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MMA Handicapper Stats: akatako diary

akatako diary (akatako)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - akatako diary

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 10 (48%) Right 9 (45%) Right 1 (100%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 11 (52%) Wrong 11 (55%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 1.95 Avg Odds 1.97 Avg Odds 1.68 Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 47.5 Units Bet 45.5 Units Bet 2.0 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 2.26 Avg Bet 2.28 Avg Bet 2.00 Avg Bet nan
Units Profit -6.46 Units Profit -7.81 Units Profit 1.35 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % -14% ROI % -17% ROI % 68% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Profile

akatako diary: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
28th Apr '18 Bellator 198 8 2.3 29% 0.9 / 6 (16%) 1.4 / 2 (68%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 19.5 1.5 8% 1.5 / 19.5 (8%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 20 -10.3 -51% -10.3 / 20 (-51%)


Winning Events: 2 (67%)
Losing Events: 1 (33%)

Average Staked Per Event: 15.83 units
Most Staked On One Event: 20.00 units
Best Event: 2.29 units
Worst Event: -10.29 units
Average Event: -2.15 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 3.83
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -10.29

akatako diary: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 47.5 -6.5 -14% -7.8 / 45.5 (-17%) 1.4 / 2 (68%) 2 / 1 (67%) -2.15

akatako diary: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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akatako diary: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 39.5 -8.8 -22% -8.8 / 39.5 (-22%)
Bellator 8 2.3 29% 0.9 / 6 (16%) 1.4 / 2 (68%)

akatako diary: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (26%) 5 83 % 15.00 2.59 0.43 17%
Slight Favorites 7 (30%) 4 57 % 15.00 -5.06 -0.72 -34%
Slight Underdogs 6 (26%) 1 17 % 11.00 -7.79 -1.30 -71%
Big Underdogs 4 (17%) 1 25 % 4.50 2.44 0.61 54%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (13%) 0 0 % 11.00 -11.00 -3.67 -100%
Co-Main Event 2 (9%) 1 50 % 4.00 0.38 0.19 10%
Position 3-5 7 (30%) 3 43 % 12.50 1.00 0.14 8%
6+ (Undercard) 11 (48%) 7 64 % 18.00 1.81 0.16 10%

akatako diary: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (17%) 2 50 % 12.00 -5.44 -1.36 -45%
Light Heavy 1 (4%) 1 100 % 2.00 1.45 1.45 72%
Middleweight 5 (22%) 3 60 % 5.50 5.99 1.20 109%
Welterweight 4 (17%) 1 25 % 5.00 -3.06 -0.76 -61%
Lightweight 3 (13%) 1 33 % 9.00 -5.01 -1.67 -56%
Featherweight 1 (4%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.38 1.38 46%
Bantamweight 1 (4%) 1 100 % 2.00 0.66 0.66 33%
Flyweight 1 (4%) 1 100 % 1.50 1.71 1.71 114%
               
Women's Fights 3 (13%) 0 % 5.50 -5.50 -1.83 -100%
Flyweight 1 (4%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Strawweight 2 (9%) 0 % 4.50 -4.50 -2.25 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 1 (100%) 1 100 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
1 1 100 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (100%) 1 100 % 1.68 1.68Pick was correct 1.68Pick was correct 0.7 (68%)
1 1 100 % 1.68     0.7 (68%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail akatako diary's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 20 -10.3 -51% $10.00 $1,000.00 $897.06
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 19.5 1.5 8% $8.97 $897.06 $910.89
28th Apr Bellator 198 8 2.3 29% $9.11 $910.89 $931.75


ROI % from starting bank balance: -6.82% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

akatako diary: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '18 Dillon Danis Kyle Walker 6.94 1 Sub, R1 (1:39) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '18 Justin Willis Chase Sherman 1.33 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '18 Justin Willis Chase Sherman 1.30 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '18 Ricky Simon Merab Dvalishvili 1.33 2 TKO, R3 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '18 Daniel Hooker Jim Miller 1.33 3 TKO, R1 (3:0) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '18 Corey Anderson Patrick Cummins 1.72 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '18 Frankie Edgar Cub Swanson 1.46 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '18 Brad Tavares Krzysztof Jotko 1.94 1 TKO, R3 (2:16) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '18 Yushin Okami Dhiego Lima 1.94 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '18 John Moraga Wilson Reis 2.14 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '18 Brad Tavares Krzysztof Jotko 1.74 1.5 TKO, R3 (2:16) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '18 Frank Mir Fedor Emelianenko 1.71 5 TKO, R1 (0:48) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '18 Keita Nakamura Tony Martin 3.05 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '18 Edson Barboza Kevin Lee 2.19 3 TKO, R5 (2:18) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '18 Arjan Bhullar Adam Wieczorek 1.31 2 Sub, R2 (1:59) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '18 Cortney Casey Michelle Waterson 1.87 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '18 Ricky Rainey Muslim Salikhov 2.75 1.5 TKO, R2 (4:12) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '18 Shana Dobson Lauren Mueller 2.35 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '18 Carlos Condit Alex Oliveira 2.75 1 Sub, R2 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '18 Tim Boetsch Antonio Carlos Junior 3.20 1 Sub, R1 (4:28) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '18 Marvin Vettori Israel Adesanya 3.20 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '18 Cortney Casey Michelle Waterson 1.85 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '18 Justin Gaethje Dustin Poirier 2.15 3 TKO, R4 (0:33) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

akatako diary: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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