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MMA Handicapper Stats: PhilsFightPicks User

PhilsFightPicks User (PhilsFightPicks)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - PhilsFightPicks User

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 16 (55%) Right 8 (44%) Right 7 (70%) Right 1 (100%)
Wrong 13 (45%) Wrong 10 (56%) Wrong 3 (30%) Wrong 0 (0%)
Avg Odds 1.57 Avg Odds 1.68 Avg Odds 1.41 Avg Odds 1.41
Units Bet 79.8 Units Bet 52.3 Units Bet 26.2 Units Bet 1.3
Avg Bet 2.75 Avg Bet 2.91 Avg Bet 2.62 Avg Bet 1.30
Units Profit -15.72 Units Profit -12.85 Units Profit -3.40 Units Profit 0.53
ROI % -20% ROI % -25% ROI % -13% ROI % 41%
View Handicapper's Profile

PhilsFightPicks User: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
28th Apr '18 Bellator 198 1.8 1.2 66% 0.7 / 0.5 (130%) 0.5 / 1.3 (41%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 8 -2.7 -34% -2.7 / 8 (-34%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 8 0.2 3% 0.2 / 8 (3%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 10 -6.4 -64% -8.0 / 8 (-100%) 1.6 / 2 (80%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 8 -1.3 -16% 1.1 / 3 (38%) -2.4 / 5 (-49%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 6.5 -6.5 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 16.7 6.1 36% 2.4 / 8.3 (28%) 3.7 / 8.4 (44%)
4th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 125 7 -2.9 -41% 1.1 / 3 (37%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 3.3 1.2 38% 1.2 / 3.3 (38%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 4.5 1.4 31% 1.4 / 4.5 (31%)


Winning Events: 5 (45%)
Losing Events: 6 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.25 units
Most Staked On One Event: 16.70 units
Best Event: 6.06 units
Worst Event: -6.50 units
Average Event: -1.43 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 6.06
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -14.21

PhilsFightPicks User: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 79.8 -15.7 -20% -12.8 / 52.3 (-25%) -3.4 / 26.2 (-13%) 0.5 / 1.3 (41%) 5 / 6 (45%) -1.43

PhilsFightPicks User: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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PhilsFightPicks User: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 78 -16.9 -22% -13.5 / 51.8 (-26%) -3.4 / 26.2 (-13%)
Bellator 1.8 1.2 66% 0.7 / 0.5 (130%) 0.5 / 1.3 (41%)

PhilsFightPicks User: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (33%) 4 67 % 21.50 -2.06 -0.34 -10%
Slight Favorites 8 (44%) 2 25 % 22.30 -11.64 -1.45 -52%
Slight Underdogs 3 (17%) 2 67 % 6.50 2.85 0.95 44%
Big Underdogs 1 (6%) 0 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 2 (11%) 1 50 % 2.50 -1.35 -0.67 -54%
Co-Main Event 6 (33%) 3 50 % 20.50 -5.55 -0.92 -27%
Position 3-5 3 (17%) 0 0 % 6.30 -6.30 -2.10 -100%
6+ (Undercard) 7 (39%) 4 57 % 23.00 0.35 0.05 2%

PhilsFightPicks User: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (11%) 2 100 % 3.50 2.59 1.29 74%
Light Heavy 1 (6%) 1 100 % 4.50 1.38 1.38 31%
Middleweight 2 (11%) 1 50 % 5.00 -0.89 -0.44 -18%
Welterweight 1 (6%) 0 % 2.30 -2.30 -2.30 -100%
Lightweight 5 (28%) 2 40 % 17.00 -3.49 -0.70 -21%
Featherweight 2 (11%) 0 % 6.00 -6.00 -3.00 -100%
Flyweight 2 (11%) 1 50 % 5.00 0.73 0.36 15%
               
Women's Fights 3 (17%) 1 33 % 9.00 -4.87 -1.62 -54%
Strawweight 3 (17%) 1 33 % 9.00 -4.87 -1.62 -54%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 3 (100%) 3 100 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
3 3 100 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 9 (90%) 6 67 %
50-65% 1 (10%) 1 100 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
10 7 70 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (60%) 6 100 % 1.41 1.53Pick was correct 1.28Pick was correct 2.5 (42%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (10%) 1 100 % 1.80 1.80Pick was correct 1.80Pick was correct 0.8 (80%)
Goes to Decision 1 (10%) 0 0 % 1.36 1.36Pick was incorrect 1.36Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 2 (20%) 0 0 % 1.30 1.36Pick was incorrect 1.24Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
10 7 70 % 1.41     0.3 (3%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail PhilsFightPicks User's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
20th Jan UFC 220 4.5 1.4 31% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,013.85
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 3.3 1.2 38% $10.14 $1,013.85 $1,026.47
4th Feb UFC Fight Night 125 7 -2.9 -41% $10.26 $1,026.47 $996.82
10th Feb UFC 221 16.7 6.1 36% $9.97 $996.82 $1,057.20
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 6.5 -6.5 -100% $10.57 $1,057.20 $988.48
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 8 -1.3 -16% $9.88 $988.48 $975.51
3rd Mar UFC 222 10 -6.4 -64% $9.76 $975.51 $913.07
7th Apr UFC 223 8 0.2 3% $9.13 $913.07 $914.90
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 6 -6.0 -100% $9.15 $914.90 $860.01
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 8 -2.7 -34% $8.60 $860.01 $836.88
28th Apr Bellator 198 1.8 1.2 66% $8.37 $836.88 $846.79


ROI % from starting bank balance: -15.32% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

PhilsFightPicks User: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '18 Fedor Emelianenko Frank Mir 2.30 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:48) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '18 Daniel Hooker Jim Miller 1.33 4 TKO, R1 (3:0) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '18 Olivier Aubin-Mercier Evan Dunham 2.05 4 TKO, R1 (0:53) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '18 Jessica Andrade Tecia Torres 1.38 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '18 Jussier Formiga Ben Nguyen 1.91 3 Sub, R3 (1:41) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '18 Curtis Blaydes Mark Hunt 1.65 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '18 Thiago Santos Anthony Smith 1.37 3 TKO, R2 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '18 Daniel Cormier Volkan Oezdemir 1.31 4.5 TKO, R2 (2:0) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '18 Thiago Santos David Branch 1.67 2 TKO, R1 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '18 Cub Swanson Frankie Edgar 3.20 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '18 Cortney Casey Michelle Waterson 1.65 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '18 Wilson Reis John Moraga 1.83 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '18 Justin Gaethje Dustin Poirier 2.15 2 TKO, R4 (0:33) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '18 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Rose Namajunas 1.95 4 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '18 Frankie Edgar Brian Ortega 1.69 4 TKO, R1 (4:44) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '18 Beneil Dariush Alexander Hernandez 1.26 4 TKO, R1 (0:42) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '18 Jared Gordon Carlos Diego Ferreira 1.51 3 TKO, R1 (1:58) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '18 Li Jingliang Jake Matthews 1.63 2.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

PhilsFightPicks User: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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