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MMA Handicapper Stats: Conor ONeill

Conor ONeill (ConorONeill)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	50 (42%)	Right	38 (48%)	Right	9 (31%)	Right	3 (30%)
Wrong	68 (58%)	Wrong	41 (52%)	Wrong	20 (69%)	Wrong	7 (70%)
Avg Odds	2.02	Avg Odds	1.99	Avg Odds	2.06	Avg Odds	2.06
Units Bet	229.1	Units Bet	147.7	Units Bet	58.9	Units Bet	22.5
Avg Bet	1.94	Avg Bet	1.87	Avg Bet	2.03	Avg Bet	2.25
Units Profit	-41.30	Units Profit	-5.82	Units Profit	-28.94	Units Profit	-6.54
ROI %	-18%	ROI %	-4%	ROI %	-49%	ROI %	-29%

Conor ONeill: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	11	-7.3	-66%	-7.3 / 11 (-66%)
1st Aug '20	UFC Vegas 5	12	-6.7	-56%	-1.0 / 3.5 (-30%)	-2.7 / 5.5 (-49%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
18th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 2	13.8	-0.6	-4%	-1.6 / 9.7 (-17%)	-0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)	1.7 / 3.5 (47%)
15th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 1	11	-2.2	-20%	0.8 / 8 (10%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	28	-4.1	-14%	-5.6 / 22 (-26%)	-0.7 / 4 (-19%)	2.3 / 2 (117%)
20th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 174	9	5.3	59%	8.3 / 6 (138%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 173	7	4.5	65%	4.5 / 7 (65%)
30th May '20	UFC Fight Night 172	13	0.8	6%	2.4 / 5 (47%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	0.5 / 6 (8%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	27	-13.6	-50%	-7.7 / 14 (-55%)	-5.9 / 13 (-45%)
10th Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 156	12	-3.4	-28%	-1.3 / 5 (-27%)	-2.0 / 7 (-29%)
24th Feb '18	UFC on Fox 28	5	-5.0	-100%		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
18th Feb '18	UFC Fight Night 126	16.5	-5.7	-35%	-5.3 / 12.5 (-42%)	-0.5 / 4 (-12%)
17th Feb '18	Bellator 194	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Feb '18	UFC 221	11	1.2	11%	3.7 / 8.5 (43%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
4th Feb '18	UFC Fight Night 125	9.1	3.4	37%	0.9 / 6 (15%)	2.5 / 3.1 (79%)
20th Jan '18	UFC 220	13	-2.5	-19%	1.5 / 9 (16%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
14th Jan '18	UFC Fight Night 124	5	2.3	46%	2.3 / 5 (46%)
31st Dec '17	UFC 219	6.5	-4.3	-66%	-0.8 / 3 (-27%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Dec '17	UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos	8	-0.7	-9%	1.3 / 6 (22%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
9th Dec '17	UFC Fight Night 123	10.2	-1.8	-17%	0.2 / 5.5 (4%)	0.0 / 2.7 (0%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Winning Events: 6 (30%)
Losing Events: 14 (70%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.46 units
Most Staked On One Event: 28.00 units
Best Event: 5.28 units
Worst Event: -13.56 units
Average Event: -2.06 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 10.65
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -28.65

Conor ONeill: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	104.8	-10.2	-10%	0.4 / 72.2 (1%)	-9.0 / 15.1 (-60%)	-1.5 / 17.5 (-9%)	3 / 5 (38%)	-1.27
2019	39	-16.9	-43%	-9.0 / 19 (-48%)	-7.9 / 20 (-39%)		/ 2 (0%)	-8.46
2018	60.6	-7.4	-12%	2.1 / 42 (5%)	-9.5 / 18.6 (-51%)		3 / 4 (43%)	-1.06
2017	24.7	-6.8	-27%	0.7 / 14.5 (5%)	-2.5 / 5.2 (-48%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	0 / 3 (0%)	-2.26

Conor ONeill: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Conor ONeill: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	228.1	-40.3	-18%	-4.8 / 146.7 (-3%)	-28.9 / 58.9 (-49%)	-6.5 / 22.5 (-29%)
Bellator	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Conor ONeill: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	5 (6%)	5	100 %	18.50	8.12	1.62	44%
Slight Favorites	36 (46%)	20	56 %	73.70	-2.24	-0.06	-3%
Slight Underdogs	34 (43%)	11	32 %	51.50	-14.55	-0.43	-28%
Big Underdogs	4 (5%)	2	50 %	4.00	2.85	0.71	71%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	10 (13%)	6	60 %	30.50	8.33	0.83	27%
Co-Main Event	9 (11%)	6	67 %	28.50	4.85	0.54	17%
Position 3-5	22 (28%)	9	41 %	38.20	-14.28	-0.65	-37%
6+ (Undercard)	38 (48%)	17	45 %	50.50	-4.72	-0.12	-9%

Conor ONeill: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (8%)	2	33 %	15.50	-2.78	-0.46	-18%
Light Heavy	3 (4%)		0 %	4.50	-4.50	-1.50	-100%
Middleweight	5 (6%)	2	40 %	18.50	-11.93	-2.39	-64%
Welterweight	12 (15%)	9	75 %	26.50	10.80	0.90	41%
Lightweight	11 (14%)	4	36 %	16.00	-2.25	-0.20	-14%
Featherweight	15 (19%)	10	67 %	27.00	11.28	0.75	42%
Bantamweight	7 (9%)	3	43 %	10.00	-0.50	-0.07	-5%
Flyweight	9 (11%)	3	33 %	11.20	-6.82	-0.76	-61%

Women's Fights	11 (14%)	5	45 %	18.50	0.88	0.08	5%
Bantamweight	2 (3%)	1	50 %	4.00	0.94	0.47	23%
Flyweight	6 (8%)	3	50 %	10.50	2.15	0.36	20%
Strawweight	3 (4%)	1	33 %	4.00	-2.20	-0.73	-55%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	20 (87%)	14	70 %
Slight Favorites	3 (13%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	23	14	61 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	3 (11%)	0	0 %
50-65%	12 (43%)	6	50 %
35-50%	7 (25%)	2	29 %
<35% chance	6 (21%)	0	0 %
	28	8	29 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.63	1.63	1.63	0.6 (63%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (11%)	1	33 %	1.77	1.87	1.68	-1.2 (-41%)
X Wins by KO	12 (43%)	2	17 %	1.88	13.25	1.27	-8.0 (-67%)
X Wins by Sub	4 (14%)	1	25 %	2.41	5.50	1.61	-2.4 (-60%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (4%)	0	0 %	2.30	2.30	2.30	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	6 (21%)	3	50 %	2.42	4.58	1.77	0.3 (6%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (4%)	0	0 %	10.50	10.50	10.50	-1.0 (-100%)
	28	8	29 %	2.10			-12.7 (-45%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Conor ONeill's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night 123	10.2	-1.8	-17%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$982.27
16th Dec	UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos	8	-0.7	-9%		$9.82	$982.27	$975.38
31st Dec	UFC 219	6.5	-4.3	-66%		$9.75	$975.38	$933.44
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night 124	5	2.3	46%		$9.33	$933.44	$954.99
20th Jan	UFC 220	13	-2.5	-19%		$9.55	$954.99	$930.89
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night 125	9.1	3.4	37%		$9.31	$930.89	$962.27
10th Feb	UFC 221	11	1.2	11%		$9.62	$962.27	$973.40
17th Feb	Bellator 194	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.73	$973.40	$963.67
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night 126	16.5	-5.7	-35%		$9.64	$963.67	$908.49
24th Feb	UFC on Fox 28	5	-5.0	-100%		$9.08	$908.49	$863.06
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night 156	12	-3.4	-28%		$8.63	$863.06	$834.06
17th Aug	UFC 241	27	-13.6	-50%		$8.34	$834.06	$720.96
30th May	UFC Fight Night 172	13	0.8	6%		$7.21	$720.96	$726.92
13th Jun	UFC Fight Night 173	7	4.5	65%		$7.27	$726.92	$759.96
20th Jun	UFC Fight Night 174	9	5.3	59%		$7.60	$759.96	$800.11
11th Jul	UFC 251	28	-4.1	-14%		$8.00	$800.11	$767.63
15th Jul	UFC Fight Island 1	11	-2.2	-20%		$7.68	$767.63	$750.70
18th Jul	UFC Fight Island 2	13.8	-0.6	-4%		$7.51	$750.70	$746.44
1st Aug	UFC Vegas 5	12	-6.7	-56%		$7.46	$746.44	$696.05
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	11	-7.3	-66%		$6.96	$696.05	$645.51

ROI % from starting bank balance: -35.45% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Conor ONeill: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '20	Gavin Tucker	Justin Jaynes	1.87	2	Sub, R3 (1:43)
2.	Aug '20	Bobby Green	Lando Vannata	2.45	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jul '20	Brett Johns	Montel Jackson	3.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jul '20	Jack Hermansson	Kelvin Gastelum	1.95	2.5	Sub, R1 (1:18)
5.	Jul '20	Jimmie Rivera	Cody Stamann	1.83	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jul '20	Calvin Kattar	Dan Ige	1.39	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
7.	Jul '20	Raulian Paiva	Zhalgas Zhumagulov	1.59	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jul '20	Alex Volkanovski	Max Holloway	1.50	4	Split Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Jul '20	Petr Yan	Jose Aldo	1.48	3	TKO, R5 (3:24)
10.	Jul '20	Kamaru Usman	Jorge Masvidal	1.44	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
11.	Jun '20	Gillian Robertson	Cortney Casey	1.89	1	Sub, R3 (4:36)
12.	Jun '20	Justin Jaynes	Frank Camacho	3.65	1	TKO, R1 (0:41)
13.	Jun '20	Belal Muhammad	Lyman Good	1.87	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jun '20	Josh Emmett	Shane Burgos	2.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Jun '20	Charles Rosa	Kevin Aguilar	2.70	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Jun '20	Cynthia Calvillo	Jessica Eye	1.77	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
17.	May '20	Gilbert Burns	Tyron Woodley	2.45	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
18.	Aug '19	Sabina Mazo	Shana Dobson	1.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Aug '19	Nate Diaz	Anthony Pettis	2.25	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Aug '19	Luiz Garagorri	Humberto Bandenay	1.87	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Aug '20	Omari Akhmedov	Chris Weidman	2.37	7	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Aug '20	Aleksei Oleinik	Derrick Lewis	2.80	2	TKO, R2 (0:21)	No
3.	Aug '20	Johnny Munoz	Nathan Maness	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Aug '20	Joanne Wood	Jennifer Maia	1.69	1.5	Sub, R1 (4:29)	No
5.	Jul '20	Alexandre Pantoja	Askar Askarov	1.59	1.7	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jul '20	Malcolm Gordon	Amir Albazi	2.30	0.5	Sub, R1 (4:42)	No
7.	Jul '20	Davi Ramos	Arman Tsarukyan	3.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jul '20	Khadis Ibragimov	Roman Dolidze	2.40	0.5	TKO, R1 (4:15)	No
9.	Jul '20	Marc Diakiese	Rafael Fiziev	1.63	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jul '20	Molly McCann	Taila Santos	1.67	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Jul '20	Chris Fishgold	Jared Gordon	2.37	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jul '20	Maxim Grishin	Marcin Tybura	1.95	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jul '20	Danny Henry	Makwan Amirkhani	2.75	1	Sub, R1 (3:15)	No
14.	Jul '20	Roman Bogatov	Leonardo Santos	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Jul '20	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	Muslim Salikhov	2.20	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Jul '20	Volkan Oezdemir	Jiri Prochazka	1.69	3	TKO, R2 (0:49)	No
17.	Jul '20	Jessica Andrade	Rose Namajunas	2.80	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Jun '20	Zarrukh Adashev	Tyson Nam	2.25	1	TKO, R1 (0:32)	No
19.	May '20	Spike Carlyle	Billy Quarantillo	2.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Aug '19	Ian Heinisch	Derek Brunson	1.69	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Conor ONeill: Progress Chart

Chart

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