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MMA Handicapper Stats: Showtime Shelbs

Showtime Shelbs (ShowtimeShelbs)


MMA MHandicapper - Showtime Shelbs

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 74 (43%) Right 18 (49%) Right 28 (47%) Right 28 (37%)
Wrong 98 (57%) Wrong 19 (51%) Wrong 31 (53%) Wrong 48 (63%)
Avg Odds 2.37 Avg Odds 2.13 Avg Odds 2.34 Avg Odds 2.55
Units Bet 216.9 Units Bet 53.7 Units Bet 60.9 Units Bet 102.2
Avg Bet 1.26 Avg Bet 1.45 Avg Bet 1.03 Avg Bet 1.35
Units Profit -6.63 Units Profit -3.88 Units Profit 10.70 Units Profit -13.45
ROI % -3% ROI % -7% ROI % 18% ROI % -13%
View Handicapper's Profile

Showtime Shelbs: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th Apr '23 UFC 287 2.12 0.8 36% 1.0 / 0.98 (102%) -0.3 / 0.65 (-45%) 0.1 / 0.49 (10%)
7th Apr '23 PFL 2: 2023 0.25 -0.3 -100% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
29th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 0.25 -0.3 -100% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
29th Oct '22 Bellator 287 0.2 -0.2 -100% -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
15th Jan '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze 0.5 1.0 200% 1.0 / 0.5 (200%)
2nd Oct '21 UFC FN 1.3 0.7 52% 0.8 / 0.25 (300%) -0.1 / 1.05 (-7%)
25th Sep '21 UFC 266 2.41 1.4 56% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) 0.3 / 1.21 (24%) 1.3 / 0.95 (138%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 10.17 -5.2 -51% 0.8 / 4.23 (18%) -5.9 / 5.94 (-100%)
26th Sep '20 Bellator Milan 6.76 -3.3 -48% -3.3 / 6.76 (-48%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 5.38 -5.4 -100% -2.3 / 2.29 (-100%) -1.2 / 1.16 (-100%) -1.9 / 1.93 (-100%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 1.25 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
29th Dec '19 Bellator 237 10.36 -4.4 -42% -3.4 / 9.43 (-36%) -0.9 / 0.93 (-100%)
21st Dec '19 UFC Fight Night 165 3.56 -0.1 -2% 2.5 / 1 (250%) -2.6 / 2.56 (-100%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 9.96 -1.5 -15% -0.6 / 2.56 (-22%) 0.7 / 1.31 (53%) -1.6 / 6.09 (-26%)
9th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 163 2.14 -2.1 -100% -1.7 / 1.74 (-100%) -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 5.29 3.9 73% 3.5 / 2.65 (132%) 1.7 / 1.35 (122%) -1.3 / 1.29 (-100%)
26th Oct '19 Bellator 232 1.8 -1.8 -100% -1.8 / 1.8 (-100%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 4.62 0.6 14% 0.2 / 2 (12%) 0.4 / 2.62 (15%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 2.78 -0.8 -28% 0.8 / 1.2 (67%) -0.7 / 0.7 (-100%) -0.9 / 0.88 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 0.75 0.8 103% 0.5 / 0.5 (100%) 0.3 / 0.25 (110%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 2.11 -0.1 -5% -0.1 / 2.11 (-5%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 1.2 -1.2 -100% -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 5.12 -0.4 -8% 0.9 / 1.39 (63%) -1.4 / 1.37 (-100%) 0.1 / 2.36 (3%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 7.91 -3.3 -41% 1.8 / 1.7 (108%) -5.1 / 6.21 (-82%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 1 1.0 100% 1.0 / 1 (100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 3.4 -0.2 -4% -1.7 / 1.65 (-100%) 1.5 / 1.75 (86%)
9th Feb '19 Bellator Newcastle 0.75 -0.8 -100% -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 2.78 -1.7 -62% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) -0.2 / 1.28 (-18%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 8.75 4.4 50% 1.0 / 3.75 (26%) 3.4 / 5 (68%)
31st Dec '18 Rizin 14 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 10.39 4.6 44% -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) 4.7 / 5.25 (90%) 0.6 / 4.39 (14%)
15th Dec '18 Bellator 213 2 1.1 53% 1.1 / 2 (53%)
15th Dec '18 UFC Fight Night Milwaukee 4.6 -1.4 -31% -1.4 / 4.6 (-31%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 6 2.4 41% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 4.4 / 4 (111%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 3.5 0.3 7% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 1.8 / 2 (88%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 4.94 0.3 7% -0.2 / 2.56 (-8%) 0.5 / 2.38 (23%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 25 -16.1 -65% -0.6 / 9.5 (-7%) -15.5 / 15.5 (-100%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 8 8.0 100% 2.8 / 4 (70%) 5.2 / 4 (129%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 10.08 5.4 54% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 2.0 / 2.83 (70%) 5.0 / 5.75 (86%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 7.5 4.2 56% 2.2 / 2 (110%) 3.0 / 4.5 (67%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 27 7.2 27% 0.9 / 1 (91%) 2.7 / 14 (19%) 3.6 / 12 (30%)


Winning Events: 18 (44%)
Losing Events: 23 (56%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.29 units
Most Staked On One Event: 27.00 units
Best Event: 7.96 units
Worst Event: -16.14 units
Average Event: -0.16 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 24.81
Max Losing Streak: Events: 8, Units: -23.08

Showtime Shelbs: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2023 2.37 0.5 21% 1.0 / 0.98 (102%) -0.3 / 0.65 (-45%) -0.2 / 0.74 (-27%) 1 / 1 (50%) 0.25
2022 0.95 0.6 58% 0.8 / 0.75 (100%) -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%) 1 / 2 (33%) 0.18
2021 3.71 2.0 55% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.46 (72%) 1.2 / 2 (62%) 2 / (100%) 1.02
2020 23.56 -15.1 -64% -4.8 / 13.28 (-36%) -1.2 / 1.16 (-100%) -9.1 / 9.12 (-100%) / 4 (0%) -3.77
2019 74.28 -7.6 -10% 0.7 / 21.22 (3%) 0.2 / 18.31 (1%) -8.5 / 34.75 (-24%) 5 / 13 (28%) -0.42
2018 112.01 12.9 12% -1.3 / 17.25 (-7%) 11.1 / 39.14 (28%) 3.1 / 55.62 (6%) 9 / 3 (75%) 1.08

Showtime Shelbs: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Showtime Shelbs: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 183.76 -2.0 -1% 1.9 / 28.54 (7%) 13.6 / 57.99 (24%) -17.6 / 97.23 (-18%)
Bellator 29.87 -1.3 -4% -2.8 / 22.19 (-13%) -2.9 / 2.93 (-100%) 4.4 / 4.75 (93%)
PFL 0.25 -0.3 -100% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
Other 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Showtime Shelbs: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 2 (5%) 2 100 % 4.50 2.06 1.03 46%
Slight Favorites 14 (36%) 8 57 % 22.15 -1.33 -0.10 -6%
Slight Underdogs 14 (36%) 5 36 % 20.05 -6.33 -0.45 -32%
Big Underdogs 9 (23%) 4 44 % 7.03 1.72 0.19 24%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 11 (28%) 4 36 % 18.20 -8.14 -0.74 -45%
Co-Main Event 6 (15%) 4 67 % 8.32 4.29 0.72 52%
Position 3-5 12 (31%) 9 75 % 16.35 8.20 0.68 50%
6+ (Undercard) 10 (26%) 2 20 % 10.86 -8.23 -0.82 -76%

Showtime Shelbs: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (8%) 0 % 5.51 -5.51 -1.84 -100%
Light Heavy 2 (5%) 1 50 % 2.90 1.30 0.65 45%
Middleweight 5 (13%) 3 60 % 10.46 -1.46 -0.29 -14%
Welterweight 6 (15%) 5 83 % 7.56 6.14 1.02 81%
Lightweight 3 (8%) 0 % 3.64 -3.64 -1.21 -100%
Featherweight 8 (21%) 4 50 % 7.70 -0.16 -0.02 -2%
Bantamweight 3 (8%) 2 67 % 3.49 -2.14 -0.71 -61%
Flyweight 3 (8%) 2 67 % 5.85 2.21 0.74 38%
               
Women's Fights 6 (15%) 2 33 % 6.62 -0.62 -0.10 -9%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 0 % 1.29 -1.29 -1.29 -100%
Flyweight 4 (10%) 2 50 % 5.08 0.92 0.23 18%
Strawweight 1 (3%) 0 % 0.25 -0.25 -0.25 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 79 (67%) 60 76 %
Slight Favorites 27 (23%) 16 59 %
Slight Underdogs 7 (6%) 6 86 %
Big Underdogs 5 (4%) 1 20 %
118 83 70 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 65 (42%) 46 71 %
50-65% 34 (22%) 20 59 %
35-50% 30 (20%) 18 60 %
<35% chance 24 (16%) 6 25 %
153 90 59 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 8 (5%) 3 38 % 1.93 3.00Pick was correct 1.44Pick was incorrect -1.5 (-19%)
Does not go to Decision 64 (42%) 49 77 % 1.40 2.50Pick was correct 1.12Pick was incorrect 7.4 (12%)
X Wins by KO 28 (18%) 17 61 % 2.07 10.00Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was incorrect 5.9 (21%)
X Wins by Sub 11 (7%) 9 82 % 2.17 7.50Pick was correct 1.50Pick was correct 11.6 (106%)
X Wins by Decision 7 (5%) 1 14 % 2.40 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was incorrect -5.1 (-73%)
X Wins Inside Distance 10 (7%) 3 30 % 2.24 7.50Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was incorrect -0.8 (-8%)
X Wins in Round X 14 (9%) 3 21 % 3.01 15.00Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect -5.3 (-38%)
Others 11 (7%) 5 45 % 2.07 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was incorrect -1.3 (-12%)
153 90 59 % 1.78     10.9 (7%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Showtime Shelbs's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 27 7.2 27% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,071.98
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 7.5 4.2 56% $10.72 $1,071.98 $1,117.00
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 10.08 5.4 54% $11.17 $1,117.00 $1,177.86
29th Sep Bellator 206 8 8.0 100% $11.78 $1,177.86 $1,271.66
6th Oct UFC 229 25 -16.1 -65% $12.72 $1,271.66 $1,066.41
3rd Nov UFC 230 4.94 0.3 7% $10.66 $1,066.41 $1,069.85
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 3.5 0.3 7% $10.70 $1,069.85 $1,072.62
30th Nov TUF Finale 6 2.4 41% $10.73 $1,072.62 $1,098.74
15th Dec UFC Fight Night Milwaukee 4.6 -1.4 -31% $10.99 $1,098.74 $1,082.82
15th Dec Bellator 213 2 1.1 53% $10.83 $1,082.82 $1,094.34
29th Dec UFC 232 10.39 4.6 44% $10.94 $1,094.34 $1,144.88
31st Dec Rizin 14 3 -3.0 -100% $11.45 $1,144.88 $1,110.53
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 8.75 4.4 50% $11.11 $1,110.53 $1,159.10
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 2.78 -1.7 -62% $11.59 $1,159.10 $1,139.05
9th Feb Bellator Newcastle 0.75 -0.8 -100% $11.39 $1,139.05 $1,130.50
9th Feb UFC 234 3.4 -0.2 -4% $11.31 $1,130.50 $1,128.81
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 1 1.0 100% $11.29 $1,128.81 $1,140.10
2nd Mar UFC 235 7.91 -3.3 -41% $11.40 $1,140.10 $1,102.96
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 5.12 -0.4 -8% $11.03 $1,102.96 $1,098.27
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 1.2 -1.2 -100% $10.98 $1,098.27 $1,085.09
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 2.11 -0.1 -5% $10.85 $1,085.09 $1,083.84
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 0.75 0.8 103% $10.84 $1,083.84 $1,092.24
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 2.78 -0.8 -28% $10.92 $1,092.24 $1,083.72
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 4.62 0.6 14% $10.84 $1,083.72 $1,090.57
26th Oct Bellator 232 1.8 -1.8 -100% $10.91 $1,090.57 $1,070.94
2nd Nov UFC 244 5.29 3.9 73% $10.71 $1,070.94 $1,112.27
9th Nov UFC Fight Night 163 2.14 -2.1 -100% $11.12 $1,112.27 $1,088.47
15th Dec UFC 245 9.96 -1.5 -15% $10.88 $1,088.47 $1,072.63
21st Dec UFC Fight Night 165 3.56 -0.1 -2% $10.73 $1,072.63 $1,071.98
29th Dec Bellator 237 10.36 -4.4 -42% $10.72 $1,071.98 $1,025.23
18th Jan UFC 246 1.25 -1.3 -100% $10.25 $1,025.23 $1,012.42
9th Feb UFC 247 5.38 -5.4 -100% $10.12 $1,012.42 $957.95
26th Sep Bellator Milan 6.76 -3.3 -48% $9.58 $957.95 $926.76
26th Sep UFC 253 10.17 -5.2 -51% $9.27 $926.76 $878.80
25th Sep UFC 266 2.41 1.4 56% $8.79 $878.80 $890.70
2nd Oct UFC FN 1.3 0.7 52% $8.91 $890.70 $896.76
15th Jan UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze 0.5 1.0 200% $8.97 $896.76 $905.73
29th Oct Bellator 287 0.2 -0.2 -100% $9.06 $905.73 $903.92
29th Oct UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 0.25 -0.3 -100% $9.04 $903.92 $901.66
7th Apr PFL 2: 2023 0.25 -0.3 -100% $9.02 $901.66 $899.40
8th Apr UFC 287 2.12 0.8 36% $8.99 $899.40 $906.24


ROI % from starting bank balance: -9.38% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Showtime Shelbs: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '23 Christian Rodriguez Raul Rosas Jr 3.00 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '23 Steve Garcia Yilan Sha 2.62 0.24 TKO, R2 (0:36) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '23 Rob Font Adrian Yanez 2.50 0.24 TKO, R1 (2:57) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '22 Calvin Kattar Giga Chikadze 3.00 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '20 Mike Shipman Pietro Penini 1.65 2.13 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '20 Brandon Royval Kai Kara-France 2.70 1.85 Sub, R2 (0:48) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '19 Kana Watanabe Ilara Joanne 1.87 1.07 TKO, R3 (4:39) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '19 Kana Watanabe Ilara Joanne 1.77 2.26 TKO, R3 (4:39) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '19 Charles Jourdain Doo Ho Choi 3.50 1 TKO, R2 (4:32) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '19 Kamaru Usman Colby Covington 1.57 1.27 TKO, R5 (4:10) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '19 Stephen Thompson Vicente Luque 1.91 1.65 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '19 Darren Till Kelvin Gastelum 3.00 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '19 Eryk Anders Gerald Meerschaert 1.67 1.2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '19 Claudio Silva Danny Roberts 1.63 1.39 Sub, R3 (2:37) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '18 Ilima-Lei Macfarlane Valerie Letourneau 1.53 2 Sub, R3 (3:19) MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '18 Gegard Mousasi Rory MacDonald 1.40 2.5 TKO, R2 (3:23) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '18 Douglas Lima Andrey Koreshkov 2.20 1.5 Sub, R5 (3:4) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '18 Jan Blachowicz Nikita Krylov 2.10 2 Sub, R2 (2:41) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '18 Michael Johnson Andre Fili 1.91 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '23 Michelle Waterson Luana Pinheiro 2.40 0.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '22 Calvin Kattar Arnold Allen 2.05 0.25 TKO, R2 (0:8) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '21 Roxanne Modafferi Taila Santos 4.00 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '20 Kent Kauppinen Will Fleury 2.00 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '20 Fabian Edwards Costello van Steenis 2.35 2.13 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '20 Shane Young Ludovit Klein 2.10 2.38 TKO, R1 (1:16) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '20 Mirsad Bektic Dan Ige 1.80 1.39 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '20 Dominick Reyes Jon Jones 5.00 0.9 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '19 Sidney Outlaw Michael Chandler 3.60 1.39 TKO, R1 (2:59) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '19 Quinton Jackson Fedor Emelianenko 2.10 2.38 TKO, R1 (2:44) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '19 Quinton Jackson Fedor Emelianenko 2.15 2.33 TKO, R1 (2:44) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '19 Ketlen Vieira Irene Aldana 1.59 1.29 TKO, R1 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '19 Greg Hardy Alexander Volkov 3.50 0.8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '19 Calvin Kattar Zabit Magomedsharipov 3.40 0.94 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '19 David Teymur Charles Oliveira 2.00 1.25 Sub, R2 (0:55) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '18 Darrion Caldwell Kyoji Horiguchi 1.67 3 Sub, R3 (1:19) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '18 Siyar Bahadurzada Curtis Millender 2.20 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '18 Alex Perez Joseph Benavidez 1.77 2 TKO, R1 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '18 Luis Pena Mike Trizano 1.63 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '18 Gillian Robertson Mayra Bueno Silva 1.67 1.5 Sub, R1 (4:55) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Showtime Shelbs: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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