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MMA Handicapper Stats: That High Guy

That High Guy (ThatHighGuy)


MMA MHandicapper - That High Guy

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 48 (21%) Right 9 (36%) Right 16 (57%) Right 23 (13%)
Wrong 183 (79%) Wrong 16 (64%) Wrong 12 (43%) Wrong 155 (87%)
Avg Odds 4.52 Avg Odds 2.16 Avg Odds 2.69 Avg Odds 6.12
Units Bet 396.8 Units Bet 47.4 Units Bet 52.9 Units Bet 296.4
Avg Bet 1.72 Avg Bet 1.90 Avg Bet 1.89 Avg Bet 1.67
Units Profit -5.34 Units Profit -8.75 Units Profit 26.12 Units Profit -22.71
ROI % -1% ROI % -18% ROI % 49% ROI % -8%
View Handicapper's Profile

That High Guy: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 7 2.9 41% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 5.9 / 4 (147%)
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 8 -8.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
27th Aug '19 DWCS 26 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
7th Aug '19 DWCS 23 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 2.8 -2.8 -100% -2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 12 -12.0 -100% -12.0 / 12 (-100%)
12th Jul '19 Bellator 224 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Jul '19 PFL 2019: Week 4 4.5 -4.5 -100% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
10th Jul '19 DWTNCS 19 7 16.6 237% 16.6 / 7 (237%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 21.04 -0.6 -3% 6.6 / 5.2 (127%) -7.2 / 15.84 (-45%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 7.5 11.5 154% 5.2 / 4 (130%) 6.3 / 3.5 (181%)
26th Jun '19 DWTNCS 18 5 -5.0 -100% -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) -4.3 / 4.25 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19 Bellator London 6.3 -6.3 -100% -1.8 / 1.8 (-100%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
19th Jun '19 DWTNCS 17 3.8 1.1 28% 1.1 / 3.8 (28%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 12.7 -12.7 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -10.7 / 10.7 (-100%)
6th Jun '19 PFL 2019: Week 3 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
23rd May '19 PFL 2019: Week 2 6.7 9.5 142% 9.5 / 6.7 (142%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 32.6 -16.4 -50% 2.9 / 2 (145%) -19.3 / 30.6 (-63%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 14.88 -5.7 -38% -8.7 / 8.7 (-100%) 3.0 / 6.18 (49%)
11th May '19 Bellator 221 10.5 12.6 120% 12.6 / 10.5 (120%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 24.85 -9.1 -36% -6.1 / 6.05 (-100%) 5.0 / 10.8 (46%) -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 4.1 -4.1 -100% -4.1 / 4.1 (-100%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 18 -18.0 -100% -18.0 / 18 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 22.7 -14.5 -64% 4.2 / 4 (105%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -16.7 / 16.7 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 23 -10.8 -47% -0.8 / 13 (-6%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 11.6 31.9 275% 8.2 / 5 (165%) 23.6 / 6.6 (358%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 24.13 37.3 155% 37.3 / 24.13 (155%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 10.3 -10.3 -100% -10.3 / 10.3 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 17.7 44.1 249% 44.1 / 17.7 (249%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 14.6 7.2 49% 7.2 / 14.6 (49%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 11.1 3.6 32% -3.5 / 8.1 (-43%) 7.0 / 3 (233%)
26th Jan '19 Bellator Los Angeles 15.4 -15.4 -100% -15.4 / 15.4 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 1 2.3 235% 2.3 / 1 (235%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 1 0.0 0% 0.0 / 1 (0%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 0.7 -0.7 -100% -0.7 / 0.7 (-100%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 0.8 0.2 27% 0.2 / 0.8 (27%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 7.96 -3.7 -46% -1.5 / 5.76 (-25%) -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)


Winning Events: 13 (33%)
Losing Events: 26 (67%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.89 units
Most Staked On One Event: 32.60 units
Best Event: 44.08 units
Worst Event: -18.00 units
Average Event: 0.15 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 69.15
Max Losing Streak: Events: 8, Units: -56.48

That High Guy: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 15 -5.1 -34% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 2.9 / 7 (41%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 1 / 1 (50%) -2.55
2019 359.3 12.6 3% -6.7 / 37.65 (-18%) 23.2 / 44.93 (52%) -4.0 / 276.72 (-1%) 10 / 22 (31%) 0.39
2018 11.46 -1.8 -16% 0.9 / 6.76 (13%) 0.0 / 1 (0%) -2.7 / 3.7 (-73%) 2 / 3 (40%) -0.36

That High Guy: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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That High Guy: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 315.06 8.7 3% -7.0 / 45.61 (-15%) 26.9 / 52.18 (51%) -11.3 / 217.27 (-5%)
Bellator 34.2 -11.1 -33% -1.8 / 1.8 (-100%) -9.3 / 32.4 (-29%)
PFL 15.2 1.0 7% 1.0 / 15.2 (7%)
Other 21.3 7.1 34% -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) 7.9 / 20.55 (38%)

That High Guy: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 2 (7%) 2 100 % 2.26 0.80 0.40 35%
Slight Favorites 9 (33%) 1 11 % 18.85 -16.35 -1.82 -87%
Slight Underdogs 9 (33%) 5 56 % 14.50 7.05 0.78 49%
Big Underdogs 7 (26%) 2 29 % 11.80 -0.25 -0.04 -2%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 6 (22%) 4 67 % 11.06 2.70 0.45 24%
Co-Main Event 4 (15%) 2 50 % 4.35 1.60 0.40 37%
Position 3-5 9 (33%) 2 22 % 16.00 -1.50 -0.17 -9%
6+ (Undercard) 8 (30%) 2 25 % 16.00 -11.55 -1.44 -72%

That High Guy: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (7%) 1 50 % 4.75 -2.60 -1.30 -55%
Light Heavy 1 (4%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Middleweight 4 (15%) 2 50 % 4.00 -0.15 -0.04 -4%
Welterweight 6 (22%) 4 67 % 13.36 11.15 1.86 83%
Lightweight 4 (15%) 0 % 7.30 -7.30 -1.83 -100%
Featherweight 6 (22%) 1 17 % 8.75 -6.45 -1.07 -74%
Bantamweight 1 (4%) 1 100 % 1.50 1.00 1.00 67%
               
Women's Fights 3 (11%) 1 33 % 5.75 -2.40 -0.80 -42%
Featherweight 1 (4%) 1 100 % 1.00 2.35 2.35 235%
Flyweight 1 (4%) 0 % 1.75 -1.75 -1.75 -100%
Strawweight 1 (4%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 207 (57%) 163 79 %
Slight Favorites 68 (19%) 36 53 %
Slight Underdogs 34 (9%) 20 59 %
Big Underdogs 57 (16%) 6 11 %
366 225 61 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 104 (33%) 72 69 %
50-65% 95 (31%) 48 51 %
35-50% 64 (21%) 36 56 %
<35% chance 48 (15%) 11 23 %
311 167 54 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 13 (4%) 13 100 % 1.54 2.10Pick was correct 1.22Pick was correct 7.5 (58%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 8 (3%) 5 63 % 1.66 1.80Pick was correct 1.39Pick was correct 1.4 (17%)
Goes to Decision 12 (4%) 9 75 % 1.54 2.80Pick was incorrect 1.24Pick was incorrect 2.2 (18%)
Does not go to Decision 47 (15%) 31 66 % 1.35 1.71Pick was correct 1.14Pick was incorrect -5.1 (-11%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 5 (2%) 3 60 % 1.53 1.69Pick was incorrect 1.38Pick was incorrect -0.7 (-14%)
X Wins by KO 44 (14%) 20 45 % 2.42 7.00Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was correct -0.1 (-0%)
X Wins by Sub 10 (3%) 7 70 % 2.17 5.80Pick was incorrect 1.54Pick was correct 4.3 (43%)
X Wins by Decision 18 (6%) 4 22 % 2.01 4.65Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was incorrect -8.4 (-47%)
X Wins Inside Distance 128 (41%) 59 46 % 1.79 5.90Pick was incorrect 1.27Pick was correct -23.7 (-18%)
X Wins in Round X 24 (8%) 15 63 % 3.07 11.50Pick was incorrect 2.15Pick was correct 16.4 (68%)
Others 2 (1%) 1 50 % 2.14 5.85Pick was incorrect 1.31Pick was correct -0.7 (-35%)
311 167 54 % 1.82     -6.8 (-2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail That High Guy's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 7.96 -3.7 -46% $10.00 $1,000.00 $963.50
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 0.8 0.2 27% $9.63 $963.50 $965.55
30th Nov TUF Finale 0.7 -0.7 -100% $9.66 $965.55 $958.79
8th Dec UFC 231 1 0.0 0% $9.59 $958.79 $958.79
29th Dec UFC 232 1 2.3 235% $9.59 $958.79 $981.32
26th Jan Bellator Los Angeles 15.4 -15.4 -100% $9.81 $981.32 $830.20
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 11.1 3.6 32% $8.30 $830.20 $859.67
9th Feb UFC 234 14.6 7.2 49% $8.60 $859.67 $921.27
16th Feb Bellator 216 1 -1.0 -100% $9.21 $921.27 $912.06
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 17.7 44.1 249% $9.12 $912.06 $1,314.11
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 10.3 -10.3 -100% $13.14 $1,314.11 $1,178.76
2nd Mar UFC 235 24.13 37.3 155% $11.79 $1,178.76 $1,618.34
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 11.6 31.9 275% $16.18 $1,618.34 $2,133.90
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 23 -10.8 -47% $21.34 $2,133.90 $1,903.22
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 22.7 -14.5 -64% $19.03 $1,903.22 $1,627.26
13th Apr UFC 236 18 -18.0 -100% $16.27 $1,627.26 $1,334.35
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 4.1 -4.1 -100% $13.34 $1,334.35 $1,279.64
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 24.85 -9.1 -36% $12.80 $1,279.64 $1,163.58
11th May Bellator 221 10.5 12.6 120% $11.64 $1,163.58 $1,309.76
11th May UFC 237 14.88 -5.7 -38% $13.10 $1,309.76 $1,235.10
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 32.6 -16.4 -50% $12.35 $1,235.10 $1,032.62
23rd May PFL 2019: Week 2 6.7 9.5 142% $10.33 $1,032.62 $1,130.68
6th Jun PFL 2019: Week 3 4 -4.0 -100% $11.31 $1,130.68 $1,085.45
8th Jun UFC 238 12.7 -12.7 -100% $10.85 $1,085.45 $947.60
19th Jun DWTNCS 17 3.8 1.1 28% $9.48 $947.60 $957.56
22nd Jun Bellator London 6.3 -6.3 -100% $9.58 $957.56 $897.23
26th Jun DWTNCS 18 5 -5.0 -100% $8.97 $897.23 $852.37
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 7.5 11.5 154% $8.52 $852.37 $950.80
6th Jul UFC 239 21.04 -0.6 -3% $9.51 $950.80 $945.31
10th Jul DWTNCS 19 7 16.6 237% $9.45 $945.31 $1,102.20
11th Jul PFL 2019: Week 4 4.5 -4.5 -100% $11.02 $1,102.20 $1,052.61
12th Jul Bellator 224 1 -1.0 -100% $10.53 $1,052.61 $1,042.08
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 12 -12.0 -100% $10.42 $1,042.08 $917.03
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 2.8 -2.8 -100% $9.17 $917.03 $891.35
7th Aug DWCS 23 2 -2.0 -100% $8.91 $891.35 $873.53
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 3 -3.0 -100% $8.74 $873.53 $847.32
27th Aug DWCS 26 3.5 -3.5 -100% $8.47 $847.32 $817.66
6th Jun UFC 250 8 -8.0 -100% $8.18 $817.66 $752.25
11th Jul UFC 251 7 2.9 41% $7.52 $752.25 $774.07


ROI % from starting bank balance: -22.59% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

That High Guy: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '19 Grant Dawson Mike Trizano 2.30 1 Sub, R2 (2:27) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Ian Heinisch Antonio Carlos Junior 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Anthony Pettis Stephen Thompson 4.10 2 TKO, R2 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Niko Price Tim Means 2.65 5 TKO, R1 (4:50) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '19 Jairzinho Rozenstruik Junior Albini 2.15 1 TKO, R2 (0:54) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '19 Marlon Moraes Raphael Assuncao 1.67 1.5 Sub, R1 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Amanda Nunes Cristiane Justino 3.35 1 TKO, R1 (0:51) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Santiago Ponzinibbio Neil Magny 1.38 1.06 TKO, R4 (2:22) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Santiago Ponzinibbio Neil Magny 1.33 1.2 TKO, R4 (2:22) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Ian Heinisch Cezar Ferreira 2.50 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '20 Jorge Masvidal Kamaru Usman 3.35 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '19 Jeremiah Labiano James Gallagher 4.35 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '19 Jeremiah Labiano James Gallagher 4.50 0.8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '19 Donald Cerrone Tony Ferguson 3.25 2 TKO, R2 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '19 Kurt Holobaugh Thiago Moises 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '19 Rogerio Nogueira Ryan Spann 2.25 2 TKO, R1 (2:7) No MMA Bookmaker
7. May '19 Thiago Alves Laureano Staropoli 1.91 1.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '19 Jose Aldo Alex Volkanovski 1.77 2.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. May '19 Anderson Silva Jared Cannonier 2.20 1 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '19 Juan Adams Arjan Bhullar 1.80 3.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Al Iaquinta Donald Cerrone 1.87 2.3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '19 Steven Peterson Luis Pena 3.05 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '19 Taila Santos Mara Romero Borella 1.57 1.75 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '19 David Teymur Charles Oliveira 2.00 1 Sub, R2 (0:55) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '19 Anthony Hernandez Markus Perez 1.67 1.5 Sub, R2 (1:7) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '19 Renato Moicano Jose Aldo 1.74 1.35 TKO, R2 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '18 Poliana Botelho Cynthia Calvillo 1.67 3 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

That High Guy: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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