MMA Handicapper Stats: DanShot Insight |
|
DanShot Insight: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 15 (50%) Losing Events: 15 (50%)
Average Staked Per Event: 12.71 units Most Staked On One Event: 35.00 units Best Event: 19.54 units Worst Event: -14.00 units Average Event: 0.26 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 20.79 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -18.93 |
DanShot Insight: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2020 |
49.75 |
14.8 |
30% |
16.7 / 38.25 (44%) |
0.6 / 9 (6%) |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
4 / 2 (67%) |
2.47 |
2019 |
124.9 |
15.3 |
12% |
11.0 / 63 (17%) |
6.3 / 59.9 (11%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
4 / 6 (40%) |
1.53 |
2018 |
206.5 |
-22.3 |
-11% |
-12.8 / 127 (-10%) |
-3.7 / 59 (-6%) |
-5.8 / 20.5 (-28%) |
7 / 7 (50%) |
-1.59 |
|
DanShot Insight: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
DanShot Insight: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
369.65 |
4.2 |
1% |
12.3 / 218.25 (6%) |
3.2 / 127.9 (2%) |
-11.3 / 23.5 (-48%) |
Bellator |
7.5 |
3.2 |
43% |
2.1 / 6 (36%) |
|
1.1 / 1.5 (71%) |
Other |
4 |
0.5 |
11% |
0.5 / 4 (11%) |
|
|
|
DanShot Insight: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
16 (16%) |
13 |
81 % |
59.00 |
7.60 |
0.48 |
13% |
Slight Favorites |
35 (35%) |
20 |
57 % |
83.00 |
-5.51 |
-0.16 |
-7% |
Slight Underdogs |
31 (31%) |
15 |
48 % |
57.50 |
-2.42 |
-0.08 |
-4% |
Big Underdogs |
17 (17%) |
5 |
29 % |
28.75 |
15.26 |
0.90 |
53% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
11 (11%) |
5 |
45 % |
27.00 |
-4.89 |
-0.44 |
-18% |
Co-Main Event |
8 (8%) |
6 |
75 % |
20.00 |
5.56 |
0.70 |
28% |
Position 3-5 |
25 (25%) |
14 |
56 % |
64.00 |
13.11 |
0.52 |
20% |
6+ (Undercard) |
54 (55%) |
27 |
50 % |
114.25 |
-0.86 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
|
DanShot Insight: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
6 (6%) |
4 |
67 % |
12.50 |
2.49 |
0.42 |
20% |
Light Heavy |
8 (8%) |
2 |
25 % |
19.00 |
-9.61 |
-1.20 |
-51% |
Middleweight |
12 (12%) |
8 |
67 % |
28.50 |
3.43 |
0.29 |
12% |
Welterweight |
15 (15%) |
9 |
60 % |
32.00 |
19.00 |
1.27 |
59% |
Lightweight |
10 (10%) |
5 |
50 % |
20.50 |
-4.19 |
-0.42 |
-20% |
Featherweight |
15 (15%) |
7 |
47 % |
32.75 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
0% |
Bantamweight |
10 (10%) |
4 |
40 % |
19.00 |
-2.58 |
-0.26 |
-14% |
Flyweight |
3 (3%) |
2 |
67 % |
9.00 |
0.73 |
0.24 |
8% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
20 (20%) |
12 |
60 % |
55.00 |
5.61 |
0.28 |
10% |
Bantamweight |
5 (5%) |
4 |
80 % |
9.50 |
4.42 |
0.88 |
47% |
Flyweight |
5 (5%) |
4 |
80 % |
18.00 |
6.02 |
1.20 |
33% |
Strawweight |
10 (10%) |
4 |
40 % |
27.50 |
-4.83 |
-0.48 |
-18% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
19 (66%) |
15 |
79 % |
Slight Favorites |
6 (21%) |
3 |
50 % |
Slight Underdogs |
4 (14%) |
2 |
50 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
29 |
20 |
69 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
7 (9%) |
6 |
86 % |
50-65% |
19 (25%) |
9 |
47 % |
35-50% |
13 (17%) |
7 |
54 % |
<35% chance |
38 (49%) |
8 |
21 % |
|
77 |
30 |
39 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail DanShot Insight's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: 2.05% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
DanShot Insight: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Aug '20 |
Tony Kelley |
Kai Kamaka |
2.90 |
0.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
May '20 |
Louis Smolka |
Casey Kenney |
3.40 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:3) |
No |
|
|
3. |
May '20 |
Klidson Farias de Abreu |
Jamahal Hill |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:51) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Mar '20 |
Guido Cannetti |
Danaa Batgerel |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:1) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Mar '20 |
Jose Quinonez |
Sean O'Malley |
4.00 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:2) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Feb '20 |
Tom Breese |
Brendan Allen |
1.77 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:47) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Jan '20 |
Andre Fili |
Sodiq Yusuff |
2.20 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Jan '20 |
Anthony Pettis |
Carlos Diego Ferreira |
3.00 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:46) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Jan '20 |
J.J. Aldrich |
Sabina Mazo |
1.95 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Nov '19 |
Blagoy Ivanov |
Derrick Lewis |
1.83 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Nov '19 |
Julio Arce |
Hakeem Dawodu |
2.10 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Nov '19 |
Chance Rencountre |
Lyman Good |
2.20 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (2:3) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Nov '19 |
Nate Diaz |
Jorge Masvidal |
2.65 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Aug '19 |
Polyana Viana |
Veronica Macedo |
2.10 |
4 |
Sub, R1 (1:9) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Jul '19 |
Alejandro Perez |
Yadong Song |
2.80 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:4) |
No |
|
|
16. |
May '19 |
Brad Katona |
Merab Dvalishvili |
2.62 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
May '19 |
Kyle Nelson |
Matt Sayles |
2.90 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (3:16) |
No |
|
|
18. |
May '19 |
Elias Theodorou |
Derek Brunson |
1.91 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
May '19 |
Al Iaquinta |
Donald Cerrone |
1.85 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
May '19 |
Tim Wilde |
Brent Primus |
4.50 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (1:20) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
DanShot Insight: Progress Chart |
|