|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Mystic Moose |
|
Mystic Moose: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 25 (56%) Losing Events: 20 (44%)
Average Staked Per Event: 11.13 units Most Staked On One Event: 35.00 units Best Event: 19.50 units Worst Event: -18.00 units Average Event: 0.04 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 40.08 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -31.64 |
Mystic Moose: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2019 |
260 |
8.7 |
3% |
17.1 / 202 (8%) |
-11.5 / 53 (-22%) |
3.0 / 5 (60%) |
12 / 8 (60%) |
0.43 |
2018 |
241 |
-6.8 |
-3% |
-34.0 / 178 (-19%) |
27.8 / 55 (50%) |
-0.6 / 8 (-8%) |
13 / 12 (52%) |
-0.27 |
|
Mystic Moose: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Mystic Moose: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
493 |
9.9 |
2% |
-8.8 / 372 (-2%) |
16.3 / 108 (15%) |
2.4 / 13 (18%) |
Bellator |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
-8.0 / 8 (-100%) |
|
|
|
Mystic Moose: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
18 (30%) |
15 |
83 % |
117.00 |
19.17 |
1.06 |
16% |
Slight Favorites |
30 (50%) |
13 |
43 % |
197.00 |
-47.45 |
-1.58 |
-24% |
Slight Underdogs |
10 (17%) |
5 |
50 % |
57.00 |
20.45 |
2.05 |
36% |
Big Underdogs |
2 (3%) |
0 |
0 % |
9.00 |
-9.00 |
-4.50 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
16 (27%) |
5 |
31 % |
99.00 |
-51.10 |
-3.19 |
-52% |
Co-Main Event |
6 (10%) |
5 |
83 % |
40.00 |
14.55 |
2.42 |
36% |
Position 3-5 |
12 (20%) |
7 |
58 % |
72.00 |
11.42 |
0.95 |
16% |
6+ (Undercard) |
26 (43%) |
16 |
62 % |
169.00 |
8.30 |
0.32 |
5% |
|
Mystic Moose: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
6 (10%) |
4 |
67 % |
45.00 |
1.30 |
0.22 |
3% |
Light Heavy |
5 (8%) |
2 |
40 % |
35.00 |
4.90 |
0.98 |
14% |
Middleweight |
3 (5%) |
1 |
33 % |
20.00 |
-3.90 |
-1.30 |
-20% |
Welterweight |
10 (17%) |
6 |
60 % |
55.00 |
-0.70 |
-0.07 |
-1% |
Lightweight |
12 (20%) |
7 |
58 % |
74.00 |
4.55 |
0.38 |
6% |
Featherweight |
7 (12%) |
4 |
57 % |
43.00 |
-5.20 |
-0.74 |
-12% |
Bantamweight |
9 (15%) |
3 |
33 % |
62.00 |
-30.80 |
-3.42 |
-50% |
Flyweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
5.00 |
-5.00 |
-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
7 (12%) |
6 |
86 % |
41.00 |
18.02 |
2.57 |
44% |
Featherweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
5.00 |
-5.00 |
-5.00 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
10.00 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
40% |
Flyweight |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
10.00 |
7.60 |
7.60 |
76% |
Strawweight |
4 (7%) |
4 |
100 % |
16.00 |
11.42 |
2.85 |
71% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
4 (100%) |
4 |
100 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
4 |
4 |
100 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
5 (13%) |
3 |
60 % |
50-65% |
24 (62%) |
18 |
75 % |
35-50% |
7 (18%) |
3 |
43 % |
<35% chance |
3 (8%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
39 |
24 |
62 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Mystic Moose's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
7th Apr |
UFC 223 |
2 |
2.2 |
110% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,022.00 |
14th Apr |
UFC on Fox 29 |
10 |
5.8 |
58% |
|
$10.22 |
$1,022.00 |
$1,081.79 |
21st Apr |
UFC Fight Night 128 |
10 |
-1.5 |
-15% |
|
$10.82 |
$1,081.79 |
$1,065.56 |
12th May |
UFC 224 |
15 |
9.3 |
62% |
|
$10.66 |
$1,065.56 |
$1,164.12 |
19th May |
UFC Fight Night 129 |
24 |
6.0 |
25% |
|
$11.64 |
$1,164.12 |
$1,234.20 |
27th May |
UFC Fight Night 130 |
8 |
-0.6 |
-8% |
|
$12.34 |
$1,234.20 |
$1,226.49 |
9th Jun |
UFC 225 |
13 |
8.8 |
68% |
|
$12.26 |
$1,226.49 |
$1,334.79 |
23rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night 132 |
9 |
9.9 |
111% |
|
$13.35 |
$1,334.79 |
$1,467.60 |
7th Jul |
TUF 27 Finale |
10 |
-3.1 |
-31% |
|
$14.68 |
$1,467.60 |
$1,422.10 |
7th Jul |
UFC 226 |
10 |
-2.1 |
-21% |
|
$14.22 |
$1,422.10 |
$1,392.24 |
14th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 133 |
10 |
4.9 |
49% |
|
$13.92 |
$1,392.24 |
$1,461.15 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night 134 |
12 |
-12.0 |
-100% |
|
$14.61 |
$1,461.15 |
$1,285.81 |
28th Jul |
UFC on Fox 30 |
15 |
0.8 |
5% |
|
$12.86 |
$1,285.81 |
$1,295.84 |
4th Aug |
UFC 227 |
5 |
2.5 |
50% |
|
$12.96 |
$1,295.84 |
$1,328.24 |
25th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.28 |
$1,328.24 |
$1,261.83 |
8th Sep |
UFC 228 |
16 |
-6.1 |
-38% |
|
$12.62 |
$1,261.83 |
$1,184.48 |
22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
10 |
-3.0 |
-30% |
|
$11.84 |
$1,184.48 |
$1,148.94 |
6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
3 |
2.0 |
68% |
|
$11.49 |
$1,148.94 |
$1,172.38 |
27th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 138 |
11 |
0.2 |
1% |
|
$11.72 |
$1,172.38 |
$1,174.25 |
3rd Nov |
UFC 230 |
4 |
0.9 |
22% |
|
$11.74 |
$1,174.25 |
$1,184.71 |
24th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 141 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.85 |
$1,184.71 |
$1,125.47 |
30th Nov |
TUF Finale |
5 |
2.1 |
42% |
|
$11.25 |
$1,125.47 |
$1,149.10 |
1st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
6 |
-0.9 |
-15% |
|
$11.49 |
$1,149.10 |
$1,138.76 |
8th Dec |
UFC 231 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.39 |
$1,138.76 |
$1,081.82 |
29th Dec |
UFC 232 |
18 |
-18.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.82 |
$1,081.82 |
$887.10 |
2nd Mar |
UFC 235 |
10 |
6.9 |
69% |
|
$8.87 |
$887.10 |
$948.30 |
9th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 146 |
10 |
5.0 |
50% |
|
$9.48 |
$948.30 |
$995.72 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 147 |
3 |
2.2 |
73% |
|
$9.96 |
$995.72 |
$1,017.53 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night 148 |
9 |
-9.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.18 |
$1,017.53 |
$925.95 |
13th Apr |
UFC 236 |
31 |
10.6 |
34% |
|
$9.26 |
$925.95 |
$1,023.95 |
20th Apr |
UFC Fight Night 149 |
10 |
10.0 |
100% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,023.95 |
$1,126.35 |
27th Apr |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
30 |
19.5 |
65% |
|
$11.26 |
$1,126.35 |
$1,345.98 |
4th May |
UFC Fight Night 150 |
6 |
-1.8 |
-30% |
|
$13.46 |
$1,345.98 |
$1,321.76 |
11th May |
UFC 237 |
13 |
1.0 |
8% |
|
$13.22 |
$1,321.76 |
$1,334.97 |
18th May |
UFC Fight Night 152 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.35 |
$1,334.97 |
$1,268.22 |
1st Jun |
UFC Fight Night 153 |
3 |
1.7 |
57% |
|
$12.68 |
$1,268.22 |
$1,289.91 |
8th Jun |
UFC 238 |
35 |
-13.6 |
-39% |
|
$12.90 |
$1,289.91 |
$1,113.97 |
14th Jun |
Bellator 222 |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.14 |
$1,113.97 |
$1,024.85 |
22nd Jun |
UFC Fight Night 154 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.25 |
$1,024.85 |
$922.36 |
6th Jul |
UFC 239 |
5 |
8.4 |
167% |
|
$9.22 |
$922.36 |
$999.38 |
27th Jul |
UFC 240 |
10 |
7.6 |
76% |
|
$9.99 |
$999.38 |
$1,075.34 |
3rd Aug |
UFC on ESPN 5 |
13 |
5.8 |
45% |
|
$10.75 |
$1,075.34 |
$1,137.71 |
10th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 156 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.38 |
$1,137.71 |
$1,023.93 |
17th Aug |
UFC 241 |
25 |
1.5 |
6% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,023.93 |
$1,039.29 |
7th Sep |
UFC 242 |
14 |
-14.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.39 |
$1,039.29 |
$893.79 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -10.62% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Mystic Moose: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Aug '19 |
Cory Sandhagen |
Raphael Assuncao |
1.58 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Aug '19 |
Nate Diaz |
Anthony Pettis |
2.14 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Aug '19 |
Nasrat Haqparast |
Joaquim Silva |
1.40 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
|
|
4. |
Jul '19 |
Gillian Robertson |
Sarah Frota |
1.76 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (4:13) |
|
|
5. |
Jul '19 |
Jorge Masvidal |
Ben Askren |
2.67 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:5) |
|
|
6. |
Jun '19 |
Calvin Kattar |
Ricardo Lamas |
1.62 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (4:6) |
|
|
7. |
May '19 |
Irene Aldana |
Bethe Correia |
1.40 |
10 |
Sub, R3 (3:24) |
|
|
8. |
Apr '19 |
Roosevelt Roberts |
Thomas Gifford |
1.25 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Apr '19 |
Greg Hardy |
Dmitry Smoliakov |
1.40 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (2:15) |
|
|
10. |
Apr '19 |
Glover Teixeira |
Ion Cutelaba |
2.30 |
10 |
Sub, R2 (3:37) |
|
|
11. |
Apr '19 |
Alexander Yakovlev |
Alex da Silva |
2.00 |
10 |
Sub, R2 (3:10) |
|
|
12. |
Apr '19 |
Israel Adesanya |
Kelvin Gastelum |
1.61 |
10 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Mar '19 |
Junior dos Santos |
Derrick Lewis |
1.50 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (1:58) |
|
|
14. |
Mar '19 |
Johnny Walker |
Misha Cirkunov |
1.69 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (0:36) |
|
|
15. |
Nov '18 |
Raoni Barcelos |
Chris Gutierrez |
1.42 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (4:12) |
|
|
16. |
Sep '18 |
Sergio Moraes |
Ben Saunders |
1.40 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (4:42) |
|
|
17. |
Aug '18 |
Pedro Munhoz |
Brett Johns |
1.50 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Jul '18 |
Dustin Poirier |
Eddie Alvarez |
1.58 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:5) |
|
|
19. |
Jul '18 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
Tecia Torres |
1.36 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Jul '18 |
Alex Volkanovski |
Darren Elkins |
1.40 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Sep '19 |
Dustin Poirier |
Khabib Nurmagomedov |
4.80 |
4 |
Sub, R3 (2:6) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Sep '19 |
Nordine Taleb |
Muslim Salikhov |
1.81 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (4:26) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Aug '19 |
Daniel Cormier |
Stipe Miocic |
1.74 |
10 |
TKO, R4 (4:9) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Aug '19 |
Geraldo De Freitas Jr. |
Chris Gutierrez |
1.80 |
10 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Jun '19 |
Renato Moicano |
Chan Sung Jung |
1.53 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (0:58) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Jun '19 |
Eduardo Dantas |
Juan Archulata |
2.80 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Jun '19 |
Ricky Bandejas |
Patrick Mix |
1.80 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (1:6) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Jun '19 |
Donald Cerrone |
Tony Ferguson |
2.53 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Jun '19 |
Marlon Moraes |
Henry Cejudo |
1.86 |
10 |
TKO, R3 (4:51) |
No |
|
|
10. |
May '19 |
Kevin Lee |
Rafael dos Anjos |
2.00 |
5 |
Sub, R4 (3:47) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Dec '18 |
Cat Zingano |
Megan Anderson |
1.67 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:1) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Dec '18 |
Alexander Gustafsson |
Jon Jones |
3.50 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (2:2) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Dec '18 |
Brian Kelleher |
Montel Jackson |
2.50 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (1:40) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Dec '18 |
Chad Laprise |
Dhiego Lima |
1.40 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:37) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Nov '18 |
Curtis Blaydes |
Francis Ngannou |
1.50 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:45) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Oct '18 |
Volkan Oezdemir |
Anthony Smith |
1.55 |
5 |
Sub, R3 (4:26) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Sep '18 |
Renan Barao |
Andre Ewell |
1.70 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Sep '18 |
Alex White |
Jim Miller |
1.70 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (1:29) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Sep '18 |
Darren Till |
Tyron Woodley |
1.87 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (4:19) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Aug '18 |
James Vick |
Justin Gaethje |
1.68 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:27) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Mystic Moose: Progress Chart |
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