| |
MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA Profitable Plays |
|
|
MMA Profitable Plays: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 20 (51%)
Losing Events: 19 (49%)
Average Staked Per Event: 8.08 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.50 units
Best Event: 9.70 units
Worst Event: -14.00 units
Average Event: 0.17 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 17.71
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -36.69 |
MMA Profitable Plays: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2019 |
11 |
-6.1 |
-56% |
-6.1 / 11 (-56%) |
|
|
/ 1 (0%) |
-6.14 |
| 2018 |
304 |
12.6 |
4% |
-10.1 / 255.5 (-4%) |
6.5 / 22 (30%) |
16.2 / 26.5 (61%) |
20 / 18 (53%) |
0.33 |
|
MMA Profitable Plays: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
|
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
MMA Profitable Plays: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
279.5 |
-2.4 |
-1% |
-18.8 / 237 (-8%) |
4.0 / 20 (20%) |
12.4 / 22.5 (55%) |
|
Bellator |
35.5 |
8.9 |
25% |
2.6 / 29.5 (9%) |
2.5 / 2 (125%) |
3.8 / 4 (95%) |
|
MMA Profitable Plays: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
19 (22%) |
15 |
79 % |
80.00 |
9.78 |
0.51 |
12% |
| Slight Favorites |
40 (47%) |
19 |
48 % |
128.00 |
-28.06 |
-0.70 |
-22% |
| Slight Underdogs |
19 (22%) |
8 |
42 % |
44.50 |
3.85 |
0.20 |
9% |
| Big Underdogs |
7 (8%) |
2 |
29 % |
14.00 |
-1.80 |
-0.26 |
-13% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
20 (24%) |
9 |
45 % |
78.00 |
-23.97 |
-1.20 |
-31% |
| Co-Main Event |
16 (19%) |
8 |
50 % |
52.00 |
5.20 |
0.32 |
10% |
| Position 3-5 |
23 (27%) |
12 |
52 % |
65.00 |
6.06 |
0.26 |
9% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
26 (31%) |
15 |
58 % |
71.50 |
-3.52 |
-0.14 |
-5% |
|
MMA Profitable Plays: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
7 (8%) |
|
0 % |
22.00 |
-22.00 |
-3.14 |
-100% |
| Light Heavy |
9 (11%) |
7 |
78 % |
25.00 |
16.95 |
1.88 |
68% |
| Middleweight |
5 (6%) |
2 |
40 % |
13.00 |
-3.94 |
-0.79 |
-30% |
| Welterweight |
11 (13%) |
6 |
55 % |
47.00 |
2.21 |
0.20 |
5% |
| Lightweight |
14 (16%) |
8 |
57 % |
50.50 |
-4.07 |
-0.29 |
-8% |
| Featherweight |
10 (12%) |
5 |
50 % |
36.00 |
-4.62 |
-0.46 |
-13% |
| Bantamweight |
10 (12%) |
6 |
60 % |
24.00 |
3.79 |
0.38 |
16% |
| Flyweight |
5 (6%) |
2 |
40 % |
16.00 |
-4.30 |
-0.86 |
-27% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
14 (16%) |
8 |
57 % |
33.00 |
-0.25 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
| Bantamweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
| Flyweight |
3 (4%) |
2 |
67 % |
6.50 |
0.56 |
0.19 |
9% |
| Strawweight |
10 (12%) |
6 |
60 % |
24.50 |
1.19 |
0.12 |
5% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
14 (88%) |
13 |
93 % |
| Slight Favorites |
2 (13%) |
2 |
100 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
16 |
15 |
94 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
4 (33%) |
4 |
100 % |
| 50-65% |
3 (25%) |
2 |
67 % |
| 35-50% |
2 (17%) |
2 |
100 % |
| <35% chance |
3 (25%) |
1 |
33 % |
|
12 |
9 |
75 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail MMA Profitable Plays's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 20th Jan |
UFC 220 |
8.5 |
3.7 |
44% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,037.44 |
| 20th Jan |
Bellator 192 |
6 |
4.0 |
67% |
|
$10.37 |
$1,037.44 |
$1,078.94 |
| 26th Jan |
Bellator 193 |
6 |
2.0 |
33% |
|
$10.79 |
$1,078.94 |
$1,100.30 |
| 27th Jan |
UFC on Fox 27 |
7.5 |
4.4 |
59% |
|
$11.00 |
$1,100.30 |
$1,149.10 |
| 4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 125 |
5 |
3.5 |
71% |
|
$11.49 |
$1,149.10 |
$1,189.89 |
| 10th Feb |
UFC 221 |
8.5 |
-0.8 |
-10% |
|
$11.90 |
$1,189.89 |
$1,180.14 |
| 17th Feb |
Bellator 194 |
2 |
2.5 |
125% |
|
$11.80 |
$1,180.14 |
$1,209.64 |
| 18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 126 |
9 |
-0.1 |
-1% |
|
$12.10 |
$1,209.64 |
$1,208.92 |
| 24th Feb |
UFC on Fox 28 |
7.5 |
6.4 |
85% |
|
$12.09 |
$1,208.92 |
$1,285.68 |
| 2nd Mar |
Bellator 195 |
2.5 |
1.0 |
40% |
|
$12.86 |
$1,285.68 |
$1,298.54 |
| 3rd Mar |
UFC 222 |
13 |
-2.7 |
-21% |
|
$12.99 |
$1,298.54 |
$1,263.41 |
| 17th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 127 |
14 |
3.8 |
27% |
|
$12.63 |
$1,263.41 |
$1,311.68 |
| 7th Apr |
UFC 223 |
7.5 |
-3.9 |
-52% |
|
$13.12 |
$1,311.68 |
$1,260.52 |
| 14th Apr |
UFC on Fox 29 |
5.5 |
-0.1 |
-2% |
|
$12.61 |
$1,260.52 |
$1,259.26 |
| 21st Apr |
UFC Fight Night 128 |
12.5 |
0.1 |
1% |
|
$12.59 |
$1,259.26 |
$1,260.52 |
| 12th May |
UFC 224 |
12 |
5.3 |
44% |
|
$12.61 |
$1,260.52 |
$1,326.70 |
| 27th May |
UFC Fight Night 130 |
11.5 |
-6.5 |
-57% |
|
$13.27 |
$1,326.70 |
$1,240.29 |
| 1st Jun |
UFC Fight Night 131 |
6 |
5.0 |
83% |
|
$12.40 |
$1,240.29 |
$1,302.31 |
| 9th Jun |
UFC 225 |
11 |
9.7 |
88% |
|
$13.02 |
$1,302.31 |
$1,428.63 |
| 23rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night 132 |
6 |
-3.5 |
-58% |
|
$14.29 |
$1,428.63 |
$1,378.63 |
| 29th Jun |
Bellator 201 |
2 |
1.6 |
80% |
|
$13.79 |
$1,378.63 |
$1,400.69 |
| 7th Jul |
TUF 27 Finale |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$14.01 |
$1,400.69 |
$1,330.65 |
| 7th Jul |
UFC 226 |
7 |
1.6 |
23% |
|
$13.31 |
$1,330.65 |
$1,351.94 |
| 14th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 133 |
10 |
-1.6 |
-16% |
|
$13.52 |
$1,351.94 |
$1,330.31 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night 134 |
9 |
-1.5 |
-17% |
|
$13.30 |
$1,330.31 |
$1,310.36 |
| 28th Jul |
UFC on Fox 30 |
15.5 |
6.0 |
38% |
|
$13.10 |
$1,310.36 |
$1,388.45 |
| 4th Aug |
UFC 227 |
11 |
9.5 |
87% |
|
$13.88 |
$1,388.45 |
$1,520.70 |
| 17th Aug |
Bellator 204 |
5 |
2.0 |
40% |
|
$15.21 |
$1,520.70 |
$1,551.12 |
| 25th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
12 |
-2.8 |
-23% |
|
$15.51 |
$1,551.12 |
$1,508.30 |
| 8th Sep |
UFC 228 |
8.5 |
-4.4 |
-52% |
|
$15.08 |
$1,508.30 |
$1,441.37 |
| 15th Sep |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
7 |
-2.6 |
-37% |
|
$14.41 |
$1,441.37 |
$1,403.90 |
| 22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
3 |
2.8 |
93% |
|
$14.04 |
$1,403.90 |
$1,443.14 |
| 29th Sep |
Bellator 206 |
4 |
3.8 |
95% |
|
$14.43 |
$1,443.14 |
$1,497.75 |
| 6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
14 |
-14.0 |
-100% |
|
$14.98 |
$1,497.75 |
$1,288.06 |
| 13th Oct |
Bellator 208 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.88 |
$1,288.06 |
$1,210.78 |
| 3rd Nov |
UFC 230 |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.11 |
$1,210.78 |
$1,113.92 |
| 10th Nov |
UFC Fight Night Denver |
13.5 |
-0.6 |
-4% |
|
$11.14 |
$1,113.92 |
$1,107.79 |
| 15th Nov |
Bellator 209 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.08 |
$1,107.79 |
$1,085.63 |
| 19th Jan |
UFC on ESPN+ 1 |
11 |
-6.1 |
-56% |
|
$10.86 |
$1,085.63 |
$1,018.98 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 1.90% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
MMA Profitable Plays: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Jan '19 |
Alexander Hernandez |
Donald Cerrone |
1.57 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:43) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Jan '19 |
Karl Roberson |
Glover Teixeira |
2.05 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:21) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Jan '19 |
T.J. Dillashaw |
Henry Cejudo |
1.53 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (0:32) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Nov '18 |
Emmanuel Sanchez |
Patricio Freire |
2.50 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Nov '18 |
Luis Pena |
Mike Trizano |
1.62 |
6.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Nov '18 |
Julio Arce |
Sheymon da Silva Moraes |
1.40 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Oct '18 |
Chael Sonnen |
Fedor Emelianenko |
3.25 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:45) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Oct '18 |
Saad Awad |
Benson Henderson |
4.50 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Oct '18 |
Timothy Johnson |
Cheick Kongo |
1.80 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (3:49) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Oct '18 |
Lina Lansberg |
Yana Santos |
2.75 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Oct '18 |
Sergio Pettis |
Jussier Formiga |
1.67 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Oct '18 |
Ryan LaFlare |
Tony Martin |
1.77 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (1:0) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Oct '18 |
Felice Herrig |
Michelle Waterson |
1.83 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Oct '18 |
Alexander Volkov |
Derrick Lewis |
1.67 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (4:49) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Sep '18 |
Andrei Arlovski |
Shamil Abdurakhimov |
2.15 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Sep '18 |
Mark Hunt |
Aleksei Oleinik |
1.67 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (4:26) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Sep '18 |
Cody Stamann |
Aljamain Sterling |
2.51 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (3:42) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Sep '18 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
Jessica Andrade |
4.50 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:58) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Sep '18 |
Darren Till |
Tyron Woodley |
2.00 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (4:19) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Aug '18 |
James Vick |
Justin Gaethje |
1.73 |
7 |
TKO, R1 (1:27) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
MMA Profitable Plays: Progress Chart |
|
|
|
|
