MMA Handicapper Stats: Luca Difato |
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Luca Difato: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
| 3rd Aug '19 |
UFC on ESPN 5 |
16.5 |
4.0 |
24% |
4.0 / 16.5 (24%) |
|
|
| 4th May '19 |
UFC Fight Night 150 |
28.5 |
-3.4 |
-12% |
-8.2 / 22.5 (-37%) |
|
4.8 / 6 (80%) |
| 4th May '19 |
Bellator Birmingham |
8 |
1.6 |
20% |
1.6 / 8 (20%) |
|
|
| 19th Jan '19 |
UFC on ESPN+ 1 |
29.75 |
-18.7 |
-63% |
-9.5 / 20.5 (-46%) |
|
-9.3 / 9.25 (-100%) |
| 29th Dec '18 |
UFC 232 |
25 |
9.4 |
38% |
10.9 / 15 (73%) |
|
-1.5 / 10 (-15%) |
| 15th Dec '18 |
UFC Fight Night Milwaukee |
33.75 |
5.9 |
17% |
1.4 / 26.75 (5%) |
|
4.5 / 7 (64%) |
| 15th Dec '18 |
Bellator 212 |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
|
|
-7.0 / 7 (-100%) |
| 8th Dec '18 |
UFC 231 |
46.5 |
-14.3 |
-31% |
-6.8 / 27 (-25%) |
7.0 / 5 (140%) |
-14.5 / 14.5 (-100%) |
| 3rd Nov '18 |
UFC 230 |
14 |
-14.0 |
-100% |
|
|
-14.0 / 14 (-100%) |
| 27th Oct '18 |
UFC Fight Night 138 |
10 |
6.2 |
62% |
2.8 / 7 (40%) |
|
3.4 / 3 (114%) |
| 13th Oct '18 |
Bellator 208 |
11.5 |
-11.5 |
-100% |
-8.0 / 8 (-100%) |
-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) |
|
| 12th Oct '18 |
Bellator 207 |
16.5 |
-6.1 |
-37% |
2.4 / 8 (30%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) |
| 6th Oct '18 |
UFC 229 |
27.5 |
-7.1 |
-26% |
-0.6 / 17.25 (-3%) |
0.8 / 3 (25%) |
-7.3 / 7.25 (-100%) |
| 6th Oct '18 |
KSW 45 |
2 |
0.8 |
40% |
0.8 / 2 (40%) |
|
|
| 29th Sep '18 |
Bellator 206 |
11 |
4.4 |
40% |
2.2 / 6 (36%) |
|
2.2 / 5 (44%) |
| 22nd Sep '18 |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
12.5 |
-4.5 |
-36% |
-0.6 / 5.5 (-11%) |
|
-3.9 / 7 (-56%) |
| 21st Sep '18 |
Bellator 205 |
8 |
6.0 |
75% |
|
|
6.0 / 8 (75%) |
| 15th Sep '18 |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
39 |
21.1 |
54% |
-0.4 / 15.5 (-2%) |
9.4 / 10 (94%) |
12.1 / 13.5 (90%) |
| 8th Sep '18 |
UFC 228 |
23.25 |
1.4 |
6% |
0.6 / 21.75 (3%) |
|
0.8 / 1.5 (53%) |
| 17th Mar '18 |
UFC Fight Night 127 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
|
|
| 24th Feb '18 |
UFC on Fox 28 |
19 |
-2.4 |
-13% |
4.6 / 12 (39%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
| 18th Feb '18 |
UFC Fight Night 126 |
16.5 |
-1.2 |
-8% |
-1.4 / 15 (-10%) |
1.2 / 0.5 (240%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
| 10th Feb '18 |
UFC 221 |
17.25 |
-6.2 |
-36% |
-6.5 / 12.25 (-53%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
1.3 / 4 (31%) |
| 27th Jan '18 |
UFC on Fox 27 |
6.5 |
2.3 |
35% |
-1.6 / 5 (-32%) |
|
3.9 / 1.5 (257%) |
| 26th Jan '18 |
Bellator 193 |
11.25 |
-1.8 |
-16% |
-1.8 / 11.25 (-16%) |
|
|
| 20th Jan '18 |
UFC 220 |
14.25 |
3.7 |
26% |
3.7 / 14.25 (26%) |
|
|
| 20th Jan '18 |
Bellator 192 |
3.5 |
2.3 |
66% |
1.4 / 3 (46%) |
|
1.0 / 0.5 (191%) |
| 14th Jan '18 |
UFC Fight Night 124 |
8.75 |
-0.4 |
-5% |
-4.3 / 5.5 (-77%) |
0.7 / 1.25 (56%) |
3.1 / 2 (155%) |
| 31st Dec '17 |
UFC 219 |
7.5 |
-1.7 |
-23% |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
2.3 / 3.5 (66%) |
|
Winning Events: 13 (45%)
Losing Events: 16 (55%)
Average Staked Per Event: 16.58 units
Most Staked On One Event: 46.50 units
Best Event: 21.11 units
Worst Event: -18.75 units
Average Event: -1.28 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 28.53
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -35.27 |
Luca Difato: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2019 |
82.75 |
-16.5 |
-20% |
-12.1 / 67.5 (-18%) |
|
-4.4 / 15.25 (-29%) |
2 / 2 (50%) |
-4.14 |
| 2018 |
390.5 |
-19.0 |
-5% |
-7.1 / 244 (-3%) |
9.5 / 29.25 (33%) |
-21.4 / 117.25 (-18%) |
11 / 13 (46%) |
-0.79 |
| 2017 |
7.5 |
-1.7 |
-23% |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
2.3 / 3.5 (66%) |
|
0 / 1 (0%) |
-1.69 |
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Luca Difato: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Luca Difato: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
402 |
-26.0 |
-6% |
-21.7 / 269.25 (-8%) |
17.3 / 27.25 (64%) |
-21.6 / 105.5 (-20%) |
|
Bellator |
76.75 |
-12.0 |
-16% |
-2.2 / 44.25 (-5%) |
-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) |
-4.3 / 27 (-16%) |
| Other |
2 |
0.8 |
40% |
0.8 / 2 (40%) |
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Luca Difato: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
49 (49%) |
30 |
61 % |
180.50 |
-23.89 |
-0.49 |
-13% |
| Slight Favorites |
28 (28%) |
15 |
54 % |
82.00 |
3.09 |
0.11 |
4% |
| Slight Underdogs |
19 (19%) |
9 |
47 % |
46.00 |
1.65 |
0.09 |
4% |
| Big Underdogs |
3 (3%) |
1 |
33 % |
7.00 |
-4.00 |
-1.33 |
-57% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
19 (19%) |
12 |
63 % |
76.50 |
-2.68 |
-0.14 |
-4% |
| Co-Main Event |
7 (7%) |
3 |
43 % |
20.25 |
-10.20 |
-1.46 |
-50% |
| Position 3-5 |
24 (24%) |
13 |
54 % |
72.25 |
2.36 |
0.10 |
3% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
49 (49%) |
27 |
55 % |
146.50 |
-12.64 |
-0.26 |
-9% |
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Luca Difato: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
13 (13%) |
7 |
54 % |
52.75 |
-10.59 |
-0.81 |
-20% |
| Light Heavy |
7 (7%) |
5 |
71 % |
24.00 |
3.38 |
0.48 |
14% |
| Middleweight |
13 (13%) |
7 |
54 % |
41.00 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
0% |
| Welterweight |
11 (11%) |
8 |
73 % |
33.25 |
7.54 |
0.69 |
23% |
| Lightweight |
21 (21%) |
12 |
57 % |
70.25 |
-5.07 |
-0.24 |
-7% |
| Featherweight |
10 (10%) |
7 |
70 % |
23.75 |
2.87 |
0.29 |
12% |
| Bantamweight |
9 (9%) |
5 |
56 % |
23.75 |
2.28 |
0.25 |
10% |
| Flyweight |
4 (4%) |
1 |
25 % |
16.00 |
-8.29 |
-2.07 |
-52% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
11 (11%) |
3 |
27 % |
30.75 |
-15.29 |
-1.39 |
-50% |
| Bantamweight |
2 (2%) |
1 |
50 % |
5.50 |
-1.17 |
-0.58 |
-21% |
| Flyweight |
6 (6%) |
1 |
17 % |
15.00 |
-8.71 |
-1.45 |
-58% |
| Strawweight |
3 (3%) |
1 |
33 % |
10.25 |
-5.41 |
-1.80 |
-53% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
99 (80%) |
74 |
75 % |
| Slight Favorites |
21 (17%) |
16 |
76 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
2 (2%) |
2 |
100 % |
| Big Underdogs |
1 (1%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
123 |
92 |
75 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
9 (39%) |
7 |
78 % |
| 50-65% |
4 (17%) |
4 |
100 % |
| 35-50% |
3 (13%) |
2 |
67 % |
| <35% chance |
7 (30%) |
2 |
29 % |
|
23 |
15 |
65 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Luca Difato's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 31st Dec |
UFC 219 |
7.5 |
-1.7 |
-23% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$983.06 |
| 14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 124 |
8.75 |
-0.4 |
-5% |
|
$9.83 |
$983.06 |
$978.68 |
| 20th Jan |
UFC 220 |
14.25 |
3.7 |
26% |
|
$9.79 |
$978.68 |
$1,014.57 |
| 20th Jan |
Bellator 192 |
3.5 |
2.3 |
66% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,014.57 |
$1,038.10 |
| 26th Jan |
Bellator 193 |
11.25 |
-1.8 |
-16% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,038.10 |
$1,019.90 |
| 27th Jan |
UFC on Fox 27 |
6.5 |
2.3 |
35% |
|
$10.20 |
$1,019.90 |
$1,043.07 |
| 10th Feb |
UFC 221 |
17.25 |
-6.2 |
-36% |
|
$10.43 |
$1,043.07 |
$978.40 |
| 18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 126 |
16.5 |
-1.2 |
-8% |
|
$9.78 |
$978.40 |
$966.28 |
| 24th Feb |
UFC on Fox 28 |
19 |
-2.4 |
-13% |
|
$9.66 |
$966.28 |
$943.32 |
| 17th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 127 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.43 |
$943.32 |
$886.72 |
| 8th Sep |
UFC 228 |
23.25 |
1.4 |
6% |
|
$8.87 |
$886.72 |
$898.96 |
| 15th Sep |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
39 |
21.1 |
54% |
$10 |
$8.99 |
$898.96 |
$1,078.78 |
| 21st Sep |
Bellator 205 |
8 |
6.0 |
75% |
|
$10.79 |
$1,078.78 |
$1,143.85 |
| 22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
12.5 |
-4.5 |
-36% |
|
$11.44 |
$1,143.85 |
$1,091.86 |
| 29th Sep |
Bellator 206 |
11 |
4.4 |
40% |
|
$10.92 |
$1,091.86 |
$1,139.95 |
| 6th Oct |
KSW 45 |
2 |
0.8 |
40% |
|
$11.40 |
$1,139.95 |
$1,149.07 |
| 6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
27.5 |
-7.1 |
-26% |
|
$11.49 |
$1,149.07 |
$1,067.97 |
| 12th Oct |
Bellator 207 |
16.5 |
-6.1 |
-37% |
|
$10.68 |
$1,067.97 |
$1,002.77 |
| 13th Oct |
Bellator 208 |
11.5 |
-11.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.03 |
$1,002.77 |
$887.45 |
| 27th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 138 |
10 |
6.2 |
62% |
|
$8.87 |
$887.45 |
$942.62 |
| 3rd Nov |
UFC 230 |
14 |
-14.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.43 |
$942.62 |
$810.65 |
| 8th Dec |
UFC 231 |
46.5 |
-14.3 |
-31% |
|
$8.11 |
$810.65 |
$694.95 |
| 15th Dec |
Bellator 212 |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
|
$6.95 |
$694.95 |
$646.30 |
| 15th Dec |
UFC Fight Night Milwaukee |
33.75 |
5.9 |
17% |
|
$6.46 |
$646.30 |
$684.42 |
| 29th Dec |
UFC 232 |
25 |
9.4 |
38% |
|
$6.84 |
$684.42 |
$748.89 |
| 19th Jan |
UFC on ESPN+ 1 |
29.75 |
-18.7 |
-63% |
|
$7.49 |
$748.89 |
$608.47 |
| 4th May |
Bellator Birmingham |
8 |
1.6 |
20% |
|
$6.08 |
$608.47 |
$618.21 |
| 4th May |
UFC Fight Night 150 |
28.5 |
-3.4 |
-12% |
|
$6.18 |
$618.21 |
$597.10 |
| 3rd Aug |
UFC on ESPN 5 |
16.5 |
4.0 |
24% |
|
$5.97 |
$597.10 |
$621.10 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -37.89% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Luca Difato: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Aug '19 |
Scott Holtzman |
Dong Hyun Ma |
1.36 |
7 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
|
|
| 2. |
Aug '19 |
Gerald Meerschaert |
Trevin Giles |
2.20 |
5 |
Sub, R3 (1:49) |
|
|
| 3. |
May '19 |
Arjan Bhullar |
Juan Adams |
2.00 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 4. |
May '19 |
Walt Harris |
Sergey Spivak |
1.57 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (0:50) |
|
|
| 5. |
May '19 |
Brent Primus |
Tim Wilde |
1.20 |
8 |
Sub, R1 (1:20) |
|
|
| 6. |
Jan '19 |
Geoff Neal |
Belal Muhammad |
1.57 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 7. |
Jan '19 |
Paige VanZant |
Rachael Ostovich |
1.57 |
4 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
|
|
| 8. |
Dec '18 |
Walt Harris |
Andrei Arlovski |
1.61 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 9. |
Dec '18 |
Nathaniel Wood |
Andre Ewell |
1.95 |
5 |
Sub, R3 (4:12) |
|
|
| 10. |
Dec '18 |
Montel Jackson |
Brian Kelleher |
1.61 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (1:40) |
|
|
| 11. |
Dec '18 |
Dan Ige |
Jordan Griffin |
1.50 |
2.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 12. |
Dec '18 |
Juan Adams |
Chris de la Rocha |
1.29 |
4.5 |
TKO, R3 (0:58) |
|
|
| 13. |
Dec '18 |
Drakkar Klose |
Bobby Green |
1.36 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 14. |
Dec '18 |
Charles Oliveira |
Jim Miller |
1.40 |
6 |
Sub, R1 (1:15) |
|
|
| 15. |
Dec '18 |
Rob Font |
Sergio Pettis |
1.53 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 16. |
Dec '18 |
Aleksandar Rakic |
Devin Clark |
1.18 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:5) |
|
|
| 17. |
Dec '18 |
Carlos Diego Ferreira |
Kyle Nelson |
1.18 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (1:23) |
|
|
| 18. |
Dec '18 |
Elias Theodorou |
Eryk Anders |
1.80 |
2.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 19. |
Dec '18 |
Gilbert Burns |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
2.00 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 20. |
Dec '18 |
Max Holloway |
Brian Ortega |
1.91 |
2 |
TKO, R4 (5:0) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Aug '19 |
Mara Romero Borella |
Lauren Murphy |
1.53 |
2.5 |
TKO, R3 (1:46) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Aug '19 |
Lucie Pudilova |
Antonina Shevchenko |
2.38 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (1:20) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
May '19 |
Marc-Andre Barriault |
Andrew Sanchez |
2.30 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
May '19 |
Aiemann Zahabi |
Vincent Morales |
1.61 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
May '19 |
Cub Swanson |
Shane Burgos |
2.38 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
May '19 |
Al Iaquinta |
Donald Cerrone |
1.80 |
3.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Jan '19 |
Alexander Hernandez |
Donald Cerrone |
1.50 |
6 |
TKO, R2 (3:43) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Jan '19 |
Ariane Lipski |
Joanne Wood |
1.44 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Jan '19 |
T.J. Dillashaw |
Henry Cejudo |
1.44 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:32) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Dec '18 |
Adam Milstead |
Mike Rodriguez |
1.44 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:59) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Dec '18 |
Kevin Lee |
Al Iaquinta |
1.30 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Dec '18 |
Katlyn Chookagian |
Jessica Eye |
1.53 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Dec '18 |
Alex Oliveira |
Gunnar Nelson |
2.10 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (4:17) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Dec '18 |
Chad Laprise |
Dhiego Lima |
1.25 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:37) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Dec '18 |
Claudia Gadelha |
Nina Nunes |
1.30 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Oct '18 |
Timothy Johnson |
Cheick Kongo |
1.72 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:49) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Oct '18 |
Chael Sonnen |
Fedor Emelianenko |
3.00 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (4:45) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Sep '18 |
Hector Lombard |
Thales Leites |
1.80 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Sep '18 |
Gillian Robertson |
Mayra Bueno Silva |
1.80 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:55) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Sep '18 |
Andrei Arlovski |
Shamil Abdurakhimov |
2.05 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Luca Difato: Progress Chart |
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