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MMA Handicapper Stats: FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0

FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0 (FightForecaster)

MMA MHandicapper - FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	28 (43%)	Right	28 (43%)	Right	0 (nan%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	37 (57%)	Wrong	37 (57%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	2.19	Avg Odds	2.19	Avg Odds	nan	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	142.0	Units Bet	142.0	Units Bet	0.0	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	2.18	Avg Bet	2.18	Avg Bet	nan	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	0.12	Units Profit	0.12	Units Profit	0.00	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	0%	ROI %	0%	ROI %	nan%	ROI %	nan%

FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Jul '19	UFC Fight Night 155	9	2.4	27%	2.4 / 9 (27%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	11	-3.3	-30%	-3.3 / 11 (-30%)
1st Jun '18	UFC Fight Night 131	9	-2.8	-32%	-2.8 / 9 (-32%)
27th May '18	UFC Fight Night 130	15	-15.0	-100%	-15.0 / 15 (-100%)
19th May '18	UFC Fight Night 129	14	-9.1	-65%	-9.1 / 14 (-65%)
12th May '18	UFC 224	19	2.7	14%	2.7 / 19 (14%)
21st Apr '18	UFC Fight Night 128	10	-4.3	-43%	-4.3 / 10 (-43%)
14th Apr '18	UFC on Fox 29	15	-2.8	-19%	-2.8 / 15 (-19%)
7th Apr '18	UFC 223	14	8.9	63%	8.9 / 14 (63%)
17th Mar '18	UFC Fight Night 127	7	15.6	224%	15.6 / 7 (224%)
3rd Mar '18	UFC 222	19	7.9	42%	7.9 / 19 (42%)

Winning Events: 5 (45%)
Losing Events: 6 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.91 units
Most Staked On One Event: 19.00 units
Best Event: 15.65 units
Worst Event: -15.00 units
Average Event: 0.01 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 32.40
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -30.24

FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	20	-0.9	-4%	-0.9 / 20 (-4%)			1 / 1 (50%)	-0.44
2018	122	1.0	1%	1.0 / 122 (1%)			4 / 5 (44%)	0.11

FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	142	0.1	0%	0.1 / 142 (0%)

FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	9 (14%)	7	78 %	13.00	1.33	0.15	10%
Slight Favorites	13 (20%)	5	38 %	40.00	-13.66	-1.05	-34%
Slight Underdogs	25 (38%)	12	48 %	61.00	9.55	0.38	16%
Big Underdogs	18 (28%)	4	22 %	28.00	2.90	0.16	10%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	6 (9%)	3	50 %	11.00	-1.75	-0.29	-16%
Co-Main Event	6 (9%)	3	50 %	10.00	4.41	0.73	44%
Position 3-5	19 (29%)	8	42 %	42.00	-3.06	-0.16	-7%
6+ (Undercard)	34 (52%)	14	41 %	79.00	0.53	0.02	1%

FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (6%)	3	75 %	9.00	12.55	3.14	139%
Light Heavy	4 (6%)	4	100 %	10.00	8.91	2.23	89%
Middleweight	13 (20%)	6	46 %	30.00	1.18	0.09	4%
Welterweight	11 (17%)	2	18 %	26.00	-19.79	-1.80	-76%
Lightweight	5 (8%)	1	20 %	9.00	-0.30	-0.06	-3%
Featherweight	9 (14%)	5	56 %	17.00	6.34	0.70	37%
Bantamweight	6 (9%)	2	33 %	15.00	-5.55	-0.92	-37%
Flyweight	2 (3%)		0 %	6.00	-6.00	-3.00	-100%

Women's Fights	11 (17%)	5	45 %	20.00	2.78	0.25	14%
Featherweight	2 (3%)	1	50 %	2.00	-0.69	-0.35	-35%
Bantamweight	3 (5%)	2	67 %	7.00	3.24	1.08	46%
Flyweight	1 (2%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Strawweight	5 (8%)	2	40 %	9.00	2.23	0.45	25%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
35-50%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
	0	0	nan %	nan			0.0 (nan%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
3rd Mar	UFC 222	19	7.9	42%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,078.96
17th Mar	UFC Fight Night 127	7	15.6	224%		$10.79	$1,078.96	$1,247.82
7th Apr	UFC 223	14	8.9	63%		$12.48	$1,247.82	$1,358.34
14th Apr	UFC on Fox 29	15	-2.8	-19%		$13.58	$1,358.34	$1,319.63
21st Apr	UFC Fight Night 128	10	-4.3	-43%		$13.20	$1,319.63	$1,262.88
12th May	UFC 224	19	2.7	14%		$12.63	$1,262.88	$1,297.03
19th May	UFC Fight Night 129	14	-9.1	-65%		$12.97	$1,297.03	$1,179.00
27th May	UFC Fight Night 130	15	-15.0	-100%		$11.79	$1,179.00	$1,002.15
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 131	9	-2.8	-32%		$10.02	$1,002.15	$973.59
6th Jul	UFC 239	11	-3.3	-30%		$9.74	$973.59	$941.58
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 155	9	2.4	27%		$9.42	$941.58	$964.17

ROI % from starting bank balance: -3.58% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '19	Karl Roberson	Wellington Turman	1.54	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Jul '19	Andre Fili	Sheymon da Silva Moraes	2.20	1	TKO, R1 (3:7)
3.	Jul '19	Josh Emmett	Mirsad Bektic	2.45	1	TKO, R1 (4:25)
4.	Jul '19	Urijah Faber	Ricky Simon	3.30	1	TKO, R1 (0:46)
5.	Jul '19	Germaine de Randamie	Aspen Ladd	1.91	1	TKO, R1 (0:16)
6.	Jul '19	Edmen Shahbazyan	Jack Marshman	1.19	1	Sub, R1 (1:12)
7.	Jul '19	Claudia Gadelha	Randa Markos	1.43	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jul '19	Arnold Allen	Gilbert Melendez	1.29	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jul '19	Michael Chiesa	Diego Sanchez	1.31	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jul '19	Amanda Nunes	Holly Holm	1.31	1	TKO, R1 (4:10)
11.	Jul '19	Jon Jones	Thiago Santos	1.19	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)
12.	Jun '18	Marlon Moraes	Jimmie Rivera	2.05	3	TKO, R1 (0:33)
13.	May '18	Michel Prazeres	Zak Cummings	2.45	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
14.	May '18	Aleksei Oleinik	Junior Albini	2.10	2	Sub, R1 (1:45)
15.	May '18	Cezar Ferreira	Karl Roberson	2.20	4	Sub, R1 (4:45)
16.	May '18	Davi Ramos	Nick Hein	1.74	5	Sub, R1 (4:15)
17.	Apr '18	David Branch	Thiago Santos	2.85	2	TKO, R1 (2:30)
18.	Apr '18	Adam Wieczorek	Arjan Bhullar	4.05	3	Sub, R2 (1:59)
19.	Apr '18	Devin Clark	Mike Rodriguez	1.95	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Mar '18	Paul Craig	Magomed Ankalaev	5.25	1	Sub, R3 (4:59)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '19	Pingyuan Liu	Jonathan Martinez	1.59	1	TKO, R3 (3:54)	No
2.	Jul '19	Cezar Ferreira	Marvin Vettori	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jul '19	Darren Elkins	Ryan Hall	2.05	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jul '19	Livia Renata Souza	Brianna Van Buren	1.74	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Jul '19	Pannie Kianzad	Julia Avila	2.95	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jul '19	Alejandro Perez	Yadong Song	2.85	1	TKO, R1 (2:4)	No
7.	Jul '19	Ismail Naurdiev	Chance Rencountre	1.22	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jul '19	Ben Askren	Jorge Masvidal	1.37	1	TKO, R1 (0:5)	No
9.	Jul '19	Luke Rockhold	Jan Blachowicz	1.59	1	TKO, R2 (1:39)	No
10.	Jun '18	Jarred Brooks	Jose Torres	2.55	2	TKO, R2 (2:55)	No
11.	Jun '18	Nik Lentz	David Teymur	3.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jun '18	Vinc Pichel	Gregor Gillespie	5.00	1	Sub, R2 (4:6)	No
13.	Jun '18	Daniel Spitz	Walt Harris	3.50	2	TKO, R2 (4:59)	No
14.	May '18	Stephen Thompson	Darren Till	1.91	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
15.	May '18	Brad Scott	Carlo Pedersoli Jr.	2.55	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	May '18	Mads Burnell	Arnold Allen	3.40	1	Sub, R3 (2:41)	No
17.	May '18	Daniel Kelly	Tom Breese	2.80	4	TKO, R1 (3:33)	No
18.	May '18	Jason Knight	Makwan Amirkhani	1.67	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	May '18	Diego Rivas	Guido Cannetti	1.65	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	May '18	Brandon Moreno	Alexandre Pantoja	2.10	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0: Progress Chart

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