.20	$1,020.00	$1,079.20
1st Aug	UFC Vegas 5	9.9	5.2	53%		$10.79	$1,079.20	$1,135.39
5th Aug	DWCS 27	1	-1.0	-100%		$11.35	$1,135.39	$1,124.03
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	12.55	2.8	23%		$11.24	$1,124.03	$1,155.83
15th Aug	UFC 252	9.15	7.1	78%		$11.56	$1,155.83	$1,238.32
19th Aug	DWCS 29	3.7	-3.7	-100%		$12.38	$1,238.32	$1,192.50
22nd Aug	UFC Vegas 7	13.19	-2.6	-19%		$11.93	$1,192.50	$1,161.97

ROI % from starting bank balance: 16.20% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Adam Patterson: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '20	Matt Semelsberger	Carlton Minus	2.10	1.25	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Aug '20	Kai Kamaka	Tony Kelley	1.45	2.2	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Aug '20	Daniel Pineda	Herbert Burns	3.45	1.25	TKO, R2 (4:37)
4.	Aug '20	Joe Solecki	Austin Hubbard	2.05	2	Sub, R1 (3:51)
5.	Aug '20	Joe Solecki	Austin Hubbard	1.95	2	Sub, R1 (3:51)
6.	Aug '20	Marlon Vera	Sean O'Malley	3.60	0.5	TKO, R1 (4:40)
7.	Aug '20	Gavin Tucker	Justin Jaynes	1.87	1.15	Sub, R3 (1:43)
8.	Aug '20	Darren Stewart	Maki Pitolo	1.69	2.5	Sub, R1 (3:41)
9.	Aug '20	Bobby Green	Lando Vannata	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Aug '20	Derek Brunson	Edmen Shahbazyan	4.25	1.2	TKO, R3 (0:26)
11.	Jul '20	Carla Esparza	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	2.55	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Jul '20	Sergio Pettis	Ricky Bandejas	1.67	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jul '20	Pannie Kianzad	Bethe Correia	1.73	1.37	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jul '20	Pannie Kianzad	Bethe Correia	1.87	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Jul '20	Robert Whittaker	Darren Till	1.91	2.2	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Aug '20	Kevin Syler	Kenny Cross	1.87	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Aug '20	Hilarie Rose	Cheyanne Buys	3.10	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Aug '20	Ashley Yoder	Livia Renata Souza	2.47	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Aug '20	Junior dos Santos	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	2.35	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:47)	No
5.	Aug '20	Scott Holtzman	Beneil Dariush	2.83	0.5	TKO, R1 (4:38)	No
6.	Aug '20	Omari Akhmedov	Chris Weidman	2.32	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Aug '20	Jose Flores	Jordan Leavitt	2.25	1	Sub, R1 (4:15)	No
8.	Aug '20	Frankie Saenz	Jonathan Martinez	3.15	1	TKO, R3 (0:57)	No
9.	Aug '20	Randy Brown	Vicente Luque	2.80	1	TKO, R2 (4:56)	No
10.	Jul '20	Peter Sobotta	Alex Oliveira	2.55	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Jul '20	Peter Sobotta	Alex Oliveira	2.54	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Adam Patterson: Progress Chart

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