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MMA Handicapper Stats: Paul Wark

Paul Wark (PaulWark)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	40 (42%)	Right	23 (38%)	Right	13 (41%)	Right	4 (100%)
Wrong	56 (58%)	Wrong	37 (62%)	Wrong	19 (59%)	Wrong	0 (0%)
Avg Odds	2.22	Avg Odds	2.02	Avg Odds	2.83	Avg Odds	1.71
Units Bet	603.2	Units Bet	441.9	Units Bet	139.3	Units Bet	22.0
Avg Bet	6.28	Avg Bet	7.37	Avg Bet	4.35	Avg Bet	5.50
Units Profit	-16.50	Units Profit	-40.72	Units Profit	8.58	Units Profit	15.65
ROI %	-3%	ROI %	-9%	ROI %	6%	ROI %	71%

Paul Wark: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
28th Jul '18	UFC on Fox 30	11	-11.0	-100%	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
7th Jul '18	UFC 226	24	-15.7	-65%	-15.7 / 24 (-65%)
7th Jul '18	TUF 27 Finale	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
9th Jun '18	UFC 225	27.5	-18.0	-65%	-18.0 / 27.5 (-65%)
1st Jun '18	UFC Fight Night 131	8	0.4	5%	0.4 / 8 (5%)
27th May '18	UFC Fight Night 130	25	0.8	3%	-3.0 / 19 (-16%)		3.8 / 6 (64%)
19th May '18	UFC Fight Night 129	12	7.9	66%			7.9 / 12 (66%)
12th May '18	Bellator 199	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
12th May '18	UFC 224	23	-5.0	-22%	-9.0 / 19 (-47%)		4.0 / 4 (99%)
21st Apr '18	UFC Fight Night 128	27	16.1	60%	16.1 / 27 (60%)
14th Apr '18	UFC on Fox 29	11	4.8	44%	4.8 / 11 (44%)
7th Apr '18	UFC 223	10	1.3	13%	1.3 / 10 (13%)
17th Mar '18	UFC Fight Night 127	19	-19.0	-100%	-15.0 / 15 (-100%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
3rd Mar '18	UFC 222	40	-8.6	-22%	2.0 / 17 (12%)	-10.6 / 23 (-46%)
24th Feb '18	UFC on Fox 28	40.5	-13.2	-33%	-3.2 / 30.5 (-10%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
18th Feb '18	UFC Fight Night 126	15	7.0	47%	12.0 / 10 (120%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
10th Feb '18	UFC 221	47	7.6	16%	-9.7 / 32 (-30%)	17.3 / 15 (115%)
4th Feb '18	UFC Fight Night 125	16	4.4	27%	9.4 / 11 (85%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
27th Jan '18	UFC on Fox 27	37	8.2	22%	4.0 / 23 (17%)	4.2 / 14 (30%)
20th Jan '18	UFC 220	49.4	3.3	7%	22.3 / 30.4 (74%)	-19.0 / 19 (-100%)
20th Jan '18	Bellator 192	27	12.8	48%	-14.0 / 14 (-100%)	26.8 / 13 (207%)
31st Dec '17	UFC 219	62.5	5.4	9%	-6.0 / 42.5 (-14%)	11.4 / 20 (57%)
16th Dec '17	UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos	52	-0.4	-1%	-0.4 / 52 (-1%)
9th Dec '17	UFC Fight Night 123	11.31	2.4	21%		2.4 / 11.31 (21%)

Winning Events: 14 (58%)
Losing Events: 10 (42%)

Average Staked Per Event: 25.13 units
Most Staked On One Event: 62.50 units
Best Event: 16.10 units
Worst Event: -19.00 units
Average Event: -0.69 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 48.69
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -49.66

Paul Wark: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2018	477.4	-23.9	-5%	-34.3 / 347.4 (-10%)	-5.3 / 108 (-5%)	15.6 / 22 (71%)	12 / 9 (57%)	-1.14
2017	125.81	7.4	6%	-6.4 / 94.5 (-7%)	13.8 / 31.31 (44%)		2 / 1 (67%)	2.48

Paul Wark: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Paul Wark: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	573.21	-26.3	-5%	-23.7 / 424.9 (-6%)	-18.3 / 126.31 (-14%)	15.6 / 22 (71%)
Bellator	30	9.8	33%	-17.0 / 17 (-100%)	26.8 / 13 (207%)

Paul Wark: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	11 (16%)	8	73 %	84.50	10.64	0.97	13%
Slight Favorites	27 (40%)	14	52 %	196.00	-20.06	-0.74	-10%
Slight Underdogs	15 (22%)	5	33 %	111.00	-30.40	-2.03	-27%
Big Underdogs	14 (21%)	2	14 %	50.40	-0.90	-0.06	-2%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	11 (16%)	1	9 %	72.00	-63.55	-5.78	-88%
Co-Main Event	14 (21%)	8	57 %	106.50	19.90	1.42	19%
Position 3-5	14 (21%)	8	57 %	100.00	14.94	1.07	15%
6+ (Undercard)	28 (42%)	12	43 %	163.40	-12.01	-0.43	-7%

Paul Wark: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	9 (13%)	3	33 %	64.00	-24.06	-2.67	-38%
Light Heavy	6 (9%)	4	67 %	40.00	5.80	0.97	14%
Middleweight	8 (12%)	3	38 %	46.00	-9.76	-1.22	-21%
Welterweight	13 (19%)	3	23 %	82.00	-39.50	-3.04	-48%
Lightweight	13 (19%)	5	38 %	89.40	-24.15	-1.86	-27%
Featherweight	5 (7%)	4	80 %	32.00	30.91	6.18	97%
Bantamweight	3 (4%)	2	67 %	22.00	5.30	1.77	24%
Flyweight	3 (4%)	1	33 %	20.50	6.45	2.15	31%

Women's Fights	7 (10%)	4	57 %	46.00	8.29	1.18	18%
Bantamweight	1 (1%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Flyweight	1 (1%)		0 %	7.00	-7.00	-7.00	-100%
Strawweight	5 (7%)	4	80 %	37.00	17.29	3.46	47%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	8 (100%)	8	100 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	8	8	100 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	2 (6%)	2	100 %
50-65%	4 (13%)	0	0 %
35-50%	8 (25%)	7	88 %
<35% chance	18 (56%)	4	22 %
	32	13	41 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (9%)	2	67 %	1.81	5.00	1.34	-0.3 (-9%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (3%)	0	0 %	3.95	3.95	3.95	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	27 (84%)	10	37 %	2.98	6.50	1.87	1.5 (6%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (3%)	1	100 %	3.21	3.21	3.21	2.2 (221%)
	32	13	41 %	2.83			2.5 (8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Paul Wark's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night 123	11.31	2.4	21%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,023.90
16th Dec	UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos	52	-0.4	-1%		$10.24	$1,023.90	$1,020.31
31st Dec	UFC 219	62.5	5.4	9%		$10.20	$1,020.31	$1,075.31
20th Jan	UFC 220	49.4	3.3	7%		$10.75	$1,075.31	$1,111.33
20th Jan	Bellator 192	27	12.8	48%		$11.11	$1,111.33	$1,254.13
27th Jan	UFC on Fox 27	37	8.2	22%		$12.54	$1,254.13	$1,356.84
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night 125	16	4.4	27%		$13.57	$1,356.84	$1,415.86
10th Feb	UFC 221	47	7.6	16%		$14.16	$1,415.86	$1,522.90
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night 126	15	7.0	47%		$15.23	$1,522.90	$1,629.50
24th Feb	UFC on Fox 28	40.5	-13.2	-33%		$16.30	$1,629.50	$1,414.40
3rd Mar	UFC 222	40	-8.6	-22%		$14.14	$1,414.40	$1,292.76
17th Mar	UFC Fight Night 127	19	-19.0	-100%		$12.93	$1,292.76	$1,047.14
7th Apr	UFC 223	10	1.3	13%		$10.47	$1,047.14	$1,060.23
14th Apr	UFC on Fox 29	11	4.8	44%		$10.60	$1,060.23	$1,111.54
21st Apr	UFC Fight Night 128	27	16.1	60%		$11.12	$1,111.54	$1,290.50
12th May	UFC 224	23	-5.0	-22%		$12.91	$1,290.50	$1,225.34
12th May	Bellator 199	3	-3.0	-100%		$12.25	$1,225.34	$1,188.58
19th May	UFC Fight Night 129	12	7.9	66%		$11.89	$1,188.58	$1,282.07
27th May	UFC Fight Night 130	25	0.8	3%		$12.82	$1,282.07	$1,292.71
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 131	8	0.4	5%		$12.93	$1,292.71	$1,297.88
9th Jun	UFC 225	27.5	-18.0	-65%		$12.98	$1,297.88	$1,064.78
7th Jul	TUF 27 Finale	5	-5.0	-100%		$10.65	$1,064.78	$1,011.54
7th Jul	UFC 226	24	-15.7	-65%		$10.12	$1,011.54	$852.73
28th Jul	UFC on Fox 30	11	-11.0	-100%		$8.53	$852.73	$758.93

ROI % from starting bank balance: -24.11% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Paul Wark: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '18	Raphael Assuncao	Rob Font	1.66	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Jun '18	Curtis Blaydes	Alistair Overeem	1.59	6	TKO, R3 (2:56)
3.	Jun '18	Walt Harris	Daniel Spitz	1.40	6	TKO, R2 (4:59)
4.	May '18	Claudio Silva	Nordine Taleb	4.00	4	Sub, R1 (4:31)
5.	May '18	Cezar Ferreira	Karl Roberson	2.00	5	Sub, R1 (4:45)
6.	Apr '18	Ryan LaFlare	Alex Garcia	1.67	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Apr '18	Corey Anderson	Patrick Cummins	1.75	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Apr '18	David Branch	Thiago Santos	2.60	4	TKO, R1 (2:30)
9.	Apr '18	Frankie Edgar	Cub Swanson	1.43	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Apr '18	Kevin Lee	Edson Barboza	1.69	5	TKO, R5 (2:18)
11.	Apr '18	Israel Adesanya	Marvin Vettori	1.44	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Apr '18	Devin Clark	Mike Rodriguez	2.25	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Mar '18	John Dodson	Pedro Munhoz	1.90	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Feb '18	Jessica Andrade	Tecia Torres	1.40	8.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Feb '18	Jessica Andrade	Tecia Torres	1.40	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Feb '18	Derrick Lewis	Marcin Tybura	2.20	10	TKO, R3 (2:48)
17.	Feb '18	Alex Volkanovski	Jeremy Kennedy	1.59	4	TKO, R2 (4:57)
18.	Feb '18	Alex Volkanovski	Jeremy Kennedy	1.59	10	TKO, R2 (4:57)
19.	Feb '18	Michel Prazeres	Desmond Green	1.85	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Jan '18	Randa Markos	Juliana Lima	1.68	5	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '18	Eddie Alvarez	Dustin Poirier	2.59	11	TKO, R2 (4:5)	No
2.	Jul '18	Francis Ngannou	Derrick Lewis	1.32	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jul '18	Michael Chiesa	Anthony Pettis	1.67	5	Sub, R2 (0:52)	No
4.	Jul '18	Gokhan Saki	Khalil Rountree	1.77	4	TKO, R1 (1:36)	No
5.	Jul '18	Paul Felder	Mike Perry	1.67	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jul '18	Oskar Piechota	Gerald Meerschaert	1.49	5	Sub, R2 (4:55)	No
7.	Jun '18	Yoel Romero	Robert Whittaker	3.25	3	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	Jun '18	Rafael dos Anjos	Colby Covington	2.25	4	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
9.	Jun '18	Carla Esparza	Claudia Gadelha	4.55	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jun '18	Ricardo Lamas	Mirsad Bektic	3.20	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Jun '18	Clay Guida	Charles Oliveira	2.28	4	Sub, R1 (2:18)	No
12.	Jun '18	Joseph Benavidez	Sergio Pettis	1.50	6	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jun '18	Vinc Pichel	Gregor Gillespie	4.55	2	Sub, R2 (4:6)	No
14.	May '18	Eric Spicely	Darren Stewart	1.65	5	TKO, R2 (1:47)	No
15.	May '18	Stephen Thompson	Darren Till	1.87	10	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
16.	May '18	Raquel Pennington	Amanda Nunes	7.23	2	TKO, R5 (2:36)	No
17.	May '18	Ronaldo Souza	Kelvin Gastelum	1.74	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	May '18	Sean Strickland	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	2.10	5	TKO, R1 (3:12)	No
19.	May '18	Sultan Aliev	Warlley Alves	3.10	2	TKO, R2 (5:0)	No
20.	May '18	Muhammed Lawal	Ryan Bader	3.90	3	TKO, R1 (0:15)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Paul Wark: Progress Chart

Chart

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